291  
FNUS74 KOUN 251014  
FWSOUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FALCON FIRE...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
514 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON AUGUST 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO  
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ANOTHER VERY HOT DAY TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 110 DEGREES BY  
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY WITH  
AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR 15%. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS  
WILL BECOME ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION, A WEAK BOUNDARY  
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SITE THIS EVENING WITH A LIGHT NORTH TO  
NORTHWEST WIND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF A  
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........80 AT FORECAST START...MAX 109.  
RH..................43 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 8500  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (5500-99600 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (102000-107800 KNOT-FT)  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 23 45 31 28 19 18 6 6 12 17 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............80 80 81 87 91 96 100 102 106 108 109 109  
RH..............43 44 44 37 31 27 23 22 20 18 17 17  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 8 9 12 14 14 13 12 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 17 21 24 24 23 23 21 20 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.2 5.0 6.3 7.7 8.3 8.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W SW W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 20 18 17 16 15 15 15 15 14  
VRATE KTFT/1000.6 6 8 22 31 34 44 65 81 100 108 102  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY  
OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 76.  
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
13 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (4000-65200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........20 19 26 12 11 16 25 52 52 62 67 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............105 104 100 93 89 86 85 83 82 81 79 78  
RH..............19 20 24 32 41 48 50 53 56 58 62 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SE SE N NE N W W NW N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 7 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 3.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W S SE N NE NE W W NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 12 12 14 14 14 13 13 10 12 12  
VRATE KTFT/1000.65 39 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 4 5 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY LATE IN  
THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THEN  
BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
THEN BECOMING SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING SUNNY.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 101.  
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTH AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (4400-63000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 64 70 35 42 57 44 34 17 37 27 20  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............78 76 78 81 86 89 92 95 96 98 98 98  
RH..............67 71 69 65 55 52 46 40 38 35 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.1 3.2 4.1 5.0 4.6 5.8 6.9 7.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW N N N N N N N N S N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 13 14 13 12 10 10 10 9  
VRATE KTFT/1000.4 5 10 20 24 39 45 50 42 52 62 63  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 6 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...CURL  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW CHELF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620465.0/OUN  
.DELDT 08/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
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