834  
FNUS74 KTSA 311420  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STOB GAP 1&2...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
920 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BY BURN START TIME, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BREEZY AT 10 TO 20  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST. MINIMUM AFTERNOON  
HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 45 PERCENT. BY EVENING, THE  
WINDS AND GUSTS SHOULD COME DOWN SOME, WITH SOME BACKING OF THE  
WIND TO THE EAST- SOUTHEAST. RAIN CHANCES IN THAT AREA RAMP UP  
AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............40 INCREASING TO 48.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (44590 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (74098 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).58 INCREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 11 23 35 40 45 50 57  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 54 57 59 62 65 67 68  
DEWPOINT........38 40 41 42 43 45 46 48  
RH..............63 59 55 53 50 48 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 15 15 16 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 24 25 25 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 25 25 25 26 26 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 45 45 74 74 74 74 74  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).54 55 57 59 62 65 67 67  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............51 INCREASING TO 61.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH  
INCREASING TO 43 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (74098 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (17704 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).69.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........64 71 76 80 85 85 86 86 89 91 94 93  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
TEMP............68 68 67 67 66 66 66 66 66 65 65 65  
DEWPOINT........50 52 53 55 56 58 59 61 61 62 62 61  
RH..............52 57 61 65 70 75 79 84 86 88 90 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 17 17 18 19 19 19 19 18 18 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 34 33 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 24 23 22 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..74 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).66 65 65 66 68 69 71 73 73 73 73 73  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............60.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH  
DECREASING TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13114 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).75.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........93 92 93 93 94 88 83 77 71 65 59 55  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
TEMP............65 65 65 64 64 64 64 65 66 68 69 69  
DEWPOINT........61 60 60 61 61 61 62 62 61 61 60 59  
RH..............86 84 86 88 90 91 91 90 84 78 73 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 17 15 13 12 11 11 11 11 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.33 32 30 28 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 14 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 13 13 13 13 13 13 20 20 20 20 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).72 72 72 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 78 78  
 
 
FORECASTER...LACY  
REQUESTED BY...DZFMO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2508481.0/TSA  
.DELDT 03/31/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.H.THOMAS@USDA.GOV,BRADLEY.INGLE@USDA.GOV  
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