301  
FNUS74 KTSA 080606  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TUSKAHOMA PILE BURN...CHOCTAW NATION FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
106 AM CDT MON AUG 8 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON AUGUST 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
IT WILL BE HOT AND HUMID TODAY WITH A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS THE AREA. MORE  
ISOLATED COVERAGE IN STORMS IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH BETTER  
CHANCES LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS MOISTURE INCREASES  
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. WINDS WILL REMAIN PRETTY  
LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND THE INCREASING MOISTURE WILL KEEP  
MIN RH VALUES AROUND 50% THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............70.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32131 KNOT-FT).  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).89 INCREASING TO 94 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 43 74 57 42 54 57 48 63 45  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............79 82 85 88 91 92 94 94 95 95  
DEWPOINT........71 71 71 72 72 71 70 70 69 69  
RH..............77 69 63 59 54 51 46 46 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 13 11 10 10 8 8 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.9 5.3 5.6 6.2 5.1 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 9 9 6 6 5 13 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 32 32 32 32 58 58 58 58 58  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
1700FT MIX T(F).85 85 85 87 90 92 94 95 95 94  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............70.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (57704 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....5.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).94.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........41 56 64 64 51 30 44 57 58 58 59 63  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............94 92 88 84 82 80 79 78 77 76 75 74  
DEWPOINT........69 69 70 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 71  
RH..............44 47 55 65 69 74 77 79 82 85 87 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE W S W SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 12 6 5 7 3 6 10 9 6 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 20 20 20 20 20 20 5 5 5 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).93 92 94 95 97 95 92 91 91 92 93 92  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............71.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO  
8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4590 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26885 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).91.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........68 68 56 88 68 74 68 62 62 62 62 61  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............73 74 76 79 82 84 87 89 90 90 89 89  
DEWPOINT........70 70 71 72 72 72 73 73 73 72 72 72  
RH..............90 87 85 79 72 67 63 59 57 57 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.7 3.0 4.4 5.2 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 12 27 12 12 12 12 27 27 27 27 27  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).92 91 90 90 89 89 89 89 90 91 92 93  
 

 
FORECASTER...M.BOWLAN  
REQUESTED BY...DAVE HILL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2216300.0/TSA  
.DELDT 08/08/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVEH@CHOCTAWNATION.COM  
 
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