163  
FXUS64 KAMA 200514  
AFDAMA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
1214 AM CDT THU JUN 20 2019  
   
AVIATION
 
 
06Z TAF CYCLE  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL THREE TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z  
FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS CAN BE  
EXPECTED AT TAF SITES THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY.  
 
SCHNEIDER  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 743 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019/  
 
UPDATE...  
HAVE UPDATED GRAPHICAL FORECASTS, REMOVING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
FROM NORTHERN SECTIONS THIS EVENING. ALL EVENING THUNDERSTORMS  
EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF FORECAST AREA. REMAINDER OF FORECAST  
LOOKS TO BE WELL ON TRACK. UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS WILL BE ISSUED  
SHORTLY.  
 
COCKRELL  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 619 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019/  
 
AVIATION...  
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...  
 
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS. NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED  
TO IMPACT ANY OF OUR TERMINALS.  
 
WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP SURFACE WINDS BELOW 10  
KT THIS EVENING. EXCEPTION MAY BE AT NORTHERN TERMINALS FOR THE  
FIRST HOUR OF THE FORECAST, WHERE LOW-LEVEL WINDS COULD BE A BIT  
HIGHER IN THE VICINITY OF STRONGER 850 MB FLOW. EXPECT SURFACE  
WINDS TO SETTLE ON A SOUTHEAST DIRECTION BY 03Z THURSDAY, AND TO  
BECOME SOUTHWEST BY 13Z, MOST LIKELY REMAINING BELOW 15 KT DURING  
THE AFTERNOON. SKY WILL BE GENERALLY CLEAR WITH NO VISIBILITY  
RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED.  
 
COCKRELL  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2019/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
A BROAD POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE  
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WILL GO AHEAD AND  
LEAVE SOME LOW POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE  
LIFT FROM THE WAVE MOVING ACROSS.  
 
UPPER LEVEL FLOW TRANSITIONS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY  
NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS THROUGH THE WESTERN U.S. AS  
UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS FALL ACROSS THE ROCKIES, A LEE-SIDE SURFACE  
TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN WHICH WILL INCREASE THE SOUTHWEST SURFACE  
WINDS ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY. THESE DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL HELP TO PUSH  
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A  
COLD FRONT WILL HELP TO COOL TEMPERATURES BACK TO AROUND NORMAL FOR  
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO AROUND NORMAL BY  
TUESDAY.  
 
THE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE WEEKEND, MAINLY ACROSS THE  
NORTH AND EAST, AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES FROM THE ROCKIES  
ONTO THE PLAINS.  
 
THE FORECAST THEN DRIES OUT AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE TROUGH  
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AND AN UPPER RIDGE STARTS TO BUILD ACROSS  
THE REGION.  
 

 
   
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
11/2  
 
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