763
FXUS64 KAMA 261919
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
219 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP INTO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE
WITH HIGHER GUSTS ON SATURDAY AS A SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES OVER
SOUTHEAST COLORADO INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THE DRYLINE IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH EAST TO VERY NEAR THE OKLAHOMA STATE LINE BY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. THIS DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO HELP THUNDERSTORMS FIRE BY
LATE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS, IF THEY DEVELOP IN OUR AREA, WILL
QUICKLY MOVE EAST INTO OKLAHOMA. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE COOLER BY
ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES ON SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE FROM
COLORADO ON SATURDAY THROUGH NEBRASKA AND INTO SOUTH DAKOTA BY
SUNDAY. A WEAK SHORT WAVE MAY PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS IN THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE FLOW ALOFT THEN BECOMES MORE ZONAL ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WHICH
WILL ENCOURAGE LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING
INTO THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE BY TUESDAY. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
HELP MAKE TUESDAY THE WARMEST DAY OF THIS FORECAST.
THE FLOW ALOFT THEN BECOMES MORE SOUTHWESTERLY BY WEDNESDAY AHEAD
OF A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL ALSO FALL A LITTLE, SO HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAY BE JUST A SHADE COOLER THAN TUESDAY.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH OUR POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE, MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AS A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS IN THE
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2024
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SLOW WITH THE SETTING SUN TO 10 TO 15
KNOTS. WINDS WILL THEN PICK UP AGAIN BY MID MORNING. SKIES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 213 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2024
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL BUT THE EASTERN COLUMN
OF COUNTIES IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE FOR SATURDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY MID DAY.
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 10 TO 15
PERCENT RANGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AMARILLO TX 51 79 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
BEAVER OK 52 84 47 75 / 0 10 10 10
BOISE CITY OK 45 73 40 69 / 0 10 10 10
BORGER TX 54 84 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
BOYS RANCH TX 51 79 45 78 / 0 0 0 0
CANYON TX 50 78 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
CLARENDON TX 52 82 49 78 / 0 10 10 0
DALHART TX 44 73 39 73 / 0 0 0 10
GUYMON OK 48 79 42 73 / 0 0 10 10
HEREFORD TX 50 77 45 77 / 0 0 0 0
LIPSCOMB TX 53 84 49 78 / 0 20 10 0
PAMPA TX 53 82 48 77 / 0 10 10 0
SHAMROCK TX 51 84 51 79 / 0 20 10 0
WELLINGTON TX 52 85 51 80 / 10 30 20 0
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR TXZ001>004-006>009-011>014-016>019-317.
OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR OKZ001>003.
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...15
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