193  
FXUS64 KOUN 051109  
AFDOUN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
609 AM CDT TUE JUL 5 2022  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 211 AM CDT TUE JUL 5 2022  
 
ANOTHER HOT DAY WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN  
THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S ACROSS THE AREA. LACK OF  
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION OWING TO LIMITED RAINFALL, ALONG WITH  
SUFFICIENT DAYTIME MIXING, WILL ALLOW FOR DEWPOINTS TO STAY IN THE  
MID 60S AGAIN TODAY. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8  
PM FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THERE IS A VERY LOW  
CHANCES SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD GRAZE FAR  
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO  
INTRODUCE 15+ POPS IN THE GRIDS. CONTINUOUSLY HIGH TEMPERATURES  
WILL LIMIT HOW MUCH RADIATIONAL COOLING THERE WILL BE OVERNIGHT.  
THAT BEING SAID, OVERNIGHT LOW ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY GET DOWN INTO  
THE UPPER 70S ACROSS THE AREA.  
 
BUNKER  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 211 AM CDT TUE JUL 5 2022  
 
THE LONG TERM CAN BE DESCRIBED BY ONLY ONE WORD...SADNESS. AS THE  
MID- LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS  
THE WHOLE AREA. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL MOST LIKELY BE HEAT  
ADVISORY DAYS, BUT CONFIDENCE IN AREA ARE LIKELY TO CHANGE, SO  
LEFT OUT ISSUING ONE ON THIS PACKAGE. RAIN CHANCES ARE LIMITED  
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH SOME HOPE THURSDAY EVENING AS  
A COOL FRONT ATTEMPT TO SURGE INTO NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.  
OTHERWISE TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT ISN'T LIKELY GOING ANYWHERE UNTIL  
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND MORE  
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS.  
OVERNIGHT LOWS THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND  
WILL HOVER AROUND THE UPPER 70S.  
 
BUNKER  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 606 AM CDT TUE JUL 5 2022  
 
A FEW SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY  
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA, BUT CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW  
TO MENTION IN THE PNC TAF AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS  
WILL CONTINUE. SOME MID CLOUDS POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH THIS MORNING,  
OTHERWISE MAINLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING THIS  
MORNING WITH GUSTS AROUND 20KTS. WINDS WILL DECREASE JUST AFTER  
00Z WITH LLWS DEVELOPING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS LLJ  
STRENGTHENS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 99 78 101 77 / 0 0 0 0  
HOBART OK 102 78 103 78 / 0 0 0 0  
WICHITA FALLS TX 103 79 104 78 / 0 0 0 0  
GAGE OK 101 77 102 75 / 0 10 10 10  
PONCA CITY OK 102 77 103 77 / 10 0 0 10  
DURANT OK 100 77 101 78 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
FOR OKZ006>008-011>013-018>020-025-026.  
 
TX...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...13  
LONG TERM....13  
AVIATION...30  
 
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