607
FXUS64 KOUN 021704
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1204 PM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1201 PM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.
- FIRE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN WITH THE ONGOING
DROUGHT AND DRY FUELS.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
THE ~594 DAM UPPER HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO HANG OUT OVER THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE SE U.S. TODAY. MEANWHILE, TD EDOUARD
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NW/NNW ACROSS EASTERN TX AROUND THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE TODAY.
ANOTHER HOT DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE FA WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM 98F
TO 104F ACROSS THE AREA. MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY
LEADING TO MORE HUMID CONDITIONS. THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL
LEAD TO HEAT INDICES IN THE 105F TO 109F RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OK AND NORTH TX. A HEAT
ADVISORY WAS ISSUED EARLIER AND NO CHANGES ARE EXPECTED TO IT AT
THIS TIME.
MIN RH IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 20-40% RANGE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH
WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM BECOMING ELEVATED. HOWEVER,
WILDFIRES ARE STILL POSSIBLE DUE TO THE VERY DRY VEGETATION ACROSS
THE AREA SO STEPS NEED TO CONTINUE TO BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRE
STARTS.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
TD EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT NW/NNW ACROSS EASTERN TX
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY ALTHOUGH WEAKENING AS IT DOES. THIS SYSTEM
COULD BRING A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS IN PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
OK WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY DEPENDING ON HOW FAR NORTH IT IS
ABLE TO MOVE ALTHOUGH SOME MODELS SHOW NO RAIN MAKING IT INTO THE
FA. UNFORTUNATELY, IT CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE FA WILL MISS
OUT ON ANY RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM AND THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IN
THE PARTS OF THE FA THAT MIGHT GET RAINFALL LOOK TO BE NOT ALL THAT
MUCH (0.25" OR LESS), IF WE GET ANY AT ALL.
SOME CLOUD COVER IN EASTERN PARTS OF THE FA MIGHT KEEP TEMPERATURES
A FEW DEGREES "COOLER" (MID 90S) THURSDAY AFTERNOON INSTEAD OF THE
UPPER 90S/LOW 100S ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. THESE "COOLER"
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SHORT-LIVED WITH HIGHS RETURNING BACK TO THE
UPPER 90S/LOW 100S ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FRIDAY.
MOISTURE WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO INCREASE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY,
ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. THIS WILL LEAD TO HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS WITH HEAT INDICES IN THE 105F-110F RANGE ACROSS AN
INCREASING AREA BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HEAT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY
BE NEEDED THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 128 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
MODELS SHOW THE UPPER HIGH SHIFTING BACK TO THE WEST WITH THE UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THE HOT, HUMID, AND DRY WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES ACROSS THE AREA AND VALUES
OF 105F TO 110F ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FA EACH DAY. HEAT HEADLINES
WILL ALSO LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE FA INTO
NEXT WEEK.
THE MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE AREA WHICH WILL KEEP FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM BECOMING ELEVATED. HOWEVER, AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED, THE VERY DRY FUELS WILL REMAIN SUSCEPTIBLE TO WILDFIRES
AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO DO SO UNTIL THE AREA RECEIVES SOME MUCH
NEEDED RAINFALL. WITH THAT IN MIND, EVERYONE NEEDS TO CONTINUE TO BE
CAUTIOUS AND TAKE STEPS TO PREVENT FIRE STARTS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. SOME
FAIR-WEATHER CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY, BUT CLOUD BASES WILL
BE 7,000 FEET AND UP. TONIGHT, THE REMNANTS OF TS EDOUARD APPROACH
FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WILL BRING WINDS TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY
DIRECTION FOR THE MORNING, AND IT IS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT THAT A
ZONE OF MVFR STRATUS DEVELOPS IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
PERHAPS INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA/WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TOMORROW
MORNING.
MEISTER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 75 98 75 99 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 74 103 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 73 103 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 73 102 72 102 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 75 98 74 99 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 73 96 74 99 / 10 20 10 10
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ032-036>039-
041>048-050>052.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ085-086-089-090.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...04
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