185
FXUS64 KOUN 191835
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 131 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
- ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA TODAY INTO THIS
WEEK.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN OK
AND WESTERN NORTH TX. AMOUNTS LIKELY LIGHT.
- STORM CHANCES AND POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER RETURN BY
THURSDAY FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN OK WHERE ELEVATED TO NEAR-
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS BEING OBSERVED. WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES HOVERING NEAR 10-20%, EXPECT FIRE WEATHER TO CONTINUE TO BE A
CONCERN THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN
EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OVERNIGHT
BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER MODESTLY INTO THE 50-60%
RANGE LATE TONIGHT. WITH BREEZY SOUTH WINDS AND INCREASED MIXING
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE NEARLY AS CHILLY AS THE PAST COUPLE
NIGHTS, WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO NEAR 50 IN MOST SPOTS.
WARE
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 131 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY ACROSS NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA, THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL NOT BE QUITE AS
LOW (CLOSER TO 20-30%) WHICH WILL LIMIT FIRE WEATHER TO ELEVATED.
TO THE SOUTH, CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS A WEAK WAVE
INTERACTS WITH MOISTURE RETURN ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE
ACROSS TEXAS. AS THIS WAVE LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD, SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING ACROSS ROUGHLY THE SOUTHERN THIRD TO SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA. ACTIVITY WILL BE FIGHTING SOME DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS
WHICH WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE NORTHWARD EXTENT OF RAIN CHANCES AND
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. MOST AREAS WILL SEE A TENTH OF AN INCH OR
LESS, BUT A FEW ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD PICK UP A BIT MORE.
LINGERING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OK TUESDAY , WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
60S TO NEAR 70. ELSEWHERE ACROSS WESTERN/NORTHERN OK, FEWER CLOUDS
WILL ALLOW HIGHS TO WARM INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S.
WARE
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 142 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH OUR NEXT
POTENTIAL SYSTEM MOVING IN BY THURSDAY. A DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO
MIX EASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA THURSDAY, WITH NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BEHIND THE DRYLINE, AND STORM CHANCES TO THE
EAST OF THE DRYLINE. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN, CENTRAL, AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY, BRINGING HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN BACK INTO
THE 70S THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
BUNKER
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS BACKING THIS
EVENING WITH DIMINISHING SPEEDS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS
RETURN ON MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 45 73 52 68 / 0 0 10 10
HOBART OK 44 75 51 70 / 0 0 20 10
WICHITA FALLS TX 44 74 53 68 / 0 0 30 20
GAGE OK 45 78 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 44 75 52 75 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 46 74 53 67 / 0 0 20 30
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ004-005-009-
010-014.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...01
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