400
FXUS64 KOUN 212313
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
613 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 610 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
- WARMING TREND CONTINUES THIS WEEK.
- HIGHER RAIN CHANCES RETURN THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
WITH THE UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD, WE'RE RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES (MID 70S TO LOWER 80S). LIGHT WINDS AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE NIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
BE IN THE 50S.
DAY
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 128 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
WARMER THAN NORMAL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY (HIGHS
IN UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S) WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BECOME A BIT MORE BREEZY PARTICULARLY IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY (15 TO 20 MPH, GUSTING TO 30 MPH).
DAY
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 139 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
APPROACH THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS ALSO SHOW A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND MAYBE SOME STORMS STARTING THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUING INTO NEXT
WEEK WITH THE EARLIEST AND HIGHEST CHANCES OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE FA. THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT LOOK AS
ABUNDANT SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS THE
LAST COUPLE OF RAIN EVENTS THE FA HAS EXPERIENCED BUT SOME LOCATIONS
IN WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA MAY SEE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1-1.5
INCHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM AND ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
COOL EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO THE COLD FRONT, CLOUDS, AND RAIN WITH
HIGHS IN THE 60S AND SOME 70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL BE RATHER SPORADIC OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
OCCURRING IN BURSTS OF 10,000-25,000 FOOT CEILINGS FROM THE STORM
SYSTEM TO OUR WEST. VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH MOSTLY LIGHT
WINDS.
MEISTER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 56 79 57 79 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 57 80 58 79 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 57 82 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 56 82 57 79 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 55 79 55 79 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 53 83 55 83 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...04
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