325
FXUS64 KTSA 141130
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
530 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 530 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- VERY COLD CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING SINGLE DIGIT WIND
CHILL VALUES NORTH OF I-40 THIS MORNING.
- TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MID WEEK.
- LOW RAIN CHANCES EAST ON THURSDAY AS A FRONT PASSES, OTHERWISE
DRY WEATHER PREVAILS.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1109 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
COLD ARCTIC AIR IS SPILLING IN THIS EVENING WITH GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS OF 20-30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY
AS SKIES CLEAR OUT, WITH LOWS OF 15-20 F NORTH OF I-40, AND 20-27
F SOUTH OF THERE. WIND CHILLS IN THE NORTH WILL BE BITTER,
RANGING FROM AROUND -2 F TO +5 F SUNDAY MORNING. SKIES ARE
EXPECTED TO CLEAR SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S IN
THE NORTH TO NEAR 40 F BY THE RED RIVER. A FEW LAKE EFFECT
FLURRIES CANNOT BE RULED OUT DOWNSTREAM OF AREA LAKES SUNDAY
MORNING, BUT BY THE TIME ITS COLD ENOUGH FOR LAKE EFFECT MOST OF
THE BETTER UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL HAVE EXITED THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1109 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025
MONDAY MORNING WILL STILL BE QUITE COLD, WITH LOTS OF MOSTLY 20-25
F. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA MONDAY WITH A RAPID
REVERSAL TO SOUTHERLY WINDS. AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OK MONDAY AS WARM AND MOIST AIR OVERTAKES
THE LINGERING COLD AIR, SO HELD TEMPERATURES BACK A BIT TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE BACK INTO THE
60S FOR TUESDAY TO WEDNESDAY AS A SPRAWLING AREA OF ANOMALOUS
HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS FOR MUCH OF THE UNITED STATES. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THIS PERIOD.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CUT THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY,
PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER, IT WILL
STILL ALLOW FOR A PUSH OF SHALLOW COOL AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. A
COUPLE OF SHOWERS MAY FORM ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OK AND
NORTHWEST AR, BUT MOST AREAS WILL SEE LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY COOL SLIGHTLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBOUND ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY FOR THE
LATE PERIOD AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL SEND TEMPERATURES EVEN
HIGHER, PERHAPS INTO THE 70S BY NEXT WEEKEND. OTHER THAN THE SLIGHT
RAIN CHANCE THURSDAY, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SHOULD ERODE ANY
REMAINING LOW OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO FOR ALL TAF SITES. THE
REST OF THE PERIOD WILL SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH SOME PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY CALM AND VEER
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BECOMING SOUTHERLY TOWARD
THE END OF THE PERIOD.
BOWLAN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 32 23 48 34 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 38 22 48 32 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 37 23 46 35 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 31 19 48 29 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 33 20 46 32 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 30 20 47 33 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 35 24 46 34 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 30 21 45 32 / 0 0 0 0
F10 34 23 46 35 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 40 23 44 34 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...04
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page