726
FXUS64 KTSA 271630
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1130 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1130 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
- AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST INTO THE FIRST PART OF SEPTEMBER.
- ONGOING DROUGHT SITUATION WILL WORSEN. HOT AND WINDY
CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK WILL YIELD
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EACH DAY.
- SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS OVER WEST-
CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TODAY WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
MAJORITY OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FOCUS WEST AND SOUTH OF THE
LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE DOES
MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS GENERALLY
FROM EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS BUT OVERALL
COVERAGE IS LIKELY TO BE LOW. ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WOULD BE
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE, LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR
SEASONAL NORMALS EXPECTED AS SLIGHTLY DRIER DEWPOINTS HAVE
FILTERED INTO THE REGION AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE COOLEST OF THE NEXT
WEEK THOUGH STILL SOLIDLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. THE WANING
INFLUENCE OF SFC RIDGING WILL GIVE WAY BY SATURDAY WITH GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURNING ALONG WITH A TREND FOR WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. UPPER RIDGE BECOMES CENTERED MORE EASTWARD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK PLACING THE LOCAL REGION BENEATH ITS PREVAILING
INFLUENCE THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THE RESULT WILL BE DRY
AND HOT WEATHER. PERIODS OF HIGHER HEAT STRESS ARE LIKELY ALONG
WITH CONTINUED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DURING ANY PERIOD OF STRONGER
WINDS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1033 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SCATTERED
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS BUT NO RAIN EXPECTED. WINDS WILL AVERAGE OUT OF
THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD, MOSTLY AT OR BELOW 10 KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 69 95 72 99 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 71 95 70 98 / 10 0 0 0
MLC 71 98 71 100 / 10 0 0 0
BVO 64 94 66 99 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 64 93 64 94 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 64 89 65 93 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 68 95 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 64 94 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
F10 68 96 70 99 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 72 97 71 96 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...06
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