720
FXUS64 KTSA 242328
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
628 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 628 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ARRIVES TUESDAY, WITH HIGHER RAIN
CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE AREA, WITH WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW IN PLACE. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WILL ABOVE
NORMAL, MAINLY IN THE LOW 80S. HIGH CLOUDS WILL STREAM INTO THE AREA
DOWNWIND OF A STORM SYSTEM STALLED ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST, BUT
NO RAINFALL WILL OCCUR.
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WE WILL SEE QUIET CONDITIONS CONTINUE, WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE LOW 50S WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES AGAIN
APPROACHING 80 F ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS.
THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARDS A BIT MONDAY AND
ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AS A SYSTEM MOVES BY TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA.
ALTHOUGH THE BETTER DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST OF
THE AREA, ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HINTS AT SOME SHOWER POTENTIAL ON
TUESDAY. INCREASED POPS TO MENTIONABLE FOR MOST OF NORTHEAST OK ON
TUESDAY MORNING TO COVER THIS POSSIBILITY, THOUGH ANY IMPACTS
WOULD LIKELY BE MINIMAL.
WARMER AND DRY WEATHER RESUMES FOR THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD AS
ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH SETTLES INTO THE WEST WITH STRONG RIDGING
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. THE FORECAST AREA WILL SIT IN BETWEEN THESE
SYSTEMS, BUT CLOSER TO THE RIDGE, WITH MILD SOUTHERLY FLOW PUSHING
HIGHS BACK CLOSE TO 80 F. THE ENTIRE PATTERN BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND WITH A FAIRLY GOOD ENSEMBLE SIGNAL
TO MOVE THE WESTERN TROUGH INTO THE REGION. PRESUMABLY THIS WOULD
MEAN COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS RETURN AT THAT TIME, BUT DETAILS
ARE SCARCE GIVEN THE LONG RANGE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 81 56 80 55 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 84 55 82 54 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 83 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 79 49 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 81 48 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 81 53 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 82 54 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 80 54 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
F10 82 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 84 54 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...05
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