627   
FXUS64 KTSA 071035  
AFDTSA  
  
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
535 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
   
UPDATED AT 532 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026  
  
 - COOL MORNING LOWS, WARM AFTERNOON HIGHS PREVAIL THROUGH THE   
   WEEK.  
  
 - RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
  
  
   
SHORT TERM  
  
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026  
  
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A FEW DEGREES WARMER ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF  
THE WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH WILL PASS AND LOSE DEFINITION BY  
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE.  
  
  
   
LONG TERM  
  
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026  
  
RIDGE OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN EXTENDED THROUGH THE  
FORECAST AREA INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE PREVAILING FLOW IS  
REINFORCED ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM MOVING  
INTO THE GULF COAST BY LATE WEEK. ONCE THAT SYSTEM MOVES MORE  
EASTWARD A STRONGER GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS AS  
TROUGHING AMPLIFIES THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS. THE RESULT WILL BE  
CONTINUE WARM TEMPERATURES WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS WHICH  
COULD LOCALLY RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. THIS GENERAL PATTERN  
REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH DRY WEATHER AND  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND POTENTIAL  
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES MAY ARRIVE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.  
  
  
   
AVIATION  
  
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 535 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026  
  
THE MAIN CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO INSERT TEMPOS INTO THE NW  
AR TAFS FOR SOME LIGHT FOG TOWARD DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. SOME  
GUIDANCE SHOWS HINTS OF FOG DEVELOPMENT. CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO  
GO AGGRESSIVE ALMOST 24 HOURS OUT HOWEVER.  
  
LACY  
  
  
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
  
TUL   89  61  89  61 /   0   0   0   0   
FSM   88  59  91  60 /   0   0   0   0   
MLC   86  57  88  59 /   0   0   0   0   
BVO   90  57  89  57 /   0   0   0   0   
FYV   86  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0   
BYV   86  59  86  59 /   0   0   0   0   
MKO   86  59  89  59 /   0   0   0   0   
MIO   86  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   
F10   87  59  88  60 /   0   0   0   0   
HHW   85  58  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   
  
  
   
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
  
OK...NONE.  
AR...NONE.  
  
  
  
  
SHORT TERM...07  
LONG TERM....07  
AVIATION...30  
 
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