442
FXUS64 KTSA 270520
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1220 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1219 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
- STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY WITH STRONG
NORTH WINDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS. WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 40
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. ANY
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO REMAIN LIGHT.
- WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES
AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ONCE AGAIN.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS ENTERING NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS
EVENING AND WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO THE DAY FRIDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MUCH COLDER FRIDAY, WITH MOST PLACES REMAINING IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL SEE EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES
NEAR 70 PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026
AFTER A CHILLY NIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW OF THE COLDER VALLEYS
FALLING TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK, A WARMING TREND WILL ENSUE OVER
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO NEAR 80 BY SUNDAY AND
WELL INTO THE 80S TO NEAR 90 BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
WILL ALSO PREVAIL SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WHICH WILL ONCE
AGAIN RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SIGNIFICANTLY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THERE HAS BEEN LESS GREENUP
THUS FAR.
UNCERTAINTY INCREASES BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS
ONE OR MORE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES ATTEMPT TO MAKE THEIR WAY SOUTHEAST
INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
MOST EVERY DAY FROM TUESDAY ON AND SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORM
POTENTIAL MAY EXIST ON ONE OR MORE DAYS NEXT WEEK, AS IS FAIRLY
TYPICAL MOVING INTO APRIL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
COLD FRONT BRINGS WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST AND GUSTY
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 KTS AT TIMES. A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS CAN BE
EXPECTED AT EACH TAF SITE THIS MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE
CIGS RISE AND VFR CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE FRIDAY EVENING.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 58 36 66 49 / 30 0 0 0
FSM 67 38 67 44 / 70 10 0 0
MLC 63 41 67 48 / 40 10 0 0
BVO 60 31 66 43 / 20 0 0 0
FYV 58 34 64 40 / 70 0 0 0
BYV 55 36 63 44 / 80 0 0 0
MKO 58 38 66 47 / 50 0 0 0
MIO 55 33 64 46 / 40 0 0 0
F10 58 40 67 49 / 40 0 0 0
HHW 70 46 64 47 / 30 10 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR OKZ054>057-059>062-
064>067.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
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