760
FXUS64 KTSA 061044
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
544 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 543 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
- COOL MORNING LOWS, WARM AFTERNOON HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEK.
- RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
CRISP OVERNIGHT CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS LOW IMPACT WEATHER
CONTINUES. THE NORMALLY COOLER LOCATIONS COULD AGAIN DIP INTO THE
40S TUESDAY MORNING. PATCHES OF VALLEY FOG WILL ALSO ONCE AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH JUST AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING, BUT
WIDESPREAD IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
SURFACE RIDGING REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION, MEANING LIGHT
WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE, UNDER AMPLE AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS LARGELY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S ARE
EXPECTED AREAWIDE WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER. LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT WILL TREND A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN TONIGHT.
BOWLAN
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
SURFACE RIDGING WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE EASTWARD FROM THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WHILE MODEST MID LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS
BACK EASTWARD AND FLATTENS OUT OF THE SOUTHERN STATES. ALL IN ALL,
THIS WILL LEAD TO NEAR PERSISTENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE LATE HALF OF THE WORKWEEK AND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS, WITH CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. THE DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR NEAR NORMAL, COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 50S, WARMING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR MOST PLACES BY
THE AFTERNOON.
A TROPICAL WAVE WILL LIFT NORTH OUT OF THE GULF THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, BUT GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL STAY
TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA, WITH LITTLE TO NO IMPACT FOR US.
A FEW SHOWERS COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, BUT CHANCES AND AMOUNTS REMAIN LOW FOR NOW.
WINDS LOOK TO PICK UP DURING THE BACK HALF OF THE FORECAST, WHICH
COULD AGAIN RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS DROUGHT CONTINUES ITS
HOLD ON MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT COULD BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TOWARD
THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK, BUT THAT REMAINS OUTSIDE OF THE
FORECAST PACKAGE AT THIS TIME.
BOWLAN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 543 AM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH LIGHT WINDS.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 85 59 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 85 54 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 84 53 86 55 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 85 55 89 56 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 81 51 84 54 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 81 54 85 55 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 84 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 83 55 86 57 / 0 0 0 0
F10 84 55 86 55 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 84 55 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...30
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