501
FXUS64 KTSA 281703
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1203 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1203 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
- AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK.
- THE ONGOING DROUGHT SITUATION WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL, BUT REASONABLE,
WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S. RELATIVELY LOW DEW POINTS WILL KEEP HEAT
INDICES MOSTLY BELOW 100 F. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT LOWS WILL AGAIN REACH
THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S. NO RAIN WILL OCCUR.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1059 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT DIRECTLY OVERHEAD THIS WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING UP ONCE AGAIN. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE
UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S ACROSS THE AREA WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S. DEW POINTS WILL RISE, BUT WILL NOT BE EXTREMELY HIGH GIVEN THE
ONGOING DRY CONDITIONS. EVEN SO, HEAT INDICES WILL MARGINALLY
SUPPORT THE ISSUANCE OF HEAT PRODUCTS AT TIMES, SO THIS POTENTIAL
WILL BE MONITORED.
WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD, NO RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY ON SATURDAY, REMAINING
THAT WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SPEEDS WILL NOT BE OVERLY
STRONG, BUT A BIT OF GUSTINESS IS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. THE HOT,
DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS IN COMBINATION WITH EXISTING DROUGHT WILL
SUPPORT LIMITED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL EACH DAY.
BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, A PACIFIC TROUGH WILL NUDGE INTO THE
WEST, WEAKENING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS HIGH ALONG ITS WESTERN
PERIPHERY. RAIN IS STILL NOT LIKELY, BUT A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND STORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.
IF THESE STORMS DID DEVELOP, IMPACTS WOULD LIKELY BE LIMITED TO
BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AREA WIDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 71 100 76 101 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 69 100 71 102 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 69 102 75 103 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 65 100 71 101 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 64 96 69 99 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 64 94 69 96 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 68 99 72 100 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 68 97 73 100 / 0 0 0 0
F10 68 100 73 102 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 71 98 72 99 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....06
AVIATION...07
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