998
FXUS64 KTSA 031659
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1159 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
- TEMPERATURES INCREASE AGAIN THIS WEEK WITH DANGEROUS HEAT
POSSIBLE TUESDAY BUT MORE LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY.
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT
LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY, PEAKING IN COVERAGE
AND MAGNITUDE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
TODAY BRINGS AN END TO THE ALL-TOO-BRIEF PERIOD OF MORE PLEASANT
TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS THAT THE AREA ENJOYED THIS PAST
WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING 2 TO 4 DEGREES ABOVE
YESTERDAY AT THIS SAME TIME IN MOST SPOTS, WITH DEW POINTS ALSO A
FEW DEGREES HIGHER. AFTERNOON HIGHS REMAIN EXPECTED TO WARM TO
NEAR NORMAL IN MOST SPOTS, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT RUNNING
ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE THIS MORNINGS TEMPERATURES GIVEN A CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY WIND.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MAKE A RETURN ON TUESDAY, ALONG WITH
HEAT INDEX VALUES THAT WILL BE MARGINAL FOR A HEAT ADVISORY IN THE
WARMER LOCALES. NO ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITH THIS PACKAGE GIVEN
THE SPOTTY NATURE OF THE FORECAST 105 HEAT INDICES, INSTEAD
CHOOSING TO LET LATER SHIFTS GET ANOTHER LOOK AT IT BEFORE
TOMORROW. TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE KANSAS BORDER BEFORE BECOMING QUASI-STATIONARY. THIS
FRONT WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, AS WELL AS LEADING TO
WARMER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO PRE-FRONTAL WARMING. HEAT
HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON WEDNESDAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY, LEADING TO SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SOUTHWARD TO NEAR I-40 DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
LOOK TO PEAK THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, WITH FRIDAY ALSO LIKELY
TO BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE PERIOD. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES WILL EXTEND EASTWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING
A RETURN TO LARGELY DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT WINDS.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 73 100 78 102 / 0 0 0 10
FSM 72 98 75 100 / 0 0 0 10
MLC 73 100 77 100 / 0 0 0 10
BVO 67 99 74 101 / 0 0 0 20
FYV 68 94 73 96 / 0 0 0 10
BYV 68 94 72 96 / 0 0 0 10
MKO 71 99 74 100 / 0 0 0 10
MIO 70 96 74 97 / 0 0 0 20
F10 70 100 75 102 / 0 0 0 10
HHW 71 98 75 97 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...30
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