262
FXUS64 KTSA 171711
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1211 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1210 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
- PATCHY LIGHT FROST IS POSSIBLE IN THE AREA TONIGHT AND
VERY EARLY SUNDAY, PARTICULARLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NEXT WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS, BUT LIGHT WINDS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
- THE WEATHER SYSTEMS TO AFFECT THE AREA IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND WITH
WITH LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
CLEAR AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
WITH LIGHT WINDS, PATCHY FROST COULD OCCUR IN PROTECTED
AREAS LIKE VALLEYS. RIGHT NOW THE POTENTIAL DOES NOT LOOK
HIGH ENOUGH FOR AN ADVISORY.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
THE PATTERN OVER THE REGION WILL SLOWLY EVOLVE INTO
NEXT WEEK. HEIGHTS WILL GRADUALLY RISE AND LIGHT WINDS OF A
MOSTLY SOUTHERLY DIRECTION WILL BE THE RULE IN THE COMING
DAYS. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA WILL BE NEXT WEEKEND.
THE SYSTEM MAY LIFT OUT SHARPLY TO THE NORTH AND LIMIT RAIN
POTENTIAL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH LIGHT, <10KT WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 40 68 43 71 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 43 70 45 74 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 41 69 43 73 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 34 68 39 70 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 38 69 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 41 70 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 40 68 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 39 68 42 70 / 0 0 0 0
F10 38 69 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 43 70 45 75 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...24
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