014  
FNUS71 KPBZ 290902  
FWSPBZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 039...PA GAME COMMISSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA  
502 AM EDT MON APR 29 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURE IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK WHILE  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE MAINLY FOCUSED ON TUESDAY AND  
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20  
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................10 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 100 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 17 17 26 14 5 17 31 31 34 44 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............62 61 65 69 73 77 79 82 83 84 84 83  
RH..............83 85 81 70 65 56 51 47 42 40 40 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.0 4.3 4.9 5.7 6.3 6.3 6.4 5.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 13 15 18 18 20 21 22 21 20  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............10 10 10 19 38 94 76 86 94 100 95 86  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................3 TO 12.  
HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 14 22 22 25 28 25 32 42 48 51 61  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
TEMP............81 79 75 71 68 66 64 64 62 61 60 60  
RH..............43 47 55 62 66 69 75 77 80 84 87 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 10 10 8 8 7 6 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S SW SW W SW W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 6 5  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6  
ADI.............12 9 8 8 8 5 4 4 5 5 4 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400, THEN 3 UNTIL 1700, THEN 2.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 45 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 81 75 91 88 85 86 87 88 86 85 83  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 80 80  
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
TEMP............59 60 61 63 65 67 68 68 69 69 68 68  
RH..............94 92 91 89 84 79 78 77 76 76 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 8 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13 12  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............4 5 6 17 26 32 39 44 45 43 37 30  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...RRR  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN PERKINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412671.0/PBZ  
.DELDT 04/29/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SHPERKINS@PA.GOV  
 
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