393
FXUS61 KBGM 230652
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
252 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK WITH DRY CONDITIONS, WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES,
AND COOL MORNINGS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE EARLY TO
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK, DRY COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED
THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. CLOUDS ARE NOW DECREASING
AND THERE COULD BE SOME VERY PATCHY VALLEY FOG. THIS SHOULD
ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY FOLLOWED BY A
WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. WE WILL SEE SOME COLD TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT AND AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
MID-20S TO LOW 30S BOTH NIGHTS. THERE WILL BE AREAS OF RIVER
VALLEY FOG EACH NIGHT/EARLY MORNING AS WELL. DURING THE DAY IT
WILL WARM UP INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
THE OTHER ISSUE TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT IS A TYPICAL MODEL HIGH
BIAS OF AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THIS PATTERN, THEREFORE BLENDING
IN GUIDANCE TO LOWER THESE AFTERNOON DEW POINTS AND HUMIDITY
LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT ATTEMPTS TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE A BIT
EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT ALSO LOOKS MOISTURE STARVED. THE PATTERN OVERALL
THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK REMAINS DRY OR WITH BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS
POSSIBLE LATER IN THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMEST ON
MONDAY, WELL INTO THE 60S. AFTER THE DRY COLD FRONT PRESSES
THROUGH IT'S BACK DOWN INTO THE 50S FOR TUESDAY, WITH COLD
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID-20S TO LOW 30S TUESDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA TODAY THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THE ONE EXCEPTION IS ELM,
WHERE PATCHY FOG MAY FORM AROUND SUNRISE AS WINDS IN THE LOWER
ATMOSPHERE LIGHTEN UP. PERIODS OF IFR/LIFR RESTRICTIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AND SHOULD LIFT BY 12-13Z.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. MORNING FOG AT
KELM POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MJM/SJW
AVIATION...JTC
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