267
FXUS61 KBGM 251811
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
211 PM EDT SAT APR 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS, OTHERWISE NO CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) RAIN EXITS SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL BE FOLLOW BY DRYER
CONDITIONS MONDAY AND MOST OF TUESDAY.
2) UPPER LEVEL LOW TRIES TO PUSH INTO THE REGION AS SOON AS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
COLD AND DAMP THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE PASSING OVER THE AREA. COLDER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN
TONIGHT WITH THE H700 LOW PASSING ACROSS CENTRAL NY AND INTO THE
CATSKILLS. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES WILL BE BORDERLINE, BUT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS COULD DIP TO NEAR FREEZING
AND LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE
ABOVE 2000 FEET.
MOISTURE WILL MOVE OUT EARLY TOMORROW MORNING WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO ARRIVE ON MONDAY AS RIDGING BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TREND SLIGHTLY
SLOWER, WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY TUESDAY OR EVEN TUESDAY NIGHT.
THEREAFTER, THE END OF APRIL AND BEGINNING OF MAY IS LOOKING
COOL AND UNSETTLED. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR A COLD
UPPER LEVEL LOW SETTLING OVER THE NE U.S. BY THE MIDDLE TO END
OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT COOL, BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN
AND POSSIBLY EVEN SNOW SHOWERS AS APRIL COMES TO AN END AND MAY
BEGINS ON FRIDAY.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
RAIN AND ASSOCIATED LOW CEILINGS AND VISBYS CONTINUE TO BRING
MVFR TO FUEL ALTERNATE RESTRICTIONS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
OCCASIONAL IFR RESTRICTIONS AS WELL. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
WHILE RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS EVENING, LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRING IN MORE
WIDESPREAD IFR RESTRICTIONS OVERNIGHT FROM LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY
FOG/MIST. SLOW IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BY THE LATE MORNING ON
SUNDAY, WITH MOST TERMINALS LIKELY RETURNING TO VFR BY 18Z.
OUTLOOK:
SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED.
TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM WEST TO EAST WITH
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS, MAINLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND AT
NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MPK/MWG
AVIATION...BJG
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