131
FXUS61 KBGM 241736
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
136 PM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) CALM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
TREND WARMER BY MIDWEEK.
2) A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BRINGING A
WARM FRONT AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS. A COLD FRONT
THEN SWEEPS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY, BRINGING
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AND A DROP IN TEMPERATURES HEADING
INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE REGION TODAY, BRINGING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. NORTHWEST FLOW TRANSITIONS TO SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW 40S.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT, WITH GUSTS UNDER 10 KNOTS. TONIGHT,
TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MID 20S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA, WITH
THE WYOMING VALLEY HOLDING IN THE LOW 30S. A WARMING TREND
BEGINS WEDNESDAY, WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOW
50S. MILDER CONDITIONS CONTINUE WENDESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS MAY BRUSH THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT
LIFTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
INTO FRIDAY MORNING, BRINGING WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE
REGION. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO
THE 60S WITH PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS RAIN. WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING, INSTABILITY APPEARS
LIMITED. AS A RESULT, THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS REMAINS LOW,
ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. SPC
HAS MOST OF OUR REGION IN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS, BUT THE GREATER RISK REMAINS OVER THE MIDWESTERN
PORTION OF THE COUNTRY.
AS THE FRONT PASSES TEMPERATURES WILL FALL WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING
TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW BEFORE ENDING. SOME AREAS MAY FULLY
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS, WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN IN CENTRAL NY. WINDS WILL INCREASE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND REMAIN BREEZY IN ITS WAKE. BEHIND THE
FRONT, NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVE
THROUGH FRIDAY, BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT LAKE ENHANCED
SHOWERS. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOW 40S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS DROPPING INTO THE MID TEENS TO
LOW 20S. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN. DESPITE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN COOL,
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY WINDS.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT
AND INTO WEDNESDAY. A VERY WEAK WAVE WILL SKIM BY NORTHERN NEW
YORK THIS EVENING OVER THE TOP OF THE HIGH PRESSURE, WITH A
THIN LAYER OF MOISTURE IN ITS WAKE THAT HAS A LOW PROBABILITY
(20-30%) FOR PRODUCING A BRIEF MVFR CEILING SNEAKING TOWARDS
KRME LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
OUTLOOK:
WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR DURING DAYTIME, THEN A
WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN AND POSSIBLE MINOR RESTRICTIONS FOR THE NY
TERMINALS.
THURSDAY...AGAIN MOSTLY VFR MORNING TO AT LEAST MIDDAY, THEN A
RAINY COLD FRONT WILL DROP NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON-EVENING WITH DEVELOPING RESTRICTIONS.
SNOW MIX MIX IN BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY MORNING...LINGERING CEILING RESTRICTION POSSIBLE EARLY,
BUT IMPROVING CONDITIONS.
MIDDAY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ES
AVIATION...MDP
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