590
FXUS61 KBGM 231747
AFDBGM
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
147 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST
PACKAGE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
2) RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY,
PERHAPS MIXING WITH SOME WET SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS. TRENDING
COLDER AND WETTER ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS MAY SEE SOME WET SNOW.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWER ACROSS THE NY THRUWAY CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THE
CHANCES ARE THAT THE AIR AT THE SURFACE WILL BE TOO DRY FOR
ANYTHING TO REACH THE GROUND. GUSTY WINDS HAVE BEEN PRESENT THIS
AFTERNOON WITH EFFICIENT MIXING AND THIS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
WINDS DECOUPLE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.
FRIDAY WILL BE ANOTHER MAINLY DRY DAY, ALTHOUGH STILL CANNOT
TOTALLY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER, BUT MIN RH
VALUES WILL BE A BIT LOWER COMPARED TO TODAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE MOHAWK VALLEY TO THE CATSKILLS. THIS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
AREAS WITH FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FIRE SPREAD, BUT THIS IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD AT THIS TIME.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY,
WHICH WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES
(HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S). SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS MAY MIX WITH WET SNOW, BUT LITTLE TO
NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO
SATURDAY EVENING, BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO
EAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
RESULT IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. THIS DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES IN ON TUESDAY WITH MORE RAIN SHOWERS.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE CURRENT
TAF PERIOD (AT LEAST THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY).
GUSTY NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS (OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20KTS) WILL
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AND REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT. THESE LIGHT
WINDS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK:
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR TO START,
RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH ASSOCIATED
RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE.
SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED ALONG
WITH ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY...RAIN SHOWERS MOVING IN FROM WEST TO EAST WITH
ASSOCIATED RESTRICTIONS.
FIRE WEATHER
A COMBINATION OF DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CREATE AN
ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD ACROSS NORTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS
BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH.
CONDITIONS MAY ONCE AGAIN BECOME FAVORABLE FOR WILDFIRE SPREAD
FOR PARTS OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY (MAINLY THE MOHAWK VALLEY-
CATSKILLS IN CENTRAL NY AND PARTS OF NORTHEAST PA), BUT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LIGHTER. THIS MAY LIMIT THIS CONCERN,
BUT IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
NY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BJG
AVIATION...BJG
FIRE WEATHER...BJG
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