274  
FXUS61 KBGM 241947  
AFDBGM  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY  
347 PM EDT SUN MAR 24 2019  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT  
WITH A FEW ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. DRY  
WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY WITH COOL TEMPERATURES  
THROUGH TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY SIGNIFICANT WARMING.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
 
 
A SURFACE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WILL DROP  
SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. LIMITED MOISTURE AND WEAK  
LIFT WILL RESULT IN ONLY ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. THE ONLY AREA  
WHICH MAY SEE BRIEF SCATTERED COVERAGE WOULD BE NORTHERN ONEIDA  
COUNTY AND PARTS OF THE FINGER LAKES REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS  
HERE COULD RESULT IN A DUSTING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE  
LOWER TO MID 20S ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK AND UPPER 20S TO MID  
30S ACROSS NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.  
 
MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE CENTRAL  
GREAT LAKES AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES TO OUR SOUTH INTO  
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT QUICKLY MONDAY  
MORNING BEHIND THE SURFACE TROUGH WITH CLEAR SKIES FOR MONDAY  
NIGHT. IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST HIGH CLOUDS MAY PERSIST DUE TO THE  
SYSTEM IN THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. A FAIRLY COLD AIRMASS WILL BE  
OVER THE AREA WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE MID/UPPER 30S IN  
CENTRAL NEW YORK AND UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S IN NORTHEAST  
PENNSYLVANIA. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS TO  
LOWER 20S.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
 
 
VERY QUIET WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM WITH A LARGE AREA OF HIGH  
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION KEEPING THE AREA  
DRY WITH GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES.  
 
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW WILL BE REPLACED BY WEAK RIDGING ALOFT  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AND WHEN COMBINED WITH MUCH DRIER AIR AND  
THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG SURFACE HIGH, THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION  
WILL REMAIN NEAR ZERO.  
 
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM PREPARES TO MOVE IN ACROSS THE UPPER  
MIDWEST AND THE GREAT LAKES. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE  
WED NIGHT, ALONG WITH AN UP-TICK IN SW WINDS DUE TO A STRENGTHENING  
SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT.  
 
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL START OFF ON THE COOL SIDE...ONLY INTO THE  
MID AND UPPER 30S DURING THE DAY...AND THEN DROP INTO THE TEENS AND  
LOWER 20S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TUE NIGHT. CONDITIONS REBOUND ON  
WED INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
A WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY WITH A MINIMAL AMT  
OF RAIN EXPECTED DURING THE DAY AS THE DRY AIR WILL FIRST NEED TO BE  
OVERCOME. THE FRONT WILL LAY OUT WEST-EAST ACROSS THE REGION THUR  
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS  
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NY. WINDS WILL INCREASE ON  
THURSDAY OUT OF THE S/SW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH  
AND GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE.  
 
THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SW...TRACKING FROM THE OHIO  
VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST. THERE IS STILL A GOOD DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY  
WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW...WHICH WILL BE SIGNIFICANT  
IN DETERMINING PRECIP AMTS AND TIMING. FOR NOW JUST KEEP WITH A  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL REMAIN ON THE MILD SIDE  
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 50S AND LOWER 60S, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S AND 40S.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
 
 
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MID  
LEVEL SHORT WAVE IN WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP MID/HIGH LEVEL  
CLOUDS ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. OVERNIGHT A  
SURFACE TROUGH WILL DROP THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING LOW VFR  
CLOUDS BUT DRY CONDITIONS. AT KBGM/KITH, A PERIOD OF MVFR  
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 07Z-11Z. RAPID CLEARING IS  
EXPECTED BEHIND THIS TROUGH WITH SKC AT ALL TERMINALS BY EARLY/MID  
MORNING.  
 
WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 8-10 KNOTS GUSTING TO 18 KNOTS THIS  
AFTERNOON. WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AS THE  
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. MONDAY, NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10  
KNOTS.  
 
OUTLOOK...  
 
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...VFR.  
 
FRIDAY...RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN SHOWERS.  
 

 
   
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
PA...NONE.  
NY...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...RRM  
NEAR TERM...RRM  
SHORT TERM...BJT  
LONG TERM...BJT  
AVIATION...RRM  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page
The Nexlab PA Page Main Text Page