785  
FXUS61 KPBZ 220322  
AFDPBZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA  
1122 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
   
WHAT HAS CHANGED  
 
RAIN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE EARLY  
WEDNESDAY MORNING. CREEKS AND STREAMS MAY REMAIN SWOLLEN AND  
CREATE HIGH-WATER IMPACTS THROUGH DAWN.  
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
1) HIGH-WATER IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
KEY MESSAGE 1...  
 
IN THE WAKE OF A LARGE-SCALE DISTURBANCE, HEAVY RAINFALL (2 TO 4  
INCHES) HAS FALLEN SOUTH OF PITTSBURGH. HIGH-WATER IMPACTS MAY  
CONTINUE FOR A NUMBER OF COMMUNITIES DESPITE THE LOSS OF RAIN  
INTENSITY AND COVERAGE THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
 
GIVEN THAT THE ALLEGHENY RIVER AND YOUGHIOGHENY RIVER BASIN  
WERE SPARE INTENSITY RAINFALL AMOUNTS, THE LIKELIHOOD THAT  
PITTSBURGH WILL BE IMPACTED (MON WHARF) BY HIGH WATER IS  
CONSIDERED LOW.  
 
DRY AND QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
FRIDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER  
IS CONSIDERED VERY LOW.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/  
 
A FEW STRAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT LBE, HLG, AND  
MGW EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING (BETWEEN 04Z TO 09Z). OTHERWISE,  
RAINFALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL BE SPOTTY.  
 
WITH A PASSING COLD FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL  
SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST AND MVFR TO IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO  
DEVELOP FOR TERMINALS EAST OF ZZV. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
TO RETURN BETWEEN 14Z TO 16Z WITH DIURNAL HEATING.  
 
OUTLOOK...  
THERE MAY BE SOME MVFR CIGS IN THE VICINITY OF DUJ/FKL EARLY  
THURSDAY MORNING WITH COOL NORTHERLY FLOW. OTHERWISE, VFR  
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL UNDER HIGH PRESSURE INTO FRIDAY.  
 
 
   
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
PA...NONE.  
OH...NONE.  
WV...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...HEFFERAN  
AVIATION...HEFFERAN  
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