780
FXUS61 KPBZ 222316
AFDPBZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
716 PM EDT THU OCT 22 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) QUIET, DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY
CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE POTENTIAL FOR FROST AND
FREEZE PRODUCTS REMAINS LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A FLUX OF
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION; OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOW-40S TO UPPER-30S.
THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION REMAINS LOW (BELOW 10%) THROUGH
NEXT THURSDAY WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANGE IN OUR LARGE-SCALE
WEATHER PATTERN.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TONIGHT, WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE WITH THE CHANCE FOR A
SCATTERED CLOUD DECK TO MOVE IN. DUE TO THE SCATTERED DECK,
VALLEY FOG IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS PREVALENT TOMORROW BUT BREAKS
IN THE DECK COULD ALLOW FOR SOME RIVER VALLEY FOG. FOG HAS BEEN
INCLUDED AS A TEMPO FOR FKL, WHERE MODEL CONSENSUS IS STRONGEST
INDICATING IMPACTS TOMORROW MORNING. CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW
FOR MENTION AT OTHER PORTS IN THIS TAF. DURING THE DAY, A LIGHT
NORTHEASTERLY WIND IS EXPECTED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
OUTLOOK...
OUTSIDE OF ANY MORNING RIVER VALLEY FOG, VFR IS HIGHLY LIKELY
THROUGH TUESDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...NONE.
OH...NONE.
WV...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HEFFERAN
AVIATION...AK/LUPO
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