807  
FNCA52 TJSJ 150741  
FWFSJU  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PUERTO RICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A DRY AIR MASS AND SAHARAN DUST WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE  
REGION TODAY, KEEPING THE FIRE DANGER RISK ELEVATED. THIS DRY  
WEATHER PATTERN WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) LEVELS TO DROP  
TO CRITICAL THRESHOLD VALUES BETWEEN 40% AND THE LOW 50S DURING  
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE LOW HUMIDITY, WINDS  
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD, BLOWING FROM THE EAST-  
SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
 
BECAUSE OF THESE CRITICAL CONDITIONS, A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS  
BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST SECTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND ACROSS  
THE NORTHERN COASTAL SECTORS OF THE ISLAND. ANY FIRES THAT IGNITE  
IN THESE AREAS COULD SPREAD QUICKLY AND BECOME DIFFICULT TO  
CONTROL. ADDITIONAL RED FLAG WARNING CONDITIONS ARE BRIEFLY  
POSSIBLE; HOWEVER, THE LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE THE SOUTH WIND  
COMPONENT THAT CAN TRIGGER CHANGES IN THE RH VALUES.  
 
PRZ014-152115-  
SOUTHEAST COASTAL PLAINS-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+2) 74 (-2) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-8) 83 (+3) 45  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 14 E 17 E 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 18 NE 10 E 19  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5330 5460  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 E 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 74620 98280  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 4 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ015-152115-  
SOUTHERN HILLS-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (+3) 70 (-3) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 53 (-8) 95 (+5) 55  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 11 E 13 E 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 NE 11 E 14  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5710 5630  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 14 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 68520 95710  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 3 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ016-152115-  
NORTH COASTAL PLAINS-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+1) 74 (-2) 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-6) 95 (+4) 57  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 13 E 19 E 16  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 20 E 13 E 21  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5250 4910  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 E 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73500 73650  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 5 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ017-152115-  
NORTHERN HILLS-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (0) 71 (-2) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (-4) 97 (+2) 58  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 12 E 16 E 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 17 E 11 E 19  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5860 5640  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 13 E 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64460 78960  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 4 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ018-152115-  
WEST COAST-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+1) 73 (-1) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (-7) 97 (+5) 54  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 12 E 13 E 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 E 13 E 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5530 5380  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 E 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44240 59180  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 4 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ019-152115-  
EASTERN INTERIOR-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 10 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (+2) 72 (-3) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (-7) 97 (+5) 58  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 12 E 13 E 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 E 12 E 14  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6040 6190  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 14 E 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72480 99040  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 3 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ022-152115-  
LUQUILLO MOUNTAIN RANGE-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+3) 69 (-4) 84  
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (-8) 100 (+5) 66  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 11 E 11 E 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 12 E 10 E 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5120 4970  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 14 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 61440 84490  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 4 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ023-152115-  
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN RANGE-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+4) 68 (-2) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-6) 98 (+3) 59  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 E 10 E 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 11 E 10 E 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7360 6140  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 E 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58880 79820  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 2 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ024-152115-  
CAYEY MOUNTAIN RANGE-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 10 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 70 (-2) 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-6) 100 (+3) 65  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 11 E 11 E 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 12 E 9 E 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5350 5610  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 15 E 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 69550 100980  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 3 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ025-152115-  
VIEQUES-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+1) 78 (-1) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-5) 86 (+3) 58  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 13 E 16 E 16  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 14 E 16 E 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4230 3890  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 17 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63450 66130  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 6 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ026-152115-  
CULEBRA-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (+2) 77 (-3) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-9) 89 (+5) 59  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 13 E 17 E 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 14 E 16 E 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4170 3830  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 17 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62550 65110  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 6 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
PRZ027-152115-  
SOUTHWEST COASTAL PLAINS AND MONA ISLAND-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+2) 74 (-2) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-9) 82 (+3) 46  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 17 E 14 E 19  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 19 E 12 E 21  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5180 5280  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72520 89760  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 4 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VIZ001-152115-  
SAINT THOMAS AND SAINT JOHN-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+2) 77 (-2) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (-7) 89 (+5) 62  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 14 E 17 E 16  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 E 17 E 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4110 3720  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 18 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 65760 63240  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 6 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VIZ002-152115-  
ST CROIX-  
341 AM AST WED JUL 15 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+2) 77 (-2) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-4) 87 (+2) 62  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 14 E 16 E 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 E 16 E 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5540 4950  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 E 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 77560 89100  
DISPERSION 5 5  
DSI 6 6 6  
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
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