780
FNCA72 TJSJ 161030
FWSSJU
SPOT FORECAST FOR PARGUERA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
630 AM AST MON JUN 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 AST ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST AT
PHONE: 787-253-4586.
DISCUSSION
ONCE AGAIN, THE PRESENCE OF A THICK UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD DECK OVER
THE REGION, WILL DELAY THE ONSET OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS TODAY.
ALTHOUGH AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP MAINLY NORTH AND WEST
OF LAJAS, WE HAVE A MODERATE CHANCE (20-40 PERCENT) OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPMENT OVER LAJAS, ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WE EXPECT AN INCREASE IN WINDS FOR TODAY, WITH EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS RANGING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN
25 AND 35 MPH. SEA BREEZE WILL ALSO FORM ACROSS THE REGION,
PROVIDING GOOD VENTILATION. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN
THE UPPER 80S, WITH HEAT INDICES AROUND 103 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT DUE
TO THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE. RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE LOW 60S
AROUND WHEN WE EXPECT THE WINDS TO PEAK.
NUEVAMENTE, LA PRESENCIA DE UNA DENSA CAPA DE NUBES ALTAS SOBRE LA
REGION, RETRASARA EL DESARROLLO DE AGUACEROS EN LA TARDE. AUNQUE
SE DESARROLLARA CONVECCION EN LA TARDE MAYORMENTE SOBRE EL NORTE Y
OESTE DE LAJAS, TENEMOS UNA PROBABILIDAD MODERADA (20-40
PORCIENTO) DE OBSERVARA AGUACEROS Y TRONADAS SOBRE LAJAS, EN
ESPECIAL DURANTE LA TARDE. ESPERAMOS UN AUMENTO EN VIENTOS HOY,
CON VIENTOS DEL ESTE AL SURESTE ENTRE 15 Y 20 MPH CON RAFAGAS EN
LOS 25 Y 35 MPH. LA BRISA MARINA SE DESARROLLARA EN LA REGION,
PROVEYENDO BUENA VENTILACION. LAS TEMPERATURAS MAXIMAS DEBEN
PERMANECER EN LOS ALTOS 80S, CON INDICES DE CALOR CERCANO A LOS
103 GRADOS FAHRENHEIT DEBIDO A LA HUMEDAD DISPONIBLE. LOS VALORES
DE RH CAERAN CERCA LOS BAJOS 60S CUANDO ESPERAMOS QUE AUMENTEN LOS
VIENTOS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE THROUGH THE
DAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 33
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (51600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........6.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 9 TO 12
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING.
TIME (AST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 27 16 16 16 40 40 40 40 40 40
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............81 83 84 86 87 87 88 88 87 87 85
RH..............69 70 67 69 66 65 66 63 64 66 70
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 13 16 18 20 20 20 18 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 22 26 31 32 33 32 30 28 25
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 8 10 11 12 12 12 11 10 9
EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 13 16 19 19 20 19 18 17 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 15 17 20 21 22 22 21 20 18
DISPERSION......6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 17 26 38 47 52 51 46 39 30 23
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). HAZE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (7900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
DISPERSION..........6.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
TIME (AST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........17 17 17 10 10 10 6 6 6 17 17 17
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............82 81 80 79 78 77 76 76 75 75 75 77
RH..............76 78 80 83 85 84 83 84 83 84 84 79
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 16 16 15 15 14 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 25 25 26 26 25 24 23 22 21 21
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.9 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 15 15 16 16 15 14 14 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 20 21 21 20 17 16 15 15 15
DISPERSION......6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 16 15 16 19 20 18 15 12 10 8 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). HAZE IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........6.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 9 TO 12
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.
TIME (AST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........20 20 20 5 5 5 28 28 28 50 50 50
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30
TEMP............79 82 83 85 86 87 88 89 89 88 87 86
RH..............73 70 66 65 65 62 63 62 61 63 64 69
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 10 12 13 15 17 20 20 18 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 13 22 25 29 32 33 31 28 25
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E SE SE SE E E
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 11 10 9
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 7 8 13 15 17 19 20 19 17 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 17 18 21 23 24 23 21 18
DISPERSION......6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 19 26 37 49 60 66 66 60 53 44 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR FR PR
FORECASTER...C. ANSELMI
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN PIPPIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515971.2/SJU
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN_PIPPIN@FWS.GOV
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