904  
FNUS73 KFSD 151904  
FWSFSD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PRAIRIE MARSHES RX FIRE...MN DNR- WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD  
204 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS TO START SATURDAY MAY BE VERY LIGHT AT THE SURFACE, BUT  
WILL EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO TRANSITION MORE TOWARDS THE NORTH  
NORTHWEST BY MIDDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS THROUGH THE MORNING WILL BE  
STRONGER THAN WINDS ALOFT, AGAIN FAVORING A NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST  
TRAJECTORY. MIXING HEIGHTS AT OR AROUND 5000-6000 FT AGL ARE  
LIKELY AT PEAK HEATING.  
 
   
SATURDAY  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR PC  
SKY (%).........11 12 16 5 12 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 74 77 77 77 78  
DEWPOINT........34 34 34 34 34 34  
RH..............24 23 21 21 21 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NNW N N NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW NNW N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 10 8 9  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.GD GD GD GD GD GD  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
SKY (%).........30 31 29 28 38 47 55 59 72 66 80 79  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 50  
TEMP............77 76 74 68 65 63 62 61 60 58 57 56  
DEWPOINT........34 35 36 36 36 37 38 39 41 42 44 45  
RH..............21 22 25 31 34 38 41 44 49 55 62 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E E E E E E E E E E ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 16 17 18 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 17 18 20 20 21 23 24 25 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 4.5 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E ENE E E E E E E E ESE ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 15 16 17 17 17 16 17 20 20  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
SKY (%).........94 99 98 92 86 80 75 69 70 70 71 71  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........DEF SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 90 90 90 90 90 90 60 60 60 90 90  
CHC OF THDR (%).80 20 20 20 20 20 20 60 60 60 90 90  
TEMP............53 56 56 58 61 64 67 70 72 75 76 76  
DEWPOINT........46 48 50 52 54 56 57 58 59 60 61 62  
RH..............77 74 80 80 78 75 70 66 64 60 60 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 21 21 20 18 17 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 26 26 28 29 29 29 28 26 25 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E ESE ESE ESE SE SE SSE S S SSE SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 18 17  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...DUX  
REQUESTED BY...TROY DALE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613723.0/FSD  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TROY.DALE@STATE.MN.US  
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