574  
FNUS73 KUNR 141615  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
1015 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MAY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REACH THE 70S WITH  
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BOTTOMING OUT NEAR 10 PERCENT.  
WINDS WILL BLOW OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY  
EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.  
 
IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS TONIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
RISE TO NEAR 35 TO 40% AND NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT AROUND  
5 MPH OR LESS.  
 
FRIDAY WILL HAVE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AS RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES DIP TO NEAR 10 TO 12%. HOWEVER, WESTERLY WINDS  
WILL BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE AT AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UPWARDS OF 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE  
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO  
29 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 TO 11800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM NIGHT  
SKY (%).........35 17 1 1 2 3 7 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 70 73 74 75 76 77 78  
RH..............25 29 25 21 18 14 11 10  
20 FT WIND DIR..N W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 13 13 13 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 23 25 26 28 29 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 6.4 7.5 8.5 9.6 12 12 12  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 24 26 29 30 30 29  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 13 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 TO 5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 TO 1000  
FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 15 17 13 11 9 10 7 6 7 9 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 72 67 62 60 57 56 55 54 53 53 52  
RH..............10 13 16 20 22 24 25 26 27 27 27 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N NW NW W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 13 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 23 16 12 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 4.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 21 15 10 10 12 14 14 15 15 14 12  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE EAST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO AROUND  
10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE  
MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 22 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9100 TO 9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 TO  
13400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 11 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 8 7 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 57 64 69 71 72 72 74 75 76 76 76  
RH..............28 24 20 17 16 16 16 15 13 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W E E SE S S S S W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 2 3 6 7 9 10 12 10 12 13 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 15 20 22 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 2.0 3.6 5.1 6.6 8.1 9.6 11 12 13 13 13  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW S SW SW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 13 16 20 23 24 24 24 25 25  
 

 
FORECASTER...GS  
REQUESTED BY...HANJE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613625.1/UNR  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTHONY.GRAVES@STATE.SD.US,QUENTIN.CORDELL@STATE.SD.US,SDGPC@FIRENET.GOV,JARED.TRIMBLE@STATE.SD.US  
 
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