625  
FNUS73 KUNR 031121  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHENK RX UNIT 4...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
521 AM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLANNED BURN  
AREA THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOW TO  
MID 70S WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 20 TO 30%. WINDS FOR  
THE UPCOMING WEEK ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 TO 6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 11 11 11 11 7 8 12 14 13 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 53 58 63 68 70 70 71 70 69 66  
RH..............68 62 52 42 33 34 32 29 29 30 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 13 15 15 16 17 16 15 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 16 21 25 24 25 25 25 25 23 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.9 2.2 3.3 4.4 5.0 5.3 6.1 4.8 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 22 25 28 30 29 28 25 22 20  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT  
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 3 AM INCREASING TO  
EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND  
10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........9 9 29 41 30 30 42 40 45 30 29 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 57 53 51 49 49 48 48 47 46 46 46  
RH..............36 43 50 54 56 56 58 60 63 68 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N NE E NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 12 10 8 7 7 8 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N NE E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 14 13 10 8 6 6 7 8 8 8  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 13  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 TO 4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 41 24 30 31 30 9 7 5 2 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 45 48 56 60 63 66 68 69 70 70 69  
RH..............68 70 65 53 46 44 45 42 40 38 38 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 13 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.1 2.9 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
 
 
FORECASTER...EW  
REQUESTED BY...HAYDEN HOELSCHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622863.2/UNR  
.DELDT 10/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HAYDEN.HOELSCHER@USDA.GOV  
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