730  
FNUS73 KUNR 061735  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POTATO CREEK...USWFS - SD-PRA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
1135 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 MDT ON AUGUST 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
NEAR CRITICAL WEATHER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVES THROUGH  
SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS THIS  
AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S WITH A MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AROUND 16%.  
 
FAIR RH (~62%) RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. HOT WEATHER WILL  
CONTINUE FRIDAY (AROUND 90), BUT IT WON'T BE AS DRY (~22%) AS  
TODAY. NORTH WINDS WILL BECOME EAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
LOOKING AHEAD, HOT AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND  
WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE UPPER  
TEENS RESULTING IN NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 TO 11800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 15 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............93 94 95 97 97 96  
RH..............27 23 21 18 16 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 17 15 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 9.9 11 12 12 11  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 16 17 18  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 6 7 8 7 5 5 7 10 12 12 9  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............95 92 86 78 75 73 71 69 67 65 63 62  
RH..............18 22 26 35 37 42 45 44 42 43 50 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N E SE SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 7 7 7 9 10 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 16 16 16 15 14 15 17 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.0 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SE E NE N NW NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 18 17 16 15 17 18 20 17 15  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 20-25 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 TO 6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 13 13 8 5 4 3 4 7 8 5 4  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 62 65 68 73 78 80 83 85 87 87 87  
RH..............61 60 57 54 44 36 33 28 25 23 22 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N NE NE NE NE E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 10 12 10 10 10 12 13 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 21 22 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.4 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 21 21 22 23  
 

 
FORECASTER...EH  
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619089.0/UNR  
.DELDT 08/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL REDMONSON@BLM.GOV,DUWAYNE.TRAVERSIE@BIA.GOV  
 
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