300
FNUS73 KUNR 051039
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHENK RX UNIT 4...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
439 AM MDT MON OCT 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS WEEK. TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE VERY WARM AND DRY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 80S AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 15 TO 20%.
EXPECT POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
MAXIMUM HUMIDITIES OF 30% MONDAY NIGHT AND 40% TUESDAY NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S AND
HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 20 TO 25%. HUMIDITIES EXPECTED TO
RECOVER TO AROUND 50% WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MAXIMUM HUMIDITY
ATTAINED BY ~4-5AM.
IN TERMS OF WINDS, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND
PREDOMINATELY DIURNALLY AND TERRAIN DRIVEN THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER
TUESDAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND PICKING UP TO AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH SUSTAINED WITH
GUSTS OF UP TO 20 MPH ON RIDGE TOPS AND UNSHELTERED AREAS.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH DURING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
AFTERNOON (SUSTAINED AT 5 TO 10 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH ON RIDGE
TOPS AND UNSHELTERED AREAS).
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
TODAY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 TO 6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 6 7 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 54 56 63 67 72 76 80 84 84 82 78
RH..............66 61 57 46 36 27 23 20 16 15 16 19
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 10 12 13 15 16 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.0 3.8 6.8 4.5 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 7 9 12 15 18 20 17 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8 14 19 22 30 26 19 14 8 5 6 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 68 65 63 62 61 60 59 59 58 57 56
RH..............21 22 24 25 25 26 28 28 27 28 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 3 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 15 13 12 10 9 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N NE N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 13 13 10 9 9 9 9 8 8
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE MORNING. WINDS MAY PICK UP FROM THE NORTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15
AND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN UNSHELTERED AREAS AND ALONG
RIDGE TOPS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
10 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 15 4 1 0 1 0 2 6 20 10 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 56 59 65 70 73 75 76 79 79 78 75
RH..............30 31 30 28 22 22 21 20 17 17 18 20
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 5 9 9 12 10 13 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 8 9 12 15 16 17 18 17 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.6 3.6 5.1 6.5 8.0 5.5 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 9 12 15 16 17 17 15 13
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SUNDAY
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
FORECASTER...EW
REQUESTED BY...HAYDEN HOELSCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622863.5/UNR
.DELDT 10/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HAYDEN.HOELSCHER@USDA.GOV
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