441  
FNUS73 KUNR 132010  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHER WILDFIRE...BIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
210 PM MDT THU AUG 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 MDT ON AUGUST 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A DISTURBANCE CROSSING THE REGION WILL BRING  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE  
60S TO AROUND 70 THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT WILL SEE LOWS AROUND 60  
DEGREES. CLOUDY SKIES AND PATCHY FOG ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND  
POSSIBLY TONIGHT. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TODAY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT  
TO THE EAST TONIGHT, THEN SOUTHERLY ON FRIDAY. SOME CLOUDS WILL  
PERSIST INTO FRIDAY, BUT, AS OF NOW, PRECIPITATION IS NOT  
EXPECTED. FRIDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 85 DEGREES.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 TO 2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........97 97 96 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNF RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............30 30 30 30  
TEMP............68 69 69 69  
RH..............78 73 72 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 21  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........96 95 95 96 95 96 97 97 97 98 98 95  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............69 68 67 66 64 64 64 63 63 63 62 61  
RH..............78 84 87 90 97 100 97 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E SE SE E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 18 17 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.9 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 18 17 16 15 14 14 13 13 12  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 TO 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 80 49 42 36 25 29 18 16 25 23 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 63 66 69 72 75 79 81 83 84 85 85  
RH..............93 97 93 90 84 69 58 55 51 46 46 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 15 16 14 15 15 15 16 16 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.5 5.1 5.6 5.2 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...CS  
REQUESTED BY...GLENN/IC4 TRAINEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619631.0/UNR  
.DELDT 08/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL G.JEALOUSOFHIM@BIA.GOV  
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