209  
FNUS73 KUNR 092133  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COPE...PINE RIDGE AGENCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
333 PM MDT WED JUL 9 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON JULY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING THE BURN AREA FROM  
THE SOUTHWEST, WHICH COULD CONTAIN HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. AN EVEN  
STRONGER THUNDERSTORM WILL THEN APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST, WHICH  
COULD CONTAIN LARGER HAIL AND STRONGER WINDS. THE BURN AREA IS IN A  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM. AFTER THESE STORMS PASS, THERE  
SHOULD BE A BREAK FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING, BUT THEN ANOTHER CHANCE  
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 TO 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 43  
WEATHER COV.....SCT CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCT CHC  
CWR.............20 20  
TEMP............94 91  
RH..............30 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..S E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.6 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........41 36 31 26 28 29 31 33 35 37 48 59  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 84 79 75 72 70 68 67 66 66 65 63  
RH..............42 48 56 64 66 63 65 68 73 73 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 17 18 18 16 18 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 22 24 23 22 20 18 18 17 16 15  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST BY NOON AND INCREASING  
TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 TO 5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 72 74 76 78 80 81 78 75 72 72 71  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............64 66 69 73 76 77 80 83 83 83 84 85  
RH..............81 78 73 66 60 56 49 46 46 44 43 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW W W N E NE NE NE E E NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 9 8 7 9 10 12 13 13 13 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 14 15 16 17 18 18 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.0 4.1 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 13 13 15 16 18 18 20 20 20 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...KP  
REQUESTED BY...MARJOE JANIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517693.0/UNR  
.DELDT 07/09/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HAIDENJANSSEN@GMAIL.COM,NMCMILLIN1130@GMAIL.COM,MARJOE.JANIS@BIA.GOV  
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