545  
FNUS73 KUNR 021114  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHENK RX UNIT 4...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
514 AM MDT FRI OCT 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
CONDITIONS OVER THE PLANNED BURN AREA FOR THE NEXT  
WEEK OR SO ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE MILD AND DRY.  
DAILY HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S WITH  
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 30 TO 50%. BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED  
FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, BUT WINDS IN THE UPCOMING WEEK ARE EXPECTED  
TO BE LIGHTER.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 TO 2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........18 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 47 52 56 59 63 66 70 71 71 70  
RH..............74 72 69 62 60 54 48 41 39 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 6 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 16 13 12 12 13 14 14 15 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.9 2.2 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S SW SW SW W W SW SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 10 12 12 13 13 13 12 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 12  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT INCREASING  
TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........18 18 20 16 15 14 14 15 16 16 16 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 63 61 59 58 58 57 56 55 55 54 54  
RH..............45 48 51 51 49 49 51 53 55 55 55 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 5 3 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 13 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E NE NE NE N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 12 10 9 8 7 8 8 8 9  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 TO 7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20  
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 13 14 7 4 18 17 14 14 29 12 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 54 56 62 66 69 71 72 73 73 72 68  
RH..............54 52 53 46 37 33 31 29 27 27 27 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 10 13 14 15 15 14 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 12 13 14 17 20 21 23 24 22 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 2.5 4.1 5.8 6.3 6.7 7.1 5.0 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 15 17 20 22 23 24 23 21 18  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
 

 
FORECASTER...EW  
REQUESTED BY...HAYDEN HOELSCHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622863.1/UNR  
.DELDT 10/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL HAYDEN.HOELSCHER@USDA.GOV  
 
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