052
FXUS63 KUNR 131709
AFDUNR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1009 AM MST FRI FEB 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
-MILD AND DRY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
15-25F ABOVE NORMAL
-SEMI-ACTIVE FLOW RETURNS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH CHANCES
FOR PRECIP AT TIMES AND COOLER CONDS
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 844 PM MST THU FEB 12 2026
SEMI-AMPLIFIED ZONAL SPLIT FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MILD AND
DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION. THE PATTERN DOES BREAKDOWN NEXT WEEK AS
A DEEP TROUGH PUSHES EAST INTO THE WESTERN CONUS, SUPPORTING
COOLER AND SEMI-ACTIVE FLOW BY MID WEEK AS A MEAN TROUGH
PROPAGATES SLOWLY EAST INTO THE CONUS. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 50S AND 60S, SOME 15
TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE BY
SUNDAY AS THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH PUSHES EAST WITH AMPLE HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTING INTO THE REGION, SUPPORTING THICK HIGH CLOUDS.
THIS MAY LIMIT TEMP POTENTIALS SOME SUNDAY, BUT STILL QUITE MILD.
MILD WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO TUES, WITH COOLER WEATHER ARRIVING
BY MID WEEK AS A SFC COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH THE REGION, ALONG
WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIP. OVERALL, NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1008 AM MST FRI FEB 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...JC
AVIATION...HELGESON
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