407
FXUS63 KUNR 292326
AFDUNR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
526 PM MDT WED APR 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE TRACKING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
- THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRODUCED WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH AND LIGHTNING.
- THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING BEFORE FADING OUT LATE THIS EVENING.
- CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER TEMPS RETURN TO FINISH THE WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK)
ISSUED AT 224 PM MDT WED APR 29 2026
THE FORECAST IS STILL OVERALL ON THE QUIETER SIDE. THAT BEING
SAID, THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS CENTERED AROUND THE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT ARE TRACKING THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PRODUCED CONFIRMED WIND GUSTS UPWARDS OF
35 TO 45 MPH, LIGHTNING, AND ONE SHOWER THAT PASSED OVER THE
OFFICE HERE IN RAPID CITY PRODUCED ICE PELLETS. THESE STORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE FADING OUT
LATE THIS EVENING. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME BUT
WE'LL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION.
THEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GIVE CLEAR AND SUNNY SKIES
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. LOW-END POPS RETURN TO THE AREA
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND NORTHWEST FLOW
RETURNS. THOSE PRECIP CHANCES WILL LAST INTO SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY
OVER THE BLACK HILLS BUT NOT SO MUCH IN THE PLAINS.
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO RISE AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE STUCK IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH WARMER OVERNIGHT LOWS EXPECTED FOR THE
WEEKEND. THURSDAY IS LOOKING AT HIGHS IN THE 50S TO NEAR 60.
FRIDAY, SATURDAY, AND SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOW 70S. WARMER WEATHER TREND CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 525 PM MDT WED APR 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SCATTERED
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA, HOWEVER
LOW CONFIDENCE IN PUTTING -SHRA AT THE TAF SITES. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO REMAIN EVEN IN LIGHT SHOWERS. SHOWERS WILL
DISSIPATE THIS EVENING.
UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...GS
AVIATION...DYE
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