466
ACUS01 KWNS 231600
SWODY1
SPC AC 231558
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0958 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2026
VALID 231630Z - 241200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TODAY INTO TONIGHT
ACROSS THE TEXAS BIG BEND REGION INTO CENTRAL TEXAS.
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS
THIS EVENING, WITH LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING ACROSS
MUCH OF TX/OK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA SHOW SUFFICIENTLY
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MUCAPE > 0 TO SUPPORT OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS INCLUDES PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TX AND SOUTHERN
OK WHERE FREEZING P-TYPES ARE ANTICIPATED.
OVER SOUTH TX, THE MAIN COLD FRONT WILL BE SURGING SOUTHWARD INTO A
MOIST AIR MASS WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S. SEVERAL MODEL SOLUTIONS
SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT -
MAINLY AFTER DARK. WHILE A BRIEF TORNADO OR STRONG WIND GUST CANNOT
BE RULED OUT, RAPID UNDERCUTTING OF THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT
THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SO NO PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADDED.
..HART/GRAMS.. 01/23/2026
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