544
ACUS01 KWNS 151217
SWODY1
SPC AC 151215
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 AM CST THU JAN 15 2026
VALID 151300Z - 161200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING.
..SOUTH FL
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A PERSISTENT LARGE UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN STATES, WITH A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER LA/MS. THIS FEATURE WILL QUICKLY ROTATE ACROSS
THE GULF AND APPROACH FL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT AHEAD OF THE FEATURE COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
ALONG/AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER FAR SOUTHERN FL, THE STRAITS, AND
NEAR-SHORE WATERS. THIS THREAT WILL END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE
FRONT MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST. POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT ANY SEVERE THREAT.
..HART/KERR.. 01/15/2026
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