261
ACUS01 KWNS 011948
SWODY1
SPC AC 011946
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0146 PM CST THU JAN 01 2026
VALID 012000Z - 021200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
..20Z UPDATE
THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTING FLASHES WITH LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN CA HAS GENERALLY DIMINISHED, AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL CA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. COOLING MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND MODEST DAYTIME
HEATING MAY STILL SUPPORT SUFFICIENT MUCAPE FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL CA FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON, BEFORE THIS POTENTIAL DIMINISHES THIS EVENING.
..GLEASON.. 01/01/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1019 AM CST THU JAN 01 2026/
..CALIFORNIA
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND ALONG COASTAL
NORTH-CENTRAL CALIFORNIA EARLY TODAY, AND TOWARD THE SIERRA AND
OTHER PARTS OF NEVADA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. WITH MINIMAL
BUOYANCY NOTED IN 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS, CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL
FURTHER DIMINISH ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS TODAY
VIA FRONTAL PASSAGE. MORE IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING THE AFOREMENTIONED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
EXIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL VALLEY.
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