942  
ACUS01 KWNS 220044  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 220043  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0743 PM CDT SUN JUL 21 2019  
 
VALID 220100Z - 221200Z  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST  
KS AND SOUTHWEST MO...  
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS  
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING.  
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE  
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  
   
..01Z UPDATE
 
 
   
..CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OH VALLEY
 
 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM EASTERN KS THROUGH SOUTHERN MO  
AND ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. OCCASIONAL STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE  
AS UPDRAFTS INTENSITY PULSES (LARGELY AS A RESULT OF STORM MERGERS),  
WITH THE RESULTANT WATER LOADING LEADING TO STRONG DOWNBURSTS.  
HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR STRONG GUSTS EXISTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS AND  
SOUTHWEST MO. SOME ISOLATED HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.  
   
..SOUTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
 
 
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.  
GIVEN THE WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR, THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
DISORGANIZED AND OUTFLOW DOMINANT. A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS AND  
ISOLATED HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING.  
 
..MOSIER.. 07/22/2019  
 

 
 
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