056  
ACUS01 KWNS 271622  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 271620  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1020 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025  
 
VALID 271630Z - 281200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT.  
   
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION  
 
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN  
CONUS WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TODAY WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIMITED TO PARTS  
OF SOUTH FL AND THE KEYS ALONG/AHEAD OF A SOUTHWARD-MOVING COLD  
FRONT. 11/12Z SOUNDINGS FROM XMR/TBW/KEY SHOW SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS  
STRENGTHENING WITH HEIGHT AT MID/UPPER LEVELS. WHILE SUFFICIENT  
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR MAY EXIST TO SUPPORT A STRONGER THUNDERSTORM OR TWO  
THIS AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST IN SOUTH FL, THE  
PRESENCE OF POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL WINDS  
SHOULD HINDER THE RISK FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER LAND.  
ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH SNOW BANDS OCCURRING  
IN WESTERN NY OFF OF LAKE ONTARIO.  
 
..GLEASON/WENDT.. 11/27/2025  
 
 
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