199
ACUS02 KWNS 241637
SWODY2
SPC AC 241635
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SOUTHEAST INTO THE OZARKS AND EAST INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY.
..SYNOPSIS
BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL CHARACTERIZE THE UPPER AIR PATTERN
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS TOMORROW (WEDNESDAY), WITH
MULTIPLE EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL IMPULSES POISED TO TRAVERSE THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGHING REGIME. A SURFACE LOW WILL MEANDER OVER TX
THROUGH THE PERIOD, RESULTING IN GRADUAL MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
RETURN FROM THE GULF TO THE MID-MS VALLEY REGION. DURING THE 00-12Z
(LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING) TIME FRAME, A MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE WILL TRAVERSE A BROAD ZONAL SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE, SERVING
AS A LOCAL LIFTING SOURCE FOR DEEP-MOIST CONVECTION. COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD A MARGINALLY MOIST LOW-LEVEL
AIRMASS, RESULTING IN SCANT BUOYANCY AND AN ASSOCIATED CHANCE FOR A
FEW LIGHTNING FLASHES. BUOYANCY WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER OVER THE
MID-MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN (ALBEIT MODEST)
WILL BE MAXIMIZED. A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THIS
WARM-AIR ADVECTION REGIME AS WELL.
..SQUITIERI.. 02/24/2026
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