120
ACUS02 KWNS 240543
SWODY2
SPC AC 240540
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TOMORROW FRIDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A NEARLY STACKED, INTENSE LOW WILL MEANDER OFF OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND COAST WHILE UPPER RIDGING IN THE PLAINS
FLATTENS AND AN UPPER TROUGH OVERSPREADS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
TOMORROW (FRIDAY). AN EMBEDDED MID-LEVEL IMPULSE WILL EJECT INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, WHERE SURFACE LEE TROUGHING AND ACCOMPANYING
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL TAKE PLACE. MLCAPE MAY EXCEED 1000
J/KG IN SPOTS GIVEN MID TO UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS. HOWEVER,
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND SHOWERS, WITH WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD BE PRESENT ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD, SO SURFACE
HEATING WILL BE LIMITED, WITH POOR TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES
EXPECTED. AS SUCH, THE AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY WILL BE CONSTRAINED
TO THIN CAPE PROFILES, AMID RELATIVELY POOR VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ON A
WIDESPREAD BASIS. WHILE AN INSTANCE OF SEVERE WIND/HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS
TOO LIMITED OR LOCALIZED FOR THE CONFIDENT DELINEATION OF SEVERE
PROBABILITIES THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.
..SQUITIERI.. 09/24/2026
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