895
ACUS02 KWNS 031655
SWODY2
SPC AC 031654
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1054 AM CST WED DEC 03 2025
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT FORECAST ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
..WESTERN/CENTRAL GULF COAST
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST, WITH A SURFACE FRONT LIKELY
OFFSHORE OF THE MIDDLE TX TO SOUTHERN LA COASTS. STRONG DEEP
CONVECTION SHOULD BE RELEGATED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS FRONT IN THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS, WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN GREATER SOUTHEAST
DISPLACEMENT OF THE BOUNDARY AWAY FROM THE TX/SOUTHWEST LA COAST
DURING THE DAY. THE FRONT COULD BRUSH EXTREME SOUTHEAST LA TOWARDS
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON, BUT THE BULK OF CAM GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT
SEVERE GUST/WATERSPOUT POTENTIAL SHOULD BE CONFINED OFFSHORE. WITH
THE PRIMARY UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH QUICKLY MOVING FROM THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE OH VALLEY AND REMAINING LOW AMPLITUDE,
THE SURFACE REFLECTION ALONG THE OUTFLOW-REINFORCED FRONT WILL BE
WEAK. AS SUCH, WHILE SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY NOT BE ZERO, THEY
APPEAR TOO LOW TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL HIGHLIGHT OVER LAND.
..GRAMS.. 12/03/2025
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