181
ACUS02 KWNS 240602
SWODY2
SPC AC 240600
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS....
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY. MORE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY ALSO
OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY.
..UPPER MIDWEST
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST ON TUESDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW AND COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS MINNESOTA AND EVENTUALLY INTO WISCONSIN. LOW 60S
DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN WEAK TO MODERATE
INSTABILITY BY MID-AFTERNOON. STORM ORGANIZATION MAY BE SOMEWHAT
LACKING DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT AS THE MID-LEVEL JET STREAK
OVERSPREADS THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE EVENING, A MORE FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND VICINITY.
WITHIN THIS ZONE, A FEW SUPERCELLS MAY OCCUR DURING THE EVENING WITH
A GREATER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED TEMPORAL AND
SPATIAL SCALE, AND SOME CONCERNS ABOUT STORM COVERAGE DURING THIS
TIMEFRAME, PRECLUDE SLIGHT RISK ISSUANCE AT THIS TIME.
..CENTRAL PLAINS
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST WITHIN A NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS AND STRONG
HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED STORM COVERAGE ACROSS MOST OF THE
HIGH PLAINS BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. 00Z GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED
TOWARD A STRONGER CONVECTIVE SIGNAL AND GREATER INSTABILITY ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS. HAVE SHIFTED THE DAY 3 SLIGHT
RISK AREA ACCORDINGLY. WHILE STORMS REMAIN LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF
THIS REGION, THE MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY BE NEAR
THE GREATEST INSTABILITY.
..SOUTHEAST
MODERATE TO STRONG HEATING IS EXPECTED AMID A VERY MOIST AIRMASS
(MID 70S DEWPOINTS) FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE GA/SC COAST. WITHIN
THIS ZONE, STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WATER-LOADED
DOWNDRAFTS AND SOME DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL ARE EXPECTED.
..BENTLEY.. 08/24/2026
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