812
ACUS02 KWNS 010700
SWODY2
SPC AC 010658
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CST MON DEC 01 2025
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST TO THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE. A DAMAGING GUST OR BRIEF
TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
..SYNOPSIS
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL IMPINGE ON THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE, WITH A
SURFACE LOW POISED TO RAPIDLY TRANSLATE NORTHEAST FROM THE EASTERN
GULF COAST TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TOMORROW (TUESDAY). DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD, LOW-LEVEL WARM-AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF
AND TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL SUPPORT PRIMARILY ELEVATED
BUOYANCY OVERSPREADING THE SOUTHEAST AND CAROLINA COASTLINES.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH
00Z WEDNESDAY.
..FL PANHANDLE
DURING THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE PERIOD (E.G. 12-16Z TUESDAY
MORNING), A FEW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS (REMNANT
FROM THE DAY 1 PERIOD) MAY BE ONGOING ALONG THE FL PANHANDLE REGION.
LARGE, CURVED, AND ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS MAY PRECEDE THE ONGOING
STORMS AMID SCANT SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY WITHIN THE WARM-AIR
ADVECTION REGIME. OVER 500 J/KG MLCAPE MAY OVERLAP WITH 200-400
M2/S2 0-3 KM SRH ALONG THE WESTERN FRINGES OF A DEPARTING LOW-LEVEL
JET, SUPPORTING A RISK FOR A DAMAGING GUST OR PERHAPS A BRIEF
TORNADO.
..SQUITIERI.. 12/01/2025
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