437
ACUS02 KWNS 110532
SWODY2
SPC AC 110531
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
A COUPLE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW.
..SOUTHEAST
AN UPPER TROUGH FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL
PIVOT EAST, MOVING OFFSHORE THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD BY LATE
THURSDAY/EARLY FRIDAY. THURSDAY MORNING, A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TO SOUTHERN AL.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITHIN A
MOIST WARM SECTOR, MAINLY FROM THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS
INTO SOUTHWEST GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE. MID AND LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MODEST (6-6.5 C/KM), AND LIMITED
HEATING DOWNSTREAM OF THE FRONT THROUGH MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON WILL
BE STUNTED BY CLOUDINESS. AS A RESULT, INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN MODEST (500-750 J/KG MLCAPE). DEEP-LAYER WESTERLY FLOW
PARALLEL TO THE FRONT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ROBUST, WITH 30-50 KT FROM
850-500 MB. COUPLED WITH WEAK INSTABILITY, A FEW STRONGER STORMS
PRODUCING MAINLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FL INTO SOUTHEAST GA, AND PERHAPS PORTIONS OF COASTAL SC.
THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE BY MID-AFTERNOON (ARCING
SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTH FL AND THE EASTERN GULF). OVERALL, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS LIMITED.
..LEITMAN.. 03/11/2026
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