516
ACUS02 KWNS 261727
SWODY2
SPC AC 261725
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST AND FLORIDA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT CURRENTLY FORECAST.
..SYNOPSIS
A DIFFUSE COLD FRONT ANALYZED IN MID-MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-MS RIVER VALLEY IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN A TANDEM WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE FRONT FROM SOUTHERN AL AND THE FL
PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN GA, BUT SOME ABATEMENT THROUGH THE
EARLY-MORNING DIURNAL BUOYANCY MINIMUM IS ANTICIPATED.
RE-INTENSIFICATION OF LINGERING CONVECTION AND/OR DEVELOPMENT OF
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FL PENINSULA THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS MODEST HEATING YIELDS SBCAPE VALUES AROUND
500 J/KG TO PERHAPS 1000 J/KG ACROSS SOUTHERN FL. BROAD-SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSING UPPER WAVE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS; HOWEVER, LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL STEADILY
DIMINISH ALONG THE STALLING, FRONTOLYTIC FRONTAL ZONE, FAVORING
MAINLY ISOLATED TO PERIODICALLY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. AN
UNFAVORABLE DISPLACEMENT OF THE GREATER BUOYANCY ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL WITH THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW FURTHER NORTH
WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED/SEVERE CONVECTION.
..MOORE.. 02/26/2026
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