393
ACUS02 KWNS 051728
SWODY2
SPC AC 051727
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CST WED NOV 05 2025
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ON THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL
BE PRESENT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-CENTRAL STATES ON THURSDAY.
A POCKET OF COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH ONE TROUGH
MAY AID IN VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES. FARTHER WEST, A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD REACH THE WASHINGTON COAST BY LATE
AFTERNOON. COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND SOME INCREASING MOISTURE
AMID ONSHORE FLOW MAY RESULT IN A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS.
STRONG SHEAR AND STRONG FLOW BELOW 1KM WOULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND THREAT, BUT INSTABILITY APPEARS TOO LIMITED AT THIS
TIME. IN ADDITION, SOME ISOLATED STORMS MAY ALSO PERSIST INLAND
ACROSS NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND PERHAPS INTO NORTHERN IDAHO AND FAR
NORTHWEST MONTANA ON LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH MOVES INLAND.
AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING, A SURFACE LOW WILL SLOWLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES FROM
THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. A STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL TRANSPORT SOME
MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE OZARKS. AS THIS MOISTURE ADVECTS
NORTHWARD, A FEW GENERAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP AMID WEAK ELEVATED
INSTABILITY AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST.
..BENTLEY.. 11/05/2025
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