486
ACUS02 KWNS 030650
SWODY2
SPC AC 030649
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1249 AM CST WED DEC 03 2025
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW (THURSDAY)
ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
VICINITY. SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS VERY LOW AT THIS TIME.
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY PROGRESS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CONUS TOMORROW (THURSDAY), ENCOURAGING SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AND STATIC STABILITY TO OVERSPREAD MOST OF THE CONUS,
LIMITING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER, WEAK SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD TAKE PLACE ALONG THE TX COASTLINE DURING THE DAY,
WITH THE LOW TRANSLATING EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. WARM-AIR ADVECTION AHEAD AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
WILL ENCOURAGE AT LEAST WEAK, ELEVATED BUOYANCY TO SPREAD INLAND,
WHERE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SURFACE WARM FRONT SHOULD REMAIN
JUST OFFSHORE, ALONG WITH SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY. AS SUCH, THE
SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT PROBABILITIES THIS OUTLOOK.
..SQUITIERI.. 12/03/2025
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