778
ACUS02 KWNS 010650
SWODY2
SPC AC 010649
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1249 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. ON MONDAY OR MONDAY
NIGHT.
..SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD -- GRADUALLY PHASING WITH A MIDLEVEL TROUGH
MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY. IN RESPONSE, POSITIVE LOW-LEVEL THETA-E
ADVECTION WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS EAST TX INTO THE ARKLATEX VICINITY
AHEAD OF AN EVOLVING SURFACE LOW AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. WHILE
WEAK ELEVATED BUOYANCY MAY DEVELOP WITHIN THE WARM-ADVECTION REGIME
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD, ONLY WEAKLY MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE
(LOWER/MIDDLE 50S DEWPOINTS) AND LINGERING STATIC STABILITY SHOULD
PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS.
..WEINMAN.. 02/01/2026
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