034
ACUS02 KWNS 111650
SWODY2
SPC AC 111648
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW ON MONDAY.
..SYNOPSIS
A MID/UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ATTENDANT STRONG JET WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES TOWARDS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY COOLING ALOFT AND STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES,
BUT AVAILABLE MOISTURE APPEARS INSUFFICIENT FOR APPRECIABLE
BUOYANCY, RESULTING IN LIMITED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND APPROACH
SOUTHWEST TX. LIMITED MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN NEGLIGIBLE
TO ONLY VERY WEAK ELEVATED BUOYANCY, AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
APPEARS LOW AT THIS TIME.
SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND WEAK DESTABILIZATION WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS FAR SOUTH FL AND THE KEYS, BUT POOR LAPSE RATES AND WEAK
FORCING ARE EXPECTED TO HAMPER DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION.
..DEAN.. 01/11/2026
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