479
ACUS48 KWNS 150759
SWOD48
SPC AC 150757
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 AM CDT MON JUL 15 2019
VALID 181200Z - 231200Z
..DISCUSSION
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST MID-UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS AS A STRENGTHENING
ANTICYCLONE BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY THE
WEEKEND. PRIOR TO THIS ESTABLISHMENT, SOME CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF RETREATING WESTERLIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD
GENERATE SEVERE BUT CAPPING ISSUES AND WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING DO
NOT SUPPORT ADDING 15% SEVERE PROBS THIS PERIOD.
..DARROW.. 07/15/2019
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