479  
ACUS48 KWNS 150759  
SWOD48  
SPC AC 150757  
 
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0257 AM CDT MON JUL 15 2019  
 
VALID 181200Z - 231200Z  
   
..DISCUSSION
 
 
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST MID-UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS  
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS AS A STRENGTHENING  
ANTICYCLONE BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY THE  
WEEKEND. PRIOR TO THIS ESTABLISHMENT, SOME CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE  
ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF RETREATING WESTERLIES ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD  
GENERATE SEVERE BUT CAPPING ISSUES AND WEAK LARGE-SCALE FORCING DO  
NOT SUPPORT ADDING 15% SEVERE PROBS THIS PERIOD.  
 
..DARROW.. 07/15/2019  
 
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