216  
FNUS21 KWNS 031648  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1048 AM CST FRI DEC 03 2021  
 
VALID 031700Z - 041200Z  
 
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK, AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS  
WERE MADE WITH THIS UPDATE BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND  
HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE. A FEW HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER  
CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE TEXAS  
SOUTH PLAINS. CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE AREA COMBINED WITH DOWNSLOPE  
WARMING/DRYING ON THE BACKSIDE OF A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD  
SUPPORT RH OF 15-20 PERCENT AND WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF  
15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BASED ON THE OBSERVED 12Z MAF SOUNDING,  
THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST LIKELY FOR AREAS THAT WARM TO NEAR  
80F, ALLOWING FOR DEEPER MIXING.  
 
FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES, WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS  
WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WHERE RECEPTIVE FUELS EXIST, THOUGH  
GENERALLY WEAK NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL  
FIRE-WEATHER THREAT.  
 
..WEINMAN/MOORE.. 12/03/2021  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1223 AM CST FRI DEC 03 2021/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
THE STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CANADIAN BORDER  
TODAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL IMPACT PARTS OF WEST TEXAS INTO  
THE ARKLATEX REGION THROUGH THE DAY. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT  
WILL MAKE STEADY PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH BEFORE STALLING IN THE  
VICINITY OF THE RED RIVER.  
   
..TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
 
 
WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING  
FRONT. RH WILL MOST LIKELY FALL TO NEAR 20% WITH WINDS OF 15-20 MPH.  
THE DURATION OF THESE CONDITIONS IS IN QUESTION, BUT SOME AREAS OF  
THE SOUTH PLAINS COULD SEE 3-5 HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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