896
FNUS21 KWNS 041650
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CST WED FEB 04 2026
VALID 041700Z - 051200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
A PRONOUNCED OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO PROMOTE
EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH (25-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN
FAVORABLE TERRAIN CORRIDORS) AMID RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 10-20%
RANGE. DESPITE THE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS AMID NEAR RECORD
WARMTH, FUELS REMAIN LARGELY UNRECEPTIVE, MITIGATING A LARGER FIRE
WEATHER THREAT ACROSS SOUTHERN CA TODAY.
..NORTHERN FLORIDA
A SURFACE LOW OVER GA WILL PROMOTE A SUBTLE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER
MUCH OF FL TODAY. A RESIDUAL DRY AIR MASS ACROSS NORTHERN FL WILL
RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 25-30% ACROSS THE AREA.
HOWEVER, HIGHER SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BE
OFFSET TO THE WEST OF THE DRIER CONDITIONS OVER NORTHEASTERN FL,
MITIGATING A BROADER FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. BENEFICIAL RAINFALL FROM
THE SURFACE LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING
ACROSS NORTHERN FL, TEMPORARILY ALLEVIATING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..WILLIAMS.. 02/04/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0106 AM CST WED FEB 04 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WITH A RIDGE IN THE WEST AND A
TROUGH IN THE EAST WILL EVOLVE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
ELSEWHERE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE QUITE EXPANSIVE ACROSS THE
CONUS.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
MODESTLY DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM WEST TEXAS INTO
PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TEXAS. WINDS WILL NOT BE OVERLY STRONG AS
AROUND 15 MPH (LOCALLY NEAR 20 MPH) CAN BE EXPECTED. RH WILL ALSO BE
MARGINALLY DRY (25-30%). GIVEN LIMITED FUEL RECEPTIVENESS AND THESE
MARGINAL CONDITIONS, ONLY LOCALLY ELEVATED CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED.
..SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
15-20 MPH WINDS (UP TO 30-40 MPH IN THE TERRAIN) WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE MORNING AND PART OF THE AFTERNOON. RH OF 10-20% WILL BE
POSSIBLE. DESPITE THESE OTHERWISE FAVORABLE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS,
AREA FUELS REMAIN MOIST ENOUGH TO MITIGATE GREATER FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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