465  
FNUS21 KWNS 231624  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1124 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2019  
 
VALID 231700Z - 241200Z  
   
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
 
 
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK, WITH NO CHANGES MADE.  
 
..SQUITIERI.. 03/23/2019  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0126 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2019/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE NORTHEAST OVER  
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH 40-50 KNOT MID-LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS  
THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE  
WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC  
AND OFF THE CAROLINA COAST, WHICH WILL HELP RELAX THE SURFACE  
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND BRING SOUTHERLY/EASTERLY FLOW BACK TO PORTIONS  
OF THE SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE DAY.  
 
ELEVATED WINDS/CRITICAL RH ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF  
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 10-20 MPH  
AND RH VALUES OF 8-20% EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE  
SPATIAL/TEMPORAL COVERAGE OF THESE ELEVATED CONDITIONS WILL BE  
RELATIVELY LIMITED AND MOSTLY ACROSS AREAS THAT RECENTLY RECEIVED  
PRECIPITATION OR HAVE SPARSE VEGETATION. FINE FUEL MOISTURE VALUES  
HAVE DROPPED, BUT 100/1000-HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE VALUES ARE MOSTLY  
NEAR OR JUST BELOW NORMAL MITIGATING THE FIRE THREAT.  
 
DRY CONDITIONS (RH VALUES OF 15-30%) WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
SOUTHERN/EASTERN GEORGIA, NORTHERN FLORIDA, AND SOUTHERN/EASTERN  
SOUTH CAROLINA WHERE ERCS ARE ABOVE THE 80TH AND IN SOME AREAS THE  
90TH PERCENTILE. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT (< 10 MPH) AND  
ONSHORE, SOUTHERLY/EASTERLY FLOW WILL RETURN BY TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH  
OF THE REGION.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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