010  
FNUS21 KWNS 221534  
FWDDY1  
 
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1033 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2019  
 
VALID 221700Z - 231200Z  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO  
AND FAR WEST TEXAS...  
 
PRIMARY ADJUSTMENT WITH THIS UPDATE WAS TO REMOVE PORTIONS OF THE  
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER AREA OVER THE EASTERN TRANS-PECOS, AS THE  
LATEST HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ONLY BRIEF/SPOTTY ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THIS AREA. OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST  
REMAINS ON TRACK, WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED.  
 
SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.  
 
..ELLIOTT.. 05/22/2019  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0119 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2019/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL DEPART INTO ONTARIO ALLOWING FOR THE  
LONGWAVE PATTERN IN THE WEST TO BECOME MORE MERIDIONAL. A MID-LEVEL  
JET WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE GREAT BASIN UPPER LOW, BRINGING  
ENHANCED SOUTHWESTERLIES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS. A LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE WITHIN THE SOUTHERN  
HIGH PLAINS. TOGETHER, THESE FEATURES WILL DRIVE DRY, DOWNSLOPE FLOW  
OFF OF THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD FALL TO 5-20% ACROSS THE HIGHLIGHTED AREAS.  
GIVEN THE LESS THAN FAVORABLE FUEL STATES ACROSS IN MANY LOCALES, A  
MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL ONLY SEE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
EVEN WITH 20-30 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS. SEVERAL  
SUCCESSIVE DAYS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER HAVE KEPT ERCS NEAR TO  
ABOVE NORMAL IN THESE LOCATIONS WHICH INCREASES THE POTENTIAL FOR  
FIRE SPREAD. A CRITICAL AREA WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR THESE AREAS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab SPC Page Main Text Page