622
FNUS22 KWNS 211945
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
A SUBTLE MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN BROAD WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE UPPER MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY MONDAY
AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT, ENHANCED LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS WILL EXPAND SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS AS BROADER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC. THIS WILL PROMOTE AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
DRY DOWNSLOPE REGIME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND ADJACENT
LEEWARD LOCATIONS OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND CO FRONT
RANGE. DESPITE UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER, NEAR RECORD WARMTH WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S ALONG WITH WEST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH
AND MINIMUM RELATIVE VALUES AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
LEE OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THUS, ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE EXPENDED
TO COVER THIS THREAT AMID INCREASINGLY DRY FUELS. A MORE EXPANSIVE
FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NM AND THE TX
PANHANDLE WHERE A LOW-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE AND SUBSEQUENT WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND 80S WILL ALIGN WITH WEST WINDS OF
AROUND 15 MPH (LOCALIZED 20 MPH) AND 15-20 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS REMAIN ACROSS THIS
REGION AMID DRY FUELS.
..WILLIAMS.. 12/21/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0132 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS TOMORROW (MONDAY), WITH
SURFACE LEE TROUGHING CONTINUING OVER THE PLAINS STATES. DRY
DOWNSLOPE FLOW IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS, WITH
15-20 PERCENT RH BECOMING COMMON OVER MOST LOCALES AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXES MONDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE CONSENSUS DEPICTS A CORRIDOR
OF 15+ MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS OVERLAPPING THE
AFOREMENTIONED RH FOR SEVERAL HOURS MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN
NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS ARE
WARRANTED FOR THESE CONDITIONS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF DRY FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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