424
FNUS22 KWNS 191939
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE DEPICTS SUFFUSING HIGH-BASED SHOWERS OVER
NORTHERN CA AND CENTRAL-EASTERN OR ON DAY 2/MONDAY. PASSING
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES MAY PERMIT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE
REGION; HOWEVER, LIMITED INSTABILITY PRECLUDES ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORM HIGHLIGHTS. ANTECEDENT DRY BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS
WILL FAVOR EVAPORATION, HINDERING ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION AT THE
SURFACE AND KEEPING FUELS DRY.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 07/19/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0159 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE OVER
THE WEST, A WEAK MIDLEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ACCOMPANYING INFLUX OF
MIDLEVEL MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.
WHILE THIS SHOULD PROMOTE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED HIGH-BASED
SHOWERS, THE LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT EL TEMPERATURES
WILL BE TOO WARM FOR LIGHTNING WITH THIS ACTIVITY. WHILE AN ISOLATED
STRIKE OR TWO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN, CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE AN ISOLATED
DRY THUNDERSTORM AREA. ELSEWHERE, A LIMITED OVERLAP OF DRY/WINDY
CONDITIONS ATOP RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL REDUCE FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS
ACROSS THE CONUS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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