018
FNUS22 KWNS 010804
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CST SUN MAR 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
..SYNOPSIS
SUB-TROPICAL RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BREAKDOWN AND
SHIFT EASTWARD AHEAD OF A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHING MOVING
FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL SUPPORT MODEST LEE TROUGHING AND INCREASING
WESTERLY FLOW OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
WHILE THE STRONGER FLOW WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST, DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS
AND WARM TEMPERATURES COULD SUPPORT LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS D2/MONDAY.
..NORTHERN NM AND FAR SOUTHERN CO
SHORTWAVE TROUGHING AND STRONG WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE FROM
THE FOUR CORNERS EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS
D2/MONDAY. VERY WARM AND DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS (RH BELOW 15%) IS
LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. BOLSTERED BY THE STRENGTHENING FLOW
ALOFT, WEST/SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS EASTERN AZ, WHILE SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS ARE FORECAST INTO
CENTRAL/NORTHERN NM AND SOUTHERN CO. AREA FUELS ARE LESS RECEPTIVE
FARTHER WEST WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER. STILL, SOME
LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN NM INTO SOUTHERN CO MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE POOR
ALIGNMENT OF STRONGER SURFACE WINDS WITH THE DRIER FUELS SHOULD
PRECLUDE MORE WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS.
..LYONS.. 03/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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