895
FNUS22 KWNS 221825
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
PRIMARY CHANGE WITH THIS UPDATE WAS TO TRIM PORTIONS OF THE ELEVATED
AREA OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS IN NEW
MEXICO, AS COOLER TEMPERATURES (E.G., MID/UPPER 50S) AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS SHOULD KEEP RH REDUCTIONS ABOVE REGIONAL THRESHOLDS, WITH
ONLY BRIEF/SPOTTY ELEVATED CONDITIONS NOW EXPECTED. THE ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER AREA WAS ALSO EXPANDED INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
TRANS-PECOS IN FAR WEST TEXAS, AS HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 15%, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH, AND
AT LEAST MARGINALLY RECEPTIVE FUELS ACROSS THIS AREA.
SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELLIOTT.. 05/22/2019
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0200 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2019/
..SYNOPSIS
THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A MID-LEVEL JET WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NEW MEXICO ON D2/THURSDAY AS AN UPPER CLOSED LOW MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE ANOTHER LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO
WILL LEAD TO AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 5-20%. WHILE SURFACE WINDS OF
20-30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN NEW MEXICO, THE DEPARTING
MID-LEVEL JET CORE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MEAN LIGHTER WINDS
OF 15-20 MPH IN MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. DUE TO THE REDUCED
SURFACE WINDS OVER THE MOST RECEPTIVE FUELS, ONLY ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. SHOULD
POCKETS OF MORE RECEPTIVE FUELS EXIST, LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THOSE LOCATIONS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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