813
FNUS22 KWNS 271956
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND FL PANHANDLE...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN
GREAT PLAINS...
..SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING
A MORE FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE REGIME WILL EMERGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WY
AS DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND LEE TROUGHING DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS UNDER MODEST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. A CORRIDOR OF 15-25
MPH SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HIGHER GUSTS, RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN FALLING
INTO THE 10-15% RANGE BY MID-AFTERNOON AND RETURN OF ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, WITH
INTRODUCTION OF CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN WY
WARRANTED.
..SOUTHEAST
AN EXPANSIVE FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS STILL ANTICIPATED ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNDER A DRY, POST FRONTAL REGIME. A SWATH OF ENHANCED
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS LOW AS 20%
WILL BE MOST LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SC INTO SOUTHERN GA. EXTENDED
CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN FL AND ADJACENT
ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS SOUTHWARD INTO THE GULF COAST BASED ON LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE.
..SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND ARIZONA STRIP
A MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE WITHIN A BUILDING RIDGE WILL SUPPORT DRY AND
BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN
AND NORTHWESTERN AZ. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ALONG WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 10% IN LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THIS REGION AMID AN INCREASINGLY DRY
FUELSCAPE. THUS, ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADDED TO PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEASTERN NV, SOUTHWESTERN UT AND NORTHWESTERN AZ.
..WILLIAMS.. 03/27/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0250 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE
EAST COAST IN THE WAKE OF A ROBUST MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST ON D2/SATURDAY. SIMULTANEOUSLY, ENHANCED ZONAL,
MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL PROMOTE LEE
TROUGHING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS, WITH A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT
AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPING BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH AND LEE
TROUGHING.
..CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS
THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
YIELD STRONG, SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY FLOW OF 20-30 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS. WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS IN PLACE AND RH
VALUES FORECAST TO FALL TO 15-20%, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM PORTIONS OF THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE NORTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWESTERN MINNESOTA, WESTERN IOWA, AND
SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AND STRONG 850 MB
FLOW OF 30-40+ KTS WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR PERIODIC WIND
GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS ADJACENT AREAS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS WHERE SUSTAINED
SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAP REDUCED
RH VALUES OF 20-25%, EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS
THAT SAW MORE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL THURSDAY EVENING.
..PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
MODEST ZONAL, MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES
WILL FAVOR DRY, DOWNSLOPE WINDS IN THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY. SUSTAINED WESTERLY
SURFACE WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAP VERY LOW RH OF
10-15% ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WYOMING AND SOUTHEASTERN
COLORADO. WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS IN PLACE ACROSS THESE REGIONS, A
PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING, PARTICULARLY IN THE LEE OF
THE LARAMIE RANGE, WHERE MODEST MID-LEVEL FLOW (30-40 KTS AROUND
600-700 MB) MAY SUPPORT OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 35-45 MPH.
..PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN US ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE HIGH.
SUSTAINED NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 10-15 MPH OVERLAPPING
REDUCED RH OF 25-35% AMID DRY, ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT A
WIDESPREAD AREA OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SOME GUIDANCE
INDICATES RH VALUES MAY FALL TO AS LOW AS ~20% ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THIS REGION. CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADDED TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA WHERE CONFIDENCE IS
HIGHEST IN A PERIOD OF OVERLAP BETWEEN SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20 MPH
AND MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 20-25% (LOCALLY LOWER). THE POTENTIAL FOR
EXPANSION OF THIS CRITICAL AREA WILL BE MONITORED IN FUTURE
OUTLOOKS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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