895  
FNUS22 KWNS 221825  
FWDDY2  
 
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0125 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2019  
 
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z  
 
PRIMARY CHANGE WITH THIS UPDATE WAS TO TRIM PORTIONS OF THE ELEVATED  
AREA OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS IN NEW  
MEXICO, AS COOLER TEMPERATURES (E.G., MID/UPPER 50S) AT HIGHER  
ELEVATIONS SHOULD KEEP RH REDUCTIONS ABOVE REGIONAL THRESHOLDS, WITH  
ONLY BRIEF/SPOTTY ELEVATED CONDITIONS NOW EXPECTED. THE ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER AREA WAS ALSO EXPANDED INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE  
TRANS-PECOS IN FAR WEST TEXAS, AS HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE SUGGESTS  
RH VALUES AT OR BELOW 15%, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH, AND  
AT LEAST MARGINALLY RECEPTIVE FUELS ACROSS THIS AREA.  
 
SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.  
 
..ELLIOTT.. 05/22/2019  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 0200 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2019/  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A MID-LEVEL JET WILL LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF NEW MEXICO ON D2/THURSDAY AS AN UPPER CLOSED LOW MOVES INTO THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE ANOTHER LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN  
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO  
WILL LEAD TO AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 5-20%. WHILE SURFACE WINDS OF  
20-30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN NEW MEXICO, THE DEPARTING  
MID-LEVEL JET CORE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MEAN LIGHTER WINDS  
OF 15-20 MPH IN MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. DUE TO THE REDUCED  
SURFACE WINDS OVER THE MOST RECEPTIVE FUELS, ONLY ELEVATED FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. SHOULD  
POCKETS OF MORE RECEPTIVE FUELS EXIST, LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THOSE LOCATIONS.  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 

 
 
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