631
FNUS22 KWNS 151948
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
..SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON THE NOSE OF AN APPROACHING
MID-LEVEL JET ALONG WITH SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE LEE OF THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS MONDAY. SUFFICIENT
MIXING OF A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER DESPITE SOME HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD
ENCOURAGE STRONGER SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION IN ADDITION TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 15%
(LOCALLY 10%). A LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS ACROSS
FAR NORTHEAST NM, WESTERN TX PANHANDLE AND FAVORED TERRAIN GAPS IN
THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WHERE WINDS OF 20-25 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WERE MAINTAINED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN NM, TX PANHANDLE AND FAR SOUTHWEST KS WHERE FUELS ARE
MORE RECEPTIVE. A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS WAS MADE INTO THE PALMER DIVIDE AREA AND ADJACENT
FOOTHILLS OF THE ROCKIES IN CO GIVEN LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.
..WILLIAMS.. 02/15/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1222 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A SHORTWAVE RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
THE DAY ON MONDAY AS A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WESTERN CONUS AND THE
ASSOCIATED JET MAX OVERSPREADS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. IN
RESPONSE, LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO,
WHICH IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS AMID STRONG
VERTICAL MIXING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. HERE,
WINDS MAY BE NEAR 20-25 MPH AND RH NEAR 10-15% IN THE PRESENCE OF
DRY FUELS. THEREFORE, AN ELEVATED AREA HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO, THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES, AND ADJACENT AREAS OF FAR SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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