374
FNUS22 KWNS 031837
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CDT SUN MAY 03 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL CLOSED
LOW OVER CENTRAL ONTARIO AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINAS
COASTLINE, TIGHTENED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL ENHANCE DRY
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PIEDMONT AND MID-ATLANTIC.
SURFACE RH VALUES WILL DECREASE TO 25-35 PERCENT WITH WIDESPREAD
GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH FOR A FEW HOURS, PROMOTING LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WHERE SPORADIC DRY FUELS MAY EXIST. HOWEVER, INCREASING
DAYTIME CLOUD COVER, RECENT RAINFALL, AND MARGINAL FUELS PRECLUDE
THE INTRODUCTION OF FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 05/03/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0159 AM CDT SUN MAY 03 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
SPLIT MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE US MONDAY AS THE CUT OFF
LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST MERGES WITH A STRENGTHENING SUB TROPICAL JET
STREAM. ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND OVER THE PLAINS DEEPENING A LEE CYCLONE. THIS WILL
PROMOTE DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
SUPPORTING ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..SOUTHERN PLAINS
DRY WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
MONDAY AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST. THE DEEPENING LEE LOW WILL SUPPORT STRONG WEST/SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NM AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES.
WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY DOWNSLOPE WESTERLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND
15-20 PERCENT RH WILL OVERLAP A CONFINED REGION OF DRY FUELS,
EXACERBATED BY DRYING FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
SEVERAL HOURS OF ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS WEST OF A
DEVELOPING DRYLINE.
..NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST
GUSTY POST-FRONTAL WINDS ARE LIKELY MONDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. HOWEVER, COOLER SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND
CLOUD COVER SUGGEST WEAKER MIXING AND HIGHER RH. STILL, SOME POCKETS
OF DRIER AIR COULD SUPPORT BRIEF LOCALIZED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS IN
POCKETS OF DRY FUELS GIVEN STRONGER NORTHWEST WINDS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page