766
FNUS22 KWNS 270529
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 PM CST FRI DEC 26 2025
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL
SHIFT EAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY REGION THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. AT THE SURFACE, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE
CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. IN ITS WAKE, A COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CONUS, REPLACING NEAR
RECORD WARMTH WITH MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THERE COULD BE A WINDOW OF UP TO A FEW HOURS
SUPPORTING ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PRE/POST COLD FRONT PASSAGE, MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. PRE-FRONTAL RESIDUAL DRY AIR AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS
SHOULD BE PRESENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THEN,
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE THE MINIMUM THRESHOLDS BEHIND THE
FRONT FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS AMID GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DESPITE
RISING RH VALUES. THEREFORE, ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN
INTRODUCED FOR A SMALL PORTION OF WEST TEXAS AND FAR SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO, CONFINED TO AREAS WHERE FUELS APPEAR MOST RECEPTIVE. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY AT LEAST TEMPORARILY EXACERBATE ANY ONGOING
FIRES ACROSS THE REGION AS WELL.
..KARSTENS.. 12/27/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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