273
FNUS22 KWNS 281913
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO INTO WESTERN TEXAS...
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS GENERALLY ON TRACK, WITH THE PRIMARY
CHANGE MADE TO THE UPDATED DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK BEING AN
EXPANSION OF CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS FURTHER NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN NEW
MEXICO, AND EAST INTO WESTERN TEXAS. IN THESE AREAS, GUIDANCE
CONSENSUS DEPICTS 20+ MPH SUSTAINED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS
OVERLAPPING WITH 15 PERCENT RH FOR SEVERAL HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SOME GUIDANCE MEMBERS ARE ALSO HINTING AT DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC. HOWEVER, PRECEDING RAINFALL MAY
DAMPEN FUELS IN THESE AREAS, SO ADDITIONAL ASSESSMENTS WILL NEED TO
BE MADE ON RAIN IMPACTS TO AVAILABLE FUELS BEFORE ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS MAY BE INTRODUCED IN FUTURE OUTLOOKS.
..SQUITIERI.. 03/28/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0204 AM CDT FRI MAR 28 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
WITHIN THE BASE OF A BROAD LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WEST, A
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY MIDLEVEL JET STREAK WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN THE
LOW-LEVELS, A LEE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS, WHILE
A SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING DRYLINE SHARPENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
..SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS
DESPITE INCREASING MID/HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS ACCOMPANYING THE MIDLEVEL
JET STREAK, THE STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL FAVOR DEEP BOUNDARY-LAYER
MIXING INTO THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT WEST OF THE DRYLINE. HERE, 10-15
PERCENT RH AND AROUND 20 MPH SUSTAINED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS (WITH HIGHER GUSTS) WILL YIELD CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON, GIVEN ANTECEDENT DRYING OF FINE
FUELS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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