823
FNUS22 KWNS 071955
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
GREAT
BASIN...CENTRAL ROCKIES...
..SOUTHWEST, GREAT BASIN, AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
A MID/UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONGER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER
THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS WILL PRESENT A BROAD FIRE WEATHER CONCERN FOR
THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN, PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES ON DAY 2/MONDAY. CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS REMAIN LARGELY INTACT
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NV, NORTHERN AZ, SOUTHERN UT AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
WY WHERE SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH (LOCALLY 30 MPH) AND RH
REDUCTIONS IN THE 5-15% RANGE ALIGN WITH RECEPTIVE FUELS. ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS WERE EXTENDED INTO THE CO ROCKIES AND SAN LUIS VALLEY
BASED ON LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE AND FUELS THAT ARE TRENDING DRIER.
..NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO
INTRODUCED ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM HIGHLIGHTS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
NM FOR DAY 2/MONDAY. A STREAM OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFILTRATE INTO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AT THE BASE OF AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES, DAYTIME INSTABILITY AND
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ALOFT WILL GENERATE HIGH-BASED CONVECTION ACROSS
NORTHWESTERN NM AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ERC VALUES IN THE 90TH PERCENTILE AND ABOVE SUGGESTS FUELS
MORE RECEPTIVE TO IGNITION. THIS MOISTURE PLUME WILL BE TRANSIENT,
WITH A RETURN TO DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST
AND FOUR CORNERS REGION BEGINNING ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
EJECTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
ADJUSTED EXISTING ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM HIGHLIGHTS TO REFLECT
LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE AND EXPECTATION FOR WETTING RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH POTENTIALLY SEVERE CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
CO, NE PANHANDLE AND FAR EASTERN WY. DRY LIGHTNING RISK IS STILL
PRESENT UPON INITIAL THUNDERSTORM (AND NASCENT RAIN CORES)
DEVELOPMENT MORE ADJACENT TO THE LARAMIE MOUNTAINS IN WY AND CO
FRONT RANGE IN NORTH-CENTRAL CO.
..WILLIAMS.. 06/07/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0122 AM CDT SUN JUN 07 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS THROUGH
THE DAY ON MONDAY, AND A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND THE SOUTHWESTERN
CONUS WITH LOW RH IN PLACE AND DRY FUELS.
..SOUTHWEST, GREAT BASIN, AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
STRONG VERTICAL MIXING DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH MODEST FLOW ALOFT
IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ALONG WITH RH NEAR 5-15%
FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THIS REGION. CONTINUED POOR RH RECOVERY
OVERNIGHT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DRY FUELS. THEREFORE, A CRITICAL AREA
IS INTRODUCED ACROSS THE AREA. SURROUNDING THIS IS AN ELEVATED AREA,
WHERE WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 15-20 MPH WITH 5-15%
RH AND RECEPTIVE FUELS.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
UPSLOPE FLOW MAY PROVIDE THE LIFT FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MONDAY
AFTERNOON IN THE PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER.
PRECIPITABLE WATER AND STORM MOTIONS MAY BE A BIT MARGINAL, BUT IT
APPEARS A MIX OF WET AND DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR, WHICH
WARRANTS AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDER AREA.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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