101
FNUS54 KMEG 162131
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH A
CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TENNESSEE AND
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER
THIS AFTERNOON (AROUND 50%), SO FIRE DANGER IS LOW. 20-FOOT WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE MID-
SOUTH ON SATURDAY, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF
30 TO 40 PERCENT, THOUGH THE COLD TEMPERATURES WILL HELP MITIGATE
ANY FIRE DANGER.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-171000-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE SPRINKLES NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-4) 37 (-11) 16 37
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+19) 31 (-17) 62 29
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 9 G18 W 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 NW 11 G19 NW 6 SW 10 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6400 3400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6600 3600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 11 W 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 W 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 22000 9900
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 33 27
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 9 W 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 20 W 16
DISPERSION INDEX 14 66 19 48
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-171000-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-3) 41 (-11) 19 39
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+7) 31 (-20) 63 29
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 7 G17 LGT/VAR SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5800 3500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 3700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 10 W 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 W 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 18000 8800
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 37 29
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 7 W 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 16 W 14
DISPERSION INDEX 12 56 11 43
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH
33 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-171000-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE SPRINKLES FLURRIES NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (+2) 38 (-10) 16 34
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+30) 36 (-9) 71 31
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 G18 W 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 W 8 G18 NW 4 SW 7 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5700 3400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 3800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 11 W 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 W 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19800 8800
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 35 26
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 8 W 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 18 W 13
DISPERSION INDEX 13 56 13 44
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 22 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-171000-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (+1) 41 (-10) 17 36
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+28) 34 (-13) 73 28
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 8 G18 LGT/VAR SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 3400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 3800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 10 W 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 W 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17000 9600
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 37 27
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 8 W 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 18 W 13
DISPERSION INDEX 12 56 11 42
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 23 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-171000-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-2) 44 (-12) 19 39
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+13) 33 (-19) 68 28
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 6 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 4 NW 8 G17 LGT/VAR SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 3700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 4000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 9 W 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 W 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14400 8400
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 40 30
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 6 W 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 14 W 11
DISPERSION INDEX 10 56 9 40
STABILITY CLASS F C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-171000-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
331 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (+3) 47 (-10) 19 39
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+24) 32 (-11) 70 26
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 LGT/VAR W 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4900 3800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 4200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 9 W 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 W 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14400 9100
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 41 30
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 5 W 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 11 W 10
DISPERSION INDEX 8 54 9 42
STABILITY CLASS E C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page