688  
FNUS54 KMEG 210830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY WITH  
ANOTHER RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THE AFTERNOON  
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. LOW SURFACE MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 30% ACROSS THE  
ENTIRE REGION. 10-HOUR FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR AROUND  
10 PERCENT FUEL MOISTURE. LIGHT 20-FOOT WINDS, LIKELY PEAKING AT  
ONLY 10 MPH THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR  
RED FLAG WARNINGS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, LIKELY NECESSITATING ADDITIONAL  
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS THROUGH THIS WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+2) 46 (-1) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 27 (-1) 92 (+3) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 NE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 6 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (+3) 48 (0) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 26 (-1) 87 (+2) 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 7 27  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-212100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 44 (-1) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-3) 100 (+3) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 4400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 4800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 5 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-212100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (0) 44 (-1) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-2) 97 (+4) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 7 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+2) 47 (+1) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-3) 86 (-2) 25  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4800 4600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 8 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (+1) 44 (-1) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-3) 90 (-3) 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 7 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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