518  
FNUS54 KMEG 142031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
OUTSIDE OF POP-UP SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI  
STATE LINE THIS AFTERNOON, A LARGELY DRY PERIOD IS ANTICIPATED  
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT OVER  
NORTH MISSISSIPPI, AMIDST PREVIOUSLY SATURATED SOILS OVERNIGHT  
TUESDAY. TWENTY-FOOT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, AND  
AFTERNOON 10-HOUR FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 10% THROUGH  
THE PERIOD. BEGINNING TOMORROW, MARGINAL TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER  
CONCERNS MAY EXIST AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP BELOW  
40%.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-150900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (0) 99 (+3) 74 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+3) 39 (-6) 87 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 5 LGT/VAR S 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6300 8300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 8500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 S 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 S 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8000 10400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 90  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 11 SW 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 28 7 24  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-150900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-2) 101 (+2) 75 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+3) 35 (-6) 82 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6800 8900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7000 9100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 4 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8400 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 90  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 S 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 10 S 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 25 8 28  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-150900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+1) 100 (+5) 74 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-6) 37 (-10) 81 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6200 7600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 2400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6600 8000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 S 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 S 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8000 7200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90 88  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 13 S 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 30 9 27  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-150900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-2) 99 (+2) 74 98  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-3) 34 (-8) 81 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 2400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6600 8000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7000 8400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 4 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 SE 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8400 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90 88  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 S 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 11 S 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 26 9 28  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-150900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (-3) 100 (+2) 74 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+5) 35 (-8) 83 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6700 8500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7000 8700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 3 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6300 10800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90 89  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 SE 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 21 8 28  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-150900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (-1) 99 (+1) 74 97  
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-4) 33 (-8) 83 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7000 7700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2300 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7400 8100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 3 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6900 10000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90 87  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 SE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 8 SE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 18 8 25  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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