024  
FNUS54 KMEG 152030  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE 35-40%+ RANGE TODAY, WITH  
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE RETURNING TO THE REGION BY THURSDAY. THIS  
MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALLOW MINRH VALUES TO RISE ABOVE 40% THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH RAIN CHANCES BOTH THURSDAY AND  
SATURDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH BOTH EVENTS WILL LIKELY  
BE AROUND 0.5" AT BEST. BY SUNDAY, FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL  
RETURN AS MINRH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 30%, WITH MANY  
LOCATIONS FALLING BELOW 25% THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 50 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 80 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.29 0.04 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 5 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-3) 81 (-3) 62 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+16) 57 (+12) 100 47  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G18 S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G20 SW 9 G17 SW 5 S 12 G21  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 6000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 S 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 S 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10400 19800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 43 10 60  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 80 60 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.13 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 4 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-1) 82 (-2) 64 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+9) 54 (+10) 99 42  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 G18 SW 7 LGT/VAR S 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 6000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 6200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 S 23  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8400 19000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 39 10 57  
STABILITY CLASS E B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 60 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 80 60 20  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.34 0.10 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 4 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-2) 80 (-5) 60 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+13) 55 (+14) 100 43  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR S 7 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3400 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7700 12800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 SW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 20 SW 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 38 7 46  
STABILITY CLASS E B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 50 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 70 60 20  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.25 0.08 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 5 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (0) 83 (-2) 60 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+11) 53 (+12) 100 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 G18 SW 7 LGT/VAR S 7 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3200 5500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3600 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 S 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7700 14400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 20 SW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 38 7 45  
STABILITY CLASS E B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 50 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (0) 83 (-2) 62 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+6) 50 (+9) 99 42  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 S 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 SW 7 LGT/VAR S 8 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 6100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 6400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 S 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8400 17100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 17 SW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 44 10 51  
STABILITY CLASS E B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+1) 85 (+1) 61 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+5) 46 (+7) 100 40  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 6 LGT/VAR S 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4000 6000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 6500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9100 14000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 40 7 37  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page Main Text Page