401  
FNUS54 KMEG 102131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH CONFIDENCE IS MAINTAINED IN LOW FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS  
PERIOD DUE TO A COMBINATION OF WETTING RAIN CHANCES AND ELEVATED  
MOISTURE.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-111000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 4 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-11) 54 (-18) 31 55  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-10) 43 (-24) 94 40  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 10 G18 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 8 NE 7 NE 4 E 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 2100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2500 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 E 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4900 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 43 45  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 E 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 19 E 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 37 38 9 20  
STABILITY CLASS D C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-111000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-10) 57 (-14) 34 59  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-6) 46 (-21) 89 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 G18 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 NE 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2300 2500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2500 2700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 3200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46 49  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 E 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 21 E 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 39 11 22  
STABILITY CLASS D B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
81 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-111000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 5 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-5) 54 (-19) 31 54  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-4) 42 (-19) 93 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 N 5 LGT/VAR E 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2000 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 41 43  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 22 E 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 34 32 9 15  
STABILITY CLASS D B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-111000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-5) 57 (-15) 32 58  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (0) 41 (-22) 92 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 7 G17 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 2500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 45  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 19 E 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 36 10 19  
STABILITY CLASS D B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-111000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 20  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 8 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-8) 61 (-10) 35 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+2) 45 (-23) 87 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 7 G18 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 NE 7 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 2800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 SE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 50 51  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 E 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 18 E 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 38 11 23  
STABILITY CLASS D C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM  
RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-111000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST TUE FEB 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 50  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 8 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 9 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-6) 62 (-10) 34 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 40 (-19) 87 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 N 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 E 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6300 2700  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 49  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 E 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 32 12 21  
STABILITY CLASS D B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM  
RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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