520
FNUS54 KMEG 160830
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH BEGINNING
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. POST-FRONTAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED 20 FT NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY DECREASED RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM
DYERSBURG, TN TO OXFORD, MS, WILL RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER RISK FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHEAST CENTRAL AR, NW MS, AND FAR SW TN.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. NO
APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-27) 44 (-16) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+4) 89 (0) 37
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 14 G23 N 11 G19
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 15 G24 N 12 G23 NE 10 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 4500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 4800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 12 NE 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 26 NE 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 20400 9000
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 57 50
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 11 N 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 23 N 19
DISPERSION INDEX 67 49 46
STABILITY CLASS D E C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-23) 46 (-15) 66
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (0) 86 (-5) 34
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 12 G24 N 8 G22
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 12 G23 N 10 G24 NE 9 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5200 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 4900
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 12 NE 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 26 NE 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 20400 10500
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 51
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 11 N 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 25 N 21
DISPERSION INDEX 70 41 51
STABILITY CLASS C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
27 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-162100-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-26) 42 (-17) 62
RH % (24H TREND) 42 (+4) 100 (+4) 37
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G21 N 11 G18
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G23 N 11 G23 NE 10 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 5100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 10 NE 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 23 NE 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15000 10500
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 N 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 22 N 18
DISPERSION INDEX 61 44 46
STABILITY CLASS D D C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-162100-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-24) 43 (-17) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (+4) 100 (+4) 35
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G23 N 11 G20
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 13 G22 N 11 G23 N 11 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 5200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 NE 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 NE 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15000 11200
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 51
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 N 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 22 N 19
DISPERSION INDEX 60 42 49
STABILITY CLASS D D C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
30 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-21) 46 (-17) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-1) 88 (-5) 33
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G23 N 11 G22
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 14 G23 N 11 G23 NE 11 G19
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 4900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 5100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 11 NE 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 24 NE 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16500 11200
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 51
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 N 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 23 N 21
DISPERSION INDEX 63 43 53
STABILITY CLASS D E C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
26 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-15) 46 (-17) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (+1) 92 (0) 33
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 8 G20 N 11 G20
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 13 G23 N 11 G23 N 11 G20
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 4800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 5200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 NE 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 NE 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 11200
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 63 52
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 9 N 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 20 N 18
DISPERSION INDEX 47 28 54
STABILITY CLASS D E C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
28 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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