814  
FNUS54 KMEG 292031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WILDLAND FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THIS AFTERNOON, WITH  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 18 TO 25 PERCENT AND LIGHT 20 FOOT  
WINDS. MODEST DAY TO DAY IMPROVEMENT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, IN ADVANCE OF WETTING  
RAINFALL FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. DRY AND SEASONAL EARLY  
OCTOBER WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-300900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+7) 93 (+6) 69 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-19) 32 (+5) 74 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 S 8 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 SE 5 S 10 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7700 7200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8000 7500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14400 18400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 S 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 39 13 49  
STABILITY CLASS F B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 82 PERCENT.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
74 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-300900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+6) 95 (+5) 69 95  
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-7) 34 (+10) 82 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 SE 4 S 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7600 7100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2400 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7800 7300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14400 15400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 87 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 14 S 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 36 13 46  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-300900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+7) 92 (+7) 65 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-17) 30 (0) 77 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 SE 4 S 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6400 7200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6800 7600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10500 16100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 S 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 31 11 43  
STABILITY CLASS F B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM  
RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-300900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+6) 93 (+6) 65 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-17) 31 (+5) 82 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 SE 4 S 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6800 7000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2200 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7200 7400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11000 15400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 15 S 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 28 11 43  
STABILITY CLASS F B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-300900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+5) 94 (+4) 66 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-5) 36 (+10) 92 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 SE 5 S 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7400 7100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2300 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7600 7300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 S 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11500 13200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 S 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 S 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 28 11 42  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 80 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-300900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+3) 92 (+4) 63 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-5) 31 (+6) 92 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR S 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6100 6400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 6800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 4 S 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 S 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8000 12600  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 S 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 22 8 39  
STABILITY CLASS F B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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