984  
FNUS54 KMEG 190830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST MONDAY AS LOW HUMIDITY AND  
VERY DRY FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT. A RANGELAND FIRE  
DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE FIRE WEATHER  
FORECAST AREA. CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR DEWPOINT VALUES TO  
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 30S MONDAY AFTERNOON, LEADING TO  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 30 PERCENT.  
ADDITIONALLY, FEMS 10-HOUR FUEL FORECASTS CALL FOR FUEL MOISTURE  
CONTENT VALUES AROUND OR SLIGHTLY BELOW 10 PERCENT AT NEARLY ALL  
FORECAST POINTS IN THE AREA. 20-FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY  
LIGHT, ONLY MAXIMIZING AROUND 10 MPH FROM THE NORTHEAST, KEEPING  
HIGHER FIRE DANGER CONCERNS LIMITED.  
 
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN FOR THE REST OF THE  
FORECAST, LEADING TO MINIMAL CHANGES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE  
REST OF THIS WEEK. SO, EXPECT ADDITIONAL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER  
STATEMENTS THROUGH THE WEEK UNDER SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO MONDAY.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+7) 45 (+3) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-5) 93 (-7) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 4500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 3 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3900 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 3 NE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 7 NE 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 7 19  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+8) 46 (+2) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-7) 91 (-9) 25  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 4700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3900 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 9 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
27 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-192100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+6) 44 (+3) 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 26 (-10) 100 (0) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 3800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 2 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2600 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 64  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 NE 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 6 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-192100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+6) 43 (+2) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-10) 99 (0) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 4300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 4700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3900 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 10 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 7 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+5) 44 (+1) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-11) 94 (-1) 25  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 4700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 5000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 5 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 11 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 21 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
26 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
28 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+4) 43 (+1) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-12) 99 (+8) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 4300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 4800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 5 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 10 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 21 6 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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