017  
FNUS54 KMEG 152131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES (50-60%) WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AS RETURN FLOW  
CONTINUES TO BRING IN MOISTURE. GUSTY WINDS AND DRY SOILS COULD  
LEAD TO A MINIMAL GRASS FIRE THREAT, BUT THE ELEVATED RH VALUES  
ARE SUFFICIENT TO KEEP THE OVERALL CONCERN LOW. A WET AND  
UNSETTLED PATTERN BEGINS ON MONDAY, BRINGING DAILY CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH WETTING RAIN.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-161000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-9) 66 (-12) 41 64  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+4) 28 (-33) 61 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 E 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 NE 7 LGT/VAR SE 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2900 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 SE 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 SE 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 3000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 58  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 SE 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 15 SE 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 32 9 26  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-161000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-5) 70 (-9) 45 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+6) 33 (-28) 60 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 G17 NE 6 LGT/VAR SE 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 2000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 SE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 14 SE 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 63 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 SE 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 15 SE 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 34 11 28  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-161000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-10) 65 (-12) 38 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+8) 27 (-34) 65 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 N 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 2000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 57 56  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 14 SE 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 30 8 19  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-161000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-5) 68 (-10) 39 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+6) 29 (-30) 62 24  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 7 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G18 N 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 60 58  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 SE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 14 SE 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 29 9 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-161000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-2) 74 (-5) 45 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 37 (-20) 63 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 E 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G19 NE 6 NE 4 SE 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 SE 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 SE 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 3000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 SE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 12 SE 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 29 11 26  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-161000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+1) 75 (-4) 42 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+4) 33 (-20) 61 24  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 G18 N 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 2000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 12 SE 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 27 9 20  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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