171  
FNUS54 KMEG 192131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WETTING RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON THURSDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WEEK. MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50% FOR THE  
FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES RETURNING NEXT  
WEEK. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 50 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 90 90 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.56 0.21 0.11  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 9 12 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-1) 68 (+3) 60 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 87 (+19) 100 78  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 8 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR E 5 LGT/VAR SW 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 700 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1000 2500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 4 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SW 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1200 7200  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 3 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 7 SW 23  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 11 11 42  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 1 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 80 70 70  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.34 0.12 0.09  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 7 6 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (0) 76 (+2) 63 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 76 (+4) 100 76  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1600 2200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 10 SW 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 21 21 38  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-201000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 50 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 90 90 90  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.59 0.18 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 9 12 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-10) 69 (+4) 58 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 86 (+14) 100 79  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 4 LGT/VAR SW 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 500 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 900 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 4 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SW 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1200 5400  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 10 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 11 11 40  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 1 1 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-201000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 80 70 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.37 0.12 0.13  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 7 9 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-10) 73 (0) 59 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 81 (+13) 100 78  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR SW 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1000 1500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1400 1900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2000 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 19 13 34  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 50 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.12 0.08 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-2) 80 (+1) 62 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 64 (-6) 100 77  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR SW 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2300 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 SW 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 4900  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 29 14 35  
STABILITY CLASS E C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CST WED NOV 19 2025  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 40 40 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.13 0.04 0.20  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-5) 80 (+2) 59 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 60 (-7) 99 74  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 4 LGT/VAR S 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 1300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 1700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 22 11 29  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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