163  
FNUS54 KMEG 152031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT WEEK AS  
WE MOVE INTO A WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS. OUR NEXT SHOT AT WETTING  
RAINFALL RETURNS TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 2 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (+12) 87 (-1) 66 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+14) 42 (0) 84 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 11 G22 S 9 G20  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 10 G20 SW 12 G22 S 9 G19 S 13 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 6300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 6600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 9 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 S 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10800 18000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 S 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 S 20  
DISPERSION INDEX 24 54 23 58  
STABILITY CLASS D C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+11) 87 (-1) 67 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+11) 43 (-2) 85 42  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 6 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G19 S 8 G18 S 7 G17 S 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 6400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 6600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 16000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 19 S 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 47 13 48  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 3 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+14) 88 (+4) 63 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+2) 45 (+5) 80 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G20 S 6 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G17 SW 9 G20 S 6 G17 S 9 G20  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4000 5200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 5600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 S 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10400 15300  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 S 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 21 52 14 54  
STABILITY CLASS E C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END 11 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+13) 87 (+2) 63 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (-5) 44 (+2) 83 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 8 G18 S 6 S 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9100 14400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 S 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 20 S 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 46 14 49  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+10) 87 (0) 64 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+7) 42 (-1) 86 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 8 G17 S 6 G17 S 8 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 6100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 6400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9800 13300  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 8 S 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 18 S 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 44 13 42  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+11) 85 (+1) 60 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (0) 41 (0) 90 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 6 S 4 S 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 12600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 S 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 15 S 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 36 10 41  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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