813
FNUS54 KMEG 052031
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) VALUES, LESS THAN 30 PERCENT, ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH
PERSISTENT 20-FOOT WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND OCCASIONAL HIGHER
GUSTS. THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER SETUP
IS 10-HOUR FUELS REMAINING ABOVE THE 10 PERCENT THRESHOLD.
HOWEVER, FUELS WILL QUICKLY DRY THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO GUSTY
WINDS, LOW RH, AND STRONG SOLAR HEATING.
CONTINUED DRYING OF FUELS WILL OCCUR EACH DAY THROUGH LATE WEEK
AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER BY LATE WEEK AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES DIP BELOW 30 PERCENT AND HIGH TEMPERATURES APPROACH
90 DEGREES.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-060900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-5) 82 (0) 52 83
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+3) 27 (-6) 97 31
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 4300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 4500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 2 W 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 5 W 6
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2600 4200
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 77
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 W 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 9 W 4
DISPERSION INDEX 10 15 5 17
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-060900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-3) 85 (+2) 54 86
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (0) 29 (-1) 91 34
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 5200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 2 NW 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 5 NW 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2800 3200
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 79
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 W 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 W 6
DISPERSION INDEX 11 15 7 12
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-060900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-4) 82 (+2) 51 84
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-13) 28 (-8) 100 33
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 4800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 5200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 2 W 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 W 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2600 6400
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 76
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 SW 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 9 SW 7
DISPERSION INDEX 10 14 3 22
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-060900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-4) 83 (+1) 53 85
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-6) 30 (-2) 100 35
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 5600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 6000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 2 W 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 W 7
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2800 5400
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 76
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 3 SW 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 8 SW 6
DISPERSION INDEX 10 12 3 19
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-060900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-7) 87 (+3) 56 88
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+3) 34 (+3) 100 38
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 5900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 6200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 N 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 N 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 3800
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 S 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 9 S 5
DISPERSION INDEX 10 15 6 12
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
60. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-060900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-9) 86 (+2) 56 89
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+1) 38 (+7) 100 35
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 5900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5500 6300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 NE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 NE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5100 3800
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 77
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 SE 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 8 SE 5
DISPERSION INDEX 9 13 6 14
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
60. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
60. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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