039  
FNUS54 KMEG 252030  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST  
MIDWEEK. THE LATEST ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT IS FORECAST TO  
REMAIN ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS, COMBINED  
WITH DRY FUELS AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30 PERCENT,  
WILL PROMOTE INCREASED FIRE STARTS AND GROWTH. THE MAIN LIMITING  
FACTOR FOR HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL BE 20FT WINDS, WHICH ARE  
FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH. ADDITIONAL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER  
STATEMENTS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH MIDWEEK. OTHERWISE, EXPECT  
EACH DAY TO FEATURE DRY CONDITIONS WITH ISOLATED PATCHY FOG IN  
LOW-LYING AREAS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-260900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+3) 78 (-1) 50 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-4) 31 (+1) 94 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4800 5200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 5400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 3 S 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 7 S 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 6800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 4 S 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 9 S 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 19 6 19  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-260900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+3) 78 (-1) 51 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-2) 31 (+2) 92 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 5300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 3 S 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 7 S 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 5100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 SE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 10 SE 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 19 7 19  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-260900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+1) 76 (-1) 47 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-1) 35 (0) 100 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 2 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 SE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 SE 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 7 SE 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 14 3 17  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-260900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+2) 77 (0) 47 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-1) 32 (0) 99 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 5400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 SE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 SE 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 9 SE 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 17 3 15  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-260900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (0) 79 (0) 49 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+4) 31 (+2) 97 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 5400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 5100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 SE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 10 SE 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 22 7 15  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80.  
MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-260900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (0) 77 (0) 46 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+2) 34 (+1) 99 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 5000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SE 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 4 SE 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 9 SE 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 19 3 15  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM  
RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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