597  
FNUS54 KMEG 162030  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH  
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, WITH RELATIVELY DRY FUELS AND GUSTY  
WINDS. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST  
CENTRAL AR, NW MS, AND FAR SW TN THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE 30% TO  
40% RANGE ON SATURDAY, WITH CONTINUED WIND GUSTS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
BY SUNDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK, WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL REMAIN BELOW 40%, WIND SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN  
LIGHT. NO APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN  
DAYS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-170900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-14) 63 (-1) 37 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+13) 36 (0) 91 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G19 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 12 G23 NE 10 G18 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 3700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9800 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 51 55  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 9 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 20 E 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 49 46 9 19  
STABILITY CLASS D C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
27 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-170900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-16) 67 (+2) 39 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+9) 33 (-2) 83 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 8 G21 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 10 G23 NE 9 G17 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 56  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 10 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 22 E 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 41 51 10 19  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
23 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 23 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-170900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-15) 62 (0) 36 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+14) 36 (-7) 93 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G18 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 10 G22 NE 10 G17 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 3500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 3900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 18 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 51 54  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 18 E 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 44 46 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-170900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-18) 63 (-1) 36 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 34 (-5) 90 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G19 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 NE 11 G18 NE 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 3800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 18 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 55  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 19 E 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 42 49 9 19  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
26 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-170900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-19) 68 (0) 39 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+15) 31 (-4) 80 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 10 G22 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 NE 11 G19 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 18 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 53 56  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 22 E 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 43 53 10 20  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
23 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 23 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-170900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-17) 67 (-3) 40 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+6) 32 (-6) 87 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 10 G19 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 N 11 G19 NE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 3800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 9 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 20 E 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12600 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 55  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 19 E 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 54 9 25  
STABILITY CLASS E C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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