090  
FNUS54 KMEG 010830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH  
THURSDAY, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SLIGHTLY HIGHER  
IN THE 40 TO 50% RANGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE  
WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON FRIDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND,  
WITH A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER  
AND DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-012100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.15 0.48  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (0) 69 (0) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (0) 100 (+26) 87  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G18 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 10 G18 S 5 N 7 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6800 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7000 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 N 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16800 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 5 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 N 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 56 14 23  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-012100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.34  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 95 (+1) 71 (+1) 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 40 (0) 100 (+19) 76  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 S 4 N 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6700 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6900 2500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 N 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 N 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16800 3200  
CATEGORY DAY 5 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 NW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 20 NW 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 52 13 19  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-012100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.45  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+1) 69 (+3) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (+5) 100 (+25) 85  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G17 S 5 NW 5 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6500 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6900 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16800 3000  
CATEGORY DAY 5 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 NW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 22 NW 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 55 11 20  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-012100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.27  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (0) 70 (+5) 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (+3) 100 (+20) 78  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G17 S 5 NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2000 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6500 2800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6900 3200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 NW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 NW 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16800 4000  
CATEGORY DAY 5 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 W 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 20 W 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 53 14 23  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-012100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (0) 71 (+3) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (+5) 100 (+10) 64  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 SE 5 NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6200 3600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 3800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 W 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14000 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 81  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 SW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 SW 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 48 17 19  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-012100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT THU OCT 1 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 50  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+1) 69 (+5) 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+10) 100 (+11) 56  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 SE 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5800 4800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6200 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13300 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 81  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 7 SW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 16 SW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 46 10 23  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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