202  
FNUS54 KMEG 160830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK  
DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A HUMID AIRMASS. WETTING RAIN CHANCES  
RETURN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END  
OF THE WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+2) 66 (-2) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 40 (-3) 82 (+4) 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 11 G22 S 9 G21  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 13 G22 S 9 G19 S 13 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 6300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 6500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 S 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12600 18000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 S 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 21 S 20  
DISPERSION INDEX 55 24 58  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (-1) 67 (-2) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (-1) 84 (+5) 43  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 6 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G19 S 6 G17 S 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 6100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 6300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 S 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10400 17100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 79  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 19 S 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 51 13 49  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-162100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+5) 63 (0) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 46 (+5) 81 (+6) 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G20 S 6 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G20 S 6 G17 S 9 G19  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 5300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 S 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 S 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 15300  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 S 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 20 S 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 54 19 55  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-162100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+4) 62 (-1) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 46 (+1) 84 (+8) 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 G18 S 5 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G18 S 6 G17 S 9 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9100 14400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 S 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 S 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 48 18 51  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (0) 64 (-3) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (0) 87 (+5) 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 G17 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G17 S 6 G17 S 8 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 S 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9100 14400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 78  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 8 S 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 17 S 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 47 12 44  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 60 (-1) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+2) 92 (+10) 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 S 4 S 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 S 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 S 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 12600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 77  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 S 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 14 S 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 38 10 45  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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