689  
FNUS54 KMEG 230830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE ONCE AGAIN ON FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON, WITH MANY LOCATIONS FALLING BELOW 30 PERCENT RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY. HOWEVER, CURRENT 10-HOUR FUEL MOISTURE FORECASTS DO  
KEEP THE ENTIRE MID-SOUTH JUST ABOVE 10 PERCENT, WITH MOST VALUES  
IN THE 11 TO 13 PERCENT RANGE. WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
BEING THE ONLY CRITERIA TO BE REACHED BASED ON THE LATEST  
FORECAST, OPTED AGAINST AN ADDITIONAL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER  
STATEMENT FOR NOW. IF VALUES DO BEGIN TO COME IN LOWER OR 20-FOOT  
WIND SPEEDS BECOME ELEVATED, WHICH THE INCREASE IN WINDS IS NOT  
EXPECTED, THEN AN RFD MAY BE WARRANTED FRIDAY. INTO THE UPCOMING  
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.  
HOWEVER, SOME GUIDANCE DOES SUGGEST THAT MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY MAY INCREASE ABOVE 30 PERCENT, SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO  
MONITOR THE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS BASED ON  
THE LATEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY FORECASTS AND 10-HOUR DEAD FUEL  
MOISTURE ON A DAY TO DAY BASIS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-232100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 79 (0) 45 (-3) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-6) 84 (+2) 23  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 4600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 4 SE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 SE 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 3000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 5 SE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 10 SE 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 9 12  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-232100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 81 (+1) 49 (0) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-5) 83 (+6) 23  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4700 5300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 SE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SE 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 3400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 73  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 S 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 9 S 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 9 15  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-232100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-2) 44 (-2) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-9) 95 (+6) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 4800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 S 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 S 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 5 S 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 11 S 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 9 19  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-232100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (-1) 44 (-2) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 20 (-8) 97 (+11) 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4000 5100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 S 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 S 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 5100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 5 S 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 10 S 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-232100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+1) 47 (-2) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 20 (-6) 88 (+12) 23  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4800 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 5900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 SE 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 5400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 4 S 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 10 S 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 9 20  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
30 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-232100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (-1) 46 (0) 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 20 (-5) 97 (+15) 25  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 SE 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 SE 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 8 23  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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