985  
FNUS54 KMEG 110830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE MID-SOUTH BEHIND ISAIAS ON  
SUNDAY, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 40%  
WEST OF THE MS RIVER. WHILE DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT, WIND  
SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT ENOUGH FOR THERE TO NOT BE ANY  
MAJOR FIRE DANGER CONCERNS. ON MONDAY, DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE A  
BIT MORE WIDESPREAD, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
POTENTIALLY FALLING BELOW 40%. ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST AR  
AND THE MO BOOTHEEL, WIND SPEEDS MAY APPROACH TO EXCEED 10 MPH,  
WHICH MAY LEAD TO BORDERLINE FIRE DANGER CONCERNS DEVELOPING  
MONDAY AFTERNOON. BEYOND TUESDAY, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 35%.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-112100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+10) 62 (+5) 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-14) 87 (-11) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR SW 10 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 5800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 W 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 W 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 13300  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 85  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 SW 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 10 44  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-112100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+13) 62 (+4) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-17) 84 (-15) 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 5900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8500 11400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 6 SW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 10 39  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-112100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+17) 57 (0) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-32) 100 (0) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 5900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 6300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 6 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 W 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6600 11400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 6 W 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 14 W 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 32 9 39  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY. HIGHS  
AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-112100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+18) 57 (0) 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-34) 99 (-1) 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 6000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 6400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 W 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 12000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 6 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 13 W 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 31 9 36  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-112100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+16) 60 (+2) 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-25) 91 (-9) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 5800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 6000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 9000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 7 W 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 32 10 33  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-112100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+22) 57 (-1) 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-36) 99 (-1) 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3800 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4200 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6500 9500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 6 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 13 W 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 33 8 29  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
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