000
FNUS54 KMEG 130830
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT
PRODUCES 20-FT WINDS NEAR 20 MPH IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE
MISSOURI BOOTHEEL. FORECAST ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENT AND SPREAD
COMPONENT VALUES ARE NEARING THE 90TH PERCENTILE ON FRIDAY,
LIKELY DUE TO A COMBINATION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED WINDS, DRY
FUELS, AND DECREASING DEW POINTS. FOR NOW, A RED FLAG WARNING IS
NOT ANTICIPATED AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS ABOVE 25 PERCENT. A
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE THE MORE APPROPRIATE FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCT FOR FRIDAY. IMPORTANT NOTE: THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS INCLUDED PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH IN A 40-69% OUTLOOK
FOR OVERLAPPING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-132100-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 60
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.19
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (+2) 72 (+7) 91
RH % (24H TREND) 47 (+14) 96 (+24) 57
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 SW 6
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 S 5 SW 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 3800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11200 6000
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SW 12
DISPERSION INDEX 37 10 31
STABILITY CLASS C F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-132100-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.08
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 95 (+2) 72 (+6) 94
RH % (24H TREND) 49 (+22) 90 (+12) 42
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 SW 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 S 4 SW 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5500 5000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10200 7500
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX 35 10 32
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-132100-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 60
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.17
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+3) 68 (+7) 91
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+7) 88 (+10) 57
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 SW 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 S 4 SW 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5200 3800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5600 4200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 SW 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11900 6500
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX 37 10 30
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-132100-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.11
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+3) 67 (+5) 92
RH % (24H TREND) 45 (+9) 85 (+3) 50
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 SW 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 S 4 SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10200 8000
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 12
DISPERSION INDEX 33 9 30
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-132100-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (+2) 69 (+5) 95
RH % (24H TREND) 45 (+18) 83 (+1) 32
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 SW 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 S 4 SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 5400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 8500
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SW 11
DISPERSION INDEX 30 9 28
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-132100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+2) 63 (+3) 93
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+6) 81 (-6) 34
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR SW 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 5000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 SW 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6800 6400
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 9
DISPERSION INDEX 25 8 24
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page