710
FNUS54 KMEG 022031
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AND SOUTHERLY MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL
KEEP FUELS HUMID AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE 40%
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. A FRONT CURRENTLY BISECTS THE REGION FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST, WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SOUTH OF THE FRONT, EXPECT LIGHT, SOUTHERLY
20-
FOOT WINDS WITH A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY.
DRIER CONDITIONS WILL TAKE HOLD BY MONDAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BEGINNING TO DROP BACK BELOW 40%, BUT WETTING RAINS SHOULD
KEEP FUELS HUMID ENOUGH TO LIMIT FIRE DANGER CONCERNS.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-030900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 7 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM 5 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-11) 74 (0) 61 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 72 (-16) 100 46
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 N 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 9 G18 NE 7 NE 4 NE 8
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 3900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 5 NE 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 NE 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 6500
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 73
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 6 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 14 NE 14
DISPERSION INDEX 18 29 8 31
STABILITY CLASS D C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-030900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.03 0.08 0.02
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM CONTINUING 1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-11) 80 (+1) 64 81
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 77 (-6) 100 57
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 N 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 7 NE 5 NE 4 N 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2100 3500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 3700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 5 NE 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 NE 13
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 6600
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 6 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 14 NE 14
DISPERSION INDEX 22 26 9 28
STABILITY CLASS D C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-030900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 20 30 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.03 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 0 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 AM 1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-11) 74 (-3) 62 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 76 (-5) 100 55
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 7 G17 NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2100 3700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2500 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 N 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3200 6000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 72
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 NE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 12 NE 10
DISPERSION INDEX 19 22 6 29
STABILITY CLASS D C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-030900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 40 30 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.06 0.08 0.07
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-11) 78 (-2) 63 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 77 (+1) 100 63
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 N 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 NE 5 LGT/VAR NE 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 3500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 3900
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 NE 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2800 6000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 74
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 NE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 12 NE 10
DISPERSION INDEX 17 18 6 27
STABILITY CLASS D C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-030900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 20 50 50
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.03 0.15 0.15
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-10) 85 (-1) 65 81
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 73 (+2) 100 72
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 N 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 NE 5 NE 4 NE 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 3100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 3400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NE 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 NE 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3200 5000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 NE 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 11 NE 12
DISPERSION INDEX 19 18 9 25
STABILITY CLASS D C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-030900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 20 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 60 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.07 0.23 0.38
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 3 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-5) 88 (0) 65 80
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 66 (+5) 100 75
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NE 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2700 2900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 3300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 NE 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 4000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 7
DISPERSION INDEX 12 14 6 18
STABILITY CLASS E B D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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