282
FNUS54 KMEG 162031
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN ON SUNDAY AS MINRH VALUES DROP BELOW
30% AND DEAD FUEL MOISTURE REACHES 10%. THIS MAY NECESSITATE A
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT THROUGH MONDAY. INCREASING
HUMIDITY WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY, RETURNING FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS TO MINIMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-170900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 20 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 20 40 90
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.09 0.23
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1 11
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-2) 87 (+6) 58 72
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+11) 42 (-13) 98 56
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 SW 12 G22
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 12 G21 S 10 G19 NW 13 G22
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6000 2300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 2600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 N 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 N 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 22800 7200
CATEGORY DAY 5 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 55
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 NW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 20
DISPERSION INDEX 20 70 37 44
STABILITY CLASS F C E D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-170900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 0 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 10 20 90
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.35
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+1) 88 (+6) 62 75
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+1) 41 (-14) 88 62
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 7 G18
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G18 S 7 G17 NW 9 G19
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6300 2200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 2400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 W 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 25 W 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 22000 5600
CATEGORY DAY 5 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 NW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 20 NW 21
DISPERSION INDEX 11 64 22 36
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-170900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 20 20 90
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.00 0.01 0.42
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1 10
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 10 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-6) 87 (+6) 61 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+21) 43 (-9) 90 60
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 8 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G18 S 6 NW 10 G21
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 1900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 2300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 W 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 W 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15300 6300
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 60
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 W 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 19 W 23
DISPERSION INDEX 8 52 24 39
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-170900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 10 10 80
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.41
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-6) 88 (+6) 64 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+18) 41 (-9) 86 59
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 8 G18
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G17 S 5 W 9 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5700 2100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 2500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 W 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 W 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17100 6400
CATEGORY DAY 5 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 63
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 W 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 W 23
DISPERSION INDEX 9 51 17 40
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
31 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-170900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 50
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 10 80
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.42
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM
PRECIP END 10 PM CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-5) 88 (+4) 66 79
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+9) 40 (-9) 83 58
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 7 G17
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 8 G17 S 6 W 9 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6100 2800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 3000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 W 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 W 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17100 6300
CATEGORY DAY 5 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 W 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 W 22
DISPERSION INDEX 10 56 19 39
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-170900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10 60
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.29
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM
PRECIP END 10 PM CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-5) 88 (+4) 63 83
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 39 (-7) 86 50
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR SW 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5800 3700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6200 4100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13300 7800
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 17
DISPERSION INDEX 7 42 13 42
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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