012  
FNUS54 KMEG 210931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, LIMITING  
THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50% THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH  
ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES RETURNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 40 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 40  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.11 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+14) 52 (-5) 62  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-16) 100 (0) 71  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 N 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 G17 SW 4 N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 N 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 55  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 N 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 33 20 29  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM  
RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 30 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+11) 57 (-2) 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-18) 100 (0) 71  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 N 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR N 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2400 2400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 N 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 N 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6400 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 N 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 42 12 29  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM  
RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-212200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 70 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.21 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+13) 53 (-4) 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (-15) 100 (0) 70  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 N 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 SW 4 N 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1400 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 N 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 55  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 19 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 31 19 24  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PATCHY FOG. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-212200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 70  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.07 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+9) 55 (-5) 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-16) 100 (0) 69  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 N 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G17 LGT/VAR N 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 N 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 37 17 25  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PATCHY FOG. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 40 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.08 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 3 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+6) 59 (-3) 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-9) 100 (0) 62  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR N 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2400 2700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 N 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 64  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 NW 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 39 10 26  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 50 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.15 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (+4) 58 (-2) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-7) 100 (0) 56  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR NW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 3000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 3400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 NW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 NW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4900 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 NW 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 9 28  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page Main Text Page