568  
FNUS54 KMEG 032031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MILD AND HUMID CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH LIGHT,  
ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES CONFINED MAINLY TO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. A  
ROBUST COLD FRONT PASSAGE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING  
WILL USHER IN A SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS. BEHIND  
THE FRONT, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP  
NEAR 30 PERCENT SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY,  
WITH A MEDIUM-TO-HIGH PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
DROPPING BELOW 30 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. RAIN-FREE  
CONDITIONS AND LOW FIRE WEATHER MOISTURE LEVELS WILL LIKELY  
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEKEND.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-040900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM  
PRECIP END 5 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-4) 78 (+4) 55 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 44 (-28) 95 40  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 NE 8  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 N 9 N 4 NE 10 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3300 3900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3600 4100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 NE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7700 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 14 N 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 8 40 12 40  
STABILITY CLASS D C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-040900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-4) 81 (+3) 55 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 49 (-24) 85 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 NE 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 N 7 N 5 NE 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3400 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3700 4400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 NE 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 NE 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7700 9100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 NE 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 16 NE 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 38 12 45  
STABILITY CLASS D C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-040900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-5) 78 (+3) 52 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 51 (-22) 97 41  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 N 4 NE 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3200 3900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3600 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 NE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5500 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 NE 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 11 NE 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 29 10 37  
STABILITY CLASS D C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-040900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-5) 79 (+1) 54 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 54 (-19) 94 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 NE 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6 N 6 NE 10  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3300 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3700 4600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 NE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5500 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 NE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 12 NE 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 32 10 41  
STABILITY CLASS D C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-040900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.09 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 3 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-5) 81 (-2) 58 84  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 61 (-10) 91 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 NE 7 G17  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 NE 7 N 6 NE 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 4400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 4700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 NE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 73  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 6 NE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 14 NE 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 29 11 42  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-040900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.19 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-4) 81 (-4) 58 84  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 65 (-2) 99 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5 N 4 NE 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2300 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 5 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 NE 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 9000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 73  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 NE 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 11 NE 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 21 10 39  
STABILITY CLASS E C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
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