632
FNUS54 KMEG 140830
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AS LOW AS 30 PERCENT
TODAY, FROM OXFORD SOUTH. TO THE NORTH, MORE HUMID CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL, SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NORTH OF I-40. DRIER CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AREAWIDE THURSDAY,
BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. POST-
FRONTAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL DROP TO AS LOW
AS 35 PERCENT OVER THE DELTA, SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-142100-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 50 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.32 0.13 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (-3) 68 (-2) 90
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (+10) 100 (+1) 38
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 S 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 8
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 4700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2900 5000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 15
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 10500
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 SW 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 SW 16
DISPERSION INDEX 24 6 43
STABILITY CLASS C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-142100-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 30 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (0) 67 (-5) 92
RH % (24H TREND) 49 (-6) 89 (-6) 33
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 5300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 5500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 8500
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 86
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 10 SW 17
DISPERSION INDEX 31 8 36
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-142100-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 50 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (-4) 67 (0) 89
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (+14) 100 (+4) 39
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 S 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1500
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 5000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3300 5400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 13
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 10200
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 84
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 6 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 13 SW 13
DISPERSION INDEX 29 5 36
STABILITY CLASS C E B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-142100-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 30 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (-3) 65 (-3) 90
RH % (24H TREND) 56 (+4) 97 (+5) 35
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 5400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 5800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 12
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5500 9000
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX 32 6 34
STABILITY CLASS C F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-142100-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+1) 64 (-6) 92
RH % (24H TREND) 34 (-18) 74 (-11) 33
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR SW 4
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 5900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 6100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 SW 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7500 7600
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 SW 14
DISPERSION INDEX 31 9 30
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-142100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+1) 63 (-2) 92
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (-14) 84 (0) 32
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 5300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 5700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 SW 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 6800
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 83
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 SW 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 10 SW 12
DISPERSION INDEX 26 7 25
STABILITY CLASS B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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