317  
FNUS54 KMEG 120830  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY AIR WILL ALLOW MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP TO  
AROUND OR BELOW 30 PERCENT MONDAY FOR MANY AREAS. LUCKILY, 20 FT  
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT LEADING TO MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER DANGER.  
INCREASED MOISTURE BROUGHT IN BY SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO AROUND 35-40 PERCENT. OUTSIDE OF  
SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES MAINLY NORTH OF I-40 WEDNESDAY, AN OVERALL  
DRY PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-122100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+4) 65 (+5) 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 31 (-8) 72 (-14) 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 SW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 10 G17 SW 5 SW 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6200 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 6000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 SW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16000 10800  
CATEGORY DAY 5 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 43 11 37  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-122100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (+4) 65 (+5) 95  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-10) 77 (-7) 39  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5600 5500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 SW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12600 10200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 16 SW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 42 11 35  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-122100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+8) 61 (+2) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-15) 83 (-12) 38  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 SW 4 SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5800 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6200 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 SW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13300 11400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 7 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 15 SW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 39 10 34  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM  
RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-122100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+7) 60 (+1) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-14) 87 (-8) 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5600 5700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 6100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 SW 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12600 9500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 6 SW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 14 SW 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 36 10 34  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-122100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+3) 61 (+2) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 27 (-10) 83 (-6) 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 5600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10800 9000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 14 SW 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 33 10 34  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-122100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+5) 58 (-1) 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 31 (-13) 95 (-1) 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR SW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5000 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8500 8000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 84  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 SW 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 12 SW 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 8 29  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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