998  
FNUS74 KMEG 241955  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SPRINGS NF BURN BLOCK 131...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
255 PM CDT WED APR 24 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1463-1859 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0  
TEMP............81 81  
DEWPOINT........59 59  
RH..............47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 4.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.9 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............61.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...30-945 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 59 64 69 74 76 77 79 79 78 78 84  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............80 77 74 71 69 68 67 65 64 63 62 62  
DEWPOINT........59 59 60 61 62 62 63 63 62 62 61 61  
RH..............49 54 62 71 78 81 87 93 93 97 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 10 8 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............63.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 26 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 7 TO 14  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 10 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 9 TO  
12 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MISSING.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.24 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........89 92 93 95  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE  
CWR.............30 70 70 80  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 70 80  
TEMP............61 65 71 74  
DEWPOINT........61 62 64 65  
RH..............100 90 79 74  
20 FT WIND......S 7G12 S 7G13 S 9G15 S 8G14  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 600 2300 1600  
MIX HGT (M).....210 180 700 490  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 20 S 26 S 14  
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 6 S 9 S 12 S 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...MAYE  
REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1907063.1/MEG  
.DELDT 04/24/19  
 
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