842  
FNUS74 KMEG 210019  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS NATR HQ UNITS...USWFS NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
719 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CDT ON MARCH 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SATURDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY. THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE  
MUCH WARMER THAN NORMAL, SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL  
AID IN MOISTURE TRANSPORT KEEPING RH VALUES AT OR ABOVE 35%  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 20 FT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND  
SOUTHWESTERLY UNTIL SUNSET SATURDAY.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).600-4100 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 5 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
2000 FT WINDS.......WEST 16 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12  
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST 17 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 18 25 20 24 20 12 13 6 5 5 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 57 59 63 68 73 78 80 83 84 84 85  
DEWPOINT........56 55 58 60 60 61 62 62 62 62 60 60  
RH..............93 93 96 90 76 66 58 54 49 48 44 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 11 12 13 12 12 13 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.1 3.5  
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.6 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.6 4.1 3.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW W SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 16 14 14 13 13 13 14 16 16  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W W W W SW SW W SW W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
2000 FT WND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
2000 FT WND SPD.20 17 16 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 13 13  
5000 FT WND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
5000 FT WND SPD.21 20 20 20 18 17 15 14 13 12 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 3 3 4 4 5 5 7 9 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500-1800 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-549 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.  
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........7 9 5 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 72 65 62  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 58  
RH..............44 64 81 87  
20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 3G8 SW 3G8 S 3G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 500 500 600  
MX HT MSL (FT)..1800 500 500 600  
MIX HGT (M).....550 150 150 180  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10  
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 6 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4  
2000 FT WIND....SW 14 SW 16 SW 17 SW 15  
5000 FT WIND....W 13 W 16 W 15 W 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59 DECREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500-4100 FT MSL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 4 TO 11 METERS/SECOND BECOMING 5 TO 9  
METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 TO 11 METERS/SECOND LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH  
AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 26  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (13400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........11 13 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............60 70 85  
DEWPOINT........58 61 59  
RH..............93 73 41  
20 FT WIND......S 3G10 SW 7G14 SW 12G17  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 3600  
MX HT MSL (FT)..500 1600 3600  
MIX HGT (M).....150 490 1100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 16 SW 22  
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 7 SW 10  
2000 FT WIND....SW 15 SW 15 S 15  
5000 FT WIND....W 14 SW 17 W 22  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 4 11  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...DIRKES  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG SPROUSE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606902.0/MEG  
.DELDT 03/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES_SPROUSE@NPS.GOV  
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