327  
FNUS74 KMEG 300910  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICKASAW VILLAGE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
410 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AT THE BURN SITE. SOUTHERLY  
WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY, GUSTING TO AROUND 20 MPH AT TIMES.  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL AGAIN FALL BELOW 40 PERCENT. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA OVERNIGHT, MAINLY  
AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A WETTING RAINFALL LIKELY. A FEW LINGERING  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY, BUT DRY AND WARM  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1615 METERS AGL.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 58 61 64 67 58 49 40 39 38 37 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 68 70 74 77 80 81 85 86 86 86  
RH..............87 93 84 78 69 60 52 47 40 36 36 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.4 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152 METERS AGL.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.46 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........42 45 47 49 51 63 76 88 90 93 95 88  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 40 60 70 70 60  
TEMP............84 82 76 74 73 72 71 69 68 67 66 66  
RH..............40 44 54 59 66 68 71 78 84 87 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 5 6 6 7 7 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1676 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........80 61 39 24  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 10  
TEMP............65 70 79 85  
RH..............93 81 54 40  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G7 SW 5G11 W 6G12 W 5G12  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1700 4000 5400  
MIX HGT (M).....180 520 1220 1650  
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 SW 4 W 5 W 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...JOHNSON  
REQUESTED BY...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2210792.0/MEG  
.DELDT 04/30/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES_SPROUSE@NPS.GOV  
 
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