374  
FNUS74 KMEG 031157  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HS 35-1...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
557 AM CST MON FEB 3 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FIRE DANGER CONCERNS THROUGH THE REQUESTED PERIOD. SOUTHERLY  
WINDS WILL BRING INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TODAY AND TONIGHT.  
AS SUCH, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ONLY FALL TO AROUND 50  
PERCENT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 20 FT WINDS WILL BE WEAK TO  
BEGIN AND WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HOWEVER, VENTILATION RATES WILL REMAIN POOR  
DUE TO MARGINAL DIURNAL MIXING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER UNDER A LOW-  
LEVEL INVERSION. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REQUESTED  
PERIOD.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........9 8 11 36 36 29 29 13 13 11 9 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 48 51 56 60 64 68 70 71 72 71 69  
DEWPOINT........45 46 49 51 54 55 56 55 55 55 55 55  
RH..............88 92 92 83 81 73 66 58 57 56 57 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.3  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 2 4 6 7 7 7 7 6 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........14 21 32 35 32 37 47 48 55 64 58 62  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 0 10 0 0 10 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 63 62 60 60 59 59 59 58 59 59 58  
DEWPOINT........55 56 56 56 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 57  
RH..............67 78 81 87 90 93 93 93 96 93 93 98  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 4 4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........60 52 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10  
TEMP............58 64 70  
DEWPOINT........57 61 62  
RH..............98 90 77  
20 FT WIND......W 1 E 2 S 2G4  
MIX HGT (M).....150 400 490  
TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 3 N 3 SW 1  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRUSS  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TOWNSEND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2502062.0/MEG  
.DELDT 02/03/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.TOWNSEND@USDA.GOV  
 
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