947  
FXUS64 KMEG 240835  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
335 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
QUEEN DAENERYS IS DEAD AND SUMMER IS COMING. A 590+ DM RIDGE IS  
IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US ALONG WITH STRONG SURFACE HIGH  
PRESSURE AND WILL REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO  
EARLY NEXT WEEK. 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES SUPPORT TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S EACH DAY TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THE HOTTEST  
DAYS LOOK TO BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WHEN TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH  
95 DEGREES, WARMEST IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI. BY TUESDAY, THE RIDGE  
MAY SHIFT A BIT FARTHER EAST, ALONG THE EAST COAST ALLOWING FOR A  
FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR  
PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK WOULD BE ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE  
RIDGE, OVER EASTERN ARKANSAS AND POSSIBLY THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL.  
HOWEVER, THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WE ARE EXPECTING OVER THE WEEKEND  
IS TYPICALLY STUBBORN TO BREAK DOWN, SO WE WILL MAINTAIN A DRY  
FORECAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY.  
 
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, A CUTOFF LOW IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT  
APPROACHING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BE  
OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS, AND LIKELY BRING  
SOME RELIEF TO THE SUPPRESSIVE HEAT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY  
AND THURSDAY SHOULD BE IN THE MIDDLE 80S WITH MORNING LOWS BACK  
BELOW 70 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH. BEHIND THE FRONT, WEAK  
RIDGING SHOULD SUPPRESS ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF RAIN ONCE AGAIN.  
 
30  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
06Z TAFS  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH  
SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. LIGHT WINDS WILL  
INCREASE TO 6-11 KTS WITH A FEW GUSTS AT JBR ON FRIDAY THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT BY FRIDAY EVENING.  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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