389
FXUS64 KMEG 031748
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1248 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH AN ISOLATED
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S.
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY SUNDAY, WITH
INCREASING CHANCES THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1039 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
SUNNY CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WITH TEMPERATURES
CURRENTLY SPANNING THE 70S AND DEW POINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
60S. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE A FEW MORE DEGREES BY THE
AFTERNOON, REACHING THE LOW TO MID 80S. WITH DEW POINTS ON THE
LOWER END, CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO FEEL FAIRLY NICE OUTSIDE
AND NOT THE TYPICAL OPPRESSIVENESS OF EARLY JUNE. GENERALLY DRY
AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF THE WORK WEEK, WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING IN PLACE OVER THE
REGION. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY SATURDAY,
ALLOWING FOR AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY ACROSS NORTH MS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID
80S THROUGH THURSDAY, INCREASING TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
INTO NEXT WEEK, A GENERALLY WARMER AND WETTER WEATHER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MID-SOUTH. BY SUNDAY, AN UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OFF THE ROCKIES, BUT ULTIMATELY
STALL TO THE NORTH DUE TO A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL KEEP THE MID-SOUTH IN A SOMEWHAT
UNSETTLED PATTERN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, WITH DAILY,
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THIS PATTERN WILL BE FAIRLY
REMINISCENT OF A TYPICAL, SUMMERTIME PATTERN, WITH AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS CARRYING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONGER STORMS.
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED, BUT A STRONGER STORM
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE RULED OUT. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FAIRLY VARIABLE ACROSS THE AREA,
DEPENDING ON WHERE AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS GREATEST. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S THROUGH
THIS PERIOD, WHICH IS AROUND TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY TO
MID JUNE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 PM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL WITH A SURFACE HIGH TO OUR
EAST. SOME SCATTERED MIDLEVEL CU AND HIGH CIRRUS IS EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT
SUNSET TONIGHT. WINDS REMAIN PRETTY CONSISTENT FROM THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10 KTS DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS, GOING
LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1039 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN AROUND OR JUST BELOW 40% THROUGH FRIDAY,
HOWEVER, FIRE DANGER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW DUE TO GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE REGION OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEK.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...CMA
AVIATION...CAD
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