002  
FXUS64 KMEG 121200 CCA  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
600 AM CST TUE NOV 12 2019  
   
UPDATE
 
AVIATION DISCUSSION.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 426 AM CST TUE NOV 12 2019/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS WINTER PRECIPITATION FINALLY OUT OF  
THE AREA WITH REPORTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE.  
TEMPERATURES HAVE DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY AND WILL CONTINUE TO DROP  
TO INTO THE LOWER TEENS IN OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. WIND CHILL  
VALUES ARE ALREADY REACHING SINGLE DIGITS IN MANY AREAS AND ARE  
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING. WITH THESE  
LOW TEMPERATURES, WIND CHILLS AND GUSTS EXPECT A BITTER COLD  
MORNING COMMUTE. RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TODAY,  
GENERALLY REACHING THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE AREA, WITH WIND CHILL  
VALUES REACHING THE 20S THROUGHOUT THE DAY.  
 
WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE BY TONIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES  
ALLOWING FOR STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING. THIS WILL ALLOW  
TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY  
MORNING, LIKELY BREAKING LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS. TEMPERATURES  
WILL START TO CLIMB THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH A  
REINFORCING COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA THURSDAY.  
MODELS SHOW LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT.  
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER TO MID 40S, WITH LOWER  
TEMPERATURES IN OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES.  
 
AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE REINFORCING COLD  
FRONT MOVES THROUGH, A CLOSED LOW ALOFT WILL FORM JUST EAST OF  
OUR AREA AND MOVE TOWARDS THE COAST. THUS, MOVING A RIDGE OVER OUR  
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND PROMOTING DRY WEATHER. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL BE IN THE 50S. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL  
MOVE EAST FROM THE PLAINS MONDAY, BUT LOOKS TO BE DRY WITH THE  
LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS SO LEFT OUT THE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION.  
 
BELOW IS A TABLE CONSISTING OF OUR CLIMATE SITES, THE FORECASTED  
HIGH TODAY, AND THE RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE WITH THE YEAR  
IT OCCURRED.  
 
MEMPHIS...29...37 (1920)  
JACKSON...27...40 (1976)  
JONESBORO...29...39 (2014)  
TUPELO...32...43 (1968)  
 
SGW  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
12Z TAFS  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS. NORTH WIND  
AROUND 15KT WITH GUSTS TO 25KT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND VEER  
THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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