667
FXUS64 KMEG 150537
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1237 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
- COOLER AIR ARRIVES TONIGHT, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY REACHING
INTO THE MID-70S TO LOW 80S FOR MONDAY.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BRING HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
BY WEDNESDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES RETURNING BY THE END OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION, AND THAT FEATURE
WILL STALL ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE MID-SOUTH WITH SOME
VERY PLEASANT WEATHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A FEW SHOWERS
ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA,
THANKS TO THAT STALLED FRONT TO THE SOUTH. THESE SHOWERS WOULD
MAINLY OCCUR SOUTH OF A CLARKSDALE TO TUPELO LINE.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE MID-SOUTH FOR
MONDAY, WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND 60S AND HIGHS ONLY NEAR 80.
DRY AIR AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL
INTO THE 50S AND LOWER 60S BY TUESDAY MORNING. AS THE WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE SHIFTS EASTWARD, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TOWARD
NORMAL ALONG WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY BY MID-WEEK. A WEAK UPPER-
LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS ALONG THE KY/MO
BORDER LATE TUESDAY.
A POTENTIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHEAST
GULF THIS WEEK, AND TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, THE WESTERLIES
ARE LIFTING THIS FEATURE NORTHEAST INTO THE MID-SOUTH. THIS WILL
BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE REGION
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. A COLD FRONT WILL
QUICKLY FOLLOW THIS DISTURBANCE, PERHAPS INCREASING THE CHANCES
FOR AT LEAST A GOOD START TO NEXT WEEKEND WEATHERWISE WITH MILD
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT MON JUN 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD AT ALL FOUR TERMINALS AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WEST. BKN/SCT CLOUDS ARE STREAMING SOUTH
ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE AND INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. THESE CLOUDS
MAY PRODUCE CIGS BELOW 3 KFT AT MEM FOR THE FIRST COUPLE HOURS OF
THE PERIOD, BUT ARE OTHERWISE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1051 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026
RECENT WETTING RAINS AND ELEVATED HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL PRECLUDE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. IN ADDITION, WETTING
RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...JAB
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