544  
FXUS64 KMEG 232008  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
308 PM CDT SAT MAR 23 2019  
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON  
WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. A WEAK  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS TIME.  
THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. AS THE  
FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION, SOME SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE  
ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE MILDER THAN LAST NIGHT WITH LOWS SUNDAY MORNING FROM THE  
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.  
 
ON SUNDAY, THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF THE REGION AND A COLD  
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS. AS A RESULT, MORE SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S  
TO LOWER 70S. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA  
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MORE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. SOME OF THE  
THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAINLY WEST  
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE MILD  
SIDE WITH LOWS MONDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER 50S.  
 
THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY MORNING  
WITH RAIN SLOWLY EXITING THE REGION BEHIND IT. TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE A LITTLE COOLER ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID  
60S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BY TUESDAY BRINGING  
A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  
TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT BELOW NORMAL ON TUESDAY BUT WILL WARM  
UP TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY.  
 
A NEW STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY  
AND WILL TRAVEL NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY NEXT SATURDAY.  
THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION STARTING  
AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY AND INTO  
NEXT SATURDAY.  
 
ARS  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
18Z TAF CYCLE  
 
SLOWED DOWN THE ARRIVAL OF THE PRECIPITATION A BIT. OTHERWISE, NO  
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE PREVIOUS TAF SET. TUP SHOULD  
REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MOST OF THE PERIOD. CIGS WILL  
GRADUALLY BUILD IN AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE LATE  
TODAY. VCSH WILL BE LIKELY BEFORE NOON. CIGS SHOULD REMAIN VFR  
WITH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND 5-10KT.  
 
30  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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