538  
AXUS74 KCRP 152122 CCA  
DGTCRP  
TXZ229>234-239>247-342>347-442-443-447-200315-  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX  
322 PM CST SAT FEB 15 2020  
 
...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH  
TEXAS...  
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
JANUARY 2020 CAME IN AS A DRY MONTH, WITH NEARLY LESS THAN 20  
PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH. NEARLY 1/2 INCH OF RAIN  
FELL ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND NORTHERN COASTAL BEND,  
WHICH LED TO SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS  
THOSE AREAS. CONVERSELY, LESS THAN 1/4 INCH FELL ACROSS AREAS  
GENERALLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 281, WITH DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSENING.  
MUCH OF THE COASTAL BEND HAS EITHER NO DROUGHT OR IS ABNORMALLY  
DRY (D0). AREAS GENERALLY WEST AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM  
HEBBRONVILLE TO SAN DIEGO TO GOLIAD TO VICTORIA ARE IN MODERATE  
DROUGHT (D2). SEVERE DROUGHT (D3) CAN BE FOUND IN EXTREME EASTERN  
VICTORIA COUNTY, NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BOTH BEE AND LIVE OAK  
COUNTIES, SOUTHERN AND EXTREME WESTERN TIP OF WEBB COUNTY, AND THE  
NORTHERN 2/3RDS OF LA SALLE COUNTY INTO NORTHERN MCMULLEN COUNTY.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
WATER RESTRICTIONS.  
 
BEST PRACTICES FOR WATER CONSERVATION:  
1. ONLY WATER LANDSCAPES TO MAINTAIN ADEQUATE SOIL MOISTURE.  
2. ONLY WATER LAWN IF RAINFALL HAS NOT FALLEN IN 1-2 WEEKS.  
3. USE A SPRINKLER WHICH MAKES LARGER WATER DROPLETS.  
4. TURN SPRINKLERS TOWARD THE LAWN AND NOT THE PAVEMENT.  
5. AVOID WATERING ON WINDY DAYS.  
6. TURN SOAKER HOSES HOLES DOWNWARD, FACING THE GRASS.  
 
CORPUS CHRISTI - NO RESTRICTIONS.  
HTTP://WWW.CCTEXAS.COM/CONSERVATION HTTP://PORTLANDTX.COM  
HTTP://INGLESIDETX.GOV  
 
THE CITY OF CORPUS CHRISTI DRAWS ITS WATER FROM BOTH LAKE CORPUS  
CHRISTI AND CHOKE CANYON RESERVOIR. WHEN THE COMBINED WATER  
CAPACITY OF BOTH OF THESE RESERVOIRS FALLS BELOW 40%, STAGE 1 IN  
WATER RESTRICTIONS BEGIN. THE CURRENT COMBINATION CAPACITY AS OF  
FEBRUARY 12, 2020 IS 52.3%.  
 
VICTORIA - NO RESTRICTIONS.  
WWW.VICTORIATX.ORG/RESIDENT/NEWS-RELEASES-699  
 
THE CITY OF VICTORIA DRAWS ITS WATER FROM THE GUADALUPE RIVER AS  
WELL AS CANYON LAKE UPSTREAM ALONG THE GUADALUPE RIVER. WHEN THE  
VICTORIA USGS (UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY) RIVER GAUGE ON THE  
GUADALUPE FALLS BELOW NORMAL, STAGE 1 IN WATER RESTRICTIONS  
BEGIN.  
 
LAREDO - NO RESTRICTIONS.  
HTTP://WWW.CITYOFLAREDO.COM/UTILITIES/WATER-CONSERVATION.HTML  
 
THE CITY OF LAREDO DRAWS ITS WATER FROM THE AMISTAD RESERVOIR  
LOCATED ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WHEN THE WATER CAPACITY OF THE  
RESERVOIR REACHES AND FALLS BELOW 51%, STAGE 1 IN WATER  
RESTRICTIONS BEGIN. THE CURRENT CAPACITY AS OF FEBRUARY 12, 2020  
IS 73.0%.  
 
FOR OTHER PUBLIC WATER SYSTEMS (PWS) WHICH MAY HAVE WATER USE  
LIMITS FOR THE LOCALS:  
WWW.TCEQ.TEXAS.GOV/DRINKINGWATER/TROT/DROUGHTW.HTML  
 
LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT CURRENTLY HAVE MANDATORY RESTRICTIONS  
CONTINUE TO STRONGLY PROMOTE YEAR-ROUND WATER CONSERVATION.  
 
SOIL MOISTURE IMPACTS.  
 
AS OF FEBRUARY 11, THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) ANALYZES  
THE PERCENT OF AVAILABLE SOIL MOISTURE AS BELOW NORMAL ACROSS  
SOUTH TEXAS. THE AVAILABLE SOIL MOISTURE RANGES FROM 1 TO 10  
PERCENT OF NORMAL FROM WEST TO EAST RESPECTIVELY ACROSS SOUTH  
TEXAS.  
 
AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS  
 
TEXAS CROP AND WEATHER REPORT FROM TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE AS OF:  
JANUARY 28, 2019  
 
COASTAL BEND REGION:  
-PASTURE GROWTH STIMULATED BY RAIN AND FAIR WEATHER THAT  
FOLLOWED.  
-HAY SUPPLIES WERE TIGHTER THAN NORMAL.  
-PRODUCERS CONTINUE TO FEED SUPPLEMENTS OF PROTEIN AND HAY.  
 
SOUTH REGION:  
-MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS REPORTED WITH VERY SHORT TO ADEQUATE  
SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS.  
-HAY BEING FED TO CATTLE IN LARGE AMOUNTS.  
-PASTURE AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS POOR.  
-LIVESTOCK SUPPLEMENTAL FEEDING CONTINUES.  
-SOME RANCHERS REDUCING HERDS.  
 
FIRE DANGER HAZARDS.  
 
FIRE DANGER MAP - FEBRUARY 12, 2019  
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST OBSERVED FIRE DANGER MAP FROM THE TEXAS  
INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER (TICC), LOW FIRE DANGER COVERS  
MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS, WHILE MODERATE FIRE DANGER COVERS SOUTHERN  
WEBB COUNTY EASTWARD ACROSS DUVAL, JIM WELLS, KLEBERG, AND NUECES  
COUNTIES.  
 
KEETCH-BRYAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)  
KBDI IS AN INDEX USED TO DETERMINE FOREST FIRE POTENTIAL, WHICH  
IS BASED ON A DAILY WATER BALANCE CONSIDERING PRECIPITATION AND  
SOIL MOISTURE. THE KBDI CAN RANGE FROM 0 TO 800, WHERE A VALUE OF  
0 REPRESENTS NO MOISTURE DEPLETION, AND 800 WOULD BE  
REPRESENTATIVE OF ABSOLUTELY DRY CONDITIONS. A KBDI BETWEEN 600  
AND 800 IS OFTEN ASSOCIATED WITH SEVERE DROUGHT AND INCREASED  
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL.  
 
THE FOLLOWING TABLE LISTS THE KDBI FOR COUNTIES ACROSS THE REGION  
AS OF FEB 12, 2020.  
 
200-300 300-400 400-500 500-600 600-700  
ARANSAS KLEBERG GOLIAD BEE LA SALLE  
CALHOUN NUECES JIM WELLS DUVAL WEBB  
REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO VICTORIA LIVE OAK  
MCMULLEN  
 
BURN BANS  
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE BURN BAN MAP - FEBRUARY 12, 2020  
COUNTY-WIDE BURN BANS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS  
 
CURRENT BURN BANS NO BURN BANS  
DUVAL ARANSAS  
KLEBERG BEE  
LA SALLE CALHOUN  
LIVE OAK GOLIAD  
NUECES JIM WELLS  
MCMULLEN  
REFUGIO  
SAN PATRICIO  
VICTORIA  
WEBB  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
 
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - FEBRUARY 3, 2019  
ENSO (EL-NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION)  
ALERT SYSTEM STATUS: NOT ACTIVE  
 
ENSO-NEUTRAL CONDITIONS PRESENT. EQUATORIAL SEA SURFACE  
TEMPERATURES (SSTS) ARE NEAR-TO-ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS THE PACIFIC  
OCEAN. ENSO-NEUTRAL IS FAVORED DURING THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE  
SPRING 2020 (~60%) CONTINUING THROUGH SUMMER 2020 (~50%).  
 
SOUTH TEXAS SUMMARY - JANUARY 1, 2020  
 
THE NEW YEAR STARTED OFF WET WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN DUE TO A  
COASTAL TROUGH AND MID-LEVEL SUPPORT. EXITING OF THE MID-LEVEL  
TROUGH AND THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK FRONT ENDED RAIN CHANCES JANUARY  
3RD. ROUGHLY 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF RAIN FELL ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH  
TEXAS, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LA SALLE AND WESTERN WEBB COUNTIES.  
SPOTTY RAIN THEN DEVELOPED BY JANUARY 9 AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT TO  
MOVE THROUGH SOUTH TEXAS LATE ON JANUARY 10 INTO THE MORNING  
HOURS OF JANUARY 11. MOST OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY  
AGAIN COVERED THE COASTAL PLAINS REGION, WITH NEARLY 1/4 INCH OF  
RAINFALL GENERALLY EAST OF I-37, AND SPOTTY AMOUNTS OF NEAR 1/2  
INCH BETWEEN GOLIAD AND VICTORIA. WEST OF I-37, RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
AVERAGED LESS THAT 1/10 INCH, WITH AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH OF  
HIGHWAY 44 HAVING RECEIVED LITTLE TO NO RAIN. ANOTHER ROUND OF  
SPOTTY ACTIVITY OCCURRED BETWEEN JANUARY 13 THROUGH JANUARY 18,  
AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS  
OF JANUARY 18. AGAIN, MOST OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY OCCURRED ACROSS THE EAST, MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL  
COUNTIES. MOST OF CALHOUN COUNTY ALONG WITH PORTIONS OF ARANSAS  
AND REFUGIO COUNTIES CAME OUT THE WINNERS WITH NEARLY 1 TO 3  
INCHES OF RAIN. ELSEWHERE, LESS THAN 1/4 INCH OF RAIN WAS  
OBSERVED. MID-LEVEL ENERGY IN THE FORM OF A TROUGH THEN SWUNG  
ACROSS TEXAS ON JANUARY 22 AND JANUARY 23. THIS LED TO SCATTERED  
SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL ACROSS AREAS  
GENERALLY EAST OF I-37 WITH 1/2 TO 1 INCH OF RAIN. WEST OF I-37,  
LESS THAN 1/4 INCH OF RAIN WAS OBSERVED. A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH  
FORMED ON JANUARY 25 AND A WEAK FRONT MOVED THROUGH ON JANUARY 29  
TO LEAD TO ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH.  
THE MAJORITY OF THE RAIN FELL ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS  
REGION, WITH 1/4 TO 1/2 OF RAIN.  
 
OVERALL, AREAS GENERALLY EAST OF I-37 RECEIVED NEARLY 1/2 INCH OF  
RAIN, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN. AREAS WEST  
OF I-37 WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WEBB AND LA SALLE COUNTIES RECEIVED  
UP TO 1/4 INCH OF RAIN. WEBB AND LA SALLE COUNTIES RECEIVED A FEW  
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. THESE TOTALS AVERAGED 1 TO 2 INCHES BELOW  
NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY. THAT TRANSLATES TO  
ROUGHLY TO 15 TO 20 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL, WITH WEBB AND LA  
SALLE COUNTIES GENERALLY WEST OF I-35 HAVING RECEIVED LESS THAN 5  
PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL.  
 
THE FOLLOWING TABLE THROUGH THE MONTH OF JANUARY SHOWS:  
- MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS (DEFICITS/SURPLUS) IN INCHES  
- YEAR-TO-DATE RAINFALL (DEFICITS/SURPLUS) FOR 2020 IN INCHES  
- AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPS (DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL) IN DEGREES F  
 
DECEMBER 2020 JAN AVG TEMPS  
CORPUS CHRISTI 0.80 (-0.74) 0.80 (-0.74) 62.6 ( 5.5)  
VICTORIA 2.78 ( 0.26) 2.78 ( 0.26) 60.1 ( 6.2)  
LAREDO 0.31 (-0.59) 0.31 (-0.59) 62.5 ( 6.0)  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
 
LOCAL FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS (FEB 13 - FEB 19):  
COOL TEMPERATURES IN STORE IN WAKE OF A COLD FRONT FEBRUARY 13  
AND 14. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM AND RAIN CHANCES WILL  
BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FEBRUARY 15 AS A WEAK COASTAL TROUGH BEGINS  
TO DEVELOP. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FEBRUARY 19 AS THE  
NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES SOUTH TEXAS.  
 
CPC OUTLOOK FOR DAYS 8-14 (FEB 20 - FEB 26):  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED  
FOR ALL OF SOUTH TEXAS.  
 
CPC OUTLOOK FOR 1 MONTH (FEB):  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
 
CPC OUTLOOK FOR 3 MONTHS (FEB - APR):  
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE, BELOW, AND  
NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
 
MONTHLY DROUGHT OUTLOOK (DEC):  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE  
WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY.  
 
SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK (JAN 16 - APR 30):  
SOME DROUGHT REMOVAL IS LIKELY.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
 
USGS STREAMFLOW MAP - FEBRUARY 12, 2020.  
NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL STREAMFLOW FOR ABOUT HALF OF THE RIVER SITES  
ACROSS THE COASTAL REGION. BELOW NORMAL FLOW ALONG GARCITAS CREEK  
NEAR INEZ, PLACEDO CREEK NEAR PLACEDO, PERDIDO CREEK NEAR FANNIN,  
MISSION RIVER AT REFUGIO, AND NUECES RIVER AT MATHIS AND THREE  
RIVERS. MUCH BELOW NORMAL FLOW ALONG COLETO CREEK NEAR SCHROEDER,  
ATASCOSA RIVER AT WHITSETT, AND THE NUECES RIVER AT TILDEN.  
 
THE FOLLOWING TABLE SHOWS THE CURRENT RESERVOIR LEVELS AS OF  
FEBRUARY 1, 2019:  
 
RESERVOIR NORMAL POOL CURRENT POOL % OF CAPACITY  
CHOKE CANYON 220.5 FT 202.6 FT 44.7%  
LAKE CORPUS CHRISTI 94.0 FT 90.4 FT 73.8%  
LAKE TEXANA 44.0 FT 38.9 FT 72.8%  
COLETO CREEK 98.0 FT 94.4 FT N/A  
CANYON LAKE* 909.0 FT 906.0 FT N/A  
LAKE AMISTAD** 1117.0 FT 1086.2 FT N/A  
 
* SUPPLIES THE CITY OF VICTORIA  
** ALONG RIO GRANDE, UPSTREAM OF LAREDO  
 
COMBINED CURRENT POOL % LAST YEAR % DIFFERENCE  
CHOKE CANYON/LAKE CC 52.8% 67.6% -14.8%  
 
RESERVOIRS CONTINUE TO LOWER DUE TO WATER USAGE. CLIMATE OUTLOOKS  
CALL FOR COOLER AND WETTER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF  
FEBRUARY. HOPEFULLY, SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ACROSS  
THE WATERSHEDS, OTHERWISE, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE THE WATER  
LEVELS TO DROP WITHIN THE RESERVOIRS.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR NEAR  
MARCH 10, 2020. IF DROUGHT CONDITIONS WORSEN, AN UPDATE MAY BE  
PROVIDED AT AN EARLIER DATE.  
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
NWS CORPUS CHRISTI DROUGHT PAGE:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CRP/DROUGHT  
 
ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS):  
HTTPS://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP  
 
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU  
 
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL:  
HTTPS://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
 
TEXAS WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD DROUGHT WEBSITE:  
HTTP://WWW.WATERDATAFORTEXAS.ORG/DROUGHT/  
 
TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE CROP AND WEATHER REPORTS:  
HTTP://TODAY.AGRILIFE.ORG  
 
TEXAS BURN BANS:  
HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG  
 
TEXAS KBDI:  
HTTP://TWC.TAMU.EDU  
 
TEXAS OBSERVED AND FORECAST FIRE DANGER:  
HTTP://TICC.TAMU.EDU/PREDICTIVESERVICES/FUELSFIREDANGER.HTM  
 
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION:  
USGS: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
IBWC: HTTP://IBWC.GOV  
 
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...  
THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL  
INFORMATION, THE USDA, STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS  
AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR  
THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA  
OBSERVATION SITES, STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES,  
THE USDA, USACE AND USGS.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OF COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT  
INFORMATION STATEMENT, PLEASE CONTACT...  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
426 PINSON DRIVE  
CORPUS CHRISTI TX 78406  
PHONE: 361-289-0959  
SR-CRP.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
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