234  
AXUS74 KFWD 301200  
DGTFWD  
TXC001-027-035-085-093-097-099-113-119-121-133-139-143-145-147-  
161-181-193-213-217-221-223-231-237-251-257-277-281-289-293-309-  
331-333-337-349-363-367-379-395-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-  
061200-  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
600 AM CST MON JAN 30 2023  
   
..DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST AS TRIPLE-DIP LA NINA WANES
 
 
FOR ADDITIONAL CONTENT, VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/DROUGHT  
 
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.SYNOPSIS:  
 
.DROUGHT INTENSITY AND EXTENT:  
 
EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) REMAINS FROM COMANCHE AND GOLDTHWAITE TO  
HAMILTON AND GATESVILLE. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) PERSISTS FROM THE  
BIG COUNTRY INTO CENTRAL TEXAS AS WELL AS ALONG THE RED RIVER  
UPSTREAM OF LAKE TEXOMA. AFTER SEVERAL WEEKS WITHOUT ANY DROUGHT  
DESIGNATION, ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO NORTH  
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS, INCLUDING DALLAS/FORT WORTH AND  
SHERMAN/DENISON.  
 
.PRECIPITATION:  
 
FOR NEARLY ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS, 2022 PRECIPITATION  
TOTALS WERE BELOW NORMAL. MANY LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE I-20  
CORRIDOR HAD ANNUAL DEFICITS OF MORE THAN 12 INCHES. THIS INCLUDES  
WACO, WHICH RECORDED ITS 7TH DRIEST YEAR ON RECORD, AND KILLEEN,  
WHICH TALLIED ONLY 17.01" FOR THE ENTIRE CALENDAR YEAR. AS A  
WHOLE, ERATH COUNTY RECORDED ITS DRIEST YEAR ON RECORD.  
 
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS:  
 
RAINFALL LATE LAST YEAR, PARTICULARLY DURING NOVEMBER, REVERSED  
LONG-TERM RESERVOIR DECLINES IN MANY AREAS, BUT SOME LAKES FROM  
THE BIG COUNTRY TO CENTRAL TEXAS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE.  
EVAPORATION, WHICH CAN BE OVER 1/2 INCH ON A HOT SUMMER DAY,  
REDUCES TO AS LITTLE AS ONE TENTH OF AN INCH PER DAY DURING THE  
WINTER. WATER USAGE ALSO DECLINES SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE COLD  
SEASON, BUT WATER RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR SOME  
MUNICIPALITIES.  
 
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.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS:  
 
.AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS:  
 
WITH PROLONGED DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND PUNISHING INFLATION, HAY  
AND FEED PRICES SOARED, NECESSITATING HERD REDUCTIONS. MILLIONS  
OF CATTLE WERE SOLD OFF DURING 2022, NEARLY A HALF MILLION MORE  
THAN IN 2021 AND THE GREATEST LIQUIDATION SINCE THE DROUGHT YEAR  
OF 2011.  
 
WINTER WHEAT NEEDS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR EMERGENCE, BUT ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS, THERE WAS TOO MUCH RAINFALL  
DURING THE PLANTING SEASON. AS A RESULT, SOME ACREAGE HAS BEEN  
ABANDONED, THE FIELDS SUBSEQUENTLY PLOWED OVER.  
 
.FIRE HAZARDS:  
 
BITTER COLD CONDITIONS DURING DECEMBER SENT WINTER GRASSES INTO  
DORMANCY AND DESSICATED WARM SEASON VEGETATION. A MULTI-WEEK DRY  
SPELL FOLLOWED, AND SEVERAL LARGE GRASS FIRES OCCURRED DURING  
JANUARY. DESPITE RECENT RAINFALL, WARM SEASON VEGETATION WILL  
REMAIN DORMANT AND CONDUCIVE TO FIRE INITIATION AND SPREAD. BELOW  
NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED THE REMAINDER OF THE WINTER,  
AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CAN EASILY REINTENSIFY. THE DAYS OF  
GREATEST CONCERN ARE THOSE THAT ARE SUNNY AND WARM WITH LOW  
HUMIDITY, ESPECIALLY IF IT IS ALSO BREEZY.  
 
NEARLY ALL OF THE REGION'S OUTDOOR BURN BANS HAVE BEEN  
DISCONTINUED, BUT EVEN IF A FORMAL BAN IS NOT IN EFFECT FOR YOUR  
AREA, IT IS STILL IMPORTANT TO BE VIGILANT ABOUT FIRE USAGE. MANY  
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES (SUCH AS GRILLING) INVOLVE A RISK OF STARTING  
WILDFIRES. THE NATIONAL FIRE PROTECTION ASSOCIATION ESTIMATES OVER  
10,000 HOME GRILL FIRES OCCUR EACH YEAR, RESULTING IN 135 MILLION  
DOLLARS IN PROPERTY DAMAGE ANNUALLY. AVOID OPEN FLAMES NEAR DRY  
VEGETATION AND ASSURE ALL COALS AND EMBERS ARE EXTINGUISHED.  
 
.LAKE LEVELS:  
 
MOST NORTH TEXAS RESERVOIRS ARE OVER 80 PERCENT CAPACITY, WITH  
MANY OVER 90 PERCENT OF THEIR CONSERVATION VOLUME. HOWEVER, WHERE  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST, SEVERAL ARE UNDER 60 PERCENT,  
INCLUDING PALO PINTO, PAT CLEBURNE, PROCTOR, WACO, AND  
WEATHERFORD. LAKE WACO WAS FULL IN SEPTEMBER 2021 BUT HAS SINCE  
FALLEN NEARLY 12 FEET, LOSING 45 PERCENT OF ITS VOLUME AND MORE  
THAN 1/4 OF ITS SURFACE AREA.  
 
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.DROUGHT MITIGATION ACTIONS:  
 
.WATER RESTRICTIONS:  
 
FOR MANY JURISDICTIONS, VOLUNTARY WATER CONSERVATION MEASURES ARE  
IN EFFECT. HOWEVER, IN SOME MUNICIPALITIES, THE WATER RESTRICTIONS  
ENACTED DURING THE MULTI-YEAR DROUGHT A DECADE AGO REMAIN IN  
PLACE.  
 
IN BOTH DALLAS AND FORT WORTH, LANDSCAPE WATERING IS LIMITED TO  
TWICE PER WEEK. ONLY HAND WATERING IS PERMITTED BETWEEN 10 AM AND  
6 PM. (FOR DALLAS, THE 10 AM TO 6 PM RESTRICTION IS ONLY IN EFFECT  
FROM APRIL TO OCTOBER.)  
 
IN JULY, WACO ENACTED TWICE-PER-WEEK WATERING LIMITS. IN AUGUST,  
THE DAYTIME LIMIT ON HAND WATERING WAS EASED FROM 13 TO 11 HOURS  
AND IS NOW ONLY RESTRICTED DURING THE WINDOW OF 8 AM TO 7 PM. IF  
LAKE WACO FALLS BELOW 450 FEET, WHICH IS ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR  
DURING FEBRUARY, STAGE 3 OF THE CITY'S DROUGHT CONTINGENCY PLAN  
WILL BE ENACTED, LIMITING OUTDOOR WATERING TO ONE DAY PER WEEK.  
 
IN AUGUST, KILLEEN ENACTED STAGE 1 OF ITS WATER CONSERVATION PLAN,  
WHICH REQUESTS RESIDENTS LIMIT LANDSCAPE WATERING TO ONLY TWO DAYS  
A WEEK. IN ADDITION, IRRIGATION SHOULD NOT BE DONE BETWEEN 10 AM  
AND 8 PM. SIMILAR VOLUNTARY CONSERVATION MEASURES ARE ONGOING FOR  
TEMPLE, BELTON, AND COPPERAS COVE.  
 
SINCE WATER RESTRICTIONS VARY, RESIDENTS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED WITH  
THE CURRENT GUIDELINES FROM THEIR MUNICIPALITY OR WATER UTILITY  
PROVIDER.  
 
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.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK:  
 
LA NINA CONDITIONS ARE STILL IN PLACE BUT ARE EXPECTED TO COME TO  
AN END WITHIN THE NEXT FEW MONTHS. HOWEVER, SINCE BOTH LA NINA AND  
ENSO-NEUTRAL TEND TO REDUCE PRECIPITATION DURING THE WINTER AND  
SPRING, OUTLOOKS FOR THE NEXT FEW MONTHS CONTINUE TO FAVOR BELOW  
NORMAL PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
TO EXPAND/WORSEN INTO THE UPCOMING SPRING.  
 
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.NEXT ISSUANCE DATE:  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED DURING  
FEBRUARY.  
 
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.RELATED WEB SITES:  
 
NWS FORT WORTH DROUGHT PAGE - WEATHER.GOV/FORTWORTH/DROUGHT  
 
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM - DROUGHT.GOV  
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER - CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV  
PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES - WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP  
 
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER - DROUGHT.UNL.EDU  
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR - DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU  
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER - DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU  
 
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.ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATES CONTINUOUS DISCUSSION AMONG  
NUMEROUS AGENCIES, ACADEMIA, AND OTHER LOCAL INTERESTS. THE  
EXPERTISE OF ITS MEMBERS HAS BEEN INVALUABLE IN DEVELOPING  
DROUGHT PRODUCTS AND SERVICES FOR OUR CUSTOMERS AND PARTNERS.  
 
THE DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER (MAINTAINED BY THE NATIONAL DROUGHT  
MITIGATION CENTER) HAS ALLOWED VARIOUS IMPACTS TO BE COMPILED  
WITHIN ONE CLEARINGHOUSE. THESE IMPACTS INCLUDE AGRICULTURAL  
ISSUES, HYDROLOGIC DEFICITS, FIRE DANGER, AND OTHER SOCIAL AND  
ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES.  
 
THE TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE CONTINUALLY MONITORS VEGETATION  
CONDITIONS AND WILDFIRE POTENTIAL. THE STATE AGENCY ALSO  
MAINTAINS A CURRENT LIST OF COUNTYWIDE BURN BANS.  
 
OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION ARE SUMMARIZED FROM A  
VARIETY OF PRODUCTS CREATED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER  
(CPC). CPC IS A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (NWS) ENTITY WITHIN THE  
NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION (NCEP).  
 
HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION IS COMPILED FROM NUMEROUS SOURCES,  
INCLUDING THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS (USACE), THE TEXAS  
WATER DEVELOPMENT BOARD (TWDB), AND LOCAL WATER DISTRICTS.  
 
------------------------------------------------------------------  
 
.CONTACT INFORMATION:  
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK ON OUR DROUGHT  
PRODUCTS AND SERVICES, PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE  
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE  
3401 NORTHERN CROSS BLVD.  
FORT WORTH, TX 76137  
 
PHONE: (817) 429-2631  
E-MAIL: SR-FWD.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 
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