392
FNUS54 KEPZ 101221
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE ON THE LOW END. WE WILL SEE
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND THUS SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE BEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. BY
TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK, WE WILL SEE A DRYING
OUT TREND. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO SEASONABLE
LEVELS AFTER TUESDAY.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-102100-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....66-71.
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....38-43 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....32-37 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (87800 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....44-48.
* BELOW 7500 FT....50-55.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....90-95 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....85-90 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 23 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....63-68.
* BELOW 7500 FT....73-78.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....49-54 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 32 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (152000 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 47 TO 52. HIGHS 65 TO 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 45 TO 50.
HIGHS 63 TO 68. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41 TO 46. HIGHS 63 TO 68. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ111-102100-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (86500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-63.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (160400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 77 TO 82. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS
76 TO 81. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS 74 TO 79.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ112-102100-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (110500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING
TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (155700 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 80 TO 85.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 78 TO 83. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 60. HIGHS 75 TO 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ113-102100-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....65-70.
* BELOW 7500 FT....73-78.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....29-34 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (90900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50.
* BELOW 7500 FT....52-57.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....80-85 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....68-73 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....67-72.
* BELOW 7500 FT....76-81.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....31-36 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (131800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53 TO 58. HIGHS 72 TO 77. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 70 TO 75. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 66 TO 71. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ055-102100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (110300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-67.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........51-55 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 23 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-28 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (124800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ056-102100-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
621 AM MDT SAT OCT 10 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (95100 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-64.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 21 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (124400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 83 TO 88. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS
82 TO 87. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 78 TO 83. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
DH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page