083
FNUS54 KEPZ 161106
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
CONTINUED WARM AND VERY DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH BREEZY TO
WINDY AFTERNOONS EACH DAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY, WHERE THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RH AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
PUSH FIRE CONDITIONS TO CRITICAL. ADDITIONALLY, FUELS HAVE BEEN
DRYING THE PAST WEEK OR SO, AND ERCS ARE APPROACHING THE 90TH
PERCENTILE. EXACERBATING FIRE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
ARE THE POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY, WITH MAX RHS IN THE 25-35%
RANGE. AND TO TOP IT OFF, WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NIGHT TIME HOURS TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY, AND COULD BE UPGRADED TO
A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY. MONDAY COULD ALSO EVENTUALLY SEE
A WATCH OR RED FLAG WARNING.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-162030-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....79-84.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....7-9 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....6-8 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (180300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....43-48.
* BELOW 7500 FT....46-51.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....35-40 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....34-39 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 26 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73.
* BELOW 7500 FT....76-81.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....8-10 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....8-10 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (275300 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 71 TO 76. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 41 TO 46. HIGHS 72 TO 77. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 75 TO 80. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-162030-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (201200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 29 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING
DUST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
* MIN HUMIDITY........7-9 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (314200 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 50 TO 55. HIGHS 83 TO 88. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. HIGHS
84 TO 89. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ112-162030-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........4-6 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (208300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........6-8 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (328600 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 55 TO 60. HIGHS 82 TO 87. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 53 TO 58. HIGHS 84 TO 89. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS 84 TO 89.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ113-162030-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....81-86.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....8-10 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....5-7 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (181500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....47-52.
* BELOW 7500 FT....54-59.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....27-32 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....19-24 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 31 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....69-74.
* BELOW 7500 FT....77-82.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....9-13 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....6-10 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 33 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (315600 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 73 TO 78. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 47 TO 52. HIGHS 73 TO 78. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 48 TO 53. HIGHS 71 TO 76. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-162030-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (175000 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-66.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........21-23 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 21 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92.
* MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 22 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (279800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ056-162030-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
506 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (160700 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
SUNDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING
DUST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........5-7 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 21 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......EXCELLENT (270900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 86 TO 91. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 86 TO
91. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
HIGHS 84 TO 89. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
DH
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