462
FNUS54 KEPZ 041123
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NM FORESTS THIS
AFTERNOON, WHICH COULD CAUSE SUDDEN, ERRATIC WIND GUSTS BETWEEN
2PM AND 10PM TODAY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. MIN RH
30-40% WITH VERY GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH LEADING TO POOR/FAIR VENT RATES. RAIN SHOWERS MAY LINGER
WELL INTO SATURDAY MORNING AGAIN TONIGHT. GOOD RAIN CHANCES FOR
BOTH LINCOLN AND GILA NF OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH FLOODING RISK
PEAKING DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS EACH DAY. THIS EXTENDED
PERIOD OF FAVORABLE RAIN CHANCES WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER LOW WITH
MINIMAL RISK OF NEW LIGHTNING STARTS. PREVAILING FLOW SHIFTS OUT
OF THE SE SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH MIDDAY VENT RATES GENERALLY
POOR/FAIR.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-041900-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....47-52 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....39-44 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (54400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....52-57.
* BELOW 7500 FT....58-63.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....81-86 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....73-78.
* BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....38-43 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 6 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (49100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 58 TO 63. HIGHS 82 TO 87. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 80 TO 85. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 58 TO 63. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-041900-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (63200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (61200 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS
91 TO 96. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 90 TO 95. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 90 TO 95. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ112-041900-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (63400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (40700 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 91 TO 96.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 91 TO 96.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS 91 TO 96.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ113-041900-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....29-34 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (80300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....51-56.
* BELOW 7500 FT....59-64.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....84-89 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....70-75 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....73-78.
* BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....47-52 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....31-36 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (54700 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
58 TO 63. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 57 TO 62. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57 TO 62. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TXZ055-041900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-34 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (56600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 6 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
* MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 6 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (36100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ056-041900-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
523 AM MDT FRI SEP 4 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (53400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 6 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (39400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS 90 TO 95. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
LABOR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65 TO 70. HIGHS 90 TO 95. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS 90 TO 95. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
DENNHARDT
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