371
FNUS54 KEPZ 171122
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS (60-80% COVERAGE OVER GNF/LNF
EACH AFTERNOON) THROUGH MONDAY. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUDDEN,
GUSTY WINDS, BURN SCAR FLOODING, AND NEW LIGHTNING STARTS. MIN RH
40-60% WITH VERY GOOD OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY. MOISTURE AND RAIN
CHANCES WILL DECREASE FIRE WEATHER RISK OVER THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE
SHIFTS WEST NEXT WEEK, LEADING TO A DECREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
TUESDAY INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AHEAD. ISOLATED STORMS
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NM AND GILA NF, BUT OVERALL
DRIER AND WARMER.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-171915-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....81-86.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....35-40 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (79900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....52-57.
* BELOW 7500 FT....57-62.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....78-83 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....75-80 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....81-86.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....43-48 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (64500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO
83. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO
83. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO 83. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-171915-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (82700 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-67.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (88700 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ112-171915-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (75900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 87 TO 92. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ113-171915-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73.
* BELOW 7500 FT....78-83.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....56-61 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (51200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....49-54.
* BELOW 7500 FT....57-62.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....85-90 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.
* BELOW 7500 FT....79-84.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....55-60 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....41-46 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (44500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 77 TO 82. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 79 TO 84. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 57 TO 62. HIGHS 80 TO 85. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-171915-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92.
* MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (52100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ056-171915-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
522 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 6 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (49900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (50800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE 60S. HIGHS 84 TO 89. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 87 TO 92. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
DENNHARDT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page