193
FNUS54 KEPZ 221216
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
DISCUSSION
TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT WILL BE THE START OF THE BIG RAIN EVENT
WE'VE BEEN MESSAGING. MIN RHS TODAY WILL BE 30-40% IN THE LOWLANDS
AND 50-70% IN THE MOUNTAINS. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY RHS WILL BE
AS HIGH AS 50-75% IN THE LOWLANDS AND 80-100% IN THE MOUNTAINS. 20
FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AT AROUND 5-10 MPH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS EXCEPT TODAY AS WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY BREEZIER DURING THE
AFTERNOON AT 10-15 MPH.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-221815-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....63-68.
* BELOW 7500 FT....73-78.
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....50-55 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....43-48 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 17 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (73500 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....47-51.
* BELOW 7500 FT....53-58.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....99-100 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....97-100 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 18 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......90 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....53-58.
* BELOW 7500 FT....62-67.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....83-88 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....75-80 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (26100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 67 TO 72. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 50 TO 55.
HIGHS 69 TO 74. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 72 TO 77. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-221815-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
* 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 28 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (77000 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
* MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (33900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS NEAR 80. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ112-221815-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 17 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (100600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-62.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........97-100 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 21 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
* MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......90 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (50600 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 74 TO 79. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60.
HIGHS 76 TO 81. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 80 TO 85. LIGHT
WINDS.
NMZ113-221815-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE
FOG UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1100, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....64-69.
* BELOW 7500 FT....73-78.
* 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....57-62 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....46-51 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (60400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....46-51.
* BELOW 7500 FT....53-57.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....98-100 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....95-100 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 22 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....56-61.
* BELOW 7500 FT....64-69.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....87-92 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....72-77 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......90 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (49800 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56.
HIGHS 66 TO 71. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56.
HIGHS 68 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 74 TO 79. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-221815-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-91.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (130000 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-65.
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 24 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-78.
* MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 23 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (56400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
TXZ056-221815-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
616 AM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 17 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (115100 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 23 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
* MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......80 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (72900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
57 TO 62. HIGHS 77 TO 82. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60.
HIGHS 78 TO 83. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 82 TO 87. LIGHT WINDS.
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