831
FNUS54 KEPZ 161038
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
DISCUSSION
THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. MIN RH'S TODAY AND MONDAY WILL BE AT OR ABOVE
20% ACROSS THE AREA. AFTER MONDAY, DRIER AIR ALONG WITH LOWER RAIN
CHANCES WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA. MIN RH'S THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS TO THE 20'S IN
AREA MOUNTAINS. WINDS, AWAY FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS, WILL STAY
WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
VENTILATION RATES WILL RANGE FROM GOOD TO VERY GOOD TODAY AND
MONDAY.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-161830-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....76-81.
* BELOW 7500 FT....86-91.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....27-32 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....22-27 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (68600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....54-58.
* BELOW 7500 FT....60-65.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....71-76 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....67-72 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....74-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...70 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (72200 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 57 TO 62. HIGHS 83 TO 88. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 86 TO 91. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 87 TO 92. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-161830-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (74300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (101500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 93 TO 98. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 95 TO 100. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 97 TO 102. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ112-161830-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-97.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (81300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (101700 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS
93 TO 98. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 96 TO 101. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 98 TO 103. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ113-161830-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....73-78.
* BELOW 7500 FT....83-88.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....30-35 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (81700 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....50-55.
* BELOW 7500 FT....58-63.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....83-88 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....82-87.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....26-31 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (94300 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 57 TO 62. HIGHS 84 TO 89. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 86 TO 91. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61 TO 66. HIGHS 87 TO 92. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-161830-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-98.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (80200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (120300 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. HIGHS 98 TO
102. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. HIGHS
99 TO 103. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
TXZ056-161830-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
438 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (93200 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
MONDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......VERY GOOD (112300 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67 TO 72. HIGHS 93 TO 98. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 67 TO 72. HIGHS 96 TO 101. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69 TO 74. HIGHS 97 TO 102. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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