606
FNUS54 KEPZ 161032
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH
BETTER COVERAGE WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. A FEW INSTANCES
OF FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OUT WEST WITH HIGH RAIN RATES AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST
TODAY OUTSIDE OF GUSTY OUTFLOWS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR WHERE
THEY WERE YESTERDAY WITH POOR TO GOOD VENTILATION. THE STORM AND
FLOOD THREAT INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND AREA-WIDE. SATURDAY LOOKS
LIKE THE BEST DAY TO SEE HEAVY RAINFALL.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-161945-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100, THEN
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....71-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....35-40 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...70 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....52-57.
* BELOW 7500 FT....57-62.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....82-87 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....78-83 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....71-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (61000 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 77 TO 82. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
55 TO 60. HIGHS 78 TO 83. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO 83. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-161945-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (62900 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (64600 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ112-161945-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (75000 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (76900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 86 TO 91. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 87 TO 92. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ113-161945-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....71-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....40-45 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....30-35 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (90400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....49-56.
* BELOW 7500 FT....57-62.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....87-92 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....77-82 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....70-79.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....46-51 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....34-39 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...70 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......70 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO 83. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 78 TO 83. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
56 TO 61. HIGHS 80 TO 85. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-161945-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-25 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (80300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-94.
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-27 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (60500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ056-161945-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
432 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (78400 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
60S. HIGHS 84 TO 89. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 85 TO 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARONSON
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