752  
FNUS54 KMAF 211934  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
234 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS GENERALLY REMAIN LOW TO NONE OVER THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS. MINRHS WILL LARGELY REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS  
APART FROM THE SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS INTO GUADALUPES, WESTERN  
CULBERSON COUNTY, AND THE PRESIDIO VALLEY, WITH FAIR TO GOOD  
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. LIGHT, 20-FT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS, SEASONABLE  
TEMPERATURES, AND ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE SHOULD ALSO AID  
KEEP THE FIRE WEATHER RISK LOW. HOWEVER, DRY LIGHTNING MAY STILL  
IGNITE FIRES OVER DRIER FUELS ON THE WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-220930-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
134 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-2) 84 (+4) 50 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 53 (-36) 9 (-9) 64 16  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 11 W 12 SW 8 NW 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 SW 9 W 6 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 26 28 12  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 13780 11790  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 19 W 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 261820 153270  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 2 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-220930-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
134 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-2) 89 (+4) 52 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-2) 11 (-14) 95 18  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SW 5 S 8 N 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 5 E 7 W 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 20 23 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 15010 11480  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 16 NW 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 240160 149240  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-220930-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
134 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (-1) 93 (+6) 55 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-10) 10 (-12) 82 16  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 SW 9 SW 9 NW 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 10 S 7 SW 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 21 22 24 15  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14800 13000  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 18 W 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 266400 156000  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 1 1 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-220930-  
LEA-  
134 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-3) 90 (+7) 52 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 11 (-23) 100 20  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SW 8 S 9 SE 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SW 8 SE 8 S 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 25 25 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14930 10630  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 17 SW 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 253810 127560  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 1 1 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-220930-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
234 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026 /134 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026/  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-1) 84 (+7) 57 84  
RH % (24H TREND) 57 (-31) 12 (-8) 35 13  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 11 W 12 W 9 W 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 W 14 W 5 W 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 29 24 18  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11820 13640  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 20 W 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 236400 204600  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 1 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-220930-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
234 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-5) 91 (+7) 56 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (-6) 14 (-12) 73 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 9 S 5 NW 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 26 20 15  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12020 10470  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 W 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 216360 125640  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-220930-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
234 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 10 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-3) 92 (+10) 59 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 16 (-31) 100 24  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 SW 7 S 8 S 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SW 7 SE 7 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 21 20 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12020 7030  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 16 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 192320 105450  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
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