859  
FNUS54 KMAF 160706  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
206 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE  
AREA THROUGH TODAY, ALONG WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT  
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS FRONT BROUGHT DRIER AIR TO MUCH  
OF THE REGION, BUT FUELS MOISTURE REMAINS HIGH WITH THE RECENT  
RAINS. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-162115-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
106 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-14) 30 (-14) 58  
RH % (24H TREND) 17 (-5) 66 (-2) 19  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 20 NE 13 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 20 NE 6 SE 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 53 27 19  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 2820  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 41 E 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 172200 28200  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT POOR  
RFTI 4 4 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ117-162115-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
106 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-15) 30 (-17) 61  
RH % (24H TREND) 16 (-7) 77 (+14) 21  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 14 NE 9 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 45 23 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4810 3560  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 24 SE 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 115440 35600  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD POOR  
RFTI 2 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ118-162115-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
106 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-16) 33 (-20) 60  
RH % (24H TREND) 17 (-5) 71 (+13) 23  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 17 NE 10 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 46 21 20  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5160 3920  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 23 E 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 118680 35280  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD POOR  
RFTI 2 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ119-162115-  
LEA-  
106 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-17) 31 (-19) 59  
RH % (24H TREND) 21 (-8) 82 (+15) 26  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 18 NE 10 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 45 26 15  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4290 3830  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 26 E 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 111540 34470  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD POOR  
RFTI 3 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ270-271-162115-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
206 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026 /106 AM MDT FRI OCT 16 2026/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-16) 31 (-17) 54  
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-4) 73 (+6) 25  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 34 NE 17 E 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 23 E 17 E 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 53 28 23  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3670 2920  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 56 E 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 205520 52560  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT FAIR  
RFTI 4 4 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-162115-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
206 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-18) 34 (-18) 59  
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-3) 82 (-2) 30  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 27 NE 13 NE 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 20 NE 12 E 7  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 47 29 19  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3530 3350  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 37 E 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 130610 56950  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD FAIR  
RFTI 2 1 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-162115-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
206 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-17) 35 (-20) 60  
RH % (24H TREND) 29 (-21) 84 (+5) 32  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 18 NE 9 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 39 27 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4390 3890  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 27 NE 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 118530 46680  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD FAIR  
RFTI 2 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
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