932  
FNUS54 KMAF 160642  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
142 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE HUMID AND RAINY PATTERN WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND KEEPS MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL 15%, GOOD TO EXCELLENT  
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY, AND MOSTLY LIGHT 20-FT HUMID, SOUTHEAST WINDS.  
THIS MAINTAINS LOW ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE AND LOW FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES SHIFT OVER THE WESTERN  
HIGHER TERRAIN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT LOW FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO STAY IN THE FORECAST AS MIN RH  
BELOW CRITICAL, GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY, AND LIGHT 20-FT WINDS.  
FIRE STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC WINDS ARE STILL  
POSSIBLE, BUT GOOD FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIMIT SPREADING OF ANY  
FLAMES.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-162115-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1242 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+2) 60 (-1) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-2) 86 (+4) 27  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 6 E 10 E 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 10 SE 7 SE 11  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 15 8  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7570 6910  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 12 SE 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 90840 96740  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-162115-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1242 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+1) 63 (-1) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (-1) 93 (+7) 27  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 SE 11 SE 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 8 S 11  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 17 12  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8760 7410  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 96360 96330  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-162115-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1242 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (+1) 65 (-1) 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (+2) 92 (+5) 31  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 5 SE 12 SE 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 7 SE 8 SE 11  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 14 6  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7200 6630  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 10 SE 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72000 86190  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-162115-  
LEA-  
1242 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (-1) 62 (-2) 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 100 (+6) 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 5 SE 12 SE 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 8 SE 8 SE 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 8 14 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6680 6080  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73480 85120  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-162115-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
142 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 /1242 AM MDT THU JUL 16 2026/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (+5) 59 (-2) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 34 (-5) 85 (+1) 33  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 12 E 15 E 11  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 11 N 9 SE 12  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 11 16 4  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6540 7650  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 14 SE 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91560 137700  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-162115-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
142 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 10 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+4) 60 (-5) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-5) 98 (+10) 35  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 5 SE 9 SE 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 7 E 5 SE 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 8 19 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5100 6140  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 SE 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 56100 67540  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS  
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-162115-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
142 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+1) 65 (-1) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 48 (0) 100 (+4) 43  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 SE 12 SE 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 11 SE 8 S 14  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 20 29 18  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4110 5150  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 16 S 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 65760 92700  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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