853
FNUS54 KMAF 171823
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
123 PM CDT THU SEP 17 2026
DISCUSSION
MIN RHS STAY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS (>15%) WITH GOOD TO
EXCELLENT RECOVERY, AS WELL AS 20-FT WINDS LARGELY REMAINING
BELOW 20 MPH. FUEL ERCS IN THE 50TH TO 74TH PERCENTILE AND
ISOLATED DAYTIME STORMS OVER THE WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN POSE A LOW
RISK FOR FIRE STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, GUSTY/ERRATIC
WINDS. COOLER WEATHER AND INCREASED CHANCES OF WETTING RAINS THIS
WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOW.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-180915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1223 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 50 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-2) 89 (+5) 59 87
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-3) 29 (-5) 82 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 11 SE 7 SE 8 SW 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 6 S 10 SE 7 S 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 18 21 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7300 6470
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94900 90580
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ117-180915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1223 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 50 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-1) 95 (+5) 63 92
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+2) 26 (-4) 89 31
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 11 S 8 SW 7 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 10 S 7 S 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 20 25 19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7570 7280
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 15 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 113550 87360
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ118-180915-
EDDY PLAINS-
1223 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 40 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-1) 96 (+4) 67 95
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (+6) 26 (-4) 82 30
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 11 SE 8 SE 9 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 10 SE 7 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 17 21 14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7960 7010
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 12 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95520 70100
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ119-180915-
LEA-
1223 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-2) 94 (+4) 65 94
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+8) 27 (-5) 90 30
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 11 SE 10 SE 10 S 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 S 11 S 8 S 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 20 20 19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8070 7960
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 15 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 121050 103480
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ270-271-180915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
123 PM CDT THU SEP 17 2026 /1223 PM MDT THU SEP 17 2026/
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 40 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-2) 90 (+7) 62 87
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (+5) 28 (-4) 81 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 17 SE 11 E 14 S 14
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 12 S 11 E 12 SW 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 13 20 16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8730 6550
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 14 SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 122220 104800
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-180915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
123 PM CDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 10 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-5) 95 (+4) 63 96
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+18) 25 (-4) 90 26
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 12 SE 6 E 10 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 7 SE 7 E 6 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 15 18 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7980 8220
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 87780 82200
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-180915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
123 PM CDT THU SEP 17 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-2) 97 (+3) 68 97
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+10) 27 (-3) 83 26
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SE 9 SE 11 S 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 9 SE 8 S 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 20 17 12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7980 8600
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 14 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 111720 129000
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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