174  
FNUS54 KMAF 170733  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
233 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF  
NEXT WEEK. RECENT RAINFALL HAS KEPT ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE  
ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH  
EARLY NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER.  
ALONG WITH RAIN CHANCES, 20-FT WINDS GENERALLY LOOK LIGHT AND  
MINRH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  
DESPITE RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING BY WEDNESDAY AND AFTERNOON HIGHS  
INCREASING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK, GOOD FUEL MOISTURE SHALL  
MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-172130-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
133 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 20 70  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+3) 62 (+1) 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (0) 81 (-3) 29  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 6 SE 8 SW 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 W 6 S 7  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 8 15 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6180 6570  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 10 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 61800 72270  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ117-172130-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
133 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+3) 64 (0) 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-1) 91 (0) 28  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 S 11 S 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 7 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 8 19 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7760 8560  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 85360 94160  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ118-172130-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
133 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+5) 66 (0) 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-7) 89 (-2) 31  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 SE 11 S 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 7 SE 7  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 13 12  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7320 7410  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 SE 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80520 81510  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ119-172130-  
LEA-  
133 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+6) 63 (-1) 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-11) 97 (-2) 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 SE 13 SE 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SE 7 S 7  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 7 15 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6700 7680  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 12 S 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80400 92160  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ270-271-172130-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
233 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026 /133 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 70  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (+7) 61 (0) 87  
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-7) 81 (-5) 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 NE 12 SW 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 9 NW 10 SW 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 7 11 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5360 5850  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 14 SW 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 75040 81900  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-172130-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
233 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+8) 62 (-3) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-10) 93 (+3) 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 SE 8 S 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 E 5 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 20 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5520 5580  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 S 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55200 55800  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR FAIR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-172130-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
233 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 10 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+7) 67 (0) 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 42 (-14) 95 (-3) 39  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SE 13 S 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 12 SE 8 S 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 21 33 20  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4590 6110  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 18 S 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 82620 109980  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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