987
FNUS54 KMAF 150652
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
152 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026
...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS...
DISCUSSION
MIN RHS REMAIN BELOW 15% FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, TEMPERATURES STAY ABOVE NORMAL, AND FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY.
BREEZY WINDS ALLOW ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP
OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO IN PARTICULAR TODAY. LIKE YESTERDAY, WE
WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE OUT FOR DRY LIGHTNING ONCE AGAIN WITH ANY
HIGH-BASED STORMS THAT DEVELOP. ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, APPROACHING CRITICAL CONDITIONS BY
THE END OF THE WEEKEND IN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. MIN RHS
IMPROVE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-152115-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1252 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (-3) 58 (-5) 92
RH % (24H TREND) 8 (-4) 17 (-12) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 W 14 W 13
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 17 W 12 SW 14
WIND 10000 FT MSL 30 36 22
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12380 11180
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 30 SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 371400 257140
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 6 7 6
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL EXTREME CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
MONDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ117-152115-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1252 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (-3) 57 (-5) 98
RH % (24H TREND) 9 (-4) 34 (+2) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 9 SW 12 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 SW 8 S 12
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 33 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14680 13040
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 22 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 322960 273840
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 4 6 6
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT CRITICAL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ118-152115-
EDDY PLAINS-
1252 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 59 (-6) 99
RH % (24H TREND) 11 (-2) 44 (+9) 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 8 SW 12 S 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 15 SW 7 SW 16
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 31 24
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 13890 11540
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 23 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 319470 242340
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 5 5 5
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL CRITICAL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ119-152115-
LEA-
1252 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 95 (-2) 57 (-6) 98
RH % (24H TREND) 11 (-2) 68 (+26) 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 9 SW 12 SW 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 15 S 8 SW 15
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 36 26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14170 12670
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 23 SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 325910 291410
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 4 6 5
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT CRITICAL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-152115-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
152 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026 /1252 AM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026/
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+1) 60 (-6) 88
RH % (24H TREND) 12 (-3) 20 (-9) 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 10 W 13 W 12
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 17 W 9 W 15
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 32 26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11760 8810
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 33 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 388080 185010
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 6 6 4
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL CRITICAL NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-152115-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
152 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+2) 60 (-6) 99
RH % (24H TREND) 11 (-2) 57 (+20) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 W 8 W 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 NW 5 SW 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 25 20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12520 11460
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 20 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 250400 206280
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 3 3 2
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-152115-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
152 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (0) 64 (-4) 101
RH % (24H TREND) 12 (-3) 74 (+23) 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 9 S 12 S 11
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 S 11 S 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 31 21
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11440 11730
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 21 SW 19
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 240240 222870
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 2 1 2
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
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