973  
FNUS54 KMAF 091828  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
128 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST DUE TO MIN RH REMAINING ABOVE  
CRITICAL 15%, GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY AND LIGHT 20-FT WINDS  
LARGELY BELOW 20 MILES PER HOUR, DESPITE ERCS IN THE 50TH TO 74TH  
PERCENTILE AND CONTINUED VERY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES. FIRE  
STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC WINDS IN ISOLATED  
DAYTIME STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT OVERALL RISK OF IGNITION AND  
FIRE SPREAD WILL REMAIN LOW. A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES MID TO  
LATE THIS WEEK MAY DRY OUT FUELS MORE BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES  
AND A BUMP IN RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-100915-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1228 PM MDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-4) 91 (0) 62 95  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (+9) 26 (+1) 69 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 N 6 SE 7 SW 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) N 8 SE 9 SE 5 SW 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 13 7 18 18  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7460 11220  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 12 SW 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89520 168300  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-100915-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1228 PM MDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-4) 96 (-1) 65 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (+15) 24 (+2) 77 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 S 5 SE 11 S 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 8 SE 7 S 9 S 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 22 12 27 22  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8470 11830  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 9 SW 12  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 76230 141960  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND  
100. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-100915-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1228 PM MDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (-3) 97 (-1) 69 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+6) 24 (+1) 72 18  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 SE 5 SE 8 S 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SE 6 SE 8 SE 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 8 25 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9400 11700  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 S 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94000 117000  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND  
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-100915-  
LEA-  
1228 PM MDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-3) 96 (0) 66 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (+10) 25 (+1) 81 18  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 S 7 SE 11 S 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 S 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 9 28 20  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10010 10890  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 10 S 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100100 141570  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND  
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-100915-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
128 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026 /1228 PM MDT WED SEP 9 2026/  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-4) 90 (+3) 63 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+4) 28 (-2) 70 22  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 S 9 NE 9 SW 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 10 SE 11 E 8 SW 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 11 9 5 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8930 9870  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 13 W 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 116090 167790  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.   
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-100915-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
128 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-6) 97 (+4) 65 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+10) 24 (-3) 78 21  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 SE 5 E 6 SW 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 E 6 E 5 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 9 10 13  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9540 10300  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 SW 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 103000  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-100915-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
128 PM CDT WED SEP 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-3) 98 (0) 69 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+6) 26 (-1) 78 22  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 S 7 E 10 S 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 S 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 10 21 12  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9730 9930  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 12 S 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 116760 129090  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
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