438  
FNUS54 KMAF 160834  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
234 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY  
EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BEGINNING TODAY, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS INCREASE DUE TO  
CRITICAL MINRH, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AND BREEZY WINDS.  
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SOUTHWARD INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS  
AND BIG BEND RECEIVED LESS RAIN COMPARED TO AREAS ACROSS THE  
PERMIAN BASIN AND WILL HAVE DRIER EXISTING FUELS. STRONGER WINDS  
AND DRIER CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY LOOKS TO BRING  
NEAR-CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE CONCERNS AS FINER FUELS CURE. GREATEST  
CONCERNS LIE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR NORTHWEST PERMIAN  
BASIN ON TUESDAY DUE TO DRIER EXISTING FUELS AND STRONGER WINDS.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-162300-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
134 AM MST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+14) 46 (-1) 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 8 (-13) 38 (-5) 20  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 SW 14 SW 27  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 SW 17 W 34  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 31 58 69  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3790 6450  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 26 W 57  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98540 367650  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 5 4 4  
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST THROUGH  
THE DAY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
25 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS  
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
20 TO 25 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ117-162300-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
134 AM MST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING...  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+11) 46 (-1) 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 13 (-10) 40 (-12) 18  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 SW 12 SW 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 12 SW 10 W 28  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 51 62  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 8070  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 23 SW 43  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 85100 347010  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 2 1 4  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST THROUGH THE DAY.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ118-162300-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
134 AM MST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING...  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 80 (+11) 47 (-4) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 15 (-10) 47 (-3) 20  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 SW 10 SW 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 12 S 9 W 29  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 51 67  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4120 6920  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 21 SW 48  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86520 332160  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 1 1 4  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST THROUGH THE DAY.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ119-162300-  
LEA-  
134 AM MST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING...  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 77 (+11) 46 (-3) 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 14 (-11) 56 (-2) 17  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 S 9 SW 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 13 SW 8 W 25  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 46 65  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3620 6940  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 22 SW 46  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79640 319240  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 4  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ270-271-162300-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
234 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026 /134 AM MST MON FEB 16 2026/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+15) 46 (-4) 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 16 (-14) 40 (-3) 21  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 W 10 W 21  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 12 W 13 W 32  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 43 52  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2610 5640  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 19 W 49  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49590 276360  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 4  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST THROUGH  
THE DAY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-162300-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
234 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+15) 46 (-6) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 13 (-11) 45 (0) 9  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 S 6 SW 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 6 SW 17  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 36 45  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3910 6530  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 17 SW 36  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 66470 235080  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 5  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL CRITICAL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ045-162300-  
GAINES-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF SEMINOLE  
234 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING...  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (+11) 46 (-4) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 17 (-9) 67 (+6) 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 S 9 SW 11  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 12 SW 8 W 23  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 39 58  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3640 7410  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 20 SW 40  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72800 296400  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 4  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ046>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-162300-  
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS, STANTON,  
BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA, MIDLAND,  
GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
234 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (+13) 47 (-5) 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 16 (-12) 79 (+20) 12  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 S 9 S 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 S 9 SW 15  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 33 51  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3570 6240  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 21 SW 33  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 74970 205920  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 4  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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