569  
FNUS54 KMAF 072000  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
200 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ERCS REMAIN IN  
THE 50TH TO 74TH PERCENTILE RANGE FOR MOST OF THE REGION. MINRH  
VALUES ALSO STAY NEAR TO ABOVE CRITICAL UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY, WITH  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. DESPITE ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON, LIGHT WINDS KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS  
LOW. LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BEFORE THE FIRE  
WEATHER THREAT INCREASES SOME ON THURSDAY AS WINDY CONDITIONS  
DEVELOP (ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR THE GUADALUPE/DELAWARE MOUNTAINS).  
FRIDAY, A COLD FRONT BRINGS MUCH COOLER WEATHER, REDUCING THE  
THREAT. THOUGH WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS WELL.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-081030-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
100 PM MST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 20 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-5) 57 (-8) 29 48  
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+45) 26 (+4) 68 26  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 17 W 27 SW 21 W 21  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 25 W 30 W 23 NW 19  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 58 55 59 53  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4320 5120  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 39 NW 34  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 168480 174080  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 3 2 3  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT ELEVATED NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-081030-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
100 PM MST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 10 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+2) 64 (-4) 31 51  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+35) 25 (+3) 74 31  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 10 W 15 SW 12 W 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 W 18 SW 12 NW 18  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 60 48 53 47  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6140 5990  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 28 NW 27  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 171920 161730  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 0 2  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-081030-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
100 PM MST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (0) 64 (-8) 36 55  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+20) 31 (+7) 59 26  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 W 21 SW 15 W 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 19 W 24 SW 18 NW 18  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 61 60 62 54  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5040 7030  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 33 W 31  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 166320 217930  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 3 0 4  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-081030-  
LEA-  
100 PM MST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (0) 63 (-9) 33 54  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+34) 26 (+7) 70 26  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 8 W 20 SW 12 W 16  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 15 W 20 SW 13 NW 17  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 58 60 59 50  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6370 6760  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 28 W 29  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 178360 196040  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 0 3  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-081030-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
200 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026 /100 PM MST WED JAN 7 2026/  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-8) 54 (-8) 31 47  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+45) 41 (+14) 70 29  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 19 W 38 W 23 W 27  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 33 W 37 W 30 W 23  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 59 62 55 57  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3930 5250  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 43 W 38  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 168990 199500  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 3  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND  
50. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-081030-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
200 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-6) 68 (-8) 34 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (+28) 20 (+1) 62 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 W 18 W 9 W 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 17 W 20 W 10 W 16  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 61 59 43 55  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4940 5960  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 31 W 34  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 153140 202640  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 0 3  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL NEAR CRIT  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND  
60. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-081030-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
200 PM CST WED JAN 7 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+3) 71 (-6) 39 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (+25) 23 (+2) 65 17  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 W 18 W 9 W 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 13 W 19 W 8 W 17  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 60 61 48 57  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5440 7240  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 31 W 33  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 168640 238920  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 2 0 5  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL CRITICAL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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