121
FNUS54 KMAF 161958
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
158 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO GAINES COUNTY, TEXAS...
MIN RH BELOW CRITICAL 15% AND POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY THROUGH
THIS WEEK WILL ALLOW FUELS TO QUICKLY DRY OUT AND ERCS TO RISE
EVEN IN REGIONS THAT SAW WETTING RAINS LAST WEEK. WIND-DRIVEN FIRE
THREAT CHARACTERIZED BY ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL RFD CONDITIONS
WILL INITIALLY BE HIGHEST OVER REGIONS SEEING GUSTY WINDS FIRST
AND THAT HAD NO WETTING RAINS SUCH AS THE SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS,
FOLLOWED BY REGIONS SEEING NO WETTING RAINS LAST WEEK BUT WHERE
WINDS REMAIN LIGHTER, SUCH AS THE RIO GRANDE BASIN. NEAR CRITICAL
TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND DOWNSLOPE INTO
MOST OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AFTER
SUSTAINED GUSTY 20-FT WINDS 20 MILES PER HOUR OR MORE AND WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES DRY OUT FUELS. A COOLING TREND IN
TEMPERATURES LATER IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AND DECREASING
WINDS WILL REDUCE THE FIRE THREAT BACK TO MAXIMUM RFD CRITERIA.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-171015-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1258 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+5) 65 (-9) 32 64
RH % (24H TREND) 40 (-13) 21 (+9) 52 9
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 15 SW 31 W 29 SW 16
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 18 W 42 W 16 SW 29
WIND 10000 FT MSL 59 70 53 64
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6250 6430
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 57 W 49
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 356250 315070
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 2 4 3 7
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT EXTREME
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
20 TO 25 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ117-171015-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1258 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+10) 73 (-4) 32 70
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-38) 20 (+6) 62 9
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 12 SW 16 W 19 SW 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 W 32 W 7 SW 20
WIND 10000 FT MSL 55 65 44 42
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7820 8000
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 43 SW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 336260 280000
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 2 4 4 6
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ118-171015-
EDDY PLAINS-
1258 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+5) 74 (-5) 38 71
RH % (24H TREND) 46 (-21) 20 (+4) 57 13
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 10 SW 17 W 22 SW 11
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 W 33 W 11 SW 25
WIND 10000 FT MSL 49 65 55 55
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6760 6530
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 48 SW 40
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 324480 261200
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 4 4 5
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ119-171015-
LEA-
1258 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+7) 76 (-1) 34 71
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (-21) 18 (+2) 59 11
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 SW 14 W 20 SW 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 SW 31 W 10 SW 20
WIND 10000 FT MSL 45 65 56 48
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6640 6510
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 46 SW 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 305440 234360
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 4 4 6
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-171015-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
158 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026 /1258 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026/
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-1) 67 (-2) 39 64
RH % (24H TREND) 41 (-9) 22 (+5) 59 15
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 16 SW 31 W 40 W 18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 18 W 47 W 24 W 29
WIND 10000 FT MSL 42 56 54 53
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5430 5740
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 52 W 41
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 282360 235340
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 2 4 3 4
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-171015-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
158 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+3) 86 (+7) 40 81
RH % (24H TREND) 45 (-11) 9 (-5) 62 11
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SW 10 W 15 W 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 7 SW 22 W 8 SW 14
WIND 10000 FT MSL 36 46 46 46
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6590 6530
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 36 W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 237240 208960
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 5 4 3
RFTI CATEGORY NIL CRITICAL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TXZ045-171015-
GAINES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF SEMINOLE
158 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+5) 79 (+1) 39 73
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-15) 16 (-2) 57 12
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 9 W 17 W 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 W 25 W 9 SW 19
WIND 10000 FT MSL 37 61 57 50
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7060 6260
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 40 W 34
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 282400 212840
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 5 4 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL CRITICAL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ046>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-171015-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS, STANTON,
BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA, MIDLAND,
GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
158 PM CST MON FEB 16 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+3) 85 (+5) 44 79
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+4) 12 (-7) 56 12
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 S 9 W 12 W 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 17 W 7 SW 13
WIND 10000 FT MSL 33 54 53 49
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6440 6670
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 32 W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 206080 200100
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 4 2 2
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT ELEVATED ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
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