166  
FNUS54 KMAF 101822  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
122 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ERCS REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE DUE TO RECENT  
GREENUP, KEEPING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BELOW CRITICAL CATEGORIES  
IN THE NEAR TERM. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE STILL  
EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS INTO NORTHERN GUADALUPES, AND ACROSS WEST  
TEXAS FROM CULBERSON COUNTY INTO THE PRESIDIO VALLEY TODAY, WHERE  
MIN RH NEAR TO BELOW CRITICAL 15% OVERLAPS WITH NORTH/NORTHEAST  
20-FT WINDS 20 MILES PER HOUR OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.  
CALMER WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TOMORROW DECREASE FIRE RISK.  
HUMID UPSLOPE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND WARMER THAN AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES THEREAFTER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK MAINTAIN AT MOST  
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO  
PARTS OF WEST TEXAS, EVEN AS ERCS CLIMB INTO THE 50TH TO 70TH  
PERCENTILE AND ABOVE AS WARMER TEMPERATURES DRY OUT FUELS.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-110915-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1222 PM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-16) 81 (+6) 52 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+63) 21 (+3) 57 9  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 19 E 12 SE 11 SW 11  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 16 SE 11 W 7 S 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 14 15 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5910 12740  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 23 SW 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 135930 216580  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 1 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-110915-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1222 PM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-18) 84 (+5) 53 97  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+60) 20 (-5) 78 8  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 13 SE 6 S 10 S 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 6 S 9 S 9 S 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 19 12 17 20  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5050 12820  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 13 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 65650 192300  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-110915-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1222 PM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-18) 83 (-1) 56 96  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+66) 25 (+3) 78 11  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 14 E 8 SE 9 S 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 8 SE 8 S 9 S 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 15 14 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5070 11370  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 12 S 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60840 147810  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-110915-  
LEA-  
1222 PM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-21) 81 (0) 52 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+54) 22 (-8) 92 11  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 17 E 8 SE 8 S 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 9 SE 6 S 8 S 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 8 14 18  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5500 10830  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60500 173280  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-110915-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
122 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026 /1222 PM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026/  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-17) 76 (-3) 53 88  
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+61) 26 (+12) 63 11  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 32 NE 25 E 17 SW 15  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 33 E 13 E 8 SW 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 19 20 8 14  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4470 10760  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 33 SW 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 147510 193680  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 4 0 2 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NIL ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-110915-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
122 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-17) 86 (-7) 52 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+57) 22 (+12) 87 9  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 18 NE 14 E 11 S 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 17 NE 9 E 7 SE 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 28 21 14 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5620 10340  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 22 S 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 123640 103400  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 2 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-110915-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
122 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2026  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-17) 83 (-9) 55 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+35) 26 (+2) 95 13  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 17 NE 10 SE 7 S 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 12 NE 7 SE 7 S 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 31 15 11 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5820 7740  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NE 14 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 81480 116100  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
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