786
FNUS54 KMAF 152100 CCA
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
300 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER, RELATIVE
HUMIDITY NEAR 15 PERCENT, AND HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO INTO GAINES COUNTY, TEXAS...
DISCUSSION
BY MONDAY, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BEGIN TO INCREASE DUE TO
CRITICAL MINRH, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AND BREEZY WINDS.
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO SOUTHWARD INTO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
AND BIG BEND RECEIVED LESS RAIN COMPARED TO AREAS ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND WILL HAVE DRIER EXISTING FUELS. STRONGER WINDS
AND DRIER CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY LOOKS TO BRING NEAR-
CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE CONCERNS AS FINER FUELS CURE. GREATEST
CONCERNS LIE OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR NORTHWEST PERMIAN
BASIN ON TUESDAY DUE TO DRIER EXISTING FUELS AND STRONGER WINDS.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-161030-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
200 PM MST SUN FEB 15 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-6) 78 (+15) 45 67
RH % (24H TREND) 53 (-8) 8 (-13) 38 19
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 12 SW 9 SW 14 SW 28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 SW 15 SW 16 W 42
WIND 10000 FT MSL 36 32 59 70
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3740 7250
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 26 W 56
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97240 406000
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 3 2 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT ELEVATED NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH.
THURSDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 30 MPH.
FRIDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ117-161030-
CHAVES PLAINS-
200 PM MST SUN FEB 15 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-9) 79 (+12) 43 75
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+9) 12 (-11) 42 16
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 12 S 5 SW 11 SW 16
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 12 SW 9 W 31
WIND 10000 FT MSL 37 26 51 61
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3410 8430
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 23 SW 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 78430 379350
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 2 2 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ118-161030-
EDDY PLAINS-
200 PM MST SUN FEB 15 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-10) 81 (+12) 46 76
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (+14) 14 (-11) 50 18
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 S 5 SW 10 SW 18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 12 SW 9 SW 33
WIND 10000 FT MSL 32 29 51 66
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 7680
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 21 SW 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 77700 345600
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 2 0 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW
15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
NMZ119-161030-
LEA-
200 PM MST SUN FEB 15 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-8) 78 (+12) 45 77
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+5) 13 (-12) 58 15
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 S 8 S 9 SW 13
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 12 SW 8 SW 29
WIND 10000 FT MSL 36 27 46 62
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3290 7960
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 22 SW 47
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72380 374120
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 1 0 5
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED NIL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
70. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-161030-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
300 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026 /200 PM MST SUN FEB 15 2026/
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-2) 73 (+16) 45 68
RH % (24H TREND) 51 (-5) 16 (-14) 42 19
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 SW 12 SW 12 W 26
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 SW 15 W 15 W 44
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 25 44 52
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2240 6960
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 20 W 49
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44800 341040
VENT CATEGORY FAIR EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 1 2 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 30 MPH.
THURSDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 30 MPH.
FRIDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-161030-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
300 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-8) 82 (+15) 45 88
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (+5) 12 (-12) 48 8
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 6 S 6 S 6 SW 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 9 SW 6 SW 21
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 23 36 47
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3710 7130
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 18 SW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 66780 249550
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 0 0 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ045-161030-
GAINES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF SEMINOLE
300 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-7) 79 (+12) 45 80
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+4) 16 (-10) 69 15
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 S 8 S 9 SW 11
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 12 SW 8 SW 26
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 25 41 56
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3370 8180
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 20 SW 42
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 67400 343560
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 0 0 6
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TXZ046>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-161030-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS, STANTON,
BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA, MIDLAND,
GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
300 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-10) 82 (+13) 46 87
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+18) 16 (-12) 77 12
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 S 7 S 9 SW 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 11 S 9 SW 17
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 23 33 52
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3330 6480
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 20 SW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 66600 207360
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 0 0 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
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