980  
FNUS54 KMAF 050638  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
1238 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MIN RH NEAR TO BELOW CRITICAL 15%, ERCS IN THE 50TH TO 74TH  
PERCENTILE WITH FREEZE CURED FUELS FROM BELOW FREEZING  
TEMPERATURES LAST MONTH, AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WITH POOR  
TO FAIR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY OVER WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE  
RIO GRANDE BASIN AND STOCKTON PLATEAU WILL BE OFFSET BY LIGHT  
20-FT WINDS TO YIELD A CONDITIONAL WIND-DRIVEN FIRE THREAT.  
INCREASED CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH RAIN SHOWERS LATE  
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL AND  
GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE OFFSET BY BREEZY 20-FT WINDS AND  
CONTINUED DRIER FUELS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TO YIELD A PERSISTENT  
WIND-DRIVEN FIRE RISK EACH AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-052215-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1138 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+13) 32 (+1) 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 11 (-18) 41 (-22) 9  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 SW 5 W 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 W 5 S 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 7 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 2660  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 13 SW 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 37700 23940  
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-052215-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1138 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+9) 29 (+1) 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 15 (-9) 60 (-11) 13  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 7 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2050 2320  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 10 SW 8  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20500 18560  
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-052215-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1138 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+8) 31 (-1) 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 18 (-10) 56 (-12) 15  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 7 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2210 2070  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 8 W 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17680 14490  
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-052215-  
LEA-  
1138 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+8) 33 (+2) 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 14 (-9) 50 (-16) 11  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 9 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2970 3680  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 16 SW 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 47520 25760  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-052215-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
1238 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026 /1138 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026/  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+8) 35 (+3) 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-13) 43 (-22) 16  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 LGT/VAR W 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 7 W 5 LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 5 5 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1090 1230  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 10 SW 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 10900 8610  
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-052215-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
1238 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+7) 33 (+1) 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 13 (-11) 41 (-21) 10  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 7 10 12  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3270 3170  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 8 SW 7  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26160 22190  
VENT CATEGORY POOR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-052215-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
1238 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+6) 33 (+1) 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 13 (-11) 52 (-17) 11  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 20 15 8  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3550 3450  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 16 W 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 56800 31050  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR POOR  
RFTI 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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