518  
FNUS74 KAMA 182126  
FWSAMA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LX RANCH RX...BORGER FIRE DEPT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
326 PM CST MON JAN 18 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BY 10AM TUESDAY MORNING, WIND SPEEDS WILL BE FROM THE  
NORTH/NORTHWEST AROUND 10-15 MPH, AND THIS WILL BE THE CASE  
THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS WITHOUT MUCH CHANGE TO  
THE DIRECTION OR SPEED. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUD, AND THERE IS A  
VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW (<1"), BUT THESE CHANCES SHOULD  
REMAIN WEST OF THE BURN SITE LOCATION NEAR THE BORDER OF NEW  
MEXICO. BY SUNSET, THE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SKIES WILL START TO CLEAR OUT TUESDAY  
NIGHT AS WELL.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 2  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6500-29600 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............35 39 43 45  
RH..............64 52 45 38  
20 FT WIND......NE 9 NE 12 NE 9 NE 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 13 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.5 2.9 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 9 3  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/100021 30 23 11  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 2 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO  
15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............41 35 31 28 27 27  
RH..............43 56 63 75 78 78  
20 FT WIND......NE 5 SE 5 S 5 S 3 SW 5 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 6 7 10 13  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10002 2 4 2 3 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1800 FT  
AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 31  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO  
AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6000-48200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (65100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (31000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............27 30 39 51 60 62  
RH..............78 76 57 40 32 33  
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 12 SW 16 SW 16 SW 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 15 23 23 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.1 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 22 30 30 24  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 6 24 75 106 65  
 

 
FORECASTER...GUERRERO  
REQUESTED BY...ARCHIE STONE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2100750.0/AMA  
.DELDT 01/18/21  
 
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