532
FNUS74 KAMA 171008
FWSAMA
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCORMICK CREEK...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
508 AM CDT WED SEP 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RH IS EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 28 PERCENT IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE TO 50 TO 70 PERCENT IN THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A LOW END CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE THEY
WILL STAY MOSTLY NORTH OF THE BURN SITE UNTIL AFTER DARK. TWENTY
FOOT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AT AROUND 10 TO 12 MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY TODAY, THEN FALL TO BELOW 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST IN THE EVENING TO OVERNIGHT HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
EVEN IF THEY STAY NORTH, MAY POTENTIALLY BECOME ERRATIC CHANGING
IN SPEEDS AND DIRECTION.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (105200
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............64 71 79 83 86 88 89 90 89 88
RH..............81 64 47 41 36 31 31 28 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 8 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 11 12 13 13 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.8 3.9 6.1 7.6 8.3 8.8 9.3 8.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 15 16 16 14 14 14 14 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 7 23 54 85 91 100 105 112 107
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,
THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12
TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 3 AM
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (75400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40
TEMP............87 82 79 75 72 71 69 68 67 66 65 64
RH..............31 38 45 54 61 64 66 70 73 75 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E NE NE NE N N N N NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 9 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE E E E NE NE N NE E S NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 13 13 12 10 9 13 8 8 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..75 28 6 7 6 6 4 6 3 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE IN
THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO
15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (84200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............63 63 62 66 72 76 79 81 84 85 86 85
RH..............84 87 87 75 64 56 49 44 38 37 36 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE E S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.7 3.1 4.7 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.4 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NW SW SW S S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 10 10 12 14 15 15 15 15 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 5 8 16 32 55 76 84 81 70 53
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR
FORECASTER...HOFFEDITZ
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522078.0/AMA
.DELDT 09/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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