156
FNUS74 KAMA 271355
FWSAMA
SPOT FORECAST FOR EQUESTRIAN FIRE...COLLEGE STATION DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
855 AM CDT MON MAY 27 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (806) 335-1421, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT FOR
TODAY AS WE SEE 20FT WINDS PEAK AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. ON THE DIRECTIONAL SIDE, GENERAL FLOW SHOULD STAY
BETWEEN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FOR MOST OF THE DAY AND HOLD
THAT WAY CLEAR THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. AS AN ADDED BENEFIT THIS
DIRECTION OF FLOW WILL ALSO AID IN BRING HIGH AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
TO THE AREA WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO RISE CONTINUOUSLY
THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH OVERNIGHT HOURS SEEING VALUES ABOVE 80%.
HOWEVER, WILL NEED TO MONITOR AS THIS INCREASE MOISTURE WILL ALSO
BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT CONTINUES TO
IMPROVE AS WE GET INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 9 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (105800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (131100
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............64 78 84 87 88
RH..............43 26 20 18 15
20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 8 SE 10 SE 9 SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 6.7 9.4 12 13
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 12 S 12 SW 13 SW 13
HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 67 84 131 147
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO
18 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO
14 TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (97200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
(18400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO POOR (6300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............89 84 71 66 63 59
RH..............14 19 34 47 54 64
20 FT WIND......SE 7 E 7 E 9 E 9 E 8 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 14 14 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...14 2.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 E 9 E 16 SE 18 E 20 E 15
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..124 18 7 8 10 7
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (101700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 50 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............57 59 69 77 82 83
RH..............75 78 63 51 43 40
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 8 E 9 E 12 E 13
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 13 14 16 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.0 6.4
TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 17 E 16 E 13 E 15 E 18
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 17 30 41 63 102
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD
FORECASTER...SCOLERI
REQUESTED BY...PAMELA PLANCICH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415138.0/AMA
.DELDT 05/27/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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