668  
FNUS74 KBRO 141037  
FWSBRO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRI-JOL...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX  
537 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2022  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE WILDFIRE  
SITE TODAY AND MAINTAIN HIGHER THAN NORMAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 10 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2900 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9  
TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 22 TO  
23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 100 100 100 100 100 100 93 93 93 84 77  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
TEMP............76 75 76 79 81 81 81 82 83 83 83 83  
RH..............93 95 98 93 86 87 85 82 84 83 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..220 220 210 210 190 180 180 170 150 140 130 140  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 7 9 10 10 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 10 8 11 12 12 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.220 220 210 210 190 180 180 170 150 140 130 140  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 4 4 5 4 6 7 7 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 6 8 6 8 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.9 2.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.220 230 230 230 190 180 180 180 180 140 140 150  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 6 9 16 13 16 15 9 15 22 23  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........85 89 79 74 69 83 76 78 78 78 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............82 82 80 79 79 79 79 78 78 77 77 77  
RH..............85 85 90 91 93 93 91 92 92 95 93 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..140 150 140 140 140 140 140 150 150 150 150 160  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 10 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 12 11 11 11 11 11 8 8 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.140 150 140 140 140 140 140 150 150 150 150 160  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 140 140 140 140 140 150 150 150 150 170 150  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 23 22 21 21 18 18 18 16 14 13  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........76 64 74 77 69 59  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............77 78 84 86 87 88  
RH..............93 95 81 75 71 71  
20 FT WIND......140/6 130/6 130/10 130/12 120/14 110/15  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 12 13 16 17  
EYE LEVEL WIND..140/4 130/4 130/7 130/8 120/9 110/10  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 9 10 12 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1100 1900 2300 2700 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..150/10 150/10 140/18 130/15 130/18 130/18  
 

 
FORECASTER...SORIA  
REQUESTED BY...MARY HUMPHRIES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2216623.2/BRO  
.DELDT 08/14/22  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TX Page Main Text Page