685
FNUS74 KCRP 201236
FWSCRP
SPOT FORECAST FOR ARANSAS V8...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
636 AM CST WED NOV 20 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON NOVEMBER 20.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (361) 289-0959, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
STRONG NORTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED MUCH OF TODAY AS COOL HIGH PRESSURE SURGES
INTO SOUTH TEXAS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD BE LIGHT
BY THIS EVENING, THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP TO LESS THAN 30 PERCENT BOTH TODAY AND THURSDAY.
THERE IS AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FOR TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............57 60 64 68 71 72 73 74 72 72 69
RH..............69 72 60 47 39 35 31 28 29 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND DIR..010 010 010 010 020 020 020 010 010 010 010
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 25 26 25 24 24 23 21 20 20
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND DIR.010 010 010 010 020 020 020 010 010 010 010
EYE LVL WND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND GST.16 16 15 16 15 14 14 14 13 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.3 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND DIR.010 010 010 020 020 020 010 010 010 010 010
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 28 28 29 28 28 24 24 23 21 18
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............64 62 60 59 58 57 55 55 52 50 50 49
RH..............35 39 42 45 47 49 53 53 56 61 61 63
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND DIR..010 020 020 020 020 020 020 020 010 010 010 010
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 17 16 15 15 13 13 13 13 13 13
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
EYE LVL WND DIR.010 020 020 020 020 020 020 020 010 010 010 010
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND DIR.010 010 010 010 010 010 010 010 010 010 010 010
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 15 13 13 13 12 12 10
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............48 49 56 60 64 66 70 72 72 70 68 64
RH..............63 66 62 53 43 37 31 29 30 34 37 46
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E SE
20 FT WIND DIR..010 010 020 030 040 050 050 060 090 100 110 120
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E SE
EYE LVL WND DIR.010 010 020 030 040 050 050 060 090 100 110 120
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2
EYE LVL WND GST.8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 1.8 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E
TRANSP WIND DIR.030 030 030 050 050 050 050 050 040 030 060 110
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...METZ
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT AFFELDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427056.0/CRP
.DELDT 11/20/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCOTT_AFFELDT@FWS.GOV,SR-CRP.AWARENESS@NOAA.GOV,BRENDA.ELIZONDO@TDEM.TEXAS.GOV,GARRY.BARNEY@TDEM.TEXAS.GOV
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