885  
FNUS74 KCRP 112115  
FWSCRP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVE OAK 4825...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX  
415 PM CDT THU AUG 11 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON AUGUST 11.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (361) 289-0959, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20  
MPH ARE EXPECTED TROUGH 9 PM, THEN BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY AROUND  
5 MPH OR LESS FROM 10 PM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.  
CURRENT MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 7,000 FEET ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE  
TO NEAR 3,500 FEET BY 7 PM, THEN UNDER 1,000 FEET BY 10 PM. A  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS  
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING WITH RAIN CHANCES  
INCREASING TOMORROW AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  
LAL.............3  
TEMP............96  
RH..............40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  
20 FT WIND DIR..060  
20 FT WIND SPD..12  
20 FT WIND GUST.20  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  
EYE LVL WND DIR.060  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8  
EYE LVL WND GST.12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  
TRANSP WIND DIR.040  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3  
HAINES INDEX....4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200, THEN 2 UNTIL 0100, THEN 3 UNTIL  
0200, THEN 2.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO 10 MPH, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 9 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 20 20 20 30 20 20 20 20  
LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2  
TEMP............94 91 89 85 84 82 81 80 80 79 78 78  
RH..............46 53 56 64 66 74 74 79 79 81 84 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NE E SE SE SE S S SW NE N NW  
20 FT WIND DIR..330 050 090 140 150 140 160 200 230 030 000 330  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 8 6 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 15 10 7 7 7 7 5 5 2 2  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NE E SE SE SE S S SW NE N NW  
EYE LVL WND DIR.330 050 090 140 150 140 160 200 230 030 000 330  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 6 4 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 9 6 4 4 4 4 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 3.4 2.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE S SE SE S SE N W  
TRANSP WIND DIR.100 130 120 140 140 170 140 150 170 140 000 270  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 7 12 9 6 3 5 3 3 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1300, THEN 4 UNTIL 1500, THEN 3.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2 TO 3  
MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 50 60 60 50 50 50  
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3  
TEMP............77 76 78 82 85 89 92 92 95 96 94 93  
RH..............84 87 84 76 66 58 51 49 43 42 45 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE N N NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND DIR..350 000 050 040 020 020 030 040 050 070 080 090  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 9 12 13 13 13 12 12 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N NE NE N N NE NE NE E E E  
EYE LVL WND DIR.350 000 050 040 020 020 030 040 050 070 080 090  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 4 5 7 8 8 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.4 4.0 6.0 6.6 7.2 7.0 6.3 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S W W W W W NE NE NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND DIR.180 270 270 270 270 280 050 050 050 040 070 080  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 2 3 3 7 7 8 12 12 15  
HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...PENA  
REQUESTED BY...MARCUS PERRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2216570.0/CRP  
.DELDT 08/11/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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