244  
FNUS74 KEPZ 212310  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ORGAN MOUNTAINS JUBILEE - FREEDOM 250...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
510 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WIDESPREAD CHANCES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL  
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY LEADING UP TO THE EVENT. FOR THE EVENT DAY  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EVENT  
LOCATION SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 6OS IN THE MORNING  
WITH LOWER TO MID 70S IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT FROM  
THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENT, BUT WILL BE STRONGER AND ERRATIC  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MAIN IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A  
POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD LEAD TO  
FLASH FLOODING.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...29 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...69.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.  
SUNSET..............  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........29 25 31  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 30  
TEMP............57 63 69  
RH..............77 70 53  
HEAT INDEX (F)..57 63 69  
SURFACE WIND....SE 8G12 SE 8G13 S 11G16  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUNDEEN  
REQUESTED BY...KENDRAH MADRID  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2624284.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 10/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KMADRID@BLM.GOV  
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