849
FNUS74 KEPZ 191321
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD SPRINGS...N3S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
721 AM MDT FRI JUN 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA TODAY, WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN.
MODESTLY BREEZY WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND WITH LOW
RHS, FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE ELEVATED. WARMING TREND CONTINUES FOR
THE WEEKEND WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE OF RAIN. ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND DUE TO BREEZY WEST WINDS AS FUELS DRY OUT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (105900 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 73 78 87 90 93 95 97 98 99 99
RH..............43 37 30 21 20 17 16 15 14 13 12
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 6 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 17 18 18 19 20 21 20 20 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 2.2 4.1 6.7 8.6 10 11 12 11 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W NW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 12 14 14 13 13 12 12 13 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 11 22 45 72 95 106 112 115 128 136
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (129300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............99 98 95 90 86 84 80 77 75 70 68 66
RH..............13 12 13 15 17 17 20 21 22 26 27 28
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 10 10 10 6 6 6 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 28 28 28 17 17 17 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 9.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 18 17 16 15 14 12 9 9 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..129 93 47 9 0 1 7 6 5 4 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 11 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (170500 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON IN.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 66 73 78 86 90 93 96 98 98 100 100
RH..............29 28 24 21 16 15 14 13 13 12 11 10
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 8 8 8 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 16 16 16 24 24 24 28 28 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.7 1.9 3.5 5.9 7.3 8.0 8.8 9.8 10 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 8 10 14 17 17 18 18 17 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 0 2 13 41 76 109 131 147 157 168 171
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 100. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 103. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 105. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HEDGEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615819.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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