809
FNUS74 KEPZ 312048
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO FIRE...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
248 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY, WITH WINDS OUT OF THE WSW 20 TO 30
MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL KEEP MIDDAY RH HIGHER (25-35%).
TOTAL RAIN AMOUNTS 0.10-0.20" WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN
ROUGHLY 1PM-5PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMAL LIGHTNING RISK.
CONDITIONS DRY RAPIDLY THURSDAY/FRIDAY WITH MIDDAY RH FALLING TO
10-20%. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER AND VERY GOOD SMOKE VENTILATION. COLD FRONT SHIFTING
WINDS TO THE SE THIS WEEKEND, WITH BETTER MOISTURE AND LOWER FIRE
DANGER.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
45 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 50 TO 55 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (188700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........64 48 28
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 40
TEMP............49 60 62
RH..............61 42 36
20 FT WIND......SW 10G26 SW 20G41 SW 26G45
MIX HGT (FT)....600 5500 5900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 41 W 53
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 198 273
VENTRATE CAT....POOR EXNT EXNT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 21 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 44 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 14 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 33 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 43 TO 51 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (167300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO GOOD (64800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE NIGHT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........12 8 5
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0
TEMP............56 46 43
RH..............47 56 55
20 FT WIND......W 25G44 W 21G41 W 14G33
MIX HGT (FT)....3800 500 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 51 W 43 W 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..167 20 18
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 32 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (129200
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........6 6 6
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............37 54 69
RH..............64 28 14
20 FT WIND......W 8G20 W 9G21 W 9G23
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3300 6200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 21 W 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 59 129
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
SATURDAY
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608727.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/31/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE_GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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