290
FNUS74 KEPZ 162054
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANNY...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
254 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. WITH MOISTURE
LEVELS ABOVE NORMAL, LOW-MEDIUM STORM CHANCES STAY IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH FRIDAY. STORMS EACH DAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. OTHER
THAN GUSTY OUTFLOWS, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK. DRIER AIR MOVES
IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6
TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........74 74 74 72 72 72 62 62 62 57 57 57
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............68 66 63 60 58 56 55 52 51 50 48 47
RH..............51 56 62 69 75 80 80 89 93 93 95 95
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 14 14 14 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (53200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 51 51 44 44 44 54 54 54 73 73 73
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 40 40 40
TEMP............47 45 48 55 64 70 74 75 77 78 76 75
RH..............95 93 92 86 65 51 40 34 31 33 33 35
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 8 8 12 12 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 40 40 40 40 53 53 53 53
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........70 70 70 69 69 69 70 70 70 76 76 76
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 68 65 61 59 57 54 52 50 49 47 45
RH..............41 45 52 60 67 69 74 77 83 86 89 96
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 32 32 32 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (59000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63 63 63 52 52 52 65 65 65 76 76 76
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............45 47 51 56 62 69 73 74 75 75 73 72
RH..............96 93 86 74 58 42 33 29 28 28 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NE NE NE S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 8 8 8 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.5 9.5 9.5 9.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 4 59 59 59 59 57 57 57 57
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-GNF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522049.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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