950  
FNUS74 KEPZ 160438  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
1038 PM MDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
SUNDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON SATURDAY WITH MIN RH  
VALUES DROPPING TO 9 TO 13 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S. WINDS WILL START LIGHT AND VARIABLE, OR  
TERRAIN AND DRAINAGE DRIVEN IN THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY WITH FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT. RH VALUES  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-67 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9-13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS DURING THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
DURING THE AFTERNOON AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20-25  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 23  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (88900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (115800  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 1 1 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 47 61 64 66 66  
RH..............36 30 18 15 13 10  
20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 7 SW 9 SW 12 SW 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 15 17 22 24  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 4200 6100 6800 6300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 13 W 14 SW 15 SW 20 SW 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 17 51 80 116 127  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD VYGD  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH DURING THE EVENING AND INTO  
OVERNIGHT HOURS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (130500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (37800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 3 2 2 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 59 53 49 46 42  
RH..............10 14 19 24 32 39  
20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 12 W 10 W 7 W 7 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 22 20 15 15 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....5900 2100 700 700 600 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 SW 21 W 17 W 18 W 17 W 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..131 38 10 10 9 8  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 35 TO  
36 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (92300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (236500  
KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........2 1 1 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 50 59 63  
RH..............42 29 16 13  
20 FT WIND......SW 5G10 SW 8G16 SW 11G22 SW 17G30  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3300 6000 7100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 23 SW 29 SW 33  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 65 150 207  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ROGERS  
REQUESTED BY...NMSCD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613795.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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