701
FNUS74 KEPZ 121615
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAYBERRY...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1015 AM MDT TUE AUG 12 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WITH SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR ALOFT FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH, SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL FAVOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN CATRON COUNTY
AND DRIFT SOUTH TODAY. THE MAYBERRY FIRE SITS RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF
WHERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIATE. TOMORROW (WED) LOOKS LIKE A
NEAR-REPEAT OF TODAY, WITH A SLIGHT DOWNTICK IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
ON THURSDAY.
A MORE TYPICAL MONSOON PATTERN SETS UP FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND,
WITH IMPROVING CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, THEN TREND BACK TOWARDS
NORMAL BY FRIDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (115300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 1 31 31 31 66 66 66
WEATHER COV.....NONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30
TEMP............68 73 76 77 77 77 77 74
RH..............33 25 18 18 16 15 16 20
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N N N NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 14 14 14 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..115 115 115 115 126 126 126 126
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (86100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........57 57 57 44 44 44 34 34 34 28 28 28
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............72 70 67 65 63 62 60 61 59 59 58 57
RH..............24 30 34 40 43 46 47 46 49 49 51 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.6 9.6 9.6 9.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..86 86 86 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (67800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 24 24 12 12 12 50 50 50 88 88 88
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 30 30 30
TEMP............56 57 61 64 68 72 75 76 74 73 73 71
RH..............55 53 46 43 36 29 24 23 24 26 25 29
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 12 12 12 15 15 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 8 8 68 68 68 68 51 51 51 51
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD FR FR FR FR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519767.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/12/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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