783
FNUS74 KEPZ 021150
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
550 AM MDT THU JUL 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RH RECOVERY WAS RELATIVELY POOR OVERNIGHT AT SLAUGHTER RAWS, AND
THIS SHOULD HELP SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER DOWNTICK IN MIN RH VALUES
THIS AFTERNOON, COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. SINGLE DIGIT RH VALUES AROUND
6 TO 8 PERCENT ARE LIKELY TODAY. HOWEVER, SW WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
LIGHTER, KEEPING WITH OUR RECENT TREND.
EXPECT EVEN WORSE RH RECOVERY TONIGHT, WITH MIN RH VALUES FRIDAY
STILL STUCK IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH,
BECOMING MORE VARIABLE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN OVERHEAD. RH VALUES WILL STABILIZE, DESPITE INCREASING
TEMPERATURES.
PRECIP CHANCES LOOK TO INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A MORE TYPICAL
MONSOONAL PATTERN TRIES TO TAKE SHAPE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(167800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........7 1 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 61 74 79
RH..............24 16 9 6
20 FT WIND......VRB 3 S 5G12 SW 7G14 SW 9G19
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3600 9600 10600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 S 16 SW 20 SW 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 50 163 168
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (106000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(4500 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........3 7 10 7
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 66 60 55
RH..............5 8 11 15
20 FT WIND......SW 12G22 SW 8G17 W 3G9 W 2G7
MIX HGT (FT)....9600 1200 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 15 W 13 NW 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..106 16 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (99000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(112000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........32 26 42 47
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 64 76 81
RH..............18 13 9 8
20 FT WIND......W 2G5 SW 3G9 SW 7G13 SW 7G13
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3500 10300 12200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 W 12 SW 13 SW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 38 112 126
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
INDEPENDENCE DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT
WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND
60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616124.6/EPZ
.DELDT 07/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV,ECLARKSONRAY@GMAIL.COM,CHARLESBWINSTON13@GMAIL.COM,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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