858
FNUS74 KEPZ 122235
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
435 PM MDT TUE MAY 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WE WILL SEE A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FIRE. IN ADDITION TO THE
DRY LIGHTNING, ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE SOME
STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. FOR THURSDAY WINDS WILL BE BREEZY
WITH MIN RH'S IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS, WHICH WILL GIVE US ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, MIN RH'S WILL
BE NEAR 10% EACH AFTERNOON WITH ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS ON SUNDAY. RH RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR THE NEXT
FEW NIGHTS WITH RH VALUES OF ONLY AROUND 30% EACH NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 7
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (96300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (152900
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........46 46 38 41 41 63
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 54 68 70 71 69
RH..............34 34 20 18 18 21
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 E 3 S 8 S 8 SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 17 21 21 23
MIX HGT (FT)....600 800 10400 12300 12400 11100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 N 7 S 15 S 18 S 18 SW 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 21 96 197 202 198
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD EXNT EXNT EXNT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (183400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO VERY GOOD (129600 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE NIGHT DECREASING TO GOOD (63700 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (0
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........37 37 20 42 42 17
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 64 58 54 51 48
RH..............22 24 28 27 27 29
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 W 5 W 3 W 3 W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 17 13 13 8
MIX HGT (FT)....10200 2000 600 600 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 W 16 W 14 W 10 W 9 W 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..183 64 0 5 4 2
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (101500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (124300
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (155700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........4 2 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 57 66 68
RH..............30 21 14 13
20 FT WIND......SW 3G13 SW 7G22 SW 10G26 SW 10G26
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3400 6900 8600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 17 SW 21 W 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 51 124 156
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...E-651
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613499.0/EPZ
.DELDT 05/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LUKE.CUSOMATO@GMAIL.COM
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