565
FNUS74 KEPZ 281119
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNSET...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
519 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
CONTINUED STORM CHANCES AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON BUT WE WILL SEE MORE OF
A DRYING TREND AS WE FINISH OUT THE WEEKEND. LIGHT 20 FOOT WINDS OUTSIDE
OF THUNDERSTORMS AT 5-10 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOONS. TEMPERATURES STAY NEAR
NORMAL TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL THRESHOLDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MIN RHS WILL
STAY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH VALUES OF 33% TODAY
DROPPING TO 25% BY SUNDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
7 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (66300 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........21 21 6 57 57 60
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 50 50 40
TEMP............63 65 70 76 77 76
RH..............58 54 44 36 35 36
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 S 5 S 8 S 8 SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 16 16 17
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 5100 8400 8600 5900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 W 9 SW 6 SE 9 SE 12 SW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 10 25 64 66 62
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45800 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........42 42 37 27 27 20
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 71 69 67 66 66
RH..............37 44 44 47 48 48
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 17 17 17 14
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 500 600 600 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 12 SW 12 S 13 SW 13 W 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..46 17 4 6 6 4
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (61200 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34 34 34 23 23 23 45 45 45 51 51 51
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............64 66 69 70 74 77 79 79 79 80 78 78
RH..............50 47 42 41 35 31 29 30 29 28 31 31
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 8 8 8 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.5 2.5 6.9 6.9 9.3 9.3 8.7 8.7 6.8 6.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 7 6 5 6 7 8 8 8 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 15 15 27 27 56 56 61 61 54 54
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD FR FR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...ALICIA SCHLARB
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620587.2/EPZ
.DELDT 08/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALICIA.SCHLARB@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page