166
FNUS74 KEPZ 271406
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
806 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH THIS MORNING AND WHICH WILL KEEP
A NORTHEAST WIND GOING OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL
GUST OVER 25 MPH ABOVE THE TREE TOPS. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM
AND RH'S FALLING INTO THE 35-40 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES THAN HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCED
RECENTLY BUT MAY START TO WARM AFTER MIDNIGHT SLOWLY AS WARMER AIR DOES
START MOVING IN ALOFT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
BUT DO INCREASE STARTING TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO START WARMING
BACK UP TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (60700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........52 67 67 67 62 62 62 51 51 51
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 39 43 46 47 49 50 50 51 49
RH..............93 90 87 75 62 54 42 35 37 42
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 14 14 12 12 12 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25 28 28 28 23 23 23 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 30 28 28 25 24 22 20 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 61 55 57 57 56 52 47 47 45
VENTRATE CAT....PR GD FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9
TO 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (11900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........57 57 57 78 78 78 75 75 75 70 70 70
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 44 39 37 36 35 34 33 33 32 32 31
RH..............45 51 62 64 69 72 72 75 75 78 78 85
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 9 6 6 6 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 18 18 18 14 14 14 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 20 17 17 16 15 14 13 10 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 42 35 27 25 23 23 19 17 14 12 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........50 50 50 30 30 30 32 32 32 41 41 41
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 29 33 37 47 54 60 64 66 68 69 68
RH..............81 92 82 75 53 43 35 30 28 26 25 25
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 15 15 15 16 16 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 11 10 11 12 14 20 23 26 27 27 24
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MONTOYA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608131.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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