844
FNUS74 KEPZ 272237
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
437 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
COOL AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. RH VALUES TONIGHT WILL RESPOND, RISING TO ABOVE 80 PERCENT ACROSS THE FIRE
AREA. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY OUT OF THE EAST AT 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20
MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR TERRAIN/DRAINAGE
DRIVEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. DRIER AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES
CAN BE EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S WITH
MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 21-26 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT, GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH
AT 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. LACK OF AFTERNOON MIXING WILL
LEAD TO POOR SMOKE VENTILATION RATES ON SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 DEGREES, DECREASING THROUGH THE EVENING.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AT 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (44600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........80
WEATHER COV.....NONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............49
RH..............42
20 FT WIND DIR..E
20 FT WIND SPD..10
20 FT WIND GUST.18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45
VENTRATE CAT....FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 23-28 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AT 5-10 MPH THIS EVENING, DECREASING TO
3-8 MPH AND VARIABLE OR TERRAIN/DRAINAGE DRIVEN IN
DIRECTION.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 9
TO 10 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (11300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........60 60 60 74 74 74 60 60 60 48 48 48
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 43 37 35 35 33 33 32 32 30 29 29
RH..............44 51 64 66 69 75 75 78 78 81 85 85
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 16 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.5 2.1 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.0 2.1 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 18 18 18 16 16 15 13 10 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..46 42 34 26 31 24 28 28 16 13 12 11
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING (30-50 PERCENT), BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 65-70 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, BECOMING SOUTHERLY
BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME AT 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS
15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........50 50 50 34 34 34 19 19 19 16 16 16
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............29 27 31 35 45 52 57 62 65 67 68 67
RH..............85 96 81 78 55 44 38 32 28 27 25 25
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 9 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.6 4.2 4.2 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 8 7 8 7 8 9 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 9 7 11 12 14 20 20 26 34 30 27
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MONTOYA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608195.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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