955
FNUS74 KEPZ 071621
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR D-2 SLASH PIT...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
921 AM MST SAT FEB 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK UPPER LOW TRAVERSING THE BAJA INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WILL
BRING INCREASING CLOUD COVER TODAY, ALONG WITH LOW CHANCES FOR
LIGHT PRECIPITATION NEAR THE BURN. MINRH WILL INCREASE
DRAMATICALLY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY'S READINGS, WITH AFTERNOON
VALUES SETTLING IN THE MID 40 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
ON SUNDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS AND DECREASING CLOUDS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION WILL REMAIN ON THE POOR SIDE
TODAY INTO NEXT WEEK DUE TO LOW MIXING HEIGHTS AND WEAK WINDS
ALOFT. SOME IMPROVEMENT MAY BE ON THE HORIZON AFTER MID NEXT WEEK,
AS RATES CLIMB TOWARD GOOD AND VERY GOOD CATEGORIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 64 69 69 69 75 75 75
WEATHER COV.....NONENONESCH SCH SCH NONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20 20 10 10 10
TEMP............46 48 49 47 46 45 42 41
RH..............49 47 46 51 55 58 65 67
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 16 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 16 16 16 16 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 39 42 36 30 22 12 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82 82 82 79 79 79 75 75 75 49 49 49
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 38 38 38 37 37 36 36 35 33 33 33
RH..............79 79 79 79 82 82 85 85 89 96 92 89
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 6
MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 23 23 18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 20
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............32 32 34 38 42 46 47 48 48 48 48 47
RH..............96 96 85 70 57 47 45 46 46 46 46 47
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NE N NW SE S SW S SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 3 7 10 13 15 15 11 6 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...BREITREITER
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BARONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601473.6/EPZ
.DELDT 02/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV
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