484  
FNUS74 KEPZ 031605  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR D-2 SLASH PIT...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
905 AM MST TUE FEB 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY NORTH FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH VERY FEW CLOUDS WEDNESDAY.  
THIS FLOW WILL ALSO ALLOW A COOL FRONT TO MOVE IN FROM THE EAST WEDNESDAY  
MORNING. THIS WILL BRING MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN FOR WEDNESDAY  
AND THURSDAY. THE FLOW ALOFT TURNS SOUTHWEST LATER THURSDAY AND WILL BRING  
IN SOME CLOUDINESS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE LATE SUNDAY COULD BRING A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............31 34 37 40 41 42 42 41 38  
RH..............56 51 48 42 42 41 39 41 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 8 8 8 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 28 23 23 23 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 17 14 13 12 12 13 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 17 16 16 19 18 17 16 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.  
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 10 10 4 4 4 2 2 2 6 6 6  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 31 29 28 27 26 24 24 23 22 21 20  
RH..............54 61 63 63 60 57 60 54 54 52 52 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 5  
MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 2 2 2 1 1 1 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............20 21 25 30 35 39 42 44 45 45 44 42  
RH..............51 49 44 37 33 31 30 29 31 33 36 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW W W W W W N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 1 3 4 7 9 10 7 3 0  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...HEFNER  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BARONE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601473.2/EPZ  
.DELDT 02/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV  
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