683  
FNUS74 KEPZ 262242  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AIRPORT MESA RX...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
342 PM MST THU FEB 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FOR FRIDAY, MODESTLY BREEZY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH  
ARE FORECAST. MAINLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH MIN HUMIDITY  
BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, RESULTING IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER.  
VENTILATION IMPROVES TO THE GOOD CATEGORY FOR THE AFTERNOON ON  
FRIDAY. WINDS SHIFT MORE WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND BECOME LIGHTER  
WITH FAIR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. SATURDAY WILL SEE SLIGHTLY LIGHTER  
WINDS, REMAINING FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME ELEVATED FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS. VENTILATION WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD ON  
SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES HOLD NEAR ZERO THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL INTO NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS  
INTO THE 70S.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (99900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 60 65 68 71 72 72 71 67  
RH..............25 18 14 12 11 11 11 11 13  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.7 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.4 5.0 4.1 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 22 22 22 21 20 18 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 49 72 89 100 97 84 66 46  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 12 12 23 23 23 24 24 24 21 21 21  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 58 56 54 53 51 50 48 47 47 45 45  
RH..............16 19 21 24 25 27 28 31 32 32 36 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 13 13 13 9 9 9 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 14 6 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (91500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 19 19 17 17 17 21 21 21 29 29 29  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 50 56 62 67 70 73 74 74 73 70  
RH..............40 40 33 26 20 17 15 13 13 13 13 15  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.4 4.9 6.1 6.9 6.9 5.8 4.2 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 13 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 6 20 44 74 92 103 104 88 63 36  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD GD GD PR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
MONDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARONSON  
REQUESTED BY...DOMINIC BELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604157.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 02/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DLBELL@BLM.GOV  
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