953  
FNUS74 KEPZ 251505  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RATTLESNAKE RX...NMSDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
905 AM MDT WED MAR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MARCH 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND THURSDAY ALONG WITH  
EXTREMELY LOW RH VALUES. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSING BY THE  
FOUR CORNERS WILL BRING AN UPTICK IN SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY,  
WITH NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING, MAINLY OVER  
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO. A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN  
THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BRINGING STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS,  
FALLING TEMPERATURES AND RISING HUMIDITY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (96600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (112100  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 3 AM 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 82 87 90 91  
RH..............16 13 11 9 7  
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 3 SE 6 SW 9 SW 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 13 17 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3200 8200 9700 9400  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 NE 8 S 7 SW 10 SW 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 23 49 87 112  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18  
TO 21 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 3 6 6 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............90 79 74 70 67 64  
RH..............7 9 10 11 13 15  
20 FT WIND......W 12 W 12 W 11 NW 10 NW 10 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 16 16 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....8300 600 600 600 600 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 W 16 W 18 NW 20 W 21 NW 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..92 8 10 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21  
TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (95300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (124500  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (159700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 3 AM 6 AM 9 AM  
SKY (%).........5 3 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 71 85 90  
RH..............15 12 6 5  
20 FT WIND......NW 6G10 NW 5G12 W 9G20 W 14G28  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 900 6000 7900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 10 W 18 W 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 7 95 158  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD EXNT  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
NOT AS WARM. CLEAR. PATCHY BLOWING DUST. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUNDEEN  
REQUESTED BY...CLARISSA LOWRY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607601.2/EPZ  
.DELDT 03/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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