121
FNUS74 KEPZ 292134
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO FIRE...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
334 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA THIS EVENING
AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT 10% CHANCE ON TUESDAY WITH
GREATER CHANCE ON WEDNESDAY. MIN RH'S ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL
BE IN THE IN THE THE LOWER 20'S, INCREASING ON WEDNESDAY. WE
WILL HAVE BREEZY TO WINDY AFTERNOON CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY, WITH WEDNESDAY SEEING NEAR CRITICAL WINDS. THE END OF THE
WEEK WILL SEE MIN RH'S NEAR 20% IN AREA MOUNTAINS. VENT RATES
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO
10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (99100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM
SKY (%).........23 33 48
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............48 73 73
RH..............40 17 18
20 FT WIND......W 7G15 N 7G17 S 8G20
MIX HGT (FT)....600 10700 9700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 SW 10 SW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 96 87
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD GOOD
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (79200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........58 47 28
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10
TEMP............70 55 50
RH..............18 31 46
20 FT WIND......W 9G21 W 9G20 W 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....7900 500 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 W 12 W 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..79 5 7
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (86200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (126300
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (174000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........44 45 52
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............47 61 73
RH..............58 33 19
20 FT WIND......W 10G22 W 12G26 W 12G28
MIX HGT (FT)....600 5400 10200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 18 W 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 86 174
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
FORECASTER...LUNDEEN
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608391.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE.GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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