078  
FNUS74 KEPZ 311150  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNSET...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
550 AM MDT MON AUG 31 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 31.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON (10-15%) WITH CONTINUED  
LOW END CHANCES FOR RAIN AFTER 6PM TONIGHT. 20 FOOT WINDS THIS AFTERNOON  
WILL BECOME SLIGHTLY BREEZIER OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT 9-12 MPH BUT CALMS  
TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON  
AND ISOLATED STORMS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS AT 5-8 MPH  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. MIN RHS WILL BE 23-31% TODAY THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON INCREASING TO  
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4,000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD  
(119800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........49 21 15 12 12 11  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 15  
TEMP............66 68 73 78 79 80  
RH..............40 37 31 26 25 22  
20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 3 E 5 SE 12 SE 12 SE 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 13 21 21 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 5700 10000 10200 9800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 W 5 E 6 SE 13 SE 15 SE 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 28 120 143 137  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR VYGD VYGD VYGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (109200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(4900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........24 24 22 27 27 29  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 74 71 68 66 64  
RH..............24 29 32 39 47 50  
20 FT WIND......SE 11 SE 11 S 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 20 20 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....8400 700 600 600 600 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 S 14 S 13 S 15 S 14 SW 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..109 9 7 8 7 5  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO  
10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (82300 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 31 31 21 21 21 61 61 61 40 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 20 20 20  
TEMP............63 63 65 67 72 75 76 77 76 75 74 73  
RH..............54 52 48 45 37 33 31 32 33 36 37 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW E E E SE SE SE SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 7 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 2.0 6.6 6.6 10 10 8.0 8.0 2.8 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW S S SW S SW S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 6 6 6 8 9 8 8 8 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 10 10 33 33 82 82 56 56 20 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD FR FR PR PR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...SLUSHER  
REQUESTED BY...ALICIA SCHLARB  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620587.5/EPZ  
.DELDT 08/31/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALICIA.SCHLARB@USDA.GOV  
 
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