191
FNUS74 KEPZ 251841
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMERON CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1241 PM MDT THU APR 25 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT AND STAY BREEZY. FOR
TOMORROW, ANOTHER BREEZY DAY IS EXPECTED BUT NOT AS BAD AS TODAY
WITH A BIT MORE SURFACE MOISTURE, CONTRIBUTING TO ELEVATED-NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE DANGER. FOR SATURDAY, MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE
FURTHER AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION, BUT WINDS WILL
BE VERY BREEZY AGAIN. LIGHTER WINDS, AND DRIER AIR RETURN FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 24 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 44 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 38 TO 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (348300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
TEMP............65 67 65
RH..............15 12 15
20 FT WIND......SW 29 W 24 W 24
20 FT WIND GUST.44 37 37
MIX HGT (FT)....10200 9700 9700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 40 W 38 W 38
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..376 348 348
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
MPH IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 29 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 19
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (258800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(8100 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........5 5 2 2 2 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............63 56 49 47 46 43
RH..............20 30 42 45 49 57
20 FT WIND......W 21 W 21 NW 18 NW 14 NW 14 NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 30 26 26 26
MIX HGT (FT)....8600 1600 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 29 W 24 NW 19 NW 19 NW 16 NW 16
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..259 89 9 9 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 31 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (142300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (259000
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........5 0 2 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............43 52 64 68
RH..............55 44 25 20
20 FT WIND......NW 10G20 W 12G24 W 15G25 W 20G35
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 3000 6400 8500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 15 W 22 W 31
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 46 142 259
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 21 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...FEMO T
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410979.12/EPZ
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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