124  
FNUS74 KEPZ 172015  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
215 PM MDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SUNDAY AND MONDAY'S WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE VERY SIMILAR, WITH  
CLEAR SKIES, DRY AIR, AND BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. SLIGHT UPTICK  
IN RH FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON, ONLY FALLING TO 20% OVER THE GILA  
HIGH ELEVATIONS. OTHERWISE, CONSISTENT WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH AGAIN  
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. BETTER RH RECOVERIES MONDAY NIGHT INTO  
TUESDAY AS WINDS DIE DOWN.  
 
CONTINUED DRY, SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK,  
THOUGH WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LOWER. NO FURTHER RED FLAGS ARE  
EXPECTED AFTER MONDAY. FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AROUND HUMMINGBIRD  
WILL SIT IN THE ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL RANGE DAY-BY-DAY. NO  
RAIN THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 38 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 33  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (171200 KNOT-FT) IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 1 1 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 40 49 54 57 59  
RH..............35 34 25 21 20 20  
20 FT WIND......SW 17 SW 17 SW 18 SW 17 SW 17 W 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.38 38 37 36 36 38  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1900 3100 4300 5700 5900  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 21 SW 28 SW 31 SW 32 W 33 W 33  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 47 85 121 170 168  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD EXNT EXNT  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (147300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (4900 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 8 6 6 10  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 53 47 42 40 37  
RH..............24 31 41 49 56 65  
20 FT WIND......W 16 W 16 W 9 W 8 W 8 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.37 37 24 17 17 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....5500 2600 700 700 600 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 31 W 21 W 16 W 13 W 12 W 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..147 48 10 8 6 5  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (195100 KNOT-FT) IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 7 16  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 48 59 63  
RH..............71 40 23 18  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G8 SW 7G15 SW 10G21 SW 10G21  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3400 6200 8100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 14 SW 18 SW 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 45 106 162  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD EXNT  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...NMSCD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613795.2/EPZ  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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