079  
FNUS74 KEPZ 081215  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLIE CANYON TRAIL WORK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
615 AM MDT WED JUL 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BLACK RANGE BY EARLY  
AFTERNOON AND SPREAD TO SURROUNDING AREAS BY 2 TO 3 PM. LIMITED  
MOISTURE AVAILABILTY WILL MAKE RAIN AMOUNTS GENERALLY LIGHT AND SPOTTY  
WITH MODERATE RAIN RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN A TENTH AND HALF AN INCH  
DIRECTLY UNDER THE STORM CORE. A SIMILAR PATTERN WILL DEVELOP AGAIN  
ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT EXCEPT NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR 90 THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWER 90S THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...52 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM  
SKY (%).........13 0 68  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 50  
SURFACE WIND....SE 4G6 SE 4G9 S 6G12  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...57 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 24 24 11 11 11 62 62 62 67 67 67  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 60 60 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 40 50 40 60 50 30  
SURFACE WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.   
SUNDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...LUNDEEN  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STULTZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2616937.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 07/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.STULTZ@USDA.GOV  
 
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