701  
FNUS74 KEPZ 151343  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FT. STANTON BLACK LINE...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
643 AM MST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WE WILL HAVE QUIET WEATHER TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MIN RH'S  
BETWEEN 15 TO 20%. ON MONDAY, WE WILL SEE THE WINDS BEGIN TO  
INCREASE WITH BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. TUESDAY WILL SEE STRONGER  
WINDS BUT MIN RH'S WILL COME UP SOME TO 20 TO 30% IN THE LOWLANDS  
AND IN THE 40'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE  
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS. WE WILL SEE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. VENT RATES TODAY WILL RANGE  
FROM POOR TO FAIR AND ON MONDAY, THE VENT RATES RANGE FROM FAIR  
TO GOOD.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (47600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 10 10 19 19 19 43 43 43  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 51 56 60 63 64 64 63 59  
RH..............37 29 23 20 18 17 18 19 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 13 13 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.9 2.6 3.6 4.2 4.8 4.4 3.7 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 8 9 9 12 12 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 11 18 30 42 48 42 30 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........41 41 41 36 36 36 22 22 22 8 8 8  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 51 49 47 46 45 43 42 41 40 39 39  
RH..............27 32 36 38 38 40 41 43 46 46 48 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 14 15 16 15 15 15 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 8 6 6 8 9 10 9 9 10 10 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 23  
TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (88300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 17 17 28 28 28 39 39 39 44 44 44  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 39 44 50 56 61 64 67 68 68 67 63  
RH..............48 46 39 30 22 17 15 12 12 12 13 15  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 8 8 8 11 11 11 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 18 18 18 22 22 22 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.5 2.9 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 13 15 18 22 24 26 26 26 25 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 4 7 19 37 54 71 84 88 80 63 45  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD FR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. BREEZY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. BREEZY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRICE  
REQUESTED BY...DOMINIC BELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602775.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 02/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DLBELL@BLM.GOV  
 
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