724
FNUS74 KEPZ 221208
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2025 GILA SEVERITY...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
608 AM MDT SUN JUN 22 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JUNE 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FOR TODAY, DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS PICKING UP
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO 10 TO 15 MPH, GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION WILL BE EXCELLENT WITH LOW HUMIDITY, RESULTING IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. NO SHOWERS OR
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR TONIGHT
AS LIGHT DRAINAGE FLOW DEVELOPS FROM HIGH TO LOW ELEVATIONS. STORM
CHANCES INCREASE LATE ON MONDAY WITH A LOW CHANCE OF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY OUTFLOWS MONDAY NIGHT. THE THREAT OF HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODS INCREASES TUESDAY WITH NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF
STORMS EXPECTED WHICH COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. THE STORM THREAT GRADUALLY DIMINISHES FROM WEDNESDAY
ONWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (174600 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 28 MPH.
TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........5 5 6
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............75 77 78
RH..............11 9 9
20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 12 SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 28
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 28 SW 25 SW 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..155 186 166
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 24 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (118600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(3500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........7 9 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............77 61 51
RH..............10 19 34
20 FT WIND......SW 9G24 W 3G13 W 2G8
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 10 W 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..119 7 4
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(171800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 19
TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........6 5 12
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............46 71 81
RH..............49 25 16
20 FT WIND......NE 2G7 S 6G18 S 12G24
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 S 19 S 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..60 172 189
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT REID
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516386.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCOTT.REID@USDA.GOV
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