545
FNUS74 KEPZ 281452
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX BLOCK 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
752 AM MST SAT FEB 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND SUNDAY, WITH
MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER, WINDS
WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE. WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS MID-LEVEL WINDS ALOFT INCREASE, BRINGING NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS TO THE AREA.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (56600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........15 15 9 10 10
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 67 70 73 68
RH..............24 16 16 16 17
20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 NW 7 NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 17 18 18
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 5400 6700 5700 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 W 12 W 12 W 10 NW 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 54 67 51 28
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........17 17 41 49 49 18
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 53 51 49 45 42
RH..............23 28 30 32 33 37
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 5 W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 12 12 12 14
MIX HGT (FT)....800 400 300 400 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 12 W 10 W 13 W 14 W 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 4 3 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (65500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........8 6 7 15
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 57 72 72
RH..............40 28 14 13
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 8G13 W 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 6600 6100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 13 W 16 W 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 19 92 85
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604032.4/EPZ
.DELDT 02/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV,NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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