423
FNUS74 KEPZ 182313
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR TERRY WELL...USDA FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
513 PM MDT SUN OCT 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND MONDAY MORNING, INCREASING OUT OF THE SSE
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS WILL LEAD TO A FEW
HOURS OF FAIR VENT RATES, MAINLY BETWEEN 1-5PM. MAIN CONCERN FOR
MONDAY WILL BE OFF-AND-ON RAIN SHOWERS, STARTING EARLY MONDAY
MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. RAIN RATES MAY BE
HEAVY AT TIMES. TUESDAY AFTERNOON MIGHT PRODUCE THE NEXT WINDOW OF
DRY WEATHER AND GOOD VENT RATES, WITH WINDS OUT OF THE SSW 5 TO
10 MPH. GOOD CONFIDENCE IN WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6
TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) NOON 4 PM 8 PM
SKY (%).........39 53 64
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20
TEMP............61 53 49
RH..............67 83 86
20 FT WIND......S 6G13 SE 3G8 SE 3G7
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SE 8 SE 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 15
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (50700 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM
SKY (%).........68 68 69 70 70 71
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 50 50 50
TEMP............46 50 59 65 68 69
RH..............100 89 80 68 59 57
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 SE 4 S 8 S 8 S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 12 16 16 17
MIX HGT (FT)....500 800 1900 3700 3900 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 SE 6 S 8 S 12 S 15 S 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 15 45 51 36
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR POOR
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) NOON 3 PM 6 PM 9 PM
SKY (%).........70 65 63 68
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 60
TEMP............62 55 52 50
RH..............72 90 93 96
20 FT WIND......SE 7G14 SE 6G12 SE 5G12 SE 4G9
MIX HGT (FT)....900 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH BECOMING 9 TO 15 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83500 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 4 AM 8 AM
SKY (%).........65 46 38
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 50
TEMP............48 60 69
RH..............100 84 61
20 FT WIND......SE 4G9 SE 7G16 S 9G18
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3800 6100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 S 12 SW 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 45 80
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (50%).
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 8 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS (80%). LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
FRIDAY
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS (50%). LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
9 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...L CARVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623992.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LIZ.CARVER@USDA.GOV
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