279
FNUS74 KEPZ 251107
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNSET...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
507 AM MDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGHS WILL BE WARM YET AGAIN TODAY, BUT MOISTURE WILL IMPROVE. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE (30% PERCENT) FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN IMPACT WITH ANY
STORMS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
CUMULUS BUILD- UPS. WINDS WILL START OFF WEST AND THEN GRADUALLY
SHIFT FROM THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
VENTING WILL BE GOOD BUT SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL VARY DIRECTION
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 14
MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (91900 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........23 23 9 27 27 69
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 30
TEMP............68 72 77 81 83 83
RH..............35 30 25 21 21 22
20 FT WIND......W 8 NW 8 N 6 N 7 N 7 SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 12 14 14 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 7200 11500 12000 6800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 N 12 N 7 N 9 NE 8 SE 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 11 43 92 84 36
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........47 47 41 45 45 40
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 10 10 10 0
TEMP............80 74 70 68 67 65
RH..............24 30 31 35 40 45
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 NW 5 N 6 N 6 N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 12 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 500 500 600 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 W 9 W 8 NE 10 N 10 N 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 5 4 6 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (67500 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........31 3 29 49
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 30
TEMP............64 71 78 80
RH..............48 41 30 27
20 FT WIND......N 7G13 N 7G12 NE 7G15 SE 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 7500 7500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 8 N 9 N 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 11 67 68
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...SEAN DONALDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620239.3/EPZ
.DELDT 08/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SEAN.DONALDSON@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page