929
FNUS74 KEPZ 101719
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX SHERIDAN SLASH PIT...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1119 AM MDT MON AUG 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TOMORROW EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, TRANSITIONING
TO SHOWERY ACTIVITY AFTER DARK AND DIMINISHING. A BETTER MONSOONAL
TAP OF MOISTURE WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY, ALLOWING FOR SLIGHTLY BETTER
STORM CHANCES WITH MORE AREAWIDE COVERAGE. EVEN MORE ACTIVE WITH
STORM ACTIVITY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE WEEKEND. FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH STORMS. MIN RHS WILL BE 25% TUESDAY BUT
INCREASES TO 38% BY THURSDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT EACH
AFTERNOON AT 5-10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64400 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........25 16 7 7 51 64
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 30 50 33
TEMP............61 69 83 89 89 84
RH..............78 59 36 27 27 34
20 FT WIND......NW 2 W 3 W 3 SW 5 W 6 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 9 9 12 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 4100 7500 9200 4600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 N 6 W 6 NE 7 W 9 N 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 6 20 45 64 33
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD POOR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........49 34 41 29 36 44
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 0 0 0
TEMP............78 73 70 68 65 62
RH..............43 55 61 65 73 84
20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 7 N 5 N 3 N 3 N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 13 10 10 7
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 900 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 12 N 9 NW 8 N 8 N 7 N 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 8 4 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 13
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68400 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........43 24 28 44
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE CHANCE LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 60 60
TEMP............60 66 84 86
RH..............90 73 38 34
20 FT WIND......N 2G7 W 3G9 SW 6G15 W 8G16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 6900 7200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 NW 6 W 6 SW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 8 41 65
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...RXB3
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619368.0/EPZ
.DELDT 08/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORRINA.VALENCIA@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,ZACHARY.ARMIJO@USDA.GOV
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