055
FNUS74 KEPZ 091607
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTENNIAL RX...NMADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1007 AM MDT MON MAR 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH AND MIN RH AROUND 15% THIS AFTERNOON. VERY
GOOD VENTILATION FROM 2 TO 6 PM. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING
AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT, WITH WET CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. BREEZY CONDITIONS OUT OF THE WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. RAIN CHANCES WILL SLOWLY COME TO AN END
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT ENOUGH RAIN FOR WET GRASSES AND BRUSH
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN ON WEDNESDAY, AND
WILL STAY THAT WAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL
LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (120900
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 16 31 31 31 31 31 31
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 64 68 72 74 75 76 75
RH..............42 37 33 27 21 18 17 17
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 14 14 14 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 3.2 5.1 6.6 7.7 8.7 8.6 8.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 12 15 16 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 19 36 65 97 121 133 133
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 8
TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE WEST 12 TO 14 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (118900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (38600 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........41 29 25 13
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 0
TEMP............72 58 52 48
RH..............18 33 53 70
20 FT WIND......SE 9G17 SE 8G15 S 8G15 W 7G13
MIX HGT (FT)....8000 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 E 12 SE 12 W 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..119 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 28 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (105500
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........23 53 61 52
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 70 70
TEMP............44 49 58 62
RH..............79 71 51 36
20 FT WIND......W 7G15 SW 13G30 W 18G37 W 19G37
MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 2900 3500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 13 SW 24 W 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 7 60 85
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 9 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...NMADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605190.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page