336
FNUS74 KEPZ 021953
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK VALLEY RX...BLM-ROSWELL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1253 PM MST MON FEB 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 MST ON FEBRUARY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE IN FROM THE EAST WEDNESDAY MORNING WHICH WILL DROP HIGHS AT
LEAST 10 DEGREES. WINDS WILL ALSO SHIFT FROM A MAINLY WEST TO
NORTHWEST DIRECTION TO AN EASTERLY FOR DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
POOR TO FAIR VENT RATES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A GRADUAL
WARMUP IS EXPECTED GOING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT WINDS
CONTINUING.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........37 43 30 30 22
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 40 37 35 32
RH..............43 46 50 49 51
20 FT WIND......W 12 NW 8 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 16 9 9 8
MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18 W 16 N 10 NE 9 SE 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 8 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 16
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (66100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........13 13 2 1 1 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............30 33 43 50 55 54
RH..............55 51 33 24 21 21
20 FT WIND......S 4 W 4 NW 5 NW 8 NW 8 NW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 16 16 20
MIX HGT (FT)....600 500 2000 3500 4900 3800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8 S 8 W 9 W 9 NW 14 NW 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 16 28 59 53
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO
21 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 3 3 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 40 38 36 33 30
RH..............27 37 38 40 45 55
20 FT WIND......W 11 W 11 W 10 NW 8 NW 8 NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 16 16 14
MIX HGT (FT)....700 600 600 600 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 15 NW 20 NW 21 N 20 N 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 8 10 11 10 7
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (53600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........4 4 3 2 2 3
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............29 30 36 41 44 43
RH..............60 58 47 39 33 33
20 FT WIND......NE 8 NE 8 NE 12 E 13 E 13 E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 24 24 24 22
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1500 2900 3800 3800 3100
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 E 18 E 18 E 16 E 14 E 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 24 47 54 46 34
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN CURNUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601531.0/EPZ
.DELDT 02/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NCURNUTT@BLM.GOV
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