805
FNUS74 KEPZ 241231
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX ARRASTRA...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
631 AM MDT THU SEP 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE IS STILL IN THE AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON BUT MUCH BETTER RAIN CHANCES EXIST LATE TONIGHT AND THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS FRIDAY. ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND DRY CONDITIONS
OVER THE WEEKEND. MIN RHS TODAY WILL BE AROUND 65% BUT DECREASE EACH DAY BECOMING
41% BY SATURDAY. 20 FOOT WINDS GENERALLY 5-10 MPH OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES STAY 2 TO 7 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48100 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........77 53 34 34 24
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 20
TEMP............51 59 64 66 65
RH..............96 83 73 68 70
20 FT WIND......E 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 17 17 18
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2000 3700 4800 4200
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 SE 8 SE 9 S 12 S 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 14 29 48 42
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........45 45 57 58 58 60
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 60 80 60 40
TEMP............63 57 55 52 53 53
RH..............75 93 93 100 96 96
20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 E 8 E 8 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 16 16 13
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1000 800 1400 700 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 E 12 E 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..38 11 10 15 7 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (56600 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........67 28 25 33
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10
TEMP............53 56 63 67
RH..............96 100 81 63
20 FT WIND......E 7G14 SE 7G14 S 7G16 S 8G16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1100 3700 6300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 9 S 9 SW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 9 30 57
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
6 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622435.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GROMERO@BLM.GOV,MMUNOZ@BLM.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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