860
FNUS74 KEPZ 290309
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPEAR FIRE...NEW MEXICO STATE FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
909 PM MDT TUE APR 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER BREEZY TO WINDY DAY EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH 20
FOOT WINDS OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST AT 15-20 MPH SUSTAINED AND GUSTS
TO 25 MPH. MINIMUM RHS WILL DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AT 7%. RAIN
CHANCES POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING AND WILL INCREASE BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. MIN RHS INCREASE TO 15% THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHTER THURSDAY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10-15 MPH. RAIN
CHANCES CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. WINDS SHIFT NORTHERLY FRIDAY MORNING
AND THEN NORTHEASTERLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (66700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (214100
KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM
SKY (%).........58 59 71
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............53 73 81
RH..............19 10 8
20 FT WIND......NW 4G8 W 4G12 SW 15G30
MIX HGT (FT)....700 6700 10200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 12 W 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 67 235
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD EXNT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (165600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO GOOD (74000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........82 88 85
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............80 69 64
RH..............8 12 15
20 FT WIND......W 15G30 W 9G20 W 7G13
MIX HGT (FT)....6900 800 700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 28 W 14 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..166 0 5
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
14 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING
TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (84400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (110100
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (152000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........85 80 74
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40
TEMP............58 65 69
RH..............21 24 25
20 FT WIND......W 5G12 SW 7G14 SW 9G20
MIX HGT (FT)....700 4200 8200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NW 9 SW 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 37 133
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
9 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG LAKE ICT4
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2612036.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CLAKE487@GMAIL.COM
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