883  
FNUS74 KEPZ 161138  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
438 AM MST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0916 MST ON NOVEMBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS OR EVEN A RUMBLE OF THUNDER TO THE GILA REGION  
THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN CHANCES WE WILL HAVE  
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. MIN RH'S TODAY WILL BE IN THE 70'S WITH  
EXCELLENT RH RECOVERIES AT NIGHT. WE WILL BE DRY AND A LITTLE  
COOLER ON MONDAY, BEFORE ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM BRINGS A  
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.  
WINDS COULD AGAIN BE BREEZY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 31 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 29  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (68200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 69 69 76 76 76 76 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONECHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20 20  
TEMP............40 41 40 41 41 40 39 38 37  
RH..............79 79 82 82 82 85 89 92 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 16 16 16 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 31 28 28 28 29 29 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 29 29 29 29 25 25 25 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 68 68 68 68 46 46 46 46  
VENTRATE CAT....PR GD GD GD GD FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........64 64 56 37 37 15  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 35 34 33 32 30  
RH..............100 92 89 92 92 96  
20 FT WIND......SW 15 SW 15 SW 13 W 12 W 12 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 30 25 25 21  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20 SW 20 SW 17 SW 17 W 14 W 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 10 0 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........22 22 34 38 38 39  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 31 36 39 40 38  
RH..............96 88 69 59 59 64  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 2600 2600 2500 2500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 W 15 W 15 SW 14 SW 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 36 36 35 35  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRICE  
REQUESTED BY...HEDGEMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2525590.5/EPZ  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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