185  
FNUS74 KEPZ 062326  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR COONEY PILES RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
426 PM MST TUE JAN 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 MST ON JANUARY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT, WHICH  
WILL HOLD TEMPERATURES A LITTLE WARMER THAN RECENT NIGHTS. LIGHT  
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING,  
NEAR SUNSET, WITH ABOUT 0.25 TO 0.35 INCHES EXPECTED. SNOW LEVELS  
WILL STAY ABOVE THE VALLEY FLOOR.  
 
BREEZY TO WINDY WEST WINDS ON THURSDAY WITH PERIODS OF SUN AND  
CLOUDS, AND TEMPERATURES TRENDING COOLER, WITH FAIRLY HIGH MINIMUM  
RH VALUES (40-45 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION  
IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT, QUICKLY CHANGING TO SNOW WITH AN INCH  
OR TWO ACCUMULATION BY FRIDAY MORNING, AND SHARPLY COLDER.  
 
VENT RATES FAIR WEDNESDAY, THEN TRENDING BETTER FOR THURSDAY WITH  
THE GUSTY WINDS.  
 
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P  
SKY (%).........73 73 73 52 52 52 49 49 49 38 38 38  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 41 40 39 38 37 38 37 37 37 36 36  
RH..............36 43 44 44 44 46 46 50 52 54 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW  
SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (51200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9  
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED. RAIN AND HIGH  
ELEVATION SNOW CHANCES WILL ARRIVE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE 30S AND 40S.  
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WITH POOR TO FAIR VENTING. THURSDAY WILL BE  
WINDY, BUT COOL CONDITIONS WILL KEEP MIN RH VALUES WELL INTO THE  
30S AGAIN.  
AM 10A  
SKY (%).........55 55 55 72 72 72 79 79 79 92 92 92  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONELKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 60 60 60 80 80 80  
TEMP............36 36 36 39 42 45 46 46 45 42 41 36  
RH..............59 59 61 59 53 43 43 45 49 62 67 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 8 8 8 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.11 11 11 11 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 14 14 14 51 51 51 51 46 46 46 46  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (42700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P  
SKY (%).........89 89 89 83 83 83 80 80 80 75 75 75  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............34 34 34 34 33 33 33 33 33 33 32 32  
RH..............96 92 89 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 9 9 11 11 11 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 21 21 21 23 23 23 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 22 28 28 28 28 28 28 28 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 43 43 43 48 48 48 48 46 46 46 46  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,  
THEN SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (85800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........72 64 57 57  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 70  
TEMP............31 32 36 38  
RH..............88 85 75 67  
20 FT WIND......W 12G21 W 12G23 W 14G25 W 16G28  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2400 3500 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 25 W 25 W 23 W 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..48 48 73 86  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR GOOD GOOD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
6 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRICE  
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528454.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 01/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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