818
FNUS74 KEPZ 231949
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
149 PM MDT THU APR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY WITH BREEZY WSW
WIND 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. MIN
RH 10 TO 15%. NO PLANS TO ISSUE RED FLAG TOMORROW. VERY SIMILAR
WEATHER ON SATURDAY, BREEZY SW WIND. EXCELLENT VENTILATION WITH
SMOKE TRANSPORT AND FIRE GROWTH TO THE ENE.
WIND INCREASES ON SUNDAY 20 TO 30 MPH. MIN RH 20-25% MAY PREVENT
THE NEED FOR RED FLAG, HOWEVER STRONGER WIND THAT AFTERNOON IS
THE MAIN CONCERN. NO SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION, CONSISTENTLY OUT OF
THE SW THIS WEEKEND. BREEZY AND DRY WEATHER NEXT WEEK, WITH RH
INCREASING AFTER NEXT WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR NORMAL
INTO NEXT WEEK. NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 33 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (205000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........5 5 3 7 7 22
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 38 49 54 56 56
RH..............43 35 22 18 18 17
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 8 W 12 W 12 W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 28 32 32 32
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1100 3300 5100 6900 7000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 16 W 25 W 28 W 31 W 33
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 16 72 122 185 203
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD EXNT EXNT
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (156900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........31 31 21 22 22 26
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 50 44 42 40 38
RH..............17 22 27 29 33 38
20 FT WIND......W 11 W 11 W 8 W 7 W 7 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 25 17 17 15
MIX HGT (FT)....6000 2500 BLW100 300 300 200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 30 W 23 W 15 W 15 W 16 W 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..157 50 0 4 5 3
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 26
TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (212500 KNOT-FT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........36 36 40 42 42 57
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 41 48 54 56 56
RH..............42 37 29 23 23 24
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 SW 9 SW 13 SW 13 SW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 22 28 28 28
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1600 3500 5400 7100 8000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 17 W 20 SW 24 W 29 W 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 25 59 113 178 223
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR VYGD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611515.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE_GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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