023
FNUS74 KEPZ 252309
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX BLOCK 2...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
409 PM MST WED FEB 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON FEBRUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
OUR TEMPERATURE WILL RUN WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THURSDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. WE'VE HAD A COUPLE OF BREEZY TO WINDY DAYS BUT WINDS
THURSDAY, FRIDAY AND FOR THE WEEKEND WILL STAY BELOW CRITICAL
LEVELS. MIN RH'S WILL BE NEAR 20% ON THURSDAY AND IN THE MID TEENS
ON FRIDAY. MIN RH'S THIS WEEKEND WILL RISE BACK TO NEAR 20%. VENT
RATES WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(132800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........31 34 34 37 39 39
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 55 63 68 69 64
RH..............53 38 29 23 21 24
20 FT WIND......NW 10 NW 8 NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 16 24 23 23
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1800 3700 5500 5200 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 22 N 25 NW 22 NW 25 NW 29 NW 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 40 71 121 132 86
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD VYGD GOOD
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 17
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........33 33 22 15 15 11
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 55 52 49 47 45
RH..............29 35 38 39 40 40
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 12 10 10 13
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 400 200 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 22 NW 10 NW 12 NW 15 NW 16 NW 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 4 2 5 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (99400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........10 11 9 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 55 67 71
RH..............38 23 14 13
20 FT WIND......W 7G13 NW 7G12 NW 9G13 NW 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....200 1400 4900 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 17 W 16 NW 17 W 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 18 75 88
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604032.0/EPZ
.DELDT 02/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV,NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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