999
FNUS74 KEPZ 181617
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SLAUGHTER MESA - UNIT 7...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SANTA TERESA NM/EL PASO TX
1017 AM MDT THU OCT 18 2018
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE EL PASO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION
BURN AREA IS ON THE EDGE OF THE CLOUDS AT THIS TIME AND SHOULD SEE SOME
GRADUAL INCREASING SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES
THAN YESTERDAY. AN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OFF TO THE WEST WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE AREA AND WARM
TEMPERATURES UP THROUGH SATURDAY. VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL RETURN
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. VENT RATES WILL REMAIN HIGH END POOR TO FAIR.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3300 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (43200 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........80 71 61 61
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............43 48 49 46
RH..............76 68 66 71
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 11 S 14 S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 20 19
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1800 3000 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 S 16 S 16 SW 14
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2
VENT RATE.......POOR POOR FAIR FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........33 33 33 29 29 29
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............46 43 40 37 36 35
RH..............76 85 89 89 92 92
20 FT WIND......S 14 S 12 S 7 S 3 S 2 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 4
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4300 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........39 39 39 39
WEATHER COV.....S CHNC S CHNC S CHNC S CHNC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............34 38 51 52
RH..............92 92 59 50
20 FT WIND......SE 3G4 SE 6 SE 7G8 SE 9G10
MIX HGT (FT)....200 500 2800 4300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 7 S 7 S 9
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2
VENT RATE.......POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1816883.4/EPZ
.DELDT 10/18/18
.EMAIL NMSDC@FS.FED.US
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page