308
FNUS74 KEPZ 012040
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO FIRE...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
240 PM MDT WED APR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AS SKIES CLEAR AND
DRIER AIR MOVES IN. MIDDAY RH FALLING TO 15-20% WITH WIND OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH MID-AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION BECOMING VERY GOOD AFTER 11 AM, WITH SMOKE TRANSPORT
TO THE ENE. VERY SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY WITH DRY, WARM
CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON BREEZES. WE ARE NOT PLANNING ON RED FLAGS
AT THIS TIME.
COLD FRONT OUT OF THE HIGH PLAINS ARRIVES SATURDAY, LEADING TO
LIGHT, SOUTHEAST WINDS OVER THE WEEKEND AND BETTER RH. LOW FIRE
WEATHER RISK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (115800
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........5 7 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............39 57 69
RH..............64 29 14
20 FT WIND......W 10G21 W 9G24 W 9G24
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2700 6200
TRANSPORT WIND..W 22 W 23 W 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 58 102
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (113900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........47 25 13
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............66 52 49
RH..............19 29 36
20 FT WIND......SW 14G32 W 14G31 W 12G28
MIX HGT (FT)....4400 500 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 30 W 30 W 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..114 9 13
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (112000
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........12 11 13
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............44 58 71
RH..............43 27 14
20 FT WIND......W 10G22 W 10G22 W 10G23
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4600 8100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 26 W 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 102 146
VENTRATE CAT....POOR VYGD VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608828.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE_GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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