068
FNUS74 KEPZ 201216
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FEELY PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
516 AM MST WED NOV 20 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES, WINDS UNDER 10 MPH AND
LOW HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S IN THE AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. LOW END BREEZY C
POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LIGHT WINDS THROUGH WILL RESULT IN POOR VENT
RATES TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AND POOR TO FAIR ON SATURDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........7 7 1 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............31 38 49 56 58 54
RH..............47 40 28 22 20 25
20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 13
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1200 2900 2900 3100 3100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 SE 12 S 7 S 7
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 11 29 29 25 25
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........5 5 3 4 4 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............46 42 40 38 36 35
RH..............32 37 39 40 43 43
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 E 7 E 7 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 15 13 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 8
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........7 7 18
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
TEMP............34 54 65
RH..............41 23 16
20 FT WIND......E 8G15 SE 6G13 S 5G9
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2200 2100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 5 S 5
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 10 11
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...LUNDEEN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS POWERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426867.1/EPZ
.DELDT 11/20/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV,DANIEL.LONDON@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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