652
FNUS74 KEPZ 212157
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMINGBIRD...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
357 PM MDT TUE APR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
YESTERDAY GAVE THE REGION SOME DRY LIGHTNING, BUT THE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY THAT CAUSED THOSE STORMS IS QUICKLY EXITING THE REGION.
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN DRIER,
AND WARMER CONDITIONS, THAT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. IN ADDITION, WE SEE BROAD WESTERN U.S. TROUGHING, AND SEVERAL
PASSING DISTURBANCES THAT WILL INCREASE WINDS, AND KEEP THEM BREEZY
TO WINDY FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, AND THIS WEEKEND. FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL INCREASE, AND FUELS WILL TREND DRIER, EACH DAY, THROUGH
THE WEEK, DUE TO THE EXTENDED DURATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES, EXCEPTIONAL
DRYNESS, AND STRONG WINDS. EACH DAY WILL BE EITHER NEAR RED FLAG, OR
EXCEED RED FLAG. WE DO NOT SEE ANY CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ANY
TIME SOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW EVENING CLOUDS, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
(15-25 PERCENT EARLY, THEN 10-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN MOSTLY DRAINAGE, AND
DROPPING TO 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (110200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........15 15 15 14 14 14 45 45 45 38 38 38
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 57 52 49 47 46 44 43 43 41 40 39
RH..............19 21 25 29 31 34 38 39 39 43 44 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 24 18 18 18 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.9 6.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 14 13 12 12 13 13 14 13 13 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..110 101 12 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH
EARLY, THEN 12-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 22 TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 24
TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (103000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (123000
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (150500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........29 29 29 15 15 15 11 11 11 13 13 13
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 40 42 46 51 54 56 57 57 58 60 62
RH..............50 44 43 37 28 24 20 21 19 17 17 17
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 11 11 11 14 14 14 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 28 28 28 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.6 5.9 6.3 6.1 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 17 22 24 25 24 25 26 28 28 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 18 46 72 93 103 123 135 151 146 138
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL VGD VGD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (129100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (48800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........19 19 19 15 15 15 8 8 8 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 54 50 46 44 42 41 40 39 38 37 36
RH..............18 19 22 27 29 33 34 37 39 40 40 40
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 31 31 31 24 24 24 24 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 4.1 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 24 21 20 20 20 20 18 18 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..129 100 49 11 1 2 6 6 5 6 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING WINDY. WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (96700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (222500
KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 35 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12 25 25 25
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............36 37 40 43 47 50 53 54 55 56 55 54
RH..............38 35 31 27 22 19 17 17 17 16 17 17
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 15 15 15 14 14 14 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 28 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 20 22 24 25 28 30 31 32 33 35
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 13 28 48 72 97 129 168 200 222 231 223
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR AND BECOMING WINDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
FORECASTER...BIRD
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611227.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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