958  
FNUS74 KEPZ 201113  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...SILVER CITY DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
513 AM MDT WED MAY 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND  
10% IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN  
YESTERDAY OR A TAD OR LOWER, FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL BE TO  
THE NORTHEAST WITH EXCELLENT VENTING. HIGHS WILL BE SEASONAL  
BENEATH SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 24  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (207700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 61 61 55 55 55 31 31 31 40 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 42 47 54 60 61 63 63 64 64 64 63  
RH..............43 40 32 24 15 14 13 11 11 11 10 10  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 7 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 24 24 24 26 26 26 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.8 4.4 5.4 7.0 8.2 9.2 10 10 10 9.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 18 21 23 24 24 24 24 24 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 18 41 70 104 141 173 195 208 213 221 218  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8  
TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (195300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 48 48 60 60 60 63 63 63 81 81 81  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 62 60 56 52 49 47 47 46 44 43 42  
RH..............11 11 13 17 21 24 27 31 32 37 37 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 16 16 16 10 10 10 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.3 8.6 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 16 14 13 10 10 9 9 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..195 136 65 9 0 0 5 5 4 4 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL VGD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (173700 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........74 74 74 23 23 23 2 2 2 11 11 11  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 42 47 54 60 61 63 64 65 65 65 66  
RH..............39 37 31 25 18 16 14 13 12 12 11 11  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 17 17 17 23 23 23 24 24 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 3.9 5.4 6.4 7.6 8.7 9.2 10 10 9.5 9.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 15 17 18 17 17 16 18 20 20 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 24 53 80 99 116 131 150 165 173 174 164  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...VICTORIA CURTIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614052.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 05/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WAYNE.OGLESBY@USDA.GOV,RYAN.KOOIKER@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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