335  
FNUS74 KEPZ 111116  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
516 AM MDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY WITH DRY  
CONDITIONS PERSISTING. EXPECT LIGHT BREEZES THROUGHOUT THE DAY  
WITH A NEAR CRITICAL MIN RH OF 16%. HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP OVER THE  
AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR ABNORMAL WARMTH TO CONTINUE  
BOTH DAYS. LIGHT BREEZES AGAIN TUESDAY WITH A CRITICAL MIN RH OF 15%.  
A BIT BREEZIER ON WEDNESDAY WITH 20 FT WINDS OF 5-10 MPH THAT AFTERNOON  
COUPLED WITH A NEAR CRITICAL MIN RH OF 16%.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 12  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (105700 KNOT-FT) LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 6 6 1 1 1 13 30 21 10 10 10  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 48 56 64 66 68 69 70 71 72 72  
RH..............55 55 54 42 30 26 22 22 21 20 18 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 2.4 4.6 7.8 9.2 10 11 11 11 11  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 7 14 29 48 65 74 81 88 106 124  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9  
TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (126800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (46400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 70 66 62 59 55 54 53 52 49 49 48  
RH..............17 17 23 27 31 35 36 38 39 45 45 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 13 13 13 9 9 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 7.1 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 14 14 14 13 12 12 12 10 10 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..127 93 46 7 0 0 6 5 5 5 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (77300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 37 37 37 51 51 51  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 49 52 62 70 71 73 73 74 74 75 74  
RH..............48 45 42 30 20 18 15 16 16 16 15 16  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.6 4.8 8.4 11 12 11 9.2 6.9 8.7 9.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W NW W S SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 12 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 19 29 40 50 59 65 67 68 70 77  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...SLUSHER  
REQUESTED BY...MARK FITZGERALD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613280.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 05/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MFITZGERALD@BLM.GOV  
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