600
FNUS74 KEPZ 071204
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX WAGON WHEEL WEST PILES FY27...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
604 AM MDT WED OCT 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE GILA REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS, GENERALLY AFTER 3 PM, AND MOST LIKELY AFTER 5.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS, WITH LIMITED MIXING WILL LEAD TO JUST
'FAIR' VENT RATES TODAY, THOUGH CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
IMPROVE FOR THURSDAY, WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS PREVAILING.
MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 30 TO 35% ARE EXPECTED, WITH EXCELLENT
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46000 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........8 4 4 13 23 23
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 20 40
TEMP............49 59 69 75 77 74
RH..............89 69 45 36 33 37
20 FT WIND......NE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 13 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 800 4200 6400 7700 6700
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 E 5 E 5 SE 6 S 7 SE 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 14 33 46 36
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........37 37 46 14 14 31
WEATHER COV.....CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 10 0
TEMP............68 60 57 55 53 51
RH..............51 67 72 74 77 80
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 12 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 400 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 3 3 3 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60000 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........27 11 21 37
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 20
TEMP............49 58 70 74
RH..............86 67 42 38
20 FT WIND......E 7G14 E 7G14 SE 8G15 SE 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1100 6900 7600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 57 60
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 9 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 9 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622975.3/EPZ
.DELDT 10/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV,BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.ORLET@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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