286
FNUS74 KEPZ 241044
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNSET...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
444 AM MDT MON AUG 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGHS AROUND 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CLEAR SOME DURING
THE LATE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AGAIN
WITH CUMULUS BUILD-UPS. THERE IS ABOUT A 10% CHANCE FOR A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM BUT MUCH OF TODAY WILL REMAIN DRY. ANY ACTIVITY
WILL DISSIPATE BY EARLY EVENING. WINDS TODAY WILL VARY BUT
GENERALLY FAVOR FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST WITH SPEEDS MAINLY
UNDER 10 MPH. VENTING WILL BE GOOD WITH SMOKE TRANSPORT SHIFTING
DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BEGINNING TUESDAY, SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS WILL MOISTURE.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (86200 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........43 43 20 39 39 61
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............68 72 78 82 83 83
RH..............31 28 20 18 19 19
20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 14 12 12 10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3400 10200 12300 12700 11100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 9 W 7 NW 7 N 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 34 65 86 76 56
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........59 59 62 44 44 26
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............81 76 73 73 71 69
RH..............20 25 26 27 31 33
20 FT WIND......SW 4 SW 4 SW 6 W 7 W 7 NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 12 14
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 N 7 W 10 NW 10 NW 12 N 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 4 3 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (80100 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........19 7 37 53
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20
TEMP............67 72 81 83
RH..............36 30 21 21
20 FT WIND......NW 8G14 N 5G10 NE 7G14 SE 6G14
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 13100 12800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 N 7 NE 8 N 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 80 80
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...SEAN DONALDSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620239.2/EPZ
.DELDT 08/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SEAN.DONALDSON@USDA.GOV
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