016
FNUS74 KEPZ 091219
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
619 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTERNOON BREEZINESS OUT OF THE WEST COUPLED WITH A CRITICAL MIN RH
OF 13% WILL LEAD TO SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY. VERY LOW
CHANCE OF VIRGA SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT NOT ZERO. WINDS WILL START
TO SHIFT NORTHEASTERLY SUNDAY MORNING BECOMING A TAD BREEZY DUE TO AN
INCOMING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL HELP USHER IN SOME MOISTURE,
INCREASING MIN RHS SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO AROUND 28%. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY MONDAY
MORNING. EAST WINDS CONTINUE MONDAY MORNING AND WILL SHIFT SOUTHERLY HEADING
INTO THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13700 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (126400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (190800 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........6 4 4 29 11 11
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 65 76 77 77 77
RH..............34 21 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND......W 5 NW 5 NW 5 NW 7 W 9 W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 17 20 20
MIX HGT (FT)....600 8400 11900 13700 12800 12000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 NW 13 NW 10 W 10 W 13 W 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 93 103 114 141 191
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD VYGD EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (189500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........8 8 32 17 17 37
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 65 59 58 59 56
RH..............15 21 26 27 27 30
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 6 W 6 W 6 NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 13 15 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....11100 600 600 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 W 13 W 13 W 15 W 17 NW 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..190 65 0 7 8 7
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO
17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING VERY GOOD (108300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........25 25 46 47
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 40 30
TEMP............53 62 70 67
RH..............33 32 30 39
20 FT WIND......N 7G16 NE 8G20 NE 7G18 NE 6G17
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2500 8300 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 16 NE 14 NW 15 NE 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 30 108 50
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD FAIR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612954.2/EPZ
.DELDT 05/09/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HCHRISBOSS@GMAIL.COM,MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV
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