285
FNUS74 KEPZ 302238
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO FIRE...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
410 PM MDT MON MAR 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED BUILD-UPS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE VIRGA
AND JUST THE OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A SPRINKLE, BUT GUSTY/ERRATIC
WINDS COULD OCCUR THROUGH SUNSET. OTHERWISE, WESTERLY WINDS
WILL STAY FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH THE NIGHT. TOMORROW WILL BE
VERY SIMILAR TO TODAY, WITH STEADY WEST WINDS, AND SCATTERED
BUILD-UPS PRODUCING VIRGA AND GUSTY WINDS. A WEAK DISTURBANCE
WILL HELP KEEP WEST WINDS ELEVATED TUESDAY NIGHT.
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY, BUT WITH A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY WETTING RAIN
WOULD BE ISOLATED, AND THERE IS A CHANCE FOR DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS 15-20 MPH THROUGH
8 PM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (116500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(6000 KNOT-FT).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 4 PM 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........68 77 51 30 17
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............73 65 54 51 50
RH..............17 20 32 46 50
20 FT WIND......W 7G18 W 8G17 W 8G11 NW 8G10 W 8
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 W 14 W 12 NW 16 W 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..117 18 6 8 9
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (91900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (120900
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (156600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 21 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........17 27 41 29
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............0 0 0 10
TEMP............49 58 69 71
RH..............52 42 24 19
20 FT WIND......W 9G10 NW 10G13 W 10G22 W 12G24
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 21 W 18 W 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 54 136 148
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD VYGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (125200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (37800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........62 62 70
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CWR.............0 0 10
TEMP............67 55 53
RH..............23 37 48
20 FT WIND......W 12G24 W 12G20 W 10G22
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21 W 21 W 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..125 6 20
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 21
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 39 TO 47 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (101500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (234100
KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........62 60 59
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 40
TEMP............49 60 63
RH..............58 39 34
20 FT WIND......SW 10G28 SW 18G40 W 21G45
MIX HGT (FT)....600 6100 6400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 24 W 43 W 47
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 227 261
VENTRATE CAT....POOR EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
SATURDAY
COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608609.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE.GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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