258
FNUS74 KEPZ 131856
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKINNER UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1256 PM MDT TUE OCT 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST BREEZES EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS SHIFT NORTHERLY
THURSDAY MORNING, THEN SHIFTS EASTERLY BECOMING BREEZY TO WINDY IN THE
AFTERNOON. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS A STRONG
COLD FRONT PUSHES IN. STILL BREEZY THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS WELL.
NO RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY OR MUCH OF THURSDAY BUT LOW END CHANCES EXIST FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY. MAXIMUM VENTILATION RATES WILL BE VERY GOOD WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON BECOMING GOOD FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18 TO 20 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (100800 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........7 2 5 5 6
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 59 62 64 63
RH..............71 51 39 37 38
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 15 SW 20 SW 20 W 18
20 FT WIND GUST.20 32 33 33 32
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3000 4600 4200 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 SW 24 SW 28 W 26 W 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 64 101 102 90
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD GOOD
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........9 9 9 10 10 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 52 48 46 44 41
RH..............44 54 58 53 53 59
20 FT WIND......W 12 W 12 W 7 NW 5 NW 5 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 14 12 12 9
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 13 NW 10 NW 12 NW 12 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 5 5 5 5 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
14 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING
TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (99400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........8 2 6 15
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 50 60 62
RH..............59 42 29 30
20 FT WIND......NW 4G8 N 4G9 NE 8G18 E 17G31
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 1700 4000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 10 NW 9 N 8 E 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 7 28 99
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
23 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
12 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...JON CRANE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623718.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.CRANE@USDA.GOV
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