275
FNUS74 KEPZ 142153
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD FIRE...NMSDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
353 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON
FRIDAY WITH MIN RH VALUES BETWEEN 15 TO 20% AND TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 60S. WIND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 7 TO 12 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH FRIDAY/SATURDAY. SMOKE VENTILATION RATES
WILL BE VERY GOOD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN SUNDAY/MONDAY, WHICH MAY WARRANT
ADDITIONAL RED FLAG WARNINGS. NO FURTHER PRECIPITATION EXPECTED
THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (95000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........2 2 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 48 61 63 65 66
RH..............47 39 23 20 17 14
20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 6 W 8 W 8 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 15 18 18 20
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1800 5200 6600 8200 8100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 12 W 13 W 12 W 10 W 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 28 52 66 78 91
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (89800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........3 3 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 56 49 44
RH..............15 20 25 30
20 FT WIND......W 8G20 W 5G16 W 2G12 W 2G8
MIX HGT (FT)....6900 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 15 W 12 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..90 8 6 4
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 24
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (176300 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........2 1 1 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 55 63 66
RH..............36 23 15 13
20 FT WIND......SW 2G10 SW 6G17 SW 10G24 SW 10G25
MIX HGT (FT)....500 3400 7100 8600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 SW 10 SW 14 SW 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 31 85 164
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
16 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...MARK FITZGERALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613093.2/EPZ
.DELDT 05/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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