547
FNUS74 KEPZ 211610
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED PILES RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1010 AM MDT MON SEP 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ONE LAST QUIET AND MOSTLY DRY DAY TODAY BEFORE A VERY WET STRETCH OF
DAYS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK COOL FRONT MOVES IN LATE TONIGHT
TURNING WINDS TO EAST BRIEFLY AT 10-15 MPH. OTHERWISE LIGHTER SOUTHEAST
WINDS TUESDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL AND A RISK OF FLOODING TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MOST OF THURSDAY.
THIS AFTERNOON
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65400 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........58 63 63
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............75 73 71
RH..............30 31 35
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....9700 9300 8000
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..58 65 40
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR GOOD FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING EAST BRIEFLY 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........55 55 65 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 20 20
TEMP............70 64 60 58 57 55
RH..............35 46 58 69 77 90
20 FT WIND......E 3 E 3 E 3 SE 3 SE 3 E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 8 8 8 6
MIX HGT (FT)....4500 600 1000 600 1200 900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 8 E 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 5 11 6 11 7
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (44200 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........100 100 90
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RN/FG RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 50 60
TEMP............55 64 66
RH..............93 73 65
20 FT WIND......SE 3G9 SE 7G15 SE 9G21
MIX HGT (FT)....800 3100 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 9 SE 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 28 36
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BARONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622243.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV
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