966
FNUS74 KEPZ 101239
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
639 AM MDT SUN MAY 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT PUSHING IN FROM THE GREAT PLAINS WILL PUSH IN
THIS MORNING AND WILL SHIFT WINDS NORTHERLY AND THEN EASTERLY BY
THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL START POPPING
UP BY NOON TO 1 PM. STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME STRONG PRODUCING
HAIL AND VERY GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. STORM ACTIVITY SHUTS OFF BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT.
EAST WINDS PERSIST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT BUT WILL SHIFT SOUTHERLY STAYING LIGHT
INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DRY CONDITIONS,
AND LIGHT WINDS BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP OVERHEAD.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS THIS MORNING AT 8-10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH. EAST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AT
8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 21 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 14
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (97800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........46 39 39 61 47 47
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 30 30 30
TEMP............60 65 68 66 64 62
RH..............27 29 32 42 48 50
20 FT WIND......NW 8 N 9 NE 8 NE 8 E 11 E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 20 21 20
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3400 7000 7300 5700 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 17 N 16 N 15 E 14 E 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 51 98 95 69 47
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AT 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (44800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........34 34 44 86 86 75
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 54 49 46 45 43
RH..............50 64 71 83 89 96
20 FT WIND......E 7 E 5 E 4 E 5 SE 3 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 8 6
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1800 1300 1400 1400 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 16 E 14 E 13 E 12 E 8 E 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 22 14 14 10 5
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO
10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE WEST 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (58000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........41 4 10 26
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10
TEMP............40 52 67 72
RH..............100 66 39 33
20 FT WIND......S 2G4 SE 2G5 SE 3G9 S 4G11
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1600 5800 9000
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 SE 8 SW 10 W 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 11 38 58
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612954.3/EPZ
.DELDT 05/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HCHRISBOSS@GMAIL.COM,MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV
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