341  
FNUS74 KEPZ 272216  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX BLOCK 2...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
316 PM MST FRI FEB 27 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR SATURDAY, ON  
PAR WITH CONDITIONS OBSERVED FOR FRIDAY. AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES  
WILL DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID TEENS. WINDS WILL TOP OUT A LITTLE  
HIGHER THAN FRIDAY, AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL BE  
TO THE EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST WITH WITH VERY GOOD VENTING DURING  
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HIGHS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY WITH PASSING  
CIRRUS.  
 
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (106600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........22 22 11 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 66 73 74 70  
RH..............27 19 14 14 16  
20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 6 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 18 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 5700 6700 5700 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 W 15 NW 16 NW 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 69 104 91 40  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD GOOD POOR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........33 33 50 30 30 10  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 58 54 50 48 46  
RH..............20 24 27 32 35 38  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 6 W 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 12 13 13 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 300 300 300 300 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 12 W 12 W 13 W 14 W 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 3 2 4 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (97600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO FAIR (51500 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD  
(115300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........7 11 10 12  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 58 72 72  
RH..............38 26 14 13  
20 FT WIND......W 7G15 W 8G20 W 10G23 W 9G24  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 2200 7100 6900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 16 W 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 26 98 101  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
MONDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604032.3/EPZ  
.DELDT 02/27/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV,NMADC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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