689
FNUS74 KEPZ 270829
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPEAR...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
229 AM MDT MON APR 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS BREEZY
WINDS PICK UP. BREEZY WINDS AGAIN TUESDAY BUT A TICK DOWN FROM
TODAY. DRY, LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THEN PACIFIC
STORM MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INCREASES HUMIDITY THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY, ALONG WITH CHANCES OF RAIN.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 31 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (80600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (246100
KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 50 55 61 65 68 72 76 77 77 78
RH..............43 37 31 24 19 16 13 9 8 7 7
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW NW S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 6 6 6 10 10 10 14 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 12 12 12 24 24 24 28 30 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.9 3.4 5.0 5.5 6.7 8.6 9.7 10 9.5 8.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW W SW SW SW SW W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 9 12 14 21 28 29 31 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 12 21 40 55 81 154 232 251 256 246
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 27
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3
AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 31 MPH BECOMING WEST 9 TO 15
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (162500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(4600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........18 18 18 15 15 15 5 5 5 18 18 18
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 75 72 67 65 62 60 57 55 54 51 49
RH..............8 9 10 12 13 15 16 18 20 22 24 28
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 12 10 10 9 8 8 8 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.28 27 23 18 18 18 15 15 15 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.1 6.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W N NW N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 28 15 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..218 163 11 9 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO
16 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
WEST 21 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (64100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (233100
KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 14 14 7 7 7 12 12 12 31 31 31
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 47 51 58 64 69 74 78 81 82 83 82
RH..............30 30 27 22 17 14 11 9 7 6 6 6
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N E E E S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 14 15 13
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 20 20 22 24 25 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.4 4.5 5.8 7.9 9.9 11 11 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N W SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 7 8 9 13 16 21 24 26 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 9 14 24 36 64 110 178 234 256 233
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611807.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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