846
FNUS74 KEPZ 041820
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR D-2 SLASH PIT...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1120 AM MST WED FEB 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK INTO
SATURDAY. THE LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP VENT RATES IN THE POOR
CATEGORY. RH'S WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AS SOUTHWEST FLOW
HELPS BRING SOME MOISTURE INTO THE AREA WHICH COULD
HELP PRODUCE SOME LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS GOING INTO
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK
WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANT AND HAS A CHANCE TO STAY SOUTH
OF THE BURN AREA.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........25 23 15 14 14
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 45 47 44 42
RH..............26 25 28 34 38
20 FT WIND......W 3 W 6 W 7 W 5 W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2000 2000 1200 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 12 12 7 0
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........17 17 39 56 56 65
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 38 37 37 36 36
RH..............41 48 48 48 52 54
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 12 12 12
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 SW 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 10 W 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........58 58 61 68
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10
TEMP............35 40 45 43
RH..............56 52 42 44
20 FT WIND......SW 5G12 W 5G14 W 5G15 W 4G15
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1100 4300 3000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 12 W 16 W 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 15 59 38
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BARONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601473.3/EPZ
.DELDT 02/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV
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