952  
FNUS74 KEPZ 181639  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SACATON...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
1039 AM MDT SAT JUL 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY WITH A  
CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY  
CONSIDERING THE BURN SCAR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.25-0.50" WILL BE  
COMMON BUT WITH A RISK OF MUCH HEAVIER. OUTSIDE OF STORMS, WINDS  
WILL BE LIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
WILL BE BELOW NORMAL. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL VARY IN DIRECTION WITH  
POOR VENTING. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR  
MONDAY, BUT THE RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE LESS THAN 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........39 39 8 56 56 71  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 80 80 90  
TEMP............50 57 66 69 67 63  
RH..............92 84 57 48 53 70  
20 FT WIND......SE 0 SE 0 E 2 SE 2 SE 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2000 5000 6000 3600 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 NE 6 E 5 E 5 SW 6 E 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 10 20 28 18 16  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO  
9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........80 80 73 44 44 29  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 20 10 10 10  
TEMP............64 63 57 56 54 52  
RH..............65 71 85 83 83 88  
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 NW 0 W 0 W 0 NW 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 6 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 700 600 600 600 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 SW 7 W 6 NW 7 NW 7 W 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 4 3 3 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41000 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........39 34 60 71  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE S CHC DEFNTE DEFNTE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 90 90  
TEMP............51 61 70 65  
RH..............91 71 49 60  
20 FT WIND......NW 2G7 N 3G9 N 3G9 W 2G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2800 6800 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 NE 8 E 7 S 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 22 41 32  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617478.2/EPZ  
.DELDT 07/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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