310
FNUS74 KEPZ 192152
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ADAIR 2 PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
352 PM MDT MON OCT 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MODERATELY MOIST SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH AFTERNOON;
HOWEVER MIN RH WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........93 93 89 83 83 72
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 10
TEMP............43 47 56 62 65 66
RH..............100 89 86 67 56 52
20 FT WIND......N 0 N 0 S 3 SW 8 SW 8 SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 15 22 22 23
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 2900 4500 4700 4500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 16 S 21 SW 21 SW 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 11 46 85 85 72
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........65 65 69 75 75 86
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 40
TEMP............60 54 52 50 49 47
RH..............64 83 89 96 96 100
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 0 N 0 N 0 N 0
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 6 3 3 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 600 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 10 SE 8 SE 7 SE 6 SE 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 5 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15
TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (93400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(109500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........92 84 78 75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE S CHC S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 50 50
TEMP............46 54 64 68
RH..............100 83 65 55
20 FT WIND......N 0G5 SE 3G16 S 8G26 S 8G26
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 4900 5500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 8 S 20 S 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 93 110
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
COOLER. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624087.0/EPZ
.DELDT 10/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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