167
FNUS74 KEPZ 282134
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
334 PM MDT WED MAY 28 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 MDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WINDS OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS COULD BE SOMEWHAT VARIABLE (FAVORING
EAST TO SE) DUE TO WEAK CONVECTIVE SHOWERS IN THE AREA, BUT WILL
TREND BACK TOWARDS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT, WITH TERRAIN-
DRIVEN DRAINAGE FLOWS (DOWN-CANYON) SETTING UP AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON, AS LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE PUSHES BACK INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDER-
STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS, INITIATING VERY CLOSE TO THE FIRE LOCATION.
EVEN AFTER STORMS CLEAR OUT THURSDAY EVENING, STEADY EAST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY, WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY THURSDAY NIGHT.
THIS WILL BOOST MINIMUM RH VALUES FROM AROUND 22 PERCENT THURSDAY
AFTERNOON TO 32 PERCENT FRIDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (114600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........60 60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20
TEMP............75 76
RH..............22 22
20 FT WIND......E 8 SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17
MIX HGT (FT)....11300 11300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..115 115
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EASTERLY OUTFLOW WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH
BEFORE SUNSET, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
OVERNIGHT, WITH TERRAIN-DRIVEN DOWN-CANYON WINDS
PREVAILING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
12 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (120600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(7500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........39 39 32 27 27 25
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 66 62 58 56 54
RH..............21 29 36 42 43 52
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 8 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 8 8 9
MIX HGT (FT)....10100 10100 900 900 900 900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 12 SW 8 SW 8 W 12 W 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..121 121 8 8 11 11
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(115200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........28 41 49 47
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 30 30
TEMP............53 64 74 78
RH..............59 48 33 24
20 FT WIND......NW 6G12 NE 7G14 SE 8G15 SE 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2900 11300 9600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 9 SW 12 S 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 20 124 115
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...MATT THOMAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514676.3/EPZ
.DELDT 05/28/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV,MDTHOMAS@BLM.GOV
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