304
FNUS74 KEPZ 121051
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
451 AM MDT TUE MAY 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WITH NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL MIN RHS EACH AFTERNOON RANGING ANYWHERE FROM
11-17%. VERY LIGHT 20 FOOT WINDS THIS AFTERNOON OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 2-6 MPH.
SLIGHTLY BREEZIER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AT 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
SIMILAR WINDS THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR VIRGA SHOWERS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH A CHANCE OF A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WITH SHOWERS, AS WELL
AS GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (91800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 3 1 1 1 32 32 44 44 56 42
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 3
TEMP............48 50 54 63 71 73 74 74 74 74 74 75
RH..............43 40 36 26 18 15 13 15 15 15 15 14
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7 7 9 9 9 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.2 6.2 9.3 12 13 13 13 11 12 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 6 7 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 14 7 37 47 60 51 51 63 67 81 92
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD FR FR GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (95600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........38 38 38 29 29 29 17 17 17 20 20 20
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 73 69 65 62 59 57 56 56 53 53 52
RH..............15 16 20 22 25 27 28 30 30 33 33 36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...11 8.6 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W SW W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 12 10 9 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..96 86 9 6 0 1 5 5 5 5 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 18
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20 TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (91100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (152000
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 60 60 56 56 56 45 45 45 49 49 49
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............50 52 56 64 71 71 72 71 71 71 71 71
RH..............38 36 32 24 18 18 17 19 19 19 19 19
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 10 14 20 21 21 22 22 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.5 5.1 9.6 11 12 12 12 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 6 9 14 17 18 17 18 18 20 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 14 38 91 152 198 204 191 176 186 194
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...MARK FITZGERALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613423.0/EPZ
.DELDT 05/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MFITZGERALD@BLM.GOV
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