128
FNUS74 KEPZ 282213
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAGO...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
413 PM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MINIMAL WEATHER HAZARDS FOR SUNDAY. RH FALLING BACK DOWN TO
15-20% AS TEMPERATURES BECOME WARMER AGAIN. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS,
WITH A VERY LOW <10% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. NO MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. VENTILATION BECOMING GOOD BY 12PM, WITH
LIGHT WIND AROUND THE FIRE PERIMETER. VERY SIMILAR WEATHER ON
MONDAY, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
INCREASING DAYTIME WIND MIDWEEK, WEST 15 TO 20 MPH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THEN SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RH
15-25% BOTH DAYS. WE MAY NEED RED FLAG WARNINGS NEXT
THURSDAY/FRIDAY AS BREEZY SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES AND RH FALLS.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING,
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (99200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........36 26 39
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............47 66 76
RH..............53 26 16
20 FT WIND......W 9G20 NW 6G16 N 5G15
MIX HGT (FT)....600 4500 10400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 N 10 SW 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 41 94
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
7 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO
18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (45300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
SKY (%).........54 44 38
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............70 53 51
RH..............21 36 39
20 FT WIND......S 6G15 W 7G15 W 7G16
MIX HGT (FT)....6500 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 W 12 W 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..45 6 9
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (114300
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........35 40 44
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10
TEMP............47 65 76
RH..............45 26 16
20 FT WIND......W 8G16 W 7G17 W 7G18
MIX HGT (FT)....600 5800 12900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 17 W 12 W 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 58 116
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...RENE GUADERRAMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2608289.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/28/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RENE.GUADERRAMA@FIRENET.GOV
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