907
FNUS74 KEPZ 232124
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RATTLESNAKE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
324 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY DRY CONDITIONS WITH RECORD MARCH WARMTH THIS WEEK. MIN RH 5
TO 10% EACH AFTERNOON. WINDS OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, GENERALLY 10 TO 15 MPH. VERY GOOD SMOKE VENTILATION
WITH TRANSPORT DUE EAST. WIND WILL BE LIGHT ENOUGHT TO PREVENT
ANY FIRE HEADLINES UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN STRONGER WINDS MAY REACH
RED FLAG CRITERIA. NEXT MAJOR WIND SHIFT TIMED FOR FRIDAY, WHEN A
COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE EAST. SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
10 TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (89000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........27 27 20 22 22 9
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 69 65 61 59 57
RH..............16 21 24 25 27 27
20 FT WIND......SW 8 SW 8 W 6 W 5 W 5 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 12 8 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....5900 600 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 10 SW 10 W 12 W 13 NW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..89 5 5 6 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (100700 KNOT-FT)
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........10 10 4 3 3 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 59 72 82 89 91
RH..............23 19 15 9 6 5
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 SW 5 SW 8 SW 8 SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 16 16 23
MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 1600 4700 7800 8700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 9 N 7 W 8 W 12 W 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 10 33 69 101
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR GOOD VYGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
TO 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (105100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........10 5 5 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............87 73 67 63
RH..............6 10 13 18
20 FT WIND......W 14G24 W 12G23 NW 9G17 NW 7G13
MIX HGT (FT)....7500 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 18 NW 20 NW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..105 10 10 6
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
NOT AS WARM. CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...MARCOS MUNOZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607402.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JGUTIERREZ@BLM.GOV,MMUNOZ@BLM.GOV,JHOLGUIN@BLM.GOV,JSELBY@BLM.GOV
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