481
FNUS74 KEPZ 081214
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX WAGON WHEEL WEST PILES FY27...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
614 AM MDT THU OCT 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED, MOST LIKELY BETWEEN 4
PM AND 7 PM. A LITTLE DEEPER MIXING WILL HELP VENT RATES SLIGHTLY
TODAY, THOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE WE WILL STILL TOP OFF IN THE 'FAIR'
CATEGORY. EXPECT CONTINUED GOOD TO EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (56700 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........13 4 4 19 33 33
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 5 20 40
TEMP............52 60 69 72 72 72
RH..............77 64 45 41 41 45
20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 13 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 4400 7200 8100 7200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 9 SE 8 E 8 SE 8 SE 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 9 31 50 57 50
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........32 32 11 11 11 10
WEATHER COV.....CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHC NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 62 58 56 55 53
RH..............44 56 64 66 69 71
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 9 E 9 E 9 E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (FT)....3700 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 9 E 12 E 13 E 14 E 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 5 4 6 6 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68800 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........11 8 12 14
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 59 69 71
RH..............71 62 44 39
20 FT WIND......E 8G17 SE 9G18 SE 10G18 S 8G18
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1500 6000 6800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 SE 15 SE 12 S 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 19 64 69
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
9 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
COLUMBUS DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622975.4/EPZ
.DELDT 10/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN.CRUM@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,MICHAEL.ORLET@USDA.GOV,TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV
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