404
FNUS74 KEPZ 081708
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTENNIAL RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1108 AM MDT SUN MAR 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LOW FIRE DANGER TODAY WITH MIN RH 15-20% AND LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. FAIR VENTILATION WITH SMOKE TRANSPORT TO THE N.
SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH ON MONDAY, IMPROVING
VENTILATION RATES. NO RED FLAGS ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS BEGINNING MONDAY EVENING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY,
WITH BREEZY WEST WINDS AND HIGHER RH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL BE ENOUGH TO WET GRASSES AND BRUSH FOR 24-36
HOURS. REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE DRY AND WARM THOUGH WINDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (59300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 63 60 55 52 51 49 48 47 47 46 46
RH..............20 25 29 36 41 42 49 50 54 57 59 61
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..59 4 3 3 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO
16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (114700
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 11 11 11 11 11 24 24 24 41 41 41
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............45 44 46 52 59 65 71 74 75 75 75 74
RH..............64 66 64 55 46 40 33 28 25 21 21 20
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 10 10 10 16 16 16 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 1.4 2.6 3.9 4.9 7.2 9.6 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE E SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 6 6 6 7 7 9 12 14 15 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 0 0 1 3 9 24 52 86 115 134 142
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16
TO 18 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (132300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 39 39 52 52 52 42 42 42 36 36 36
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............72 68 63 59 57 56 55 53 51 49 47 45
RH..............22 25 30 36 41 45 50 56 61 66 71 76
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 16 16 16 17 17 17 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...9.5 6.7 3.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE S W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 14 14 14 15 17 18 18 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..132 95 46 5 0 0 5 5 6 6 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 32 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (110900
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55 55 55 64 64 64 59 59 59 54 54 54
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
TEMP............44 45 47 49 51 52 54 56 57 58 58 58
RH..............79 76 74 68 63 62 56 49 44 40 38 37
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 16 16 16 21 21 21 21 21 21
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 30 30 30 33 33 33 33 33 33
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 16 20 23 26 28 28 28 30 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 12 24 37 52 68 82 94 105 111 113 112
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 12 MPH.
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...MARCOS MUNOZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605069.0/EPZ
.DELDT 03/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MMUNOZ@BLM.GOV
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