400
FNUS74 KEPZ 141247
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUNA PILES RX...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
547 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN EAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH BRING
AN INCREASE EAST WINDS OVER PARTS OF NM TODAY, BUT UNFORTUNATELY
WINDS IN CATRON COUNTY WILL REMAIN QUITE LIGHT. EXPECT THE
MORNING INVERSION TO BREAK BETWEEN 9 AM AND 10 AM, AS IT APPEARED
TO DO YESTERDAY, BUT WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL SEVERELY LIMIT
MIXING HEIGHTS. CONDITIONS LOOK JUST AS BAD IF NOT WORSE ON
THURSDAY FOR MIXING. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY IN THE
WAKE OF A WEAK UPPER IMPULSE AS MAX MIXING HEIGHTS APPROACH 35-38K
KNOT-FEET, THEN OVER 60K KNOT-FEET ON SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TICK SLIGHTLY WARMER TODAY AND
TOMORROW, THEN JUST SLIGHTLY COOLER FRIDAY. STILL EXPECT COLD
MORNINGS WITH JUST INCREMENTAL INCREASES IN MORNING LOWS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO HUGE GAPS BETWEEN MORNING MAX AND AFTERNOON MIN RH
VALUES.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........19 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................95 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5
MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /12000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/27800 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 5 5 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............19 18 18 21 31 42 50 54 54 53 50 43
RH..............95 98 98 80 61 51 39 31 28 29 33 45
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 10 10 10 12 12 12 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 12 12 28 28 28 28 26 26 26 26
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 20.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........1 1 14 7 7 5
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 33 29 26 23 22
RH..............54 69 75 81 92 92
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 N 1 NE 1 NE 1 E 0
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 1
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 800 800 800 800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 5 NE 6 NE 6 N 5 N 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 4 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........7 6 3 2
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............20 34 54 58
RH..............96 54 28 23
20 FT WIND......N 0 N 1 N 1G2 N 2G9
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 2500 2800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 4 NW 4 W 4 NW 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 11 11
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK VALENTINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528906.2/EPZ
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PATRICK.VALENTINE@USDA.GOV,FRANCESCA.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV,DUSTIN.ROPER@USDA.GOV,RANDALL.CHAVEZ@USDA.GOV
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