387
FNUS74 KEPZ 121221
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLIE CANYON TRAIL WORK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
621 AM MDT SUN JUL 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FOR TODAY, ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE
SITE. SCATTERED MID-HIGH CLOUDS PASS OVERHEAD THIS MORNING, FOLLOWED
BY A 10-20% CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS
THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO 0.10".
FOR THE EVENING, RAIN CHANCES ARE ABOUT THE SAME BUT WITH LOWER
POTENTIAL RAINFALL. OVERNIGHT (MIDNIGHT TO 6 AM), RAIN CHANCES LOOK
TO INCREASE TO ABOUT 30-50% IN THE AREA WITH POTENTIAL FOR UP TO
0.25". THE MOST LIKELY RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT IS ABOUT 0.1". GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM THIS ACTIVITY. THE
MOST LIKELY TIMEFRAME TO SEE RAINFALL IS FROM MIDNIGHT TO 3 AM. RAIN
CHANCES INCREASE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A RISING THREAT OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 11 AM 3 PM
SKY (%).........18 13 46
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 30
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 20
SURFACE WIND....E 7G9 E 7G15 SE 12G18
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........15 15 15 4 4 4 16 16 16 36 36 36
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
SURFACE WND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12
SURFACE WND GST.14 14 14 20 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 18
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN STULTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 2616937.4/EPZ
.DELDT 07/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.STULTZ@USDA.GOV
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