084
FNUS74 KEPZ 212058
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
258 PM MDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ALONG WITH BUILDING WEAK RIDGE OVER THE
AREA WILL DOMINATE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OF WEATHER. BREEZY AFTERNOONS
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY, WILL
KEEP FIRE CONDITIONS ELEVATED. ERCS WILL REMAIN AROUND THE 90TH
PERCENTILE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. UPPER LOW MOVING INTO ARIZONA
WILL FINALLY BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
MONDAY.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (97900 KNOT-FT) AROUND NOON
AND INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (104100 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 1 1 1 3 3 3 7 7 7
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 43 48 55 58 60 61 62 63 64 63 63
RH..............34 31 25 21 18 17 16 16 15 14 14 14
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 17 17 17 17 17 17 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 4.2 6.5 8.4 9.4 10 11 12 12 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 12 10 10 9 9 10 10 13 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 42 65 75 84 92 98 104 116 125 121
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
21 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (123600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 12 12 12
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 60 57 53 51 49 47 46 45 45 44 43
RH..............14 15 16 20 22 24 25 27 28 29 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 21 15 15 15 12 12 12 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...10 8.2 2.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW W SW W SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 15 14 13 12 10 10 9 8 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..124 115 33 9 7 6 5 6 5 4 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO 8
MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (97300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 12 12 12 36 36 36 51 51 51
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 44 50 57 61 62 63 64 65 65 65 64
RH..............33 31 25 20 18 16 15 15 16 16 16 18
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 8 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 9 9 12 12 12 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 3.1 6.7 8.9 11 12 12 12 12 12 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NE NE N NW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 23 47 57 65 69 74 78 82 91 97
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
MEMORIAL DAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NMSCD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613795.4/EPZ
.DELDT 05/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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