153  
FNUS74 KEPZ 231215  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONASTERY PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
515 AM MST SUN NOV 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 MST ON NOVEMBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOW FIRE DANGER TODAY AFTER MORNING RAIN SHOWERS. CONDITIONS  
BECOMING DRY BY MID-AFTERNOON WITH WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
FAIR VENTILATION WITH TRANSPORT TO THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. DRY  
WEATHER AND TYPICAL NOVEMBER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK. LIGHT WINDS  
AND POOR VENTILATION THE REST OF THE WEEK.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 19 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (59200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 75 79 79 79 76 76 76 56 56 56  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 39 41 43 45 46 47 47 46 44 41  
RH..............100 100 96 89 82 79 76 74 76 79 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 8 8 8 9 9 9 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.2 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 19 19 19 19 17 17 17 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 34 34 59 59 59 59 50 50 50 50  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 54 54 45 45 45 28 28 28 25 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 37 36 35 34 33 33 32 32 31 31 30  
RH..............96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 9 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 22 22 22 11 11 11 11 7 7 7 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 16 16 7 7 7 2 2 2 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 32 36 41 46 49 52 53 54 53 50 45  
RH..............100 100 92 79 68 61 54 54 52 54 61 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 11 11 11 23 23 23 23 22 22 22 22  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THANKSGIVING DAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. LIGHT  
WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526383.4/EPZ  
.DELDT 11/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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