092
FNUS74 KEPZ 141242
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLE TREE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
642 AM MDT SUN JUN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JUNE 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH TO
SOUTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH ALONG WITH
A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP MID DAY, WHICH WILL INCLUDE A LOW RISK FOR STRONG WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL. THE REST OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL
SEE A CHANCE FOR ON-AND-OFF RAIN SHOWERS. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL BE
EASTERLY WITH FAIR VENTING. MONDAY WILL SEE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY, ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO
12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE EAST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (57400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 35 45 45 45 55 55 55 52 52 52
WEATHER COV.....NONENONECHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 30 30 30 60 60 60 70 70 70
TEMP............55 59 62 66 66 68 66 66 66 65 64
RH..............69 64 60 56 56 53 58 61 58 58 63
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.4 4.8 5.6 5.8 5.7 4.4 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N NE NE E N W W W W E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 9 9 8 7 7 9 12 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 15 20 24 29 33 47 57 39 26
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........75 75 75 88 88 88 85 85 85 84 84 84
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 40 40 40
TEMP............63 62 60 57 56 54 54 54 53 52 51 51
RH..............65 70 75 77 80 90 90 90 89 86 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 18 18 18 12 12 12 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE E NE E NE W N N SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 10 10 10 10 7 7 8 8 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 14 8 5 7 5 4 3 4 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (65300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........58 58 58 37 37 37 36 36 36 38 38 38
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONESCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 30 30 30 40 40 40 30 30 30
TEMP............50 52 55 57 61 62 63 64 66 66 66 67
RH..............93 89 86 80 72 70 65 63 58 56 52 50
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 14 14 14 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.3 1.5 2.3 3.1 3.4 3.8 5.6 5.9 4.9 5.9 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NW W W W W NE NW W NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 8 13 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 6 9 16 22 27 30 50 53 34 65 61
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR PR GD GD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...DEVIN CLAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615476.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LCDEVIN@GMAIL.COM
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