878
FNUS74 KEPZ 111151
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR 16 SPRINGS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
551 AM MDT MON MAY 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ABOVE AVERAGE WARMTH WILL CONTINUE THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
LIGHT BREEZES TODAY AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 2-5
MPH. MIN RHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 26% BUT CONTINUED DRY AND WARM
WEATHER WILL DECREASE RHS TO 17% TUESDAY AND 14% WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY
WILL BE A BIT BREEZIER WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 5-10 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (88700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........18 3 3 9 27 27
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 6 3
TEMP............44 52 65 70 72 73
RH..............89 66 41 35 31 27
20 FT WIND......S 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 S 5 S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 10 10 13 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 3600 8600 9400 8900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 S 6 S 7 SW 10 SW 10 W 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 9 38 67 84 88
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (78100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........5 5 2 4 4 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 63 53 51 52 52
RH..............28 35 46 46 46 46
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 5 W 6 W 6 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 15 15 17
MIX HGT (FT)....7800 600 500 500 600 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 10 W 12 W 15 W 17 W 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..78 27 0 7 8 7
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY
(60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10
MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (65100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........7 4 13 63
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 4 10
TEMP............53 70 79 79
RH..............44 27 17 20
20 FT WIND......W 8G17 NW 6G16 NE 3G10 S 3G12
MIX HGT (FT)....600 3700 11000 10800
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18 W 12 N 6 E 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 37 55 65
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...SLUSHER
REQUESTED BY...HAYLEY BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612954.4/EPZ
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HAYLEY.BOSS@USDA.GOV,MATTHEW.BARONE@USDA.GOV,HCHRISBOSS@GMAIL.COM
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