969  
FNUS74 KEPZ 010246  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW WELL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
846 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON JUNE 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH  
TONIGHT AS STORM CHANCES HAVE ENDED. WINDS STILL FAVOR A SOUTHERLY  
DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS  
DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON, MAINLY EAST OF THE SITE. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE CONVECTION AS STORMS  
PROGRESS TO THE NORTHEAST. SMOKE TRANSPORT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST  
IS FORECAST WITH FAIR TO GOOD VENTILATION. SCATTERED STORMS ARE  
FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK EACH AFTERNOON WITH POTENTIAL  
FOR GUSTY WINDS.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 54 54 28 28 28 38 38 38  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 69 67 66 64 64 62 62 61  
RH..............44 51 52 52 56 56 60 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 16 15 17 16 15 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 39 39 29 29 29 65 65 65 54 54 54  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............60 63 69 74 81 82 83 84 84 83 85 83  
RH..............60 54 44 35 27 25 25 26 27 27 26 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 14 14 14 16 16 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 3.8 3.8 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.0 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW S S SW S SW S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 9 9 9 9 8 10 8 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 31 31 63 63 64 64 48 48 53 53  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD FR FR FR FR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (44400 KNOT-FT) .  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........29 29 29 23 23 23 23 23 23 17 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 80 76 71 68 66 65 64 63 61 61 60  
RH..............28 31 39 47 55 56 58 60 60 65 65 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 14 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..44 44 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7  
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (98200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 29 29 32 32 32 45 45 45 59 59 59  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............59 62 68 75 79 83 84 85 85 85 85 84  
RH..............67 60 49 38 32 26 25 25 26 28 28 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 12 12 12 16 16 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 4.2 4.2 9.2 9.2 10 10 6.4 6.4 3.3 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW S SE S SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 7 7 7 9 13 17 20 18 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 25 25 55 55 98 98 96 96 52 52  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
INDEPENDENCE DAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARONSON  
REQUESTED BY...CALEB MCKENZIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616559.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 06/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV,GGALLARDO323@GMAIL.COM  
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