279
FNUS74 KEPZ 291425
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCBRIDE PILES RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
725 AM MST THU JAN 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FOR TODAY, MODEST NORTHERLY WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED
BEHIND A WEAK COLD FRONT WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH, BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THIS EVENING. VENTILATION RATES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE
TO 30,000 KNOT-FT OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER AROUND 1000 THIS MORNING,
REMAINING BETWEEN 30,000 AND 40,000 THROUGH 1500 THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME INSTANCES OF FAIR VENT RATES CAN BE SEEN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
FAIR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND THE REST OF
THE WEEK. VENTILATION WILL IMPROVE SOMEWHAT FOR FRIDAY, REACHING
FAIR CONDITIONS (UP TO 55,000 KNOT-FT) DUE TO DEEPER MIXING.
FRIDAY'S WINDS WILL BE NEAR 5 MPH OR BELOW FROM THE NORTHWEST.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 40S INTO THE WEEKEND.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (UP TO 39000 KNOT-FT THIS AFTERNOON).
TIME (MST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........33 22 19 19 24
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 38 43 46 44
RH..............47 37 30 27 30
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 7 N 6 N 6 N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 14 12
MIX HGT (FT)....800 2000 2800 3100 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 18 N 15 N 14 N 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 32 36 38 28
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........25 25 13 10 10 13
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 30 28 27 26 27
RH..............45 53 53 50 50 48
20 FT WIND......NW 2 NW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 5 5 5 7
MIX HGT (FT)....800 800 800 800 800 800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 8 NW 9 W 7 W 8 W 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 7 5 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO
15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (54800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........15 3 2 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 33 43 44
RH..............55 49 33 33
20 FT WIND......W 2G7 NW 3G10 NW 5G12 NW 4G12
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1500 4500 3000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 8 NW 13 N 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 11 49 33
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...JON CRANE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601270.1/EPZ
.DELDT 01/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.CRANE@USDA.GOV
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