103
FNUS74 KEPZ 161439
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SLACK...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
839 AM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JUNE 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND THAT WILL GREATLY REDUCE THE
NUMBER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT WE WILL SEE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIN RH'S WILL BE DOWN IN THE MID TEENS TODAY. WE WILL HAVE QUIET
WEATHER TONIGHT. FOR WEDNESDAY WE WILL SEE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AS MIN RH'S WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS
AND WINDS WILL BE BREEZY AND GUSTY FROM THE NORTHWEST. FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK THE MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE
FORECAST WITH MIN RH'S NEAR 20%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (156500 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........1 1 16 25 25
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 81 85 87 88
RH..............42 21 18 16 15
20 FT WIND......N 3 N 3 NW 7 W 9 W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 20 20
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 10800 13100 13700 11300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 10 NW 10 NW 12 NW 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 97 118 137 146
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD VYGD VYGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (126900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(3700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........21 21 20 15 15 11
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............87 82 74 69 66 62
RH..............16 21 28 35 38 43
20 FT WIND......W 12 W 12 W 12 W 9 W 9 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.24 24 26 21 21 13
MIX HGT (FT)....9900 1300 600 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 15 W 15 W 13 NW 9 W 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..138 17 8 6 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 14 TO 22 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (194900 KNOT-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........14 3 10 40
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 40 50
TEMP............60 67 84 87
RH..............46 42 21 19
20 FT WIND......W 4G14 W 10G23 W 17G26 W 18G28
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2200 10800 12200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 NW 15 W 16 W 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 28 151 195
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
JUNETEENTH
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...MARIA HELTERLINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615619.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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