832
FNUS74 KEPZ 021119
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR FT. STANTON PILES...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
519 AM MDT TUE SEP 2 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA AND THAT WILL SIGNIFICANTLY
REDUCE OUR CHANCES FOR RAIN TODAY. THIS DRY WEATHER TREND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TROPICAL
MOISTURE WILL BEGIN PUSH INTO THE AREA WHICH WILL INCREASE THE
CHANCES FOR RAIN. MIN RH'S TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL RANGE FROM
25% TO 35%. MUCH HIGHER MIN RH'S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT, WITH DRAINAGE WINDS DOMINATING AT NIGHT FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (80100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........28 15 29 29 37
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............60 69 74 76 75
RH..............64 49 35 31 32
20 FT WIND......W 2 N 3 E 7 E 7 SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 15 15 16
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 9000 9000 9700 9700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7 NE 7 NE 7 E 10 E 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 63 63 80 80
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........36 36 38 27 27 40
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 67 64 61 59 58
RH..............32 40 45 51 53 57
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 3 SW 2 SW 2 W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 8 6 6 6
MIX HGT (FT)....6700 6700 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 9 S 6 S 6 SW 7 SW 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..60 60 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (73200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........29 16 24 45
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20
TEMP............57 67 77 77
RH..............57 45 29 30
20 FT WIND......W 3G8 W 5G13 W 7G14 SW 7G14
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1900 10000 10500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 8 NW 8 NW 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 13 70 73
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...DOMINIC BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2521097.0/EPZ
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DLBELL@BLM.GOV
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