026
FNUS74 KEPZ 271138
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE EAGLE RX...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
538 AM MDT TUE OCT 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AS MOISTURE SHIFTS EAST. 20-FT WINDS OUT OF
THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WILL LEAD TO A FEW HOURS OF GOOD VENT
RATES TODAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. SMOKE TRANSPORT WILL BE MOSTLY
VERTICAL, BUT LEAN DOWN HIGHWAY 48 TOWARD FORT STANTON. RAIN CHANCES
RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, LEADING TO ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN SHOWERS FOR LINCOLN NF. A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING. ERCS ARE VERY LOW AT THE MOMENT, SO NO
FIRE DANGER EXPECTED INTO EARLY NOVEMBER.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72300 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 23 13 13 13 7 7 7 5 5 5
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 44 50 53 57 60 61 61 61 60 58
RH..............89 89 83 74 59 53 50 48 48 47 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 16 16 16 21 21 21 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.5 1.5 3.8 3.8 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.1 4.0 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 15 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 20 20 57 57 72 72 72 72 56 56
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 10 10 10
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 48 46 46 46 45 45 45 44 44 44 44
RH..............59 74 76 76 71 70 70 70 70 70 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 9 10 12 13 12 13 13 14 14 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (63100 KNOT-FT) .
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 18 18 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 45 46 52 57 60 63 64 64 65 63 61
RH..............68 68 68 66 55 47 43 41 40 38 41 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 8 8 8 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 17 17 21 21 21 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 1.4 1.4 3.4 3.4 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.9 3.6 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 17 18 18 16 14 14 15 13 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 21 21 55 55 61 61 63 63 40 40
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...ROY HOUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624558.1/EPZ
.DELDT 10/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROY.HOUGH@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page