789  
FNUS74 KEPZ 211107  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HUMMINGBIRD...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
507 AM MDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN ON  
WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST WHILE MIN RH VALUES FALL WELL INTO THE  
TEENS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONAL BENEATH CLEARING HIGH  
CLOUDS. VENTING WILL BE EXCELLENT WITH SMOKE TRANSPORT TO THE  
NORTHEAST. FRIDAY'S WEATHER WILL FEATURE MODEST WARMING, MODEST  
DRYING, AND SLIGHTLY LOWER WIND SPEEDS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (157600 KNOT-FT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 48 48 22 22 22 3 3 3 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 43 46 48 51 53 55 56 57 58 58 57  
RH..............35 32 27 24 21 19 18 18 16 15 14 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 18 18 18 22 22 22 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 4.5 5.7 6.5 7.3 8.7 9.4 10 9.8 9.7 9.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 13 15 16 16 17 16 18 18 17 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 22 48 74 96 115 130 145 155 158 157 147  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (127300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 53 50 48 46 45 44 43 42 41 41 40  
RH..............16 18 20 23 24 24 25 28 30 30 30 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 9 9 9 7 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 17 17 17 13 13 13 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.5 7.9 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 15 14 12 10 9 9 8 8 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..127 89 45 10 0 0 5 4 4 4 1 0  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (108100  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 42 46 49 52 54 56 58 59 60 60 59  
RH..............33 30 25 22 19 18 16 16 15 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 16 16 16 15 15 15 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 3.2 5.5 7.7 8.9 10 12 12 11 12 11  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 12 12 12 10 10 12 12 13 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 17 36 55 69 81 91 101 108 114 124 129  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 6 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
MEMORIAL DAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...VICTORIA CURTIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614173.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 05/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EDITH.ROBINSON@USDA.GOV,RICHARD.ORTIZ@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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