965  
FNUS74 KEWX 181324  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR J17 PILES...AUSTIN FIRE DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
824 AM CDT THU APR 18 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MAINLY HUMID AND MISTY THIS MORNING BEFORE CLOUDS SCATTER THIS  
AFTERNOON. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S ARE EXPECTED WITH  
DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM AS  
EARLY AS 5 PM, ALTHOUGH THE MORE LIKELY TIMING WILL BE AFTER 7PM  
THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. THERE IS A 20-30 PERCENT CHANCE THE BURN  
SITE WILL ENCOUNTER A THUNDERSTORM THIS EVENING. GOOD OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
DRIZZLE LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 82 86 79 67 59 38 20 28  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....DZL  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............72 74 76 77 81 82 83 86 85  
RH..............100 93 87 87 77 74 72 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 15 15 16 16 17 16 16  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.4 3.7 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 14  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
(20-30 PERCENT) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT INCREASING TO 19 PERCENT IN THE  
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1900, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL  
0100, THEN NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........24 35 51 49 57 77 78 77 69 64 60 57  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............84 84 78 74 72 71 71 70 69 68 67 66  
RH..............65 65 76 87 87 90 87 90 93 97 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E S S S S E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 10 10 10 10 9 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 14 14 15 14 14 10 10 10 9 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE E S S S S E NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 8 8 9 8 8 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 73 80 69 70 61 59 57 57 57 57 63  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............66 66 65 67 69 71 74 76 78 79 79 78  
RH..............100 97 100 97 87 81 75 69 65 64 64 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...27  
REQUESTED BY...STEV GIBBON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411318.0/EWX  
.DELDT 04/18/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN.GIBBON@AUSTINTEXAS.GOV  
 
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