402  
FNUS74 KEWX 220238  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GARDNER RD FIRE...BEXAR COUNTY FIRE DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
938 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 CDT ON MAY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO BEXAR COUNTY  
AND EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE LOCATION IN THE NEXT HOUR. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM IN  
ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN. DRIER WEATHER IS  
EXPECTED AS THIS COMPLEX OF STORMS DEPARTS WITH LIGHT WIND  
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. LOW CHANCES OF RAIN RETURN TOMORROW  
THOUGH ANY STORM ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE ISOLATED SO DRY  
WEATHER IS FAVORED. LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL PERSIST  
ON FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER  
3 AM.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........91 80 81 78 78 73 75 81  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 73 71 71 71 70 69 69  
RH..............84 84 87 87 87 90 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE E SE SE S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 4 4 3 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 9 8 7 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 5 4 5 5 5 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (31300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 64 52 59 48 31 26 24 21 19 26 25  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 69 71 73 76 78 80 82 84 84 85 86  
RH..............93 97 90 90 85 82 77 74 70 67 65 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE NW E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST. 3 3 3 5 6 7 9 9 9 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE NW E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST. 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 4 6 8 13 18 21 24 26 27 31  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........23 32 43 40 56 71 58 59 63 57 65 65  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 84 82 78 77 75 75 75 74 74 74 73  
RH..............67 67 72 82 82 87 84 84 87 87 87 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE NE SE S SE SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE NE SE S SE SE E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 12 12 16 13 10 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..40 26 6 5 5 5 9 8 5 4 6 4  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...27  
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN HITCHMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614273.0/EWX  
.DELDT 05/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MEGAN.HITCHMAN@BEXAR.ORG  
 
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