653
FNUS74 KEWX 202155
FWSEWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR WMA...TPWD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
355 PM CST WED NOV 20 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER SUNNY AND DRY DAY IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY
BUT WITH MUCH LESS WIND IN COMPARISON TO WEDNESDAY. 20 FT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS. THE DIRECTIONS COULD
BE A BIT VARIABLE, ESPECIALLY EARLIER IN THE DAY BEFORE TURNING
MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY IN DIRECTION. MIN RH DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON WILL FALL INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. COOL WITH
LIGHT WINDS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERING INTO THE
50 TO 60 PERCENT RANGE. FRIDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAY BUT
WITH WINDS SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY THAN SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY. MINIMUM HUMIDITY FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON DROPS INTO
THE 30 PERCENT RANGE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 4 4 3 3 3 5 4 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48 55 60 64 67 68 70 68 67
RH..............42 32 28 25 23 24 24 24 26
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 12 14 13 12 10 10 9
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 3
EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 7 8 8 7 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.4 2.6 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 7
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1 1 4 7 13 18 24 25 27 28 29 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62 56 53 51 50 48 47 46 45 44 42 41
RH..............32 35 39 44 46 50 50 50 49 49 52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 5
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 4
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND
3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 31 31 31 30 28 27 24 21 18 17 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41 44 49 54 58 63 67 70 72 72 70 67
RH..............54 51 48 45 41 37 33 30 29 29 32 37
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NE E E SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NE E E SE S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 3
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.8 3.5 3.7 4.0 4.2 3.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...62
REQUESTED BY...D. PFEFFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427098.0/EWX
.DELDT 11/20/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DEANNA.PFEFFER@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV
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