733  
FNUS74 KEWX 191221  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KERR WMA EAST TURKEY...TEXAS PARKS & WILDLIFE DEPT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
621 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE DRYLINE WILL LOWER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES TO NEAR 16% TODAY WITH  
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8-12 MPH THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL DROP BELOW 10  
MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RH AND BREEZY WINDS  
WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. EXPECT RH TO  
RECOVER TO AROUND 86% FRIDAY MORNING. THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES WILL  
RETREAT TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE ON  
FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH AT THE FIRE SITE WILL BE NEAR 34% FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH DECREASING TO  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 21  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
7 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (55100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 29 16 4 6 8 7 3 7 13  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 62 67 71 74 77 78 79 80 78  
RH..............95 70 42 29 20 19 17 16 16 17  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 12 12 10 8 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 12 14 16 16 14 14 12 10 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 6 7 7 6 5 4 4 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 7 8 10 10 8 8 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.4 2.7 3.3 3.8 4.9 5.4 4.2 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 20 21 21 18 16 13 10 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 9 29 42 54 55 53 49 41 12  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 9 11 18 17 12 6 12 13 36 48 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 70 65 61 59 57 56 55 54 54 53 52  
RH..............21 25 30 33 37 40 43 49 55 61 69 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE NE E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N NE E E SE SE SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 2 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9  
TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 67 70 72 68 65 61 58 56 53 54 56  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 54 56 61 65 70 74 77 80 81 81 79  
RH..............77 86 86 72 68 61 55 48 39 35 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E SE S S S SW SW SW SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.2 2.7 3.5 4.0 5.1 5.6 4.4 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 10 10 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 3 7 17 29 46 61 63 40 16  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...05  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY EVANS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603172.0/EWX  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WESLEY.EVANS@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV,RYAN.REITZ@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TX Page
Main Text Page