392  
FNUS74 KEWX 160703  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAYETTE 2533...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
203 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0200 CDT ON MARCH 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RH VALUES IN THE MIDDLE 30S WILL REMAIN STEADY OR FLUCTUATE ONE OR  
TWO PERCENT EITHER DIRECTION AS FALLING DEW POINT TEMPERATURES KEEP  
PACE WITH FALLING AMBIENT TEMPERATURES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30  
MPH AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TEMPERATURES COOL RAPIDLY TO A MINIMUM OF  
AROUND 40 DEGREES BY DAYBREAK. MOISTURE WILL HOLD NEARLY STEADY  
THROUGH DAYBREAK AND THEN FALL AGAIN AS DRY AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS  
CONTINUE AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH FROM DAYBREAK THROUGH  
NOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 17 PERCENT.  
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AFTER NOON COULD STILL REMAIN ABOVE 10  
MPH THROUGH AROUND 6 PM. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY  
LATE THIS EVENING, AND THE RH RECOVERY WILL ONLY IMPROVE SLIGHTLY  
WITH A MAXIMUM OF AROUND 40 TO 42 PERCENT TUESDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
43 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 35 TO 39 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (76400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO GOOD (52800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 17 27 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 48 46 44  
RH..............33 33 32 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 23 22 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.43 40 38 37  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.14 14 13 12  
EYE LVL WND GST.26 24 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.7 2.5 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.39 38 36 35  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 62 76 76  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH IN  
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 33 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (124900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 16 18 29 29 28 18 31 47 48 56 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 41 41 41 43 46 49 50 53 53 53 54  
RH..............34 36 34 33 30 25 21 19 17 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 17 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.36 35 33 33 32 31 30 30 29 28 25 24  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.22 21 20 20 19 19 18 18 17 17 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 32 31 31 31 31 30 30 29 28 26 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..75 74 39 89 94 98 110 122 125 124 115 103  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD PR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8  
MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 24 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 14  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (91900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........76 91 90 84 78 68 57 47 39 32 24 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 51 49 47 46 45 43 41 39 38 36 35  
RH..............18 19 20 24 25 25 28 31 34 35 38 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 10 8 7 6 6 3 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 20 18 17 16 13 10 9 7 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N NE NE NE E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 6 5 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 12 11 10 10 8 6 5 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.5 2.9 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 20 16 14 12 9 7 6 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..92 67 13 15 12 5 6 4 3 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (55100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 3 4 6 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 34 36 39 46 52 57 60 63 65 65 66  
RH..............40 41 38 35 27 22 19 18 17 17 18 18  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 9 12 12 12 12 13 14 15 15  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 4 4 5 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.5 4.5 5.0 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 8 15 20 25 30 40 50 55 52  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...18  
REQUESTED BY...NOAH CITRON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2605885.0/EWX  
.DELDT 03/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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