897
FNUS74 KEWX 101146
FWSEWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR OWENS TRACT PILES...TRAVIS COUNTY PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
646 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH WINDS HAVE KEPT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTACT LEADING TO
EXCELLENT HUMIDITY RECOVERY OVER THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING.
EXPECT SOUTH WINDS TO REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH
A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THERE COULD
ALSO BE A THUNDERSTORM DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH WINDS REMAIN INTACT THIS EVENING AND WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE THIS EVENING, WITH
RAIN CHANCES RAMPING UP AS WE HEAD INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ON WEDNESDAY AS A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST. WETTING RAINS APPEAR LIKELY DURING THIS PERIOD. WE COULD
ALSO SEE A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEHIND
THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS, WESTERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH WINDS TRENDING MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
15 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
24 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........95 92 92 89 90 88 91 88 91 87
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 71 72 74 75 78 80 81 81 83
RH..............97 97 93 87 84 79 74 69 67 61
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 14 15 15 15 16 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.17 21 22 24 23 25 26 25 25 26
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND GST.10 13 13 14 14 15 16 15 15 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.8 3.8 4.2 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 21 22 23 24 24 24 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 21 37 40 38 43 51 70 95 103
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR PR FR FR GD GD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................2 PERCENT INCREASING TO 41 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12 TO
14 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (92300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........74 73 72 57 54 66 79 92 92 89 87 87
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40
TEMP............81 79 77 73 72 71 71 71 70 69 68 66
RH..............63 64 69 81 84 90 90 90 93 97 93 97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S SW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 16 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 8 6
20 FT WIND GUST.26 25 26 26 25 24 22 20 18 16 14 13
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S SW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 9 10 10 9 8 8 7 6 5 5 4
EYE LVL WND GST.16 15 16 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 2.7 2.4 1.7 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SE E NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 23 22 22 21 20 18 17 15 14 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..92 57 18 24 35 51 52 43 24 16 8 7
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................41 PERCENT INCREASING TO 53 PERCENT IN THE
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
12 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND
INCREASING TO 7 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
14 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (44100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 85 89 80 70 57 44 31 31 32 32 30
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40 50 50 50 50 50 50 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............65 64 62 64 67 70 73 76 77 79 79 78
RH..............100 100 100 97 90 81 73 64 60 54 52 52
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N NW NW NW W NW NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 7 7 8 8 9 9 12 14 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 7 5 5 8 15 23 32 39 44 41
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR
FORECASTER...24
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605225.0/EWX
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.THOMPSON@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV,C.CAT@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV,GABE.MAHLUM@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV,STEVEN.MOORE2@TRAVISCOUNTYTX.GOV
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