592  
FNUS74 KEWX 162213  
FWSEWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAYETTE 9515...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX  
513 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON OCTOBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 PM  
CDT THIS EVENING FOR NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.  
GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT IN SUSTAINED WINDS IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING  
AND AFTER SUNSET, BUT GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE  
THROUGH 4 AM CDT BEFORE WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND GENERALLY BELOW 10  
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NEARBY  
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY BEGINNING TO REBOUND FROM  
THIS AFTERNOON'S MINIMUM OF NEAR 30 PERCENT, AND A STEADY INCREASE  
IN RH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH VALUES INCREASING TO AROUND 70  
PERCENT OVERNIGHT WITH AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. RH VALUES  
SHOULD DROP AGAIN INTO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, BUT WINDS WILL BE MUCH  
LIGHTER. NO RAIN IS FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
22 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
36 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (103000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 5 PM  
SKY (%).........32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............68  
RH..............35  
20 FT WIND......N 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.36  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 12  
EYE LVL WND GST.22  
MIX HGT (FT)....3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..103  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (64800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........36 19 26 27 19 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 61 59 56 54 52  
RH..............34 44 49 55 59 63  
20 FT WIND......N 18 N 16 N 14 N 15 N 15 N 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 32 28 30 31 30  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 11 N 10 N 8 N 9 N 9 N 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.21 19 17 18 19 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 500 500 500 400 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 18 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..65 15 12 10 9 10  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (59100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........12 19 19 15 21 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 49 55 61 66 69  
RH..............66 71 61 50 40 35  
20 FT WIND......N 15 N 15 N 14 N 12 N 10 N 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 26 24 20 18 18  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 9 N 9 N 8 N 7 N 6 N 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.17 16 14 12 11 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1200 2800 3500 4100 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 15 SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 26 54 54 47 59  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR  
 

 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL RODRIGUEZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2623922.0/EWX  
.DELDT 10/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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