176
FNUS74 KFWD 170936
FWSFWD
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST RIDGE...TPWD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
436 AM CDT TUE SEP 17 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH A DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYER AT PEAK HEATING, BUT AN INCREASE IN GULF MOISTURE
WILL KEEP THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY, BUT ANY RAINFALL SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF DELTA COUNTY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5
TO 13 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 15
TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 4 5 10 12 25 18 24 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 73 75 79 85 87 90 92 94 95 94 94
RH..............82 87 84 79 63 59 52 49 44 42 41 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE E E E E E E SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 5 5 7 7 7 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE E E E E E E SE SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.2 5.3 6.5 6.9 7.6 7.6 7.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 10 13 15 16 17 17 15 15
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........18 29 13 8 9 5 2 2 1 0 0 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............92 90 87 83 81 80 78 77 77 75 75 74
RH..............46 50 55 65 72 74 79 85 87 90 90 93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST. 4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 9 7 7 7
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 15
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 11 16 20 25 29 33 37 41 45 49 50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74 73 75 79 83 87 89 92 93 93 93 92
RH..............90 87 84 74 65 57 52 47 44 44 43 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 12 12
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE E E E E E E E E SE SE SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST. 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.2 4.8 5.7 6.1 6.6 7.1 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E E E SE SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 7 12 13 14 15 16 16 15
HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...HUCKABY
REQUESTED BY...HOWARD CRENSHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1915594.0/FWD
.DELDT 09/17/19
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL HOWARD.CRENSHAW@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV
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