427  
FNUS74 KFWD 121337  
FWSFWD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO CREEK...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX  
837 AM CDT SUN JUL 12 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JULY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ANOTHER HOT, UNSTABLE AND RAIN FREE DAY IS EXPECTED WITH  
AFTERNOON HIGHS AROUND 107. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY  
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND SUNRISE TODAY, SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE  
RETURNED AND WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH  
TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 MPH BUT WILL  
OCCASIONALLY GUST TO AROUND 15 MPH THROUGH SUNSET. THE HOT  
TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO FALL BELOW  
20 PERCENT.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 107.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 71 57 43 29 15 15 16 16 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............81 85 89 94 98 101 103 106 107 107  
RH..............67 57 48 39 32 27 24 21 20 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 13 13 13 13 11 11 11 11  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E S SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST. 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........15 13 14 15 15 14 23 27 31 35 39 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............107 106 101 94 91 89 86 84 81 80 78 77  
RH..............18 19 22 28 32 34 39 44 49 51 54 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S SE S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 4 4 4 4  
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 107.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 62 55 47 40 41 43 44 39 35 30 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............76 75 79 85 90 94 98 102 103 105 106 107  
RH..............62 66 62 53 45 37 30 23 21 19 19 18  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 8 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE S SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 3 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST. 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...FANO  
REQUESTED BY...KASIE WAGENFEHR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2009236.1/FWD  
.DELDT 07/12/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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