997
FNUS74 KFWD 161410
FWSFWD
SPOT FORECAST FOR LMWSP_POST BURN MONITORING...TEXAS PARKS WILDLIFE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
810 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY
DISCUSSION
THE COLD FRONT HAS PASSED LMWSP, BRINGING NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH
THE REST OF TODAY. UPWIND OBSERVATIONS ARE NOW REPORTING WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 25-35 MPH OUT OF THE NORTH, AND THIS CAN ALSO BE
EXPECTED AT LMWSP SHORTLY. GIVEN THE STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS,
MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY WILL BE NEAR 5000 FT AS STRONG LOW-LEVEL
MIXING CONTINUES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL QUICKLY DROP TO
THE UPPER TEENS LATER TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ON THE
COOLER SIDE. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL KEEP THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE STARTS
ELEVATED.
AS THE SUN SETS TODAY, WINDS WILL QUICKLY SUBSIDE. WIND SPEEDS
OVERNIGHT WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH OUT OF THE NORTH. LOW-LEVEL
MIXING WILL REMAIN MINIMAL, THEREFORE, MIXING HEIGHTS WILL STAY
AROUND 400 FEET. POOR RH RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES STAYING BELOW 40%. THANKFULLY, LOW WINDS
AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO UNFAVORABLE BURNING CONDITIONS
FOR SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 13 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 28 MPH INCREASING TO 31 TO 39 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 21 TO
29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 3 3 2 8 13 10 8 7 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42 46 48 51 53 56 56 57 56 55
RH..............63 54 47 39 32 26 24 20 19 18
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..15 25 26 23 21 21 21 21 18 15
20 FT WIND GUST.23 41 38 35 33 31 29 29 26 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.5 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 39 37 33 31 29 26 25 24 21
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 3 5 4 7 5 10 15 20 25 28 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50 45 43 39 37 35 34 33 31 30 30 29
RH..............22 26 28 32 35 36 36 37 39 39 38 38
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 8 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 12 10 10 12 12 14 15 15 14 14
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55 52 51 53 61 69 77 76 74 73 66 55
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RS RS RS
TSTM COV........
TEMP............28 31 30 36 38 41 43 44 45 46 44 42
RH..............38 34 35 29 27 24 22 22 21 22 23 26
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 16 18 20 21 21 20 18 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.2 4.1 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 14 17 20 23 24 24 23 21 17 14
FORECASTER...HERNANDEZ
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN FERGUSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600335.0/FWD
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KEVIN.FERGUSON@TPWD.TEXAS.GOV
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