352
FNUS74 KHGX 102135
FWSHGX
SPOT FORECAST FOR GARDEN FIRE...TX-ACA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
435 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WE ARE VERY NEAR THE WARMEST, DRIEST PART OF THE DAY AT REQUEST
TIME, WITH RH AROUND OR A LITTLE BELOW 60 PERCENT DUE TO CONTINUED
SOUTHERLY WINDS KEEPING HUMIDITY UP WITH GULF MOISTURE. WE'LL
KEEP IN THIS ROUGH CONDITION, WITH NEAR MINIMUM RH AND SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH AND GUSTS INTO THE LOWER 20S, FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO, THEN BEGIN TO SEE TEMPERATURES FALL, RH CLIMB, AND WIND GUSTS
GRADUALLY DROP OFF WITH SUNSET. SUSTAINED WINDS, HOWEVER, DO LOOK
TO STAY IN THE 5-10 MPH RANGE RATHER THAN BECOME VERY LIGHT AS
THEY TYPICALLY DO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ARE
OCCURRING WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE AREA, AND ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE.
RAIN CHANCES DO, HOWEVER, INCREASE TOWARDS DAWN AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA. IN THE MORNING, THIS WOULD TAKE THE FORM OF
HIT AND MISS LIGHT SHOWERS. BY MID-DAY INTO THE AFTERNOON, A
BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH IN AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT. WHILE THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME IS FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THE STRONGEST
STORMS IN THE LINE TO BE SEVERE, CARRYING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
EVEN A TORNADO. IT WILL BE IMPORTANT TO STAY ALERT TO WEATHER
CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY, AND HAVE A PLAN TO SAFELY RESPOND TO A
SEVERE STORM.
TONIGHT
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC CDY MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
SKY (%).........52 64 74 86 90 87 92 94 92 96 98 96
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20
TEMP............79 78 75 72 72 71 71 71 71 71 71 71
RH..............67 67 76 84 87 90 90 93 93 93 93 93
APARNT TMP (F)..79 78 75 72 72 71 71 71 71 71 71 71
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 22 21 21 22 22 21 21 21 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.3
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 15 16 16 18 20 20 20 20 18 15
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7
CEILING (KFT)...4.4 5.8 3.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
WEDNESDAY
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC CDY MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
SKY (%).........93 87 92 85 88 81 80 80 72 81 70 64
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............20 30 30 30 50 60 60 70 60 70 80 80
TEMP............71 71 71 71 71 73 73 74 74 74 75 73
RH..............93 93 93 93 90 84 84 82 79 79 76 79
APARNT TMP (F)..71 71 71 71 71 73 73 74 74 74 75 73
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 20 20 22 23 24 23 23 22 20 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.3 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 13 15 17 21 21 23 21 20 15 14
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 9 7 6
CEILING (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 4.5
VISIBILITY (SM).8 8 8 8 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
FORECASTER...LUCHS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT PINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605374.0/HGX
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCOTTIE.PINA@BIA.GOV
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