813  
FNUS74 KMAF 051119  
FWSMAF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACON...TFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
619 AM CDT FRI AUG 5 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WITH LITTLE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT  
SHOULD KEEP SUSTAINED 20FT WIND AT 15 MPH OR LESS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
ARE POSSIBLE TODAY NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE WHICH COULD PUT OUT AN OUTFLOW  
BOUNDARY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR NORMAL WITH MINIMAL RH AROUND  
20 PERCENT, FAIR RECOVERY AT NIGHT. SIMILAR CONDITIONS SATURDAY  
BUT NO STORMS EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............76 86 97 102  
RH..............56 46 29 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 12 8 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 2300 7700 11500  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 12  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............101 93 85 80  
RH..............21 27 33 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 12 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 14 13 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....12300 3500 BLW100 200  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 10 15  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1  
TEMP............74 81 93 99  
RH..............51 47 30 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 10 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 14 14 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 1300 7500 12800  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 12 12  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...CAIN  
REQUESTED BY...MELINDA HORN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2216099.2/MAF  
.DELDT 08/05/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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