128  
FNUS74 KOUN 250127  
FWSOUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FALCON...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
827 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 CDT ON AUGUST 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE COMING 12-18 HOURS SHOULD FEATURE MINIMAL CHANGEABLE WEATHER  
CONCERN AT THE FIRE SITE, WITH A SOUTHERLY BREEZE OVERNIGHT  
RETURNING TO AN OCCASIONAL GUSTY SOUTHWEST WIND BY THE MID-MORNING  
ON TUESDAY. POOR MOISTURE RECOVERY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS WELL  
BEFORE ANOTHER HOT AND DRY DAY ON TUESDAY.  
 
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL STEADILY APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON  
TUESDAY, WITH A VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION EXPECTED NEAR AND AFTER  
SUNSET. LOW RAIN AND STORM CHANCES ARRIVE TOWARDS THE INITIAL  
HOURS OF WEDNESDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500-8300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........11 5 15 1 3 2 7 9 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............95 92 90 88 86 86 85 82 82  
RH..............31 34 35 36 37 37 37 40 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 17 17 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 18 21 20 18 16 15  
VRATE KTFT/1000.6 7 8 8 8 8 8 6 6  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 107.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (5600-98400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........13 24 34 26 24 28 15 27 16 38 33 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............81 80 82 85 90 94 98 101 103 105 106 105  
RH..............41 42 41 39 33 31 27 24 23 22 20 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 10 10 13 14 13 13 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 17 17 21 23 21 21 17 17 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 7.0 7.8 8.2 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 15 20 23 22 18 17 16 14 14 13  
VRATE KTFT/1000.6 6 12 29 53 63 64 73 98 93 98 83  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND  
12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHEAST 14 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (3600-68500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 8 29 31 31 42 33 28 38 23 47 32  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............105 103 97 92 89 86 84 83 82 81 79 78  
RH..............22 24 30 37 42 48 51 53 56 58 62 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S E E E E NE N N NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 13 13 10 9 10 9 9 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.8 3.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W S N NE W S N N N N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 14 15 15 14 14 15 12 9 12  
VRATE KTFT/1000.69 33 6 6 6 6 5 6 14 5 4 5  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 101.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 9 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (3700-73100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 45 37 42 47 46 45 44 45 45 46 46  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............77 77 78 81 86 90 93 96 98 100 100 100  
RH..............69 69 69 65 55 49 44 39 35 33 32 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 12 13 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.5 5.0 6.3 7.0 7.3 7.2 6.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 12 14 15 15 14 13 12 12 10 9  
VRATE KTFT/1000.4 4 10 18 29 46 60 69 70 73 65 55  
 
 
FORECASTER...UNGAR  
REQUESTED BY...SETH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620436.0/OUN  
.DELDT 08/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
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