271  
FNUS74 KOUN 181452  
FWSOUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INITIAL ATTACK FOR WILDFIRE SEVERITY...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
952 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NORTHERLY WINDS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY  
TO EASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN SPEED IN  
DIRECTION IS LOW. SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE AREA MAY INTRODUCE OUTFLOW  
BOUNDARIES WHICH WOULD ADD VARIABILITY TO WINDS. THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE  
FOR AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO IN THE BURN AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING, FOLLOWED BY SLIGHTLY HIGHER CHANCES FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (13800-63400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 18 33 36  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
TEMP............79 87 90 90  
RH..............54 42 37 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N W SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 13 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 5700 7500 6900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 SW 9 SW 8 SW 9  
VRATE KTFT/1000.14 46 53 55  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY  
IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN  
BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2600-43100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........36 56 36 19 24 47  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE S CHC  
TEMP............89 81 76 73 71 69  
RH..............38 53 64 73 79 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 400 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SE 9 E 12 SE 10 E 8 NE 7  
VRATE KTFT/1000.43 3 4 4 3 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 9  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-47400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........31 19 14  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
TEMP............67 76 89  
RH..............93 69 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 7900  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 E 12 S 7  
VRATE KTFT/1000.3 17 47  
 

 
FORECASTER...DAY  
REQUESTED BY...DESTINY GARCIA-FULLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2522149.0/OUN  
.DELDT 09/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DESTINY.FULLER@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
 
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