513  
FNUS74 KOUN 152231  
FWSOUN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDEMAN 4129...CS DISPATCH TX A&M FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
531 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM CDT SATURDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
THE BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT THIS EVENING, BUT IT WILL  
STILL BE BREEZY WITH WINDS MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST. THE  
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE IF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP NEARBY OR  
MOVE TOWARDS THE FIREGROUND. ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG AND ERRATIC WINDS  
WHICH COULD COMPLICATE FIREFIGHTING EFFORTS AND THREATEN FIREFIGHTER  
SAFETY. DECENT HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THE MIXING  
HEIGHT WILL BECOME QUITE SHALLOW THIS EVENING SO NEAR-GROUND SMOKE WILL  
LIKELY BE CARRIED SIGNIFICANT DISTANCES DOWNWIND.  
 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 44 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 22  
TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59700-145900 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (10500-18000  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 45 42 64 67 54 56 35 40 38 27 18  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............99 94 90 86 83 81 80 79 77 76 74 73  
RH..............17 22 30 36 43 47 49 50 54 56 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..26 24 24 22 20 18 17 17 16 17 17 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.44 40 40 37 33 31 30 28 26 28 28 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.1 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.36 32 28 25 26 29 29 29 25 24 23 22  
VRATE KTFT/1000.146 60 18 17 14 15 14 14 13 11 12 11  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
33 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (9800-101300 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (300400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 15 13 2 4 0 1 0 0 11 1 7  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............72 71 73 77 83 88 92 96 99 100 102 100  
RH..............59 61 57 54 44 38 33 27 23 20 17 18  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 15 16 17 17 16 17 17 17 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 23 23 24 26 28 28 26 28 30 30 33  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.9 2.5 3.2 4.0 5.1 9.7 12 14 13  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 21 25 24 23 22 23 23 23 24 26  
VRATE KTFT/1000.11 10 16 42 53 64 75 101 194 240 283 300  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 22 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (168300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
TO GOOD (11800-51700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 11 23 23 19 10 2 1 8 15 15 23  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............98 96 91 87 84 82 80 79 78 76 74 73  
RH..............21 26 36 43 53 56 58 60 62 66 69 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..23 24 24 24 22 22 20 18 18 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.38 40 40 40 37 37 33 31 31 30 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 1.7 2.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 31 30 29 29 29 29 28 25 23 22 22  
VRATE KTFT/1000.168 45 52 20 23 25 24 22 16 14 16 12  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY  
IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY THEN  
BECOMING SUNNY IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH  
INCREASING TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (12200-106500 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (131400-187300 KNOT-FT)  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 31 73 46 19 19 18 18 20 21 23 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............72 71 73 77 81 85 88 91 93 95 95 95  
RH..............71 73 71 67 60 55 50 44 39 34 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 17 20 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 23  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 30 33 35 35 35 35 35 37 37 38  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.8 6.0 7.1 7.7 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 22 24 28 28 26 25 25 26 28 29  
VRATE KTFT/1000.12 20 45 62 75 86 96 107 131 163 185 187  
 
 
FORECASTER...SPEHEGER  
REQUESTED BY...RACHAEL HAVER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613770.0/OUN  
.DELDT 05/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CSDISPATCH@TFS.TAMU.EDU  
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