033
FNUS74 KOUN 161744
FWSOUN
SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH FIRE DANGER DAY...OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1144 AM CST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (405) 325-3816 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CST TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA. FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE BY LATE MORNING WITH THE WORST
CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED GUSTS TO 60
MPH POSSIBLE.
POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY AT NIGHTTIME WILL RESULT IN
CONTINUED FIREFIGHTING CHALLENGES OVERNIGHT EVEN WITH LIGHTER
WINDS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 41 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 44 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 45
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO
41 TO 46 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING
WEST AROUND 33 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16200-57400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO EXCELLENT (123400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(229000-303500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (368100 KNOT-FT) LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
(259700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
(124200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 95 89 84 84 79 84 84 65 61 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 56 60 65 70 75 78 79 79 80 78
RH..............49 45 41 34 26 21 19 17 17 16 17
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 17 18 21 22 24 25 26 26 24
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 28 31 35 37 40 41 44 44 40
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.5 4.0 6.0 7.8 9.2 7.2 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 22 24 26 36 44 45 46 41 33
VRATE KTFT/1000.16 19 25 45 57 123 229 304 368 260 124
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (15000-88800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........27 31 21 11 10 8 7 7 6 6 5 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 71 67 63 60 57 55 53 50 48 45 43
RH..............19 20 21 22 23 23 24 25 28 30 33 36
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 17 17 16 14 13 13 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.28 30 30 28 26 23 21 21 20 20 17 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 3.6 3.4 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 29 26 25 24 23 22 21 21 20 18 18
VRATE KTFT/1000.48 89 77 49 42 39 37 33 30 25 19 15
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO
18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (6100-78500 KNOT-FT)
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (128300-194100 KNOT-FT)
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
EXCELLENT (76600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41 42 45 49 55 61 66 69 71 72 71 70
RH..............41 41 38 34 27 22 19 16 14 13 13 14
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 12 15 17 18 18 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 16 20 24 28 31 31 30 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.7 3.9 5.3 6.5 6.9 5.8 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 15 14 14 16 20 23 28 31 32 29 22
VRATE KTFT/1000.11 7 6 10 23 46 79 128 176 194 146 77
FORECASTER...MAHALE
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER CARREL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2602825.0/OUN
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JENNIFER.CARREL@AG.OK.GOV
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