429
FNUS74 KSJT 062336
FWSSJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2021 HOMECOMING RX BURN...WINCHELL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
636 PM CDT WED OCT 6 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CDT ON OCTOBER 06.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 325-944-3030 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOME SOUTHEAST LATE EVENING, THEN SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL PICK UP AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY MORNING
WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. MILD OVERNIGHT OTHERWISE WITH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 DEGREES AT 7 PM FALLING TO 70 DEGREES...
9 TO 10 PM. OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 57 WITH A MAXIMUM RH AT SUNRISE
AROUND 80 PERCENT.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).............13 8 5 7 6 7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV............
LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP................79 71 67 63 61 59
RH..................34 44 53 59 66 74
20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE SE S
20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....6 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (FT)........100 100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND.....E 5 E 6 E 6 SE 5 SE 6 S 6
HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5
SDSPL KT-FT/1000....1 0 0 0 0 0
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
5700-7100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (200-44000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57600-93700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).............5 3 3 3 4 4
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV............
LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP................58 58 72 83 90 92
RH..................74 80 59 43 32 27
20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 9 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....7 7 13 14 14 13
MIX HGT (FT)........BLW100 300 700 4000 6400 7800
TRANSPORT WIND.....S 6 S 8 SW 13 S 13 S 14 S 14
HAINES INDEX........5 5 6 6 6 5
SDSPL KT-FT/1000....0 2 8 44 77 94
FORECASTER...DECKER
REQUESTED BY...COLTEN TIBBITTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2119185.0/SJT
.DELDT 10/06/21
.EMAIL TIBBITTS7820@YAHOO.COM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page