771
FXUS64 KAMA 052026
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
326 PM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 324 PM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
-ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A SLIGHT
REDUCTION IN AFTERNOON HIGHS BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES.
-PDC LESS LIKELY TO SEE A HEAT ADVISORY AFTER TODAY. HOWEVER,
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN WARM IN THE LOWER 100S WITH SOME HEAT
IMPACTS EXPECTED.
-THE DAILY PATTERN OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BUT SHIFT TO OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS ON SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 324 PM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED IN THE FORECAST. FOR THIS AFTERNOON, ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER
100S. A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PDC AS THE CANYON FLOOR
MAY STILL PUSH HIGHS AROUND 105. ONCE AGAIN, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN COMBINED
PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
GUSTY WINDS IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE. CAMS ARE NOT EXCITED ABOUT
ABOUT ACTIVITY UNTIL THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WHEN A
SHORTWAVE MAY MOVE INTO THE NORTHWEST TO NORTHERN COMBINED
PANHANDLES. BUT WILL NOT RULE OUT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO IN THE
WESTERN PANHANDLES DURING THE LATE LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER,
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME WITH LATE AFTERNOON ACTIVITY MOST
LIKELY RUNNING INTO ISSUE FROM LACK OF LIFT AND COLLAPSING BEFORE
PRODUCING ANY LOCALIZED BENEFICIAL RAINFALL.
TOMORROW, SLIGHTLY COOLER H85 TEMPERATURES ARE PROGGED, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS MAYBE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. A BIT
MORE NEGATIVE THETA-E ADVECTION INTO THE EASTERN COMBINED PANHANDLES
MAY PUSH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FURTHER WEST/NORTHWEST IN
THE COMBINED PANHANDLE. HIGHEST POPS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON REMAIN
NORTHWEST OF THE TEXLINE/BOISE CITY LINE, AND DIMINISH GOING INTO
THE EVENING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 PM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
DURING THE LONG TERM, MONDAY INTO FRIDAY, HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE REGION LEAVING AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 90S.
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED TO GO THROUGH A SLIGHT EVOLUTION AND
POTENTIAL SUPPRESSION, HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE HELD IN THE MID 90S,
AS OPPOSED TO THE UPPER 90S TO 105 RANGE SEEN OF LATELY. STILL ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ALSO, THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
REGION IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT POPS DESPITE DECENT H7 MOISTURE STAYING
IN PLACE. WITH WEAK LOOKING SYNOPTICS THE CURRENT FORECAST ONLY HAS
SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS RETURNING WED NIGHT, ACROSS THE
NORTHERN COMBINED PANHANDLES. WITH THE H5 HIGH EXPECTED TO SHIFT
WEST OF THE PANHANDLES THURSDAY, WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW MAY CONTRIBUTE
TO SOME SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. AT THIS TIME THE NBM IS ONLY
GIVING A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THU/THU NIGHT BUT IS COVERING MORE
OF THE COMBINED PANHANDLES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1034 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PROB30 FOR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 00Z SUN. AT
THIS TIME CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW FOR KAMA WITH NO PROB30 GROUPS
LISTED AT THIS TIME. AMENDMENTS MAY POTENTIALLY BE NEEDED FOR
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDER ACTIVITY BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z SUNDAY.
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ317.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...03
LONG TERM....03
AVIATION...03
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