131
FXUS64 KAMA 071742
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1142 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER IN THE NE ZONE OF OUR CWA WILL AID IN KEEPING
TEMPERATURES MUCH BELOW NORMAL. WHILE THE REST OF THE PANHANDLES
SHOULD RESIDE IN THE 50'S, OUR NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES MAY NOT RISE
ABOVE THE 40'S FOR HIGHS TODAY. CLOUDS WILL ERODE SLOWLY TODAY AND
WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT. LOWS TONIGHT SHOULD INCREASE
SLIGHTLY INTO THE 30'S, BUT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT WILL ALLOW
A FEW AREAS TO DIP INTO THE 20'S AGAIN. TOMORROW, SURFACE WINDS FLIP
BACK FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND HIGHS WILL INCREASE TO THE UPPER 50'S
AND LOWER 60'S.
RANGEL
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR AREA THIS WEEK AS THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH EVOLVES ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. FORECAST MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES INCREASE ON TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY ALSO THURSDAY THIS
WEEK. MEANWHILE, THERE ARE STILL SOME UNCERTAINTIES AS TO HOW MUCH
WAA WILL FACTOR INTO THE TEMPERATURE SHIFT. TUESDAY STILL LOOKS TO
BE BREEZY GIVEN MODEL CONFIDENCE OF A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
FROM A SURFACE LOW SET TO DEVELOP OFF THE LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES IN
SE COLORADO AND NE NEW MEXICO. HOWEVER, THE LATEST 12Z NBM SHOWS
WINDS LOWER THAN OLDER RUNS ACROSS THE CWA. EVEN THE 90TH PERCENTILE
STRUGGLES TO BRING WINDS UP TO 15 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
PROBABILITY OF REACHING 70 DEGREES IS LOW ON TUESDAY, EXCEPT FOR
PDC, BUT WE WON'T RULE OUT ADDITIONAL LOCATIONS EXITING THE 60'S IF
THE WINDS END UP STRONGER THAN FORECAST. (WHEN DOES THAT EVER
HAPPEN...)
THE REST OF THE WEEK STILL LOOKS TO SUPPORT BENIGN WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE AS WARM AS TUESDAY, EVEN THOUGH OUR
NEXT COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. MORE LONG RANGE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE SHOWING SOME HIGHER
CONFIDENCE OF COLDER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND, AND EVEN THE NBM IS
SLOWLY CATCHING ON TO THE NEW TREND. THOUGH MOISTURE STILL LOOKS TO
REMAIN ABSENT, WE MAY HAVE ANOTHER CHANCE TO BE REMOVED FROM THESE
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
RANGEL
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
NO MAJOR CHANCES WERE MADE FOR THE 18Z TAF PERIOD.
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SURFACE WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE. CLOUD DECKS SHOULD WILL REMAIN
ABOVE THE FIRST 10,000 FT.
RANGEL
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
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