232  
FXUS64 KAMA 012327  
AFDAMA  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX  
627 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021  
   
AVIATION
 
 
00Z TAF CYCLE  
 
MVFR CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR ARE EXPECTED AT ALL THREE TAF SITES  
THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR LOW CLOUDS  
AND FOG BETWEEN 10Z AND 16Z MONDAY, HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT  
THIS TIME BUT WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED AND THE TAF  
FORECAST MAY NEED TO BE UPDATED LATER. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 5  
TO 15 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL AT THE THREE TAF SITES THROUGH  
THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD.  
 
SCHNEIDER  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 211 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
 
SATELLITE AND OBS SHOW THE AREA IS SOCKED IN TODAY WITH LOW CLOUDS  
AND SOME PATCHY FOG. THIS IS KEEPING HIGH TEMPS IN THE 70S TODAY.  
THERE HAVE BEEN SOME RAIN SHOWERS AROUND THE PANHANDLES AS WELL  
TODAY THANKS TO SOME MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE FLOW.  
MODELS INDICATE AN AREA OF NVA WILL CUT OFF THE SHOWERS BY THIS  
EVENING AND CLEAR OUT CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. THE COOLER AIR MASS AND  
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS TOMORROW WILL MAKE FOR HIGHS IN THE 80S AND  
AN OVERALL PLEASANT LATE SUMMER DAY. TUESDAY WILL SEE THE UPPER  
LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFT A BIT AND ALLOW FOR NORTHWESTERLY  
FLOW TO BRING SOME PRECIP CHANCES TO THE WESTERN PANHANDLES IF  
STORMS CAN MAKE IT FROM THE MOUNTAINS. MLCAPE AND MUCAPE ARE WEAK,  
BUT DCAPE HAS SOME POSSIBLE POCKETS OF LARGE ENOUGH INSTABILITY  
THAT WE COULD SEE SOME STORMS PRODUCE SOME DAMAGING WINDS, BUT IT  
WOULDN'T BE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER. A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS  
THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THE PRECIP CHANCES FOR  
THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. SINCE CLOUD COVER LOOKS TO REMAIN IN PLACE  
FROM TUESDAY IN THAT AREA, INSTABILITY IS LIMITED SO SEVERE  
WEATHER DOES NOT LOOK VERY LIKELY FOR WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY, THE  
HIGH PRESSURE BUBBLE STRETCHES MORE INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND PUTS  
THE AREA IN NORTHEAST FLOW ALOFT. THIS PATTERN WILL BE UNFAVORABLE  
FOR PRECIP. THE RIDGE STARTS TO BREAK DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND AND WE  
WILL BE IN WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. DEPENDING ON THE PRESENCE OF  
SHORTWAVES AND THE ABILITY TO REACH CONVECTIVE TEMPS WILL  
DETERMINE IF THE WEEKEND REMAINS DRY OR NOT. AT LEAST FOR NOW,  
CHANCES ARE VERY LOW.  
 
BEAT  
 

 
   
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
OK...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
11/99  
 
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