229
FXUS64 KAMA 221124
AFDAMA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
524 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, LOW HUMIDITY VALUES, AND BREEZY
WINDS LOOK TO CREATE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
THE FINAL WEEK OF FEBRUARY BEGINS WITH VERY BENIGN WEATHER. TODAY'S
FORECAST CALLS FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, HIGHS NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGE
IN THE 50S, AND RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTH WINDS (5-15 MPH). NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT JUST TO OUR NORTH WILL MAINTAIN SUBSIDENCE OVER THE
REGION, MAKING FOR A DRY AND MILD MONDAY. HIGHS IN THE 60S COMBINED
WITH DEW POINTS IN THE TEENS SHOULD CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE TEENS MONDAY AFTERNOON. THAT COMBINED WITH
BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10-20 MPH (GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH) WILL
SUPPORT ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR MUCH
OF THE PANHANDLES. SHOULD WINDS OVER PERFORM AS THEY OFTEN DO HERE
(10-40% CHANCE FOR GUSTS >30 MPH), SOLIDLY LOW-END CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY MATERIALIZE TOMORROW.
HARREL
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
WEATHER MODELS ARE DEPICTING A STOUT H500 RIDGE BUILDING OFF THE
BAJA PENINSULA BY TUESDAY, WHICH WILL LIKELY MAKE IT THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK (MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE COULD REACH THE 80S).
DUE TO A DEEPENING SFC LOW PUSHING OVER THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY, BREEZY WEST WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE FORECAST TO BE CONFINED TO
THE SOUTHWEST TX PANHANDLE. THIS IS WHERE WE MAY SEE SOME CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER TUE AFTERNOON, WITH RH VALUES POTENTIALLY BOTTOMING OUT
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. WARMTH CARRIES OVER INTO WEDNESDAY THANKS TO
HIGH PRESSURE, BUT LIGHTER WINDS WILL THANKFULLY MITIGATE THE FIRE
WEATHER RISK SOME. A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS MAY PROVIDE SOME BRIEF
COOL DOWNS LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, AS HIGHS ARE PROGGED TO BE
BACK NEAR AVERAGE TO START MARCH. ENSEMBLE DATA SETS CONTINUE TO
FAVOR PROLONGED DRY WEATHER FOR THE REGION INTO EARLY MARCH, SO
WE'LL HAVE TO HOLD OFF ANY HOPES OF RAIN FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER WEEK.
HARREL
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. WINDS MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTH 5 TO 10 KTS WITH FEW HIGH
CLOUDS TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
WEBER
AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.
SHORT TERM...38
LONG TERM....38
AVIATION...89
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page