803
FXUS64 KBRO 252326 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
626 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LOOKS TO PERSIST
THROUGH THE PERIOD. BROAD SUBSIDENCE ALOFT WILL LIKELY LIMIT RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD. SUSTAINED SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT WARM, MOIST AIR TO THE REGION. THIS WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW STRATUS CLOUDS OVERNIGHT, AND A VERY
LOW (<10%) CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS SATURDAY MORNING.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 70S, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE GRADUALLY DRIFTS SOUTH INTO MID NEXT WEEK AS
MULTIPLE TROUGHS SWING INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. SHORTWAVES WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ENHANCE LIFT AND INSTABILITY, BRINGING A LOW (20 PERCENT) CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, MAINLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN RANCHLANDS AND ALONG THE RIO GRANDE IN THE UPPER VALLEY.
A MEDIUM (40 PERCENT) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. EXPECT BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
BRIEF WIND ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE LOWER RGV MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
ALL TAF SITES ARE CURRENTLY SITTING WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES, ASIDE
FROM A FEW LOW CLOUDS OVER KBRO, ALONG WITH A MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE. OVERNIGHT, WINDS BECOME LESS BREEZY AND
MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS MOIST LOW LEVELS DEVELOP
STRATUS. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES GRADUALLY RETURN THROUGHOUT SATURDAY
MORNING AS SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS PICK BACK UP TO MODERATE WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20-25 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 141 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD, HOWEVER WIND SPEEDS ON
THE LAGUNA MADRE MAY BRIEFLY REQUIRE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION HEADLINES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE LIGHT TO MODERATE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AND SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS.
SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE INTO LATE NEXT WEEK, WITH SCEC CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS
THE BAY NEARLY EVERY AFTERNOON. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
BUILD, REACHING SCEC CONDITIONS MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK. BRIEF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE BAY EACH AFTERNOON AND
OFFSHORE LATE IN THE WEEK. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS,
MAINLY FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 74 86 72 86 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 71 89 69 89 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 74 92 72 92 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 73 92 70 94 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 74 80 74 81 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 72 84 71 85 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...65-IRISH
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