464
FXUS64 KBRO 111738
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1238 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1227 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
- WARM AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH FRIDAY.
- HEAT RISK RETURNS TO MODERATE OR HIGHER LEVELS BY THIS WEEKEND.
- ADVERSE TO HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THIS
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
IN THE WAKE OF LAST NIGHTS COLD FRONT, A QUIETER PATTERN IS
FORECAST TO TAKE HOLD THIS WEEK WITH NEAR-ZERO RAIN CHANCES AND
WARM TEMPERATURES FORECAST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL LIKELY SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL US TUESDAY, WITH SURFACE
WINDS SHIFTING EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RANGE IN THE 80S TODAY AND TUESDAY, WARMING INTO THE
90S THROUGH THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK.
INCREASING HUMIDITY THIS WEEKEND COULD LEAD TO INCREASED APPARENT
TEMPERATURES, RANGING FROM 100 TO 108 DEGREES. A MODERATE HEAT
RISK IS LIKELY NEXT WEEKEND AND HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KTS WITH INFREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 20
KTS. GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS FORECAST OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO SHIFT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY TUESDAY, WITH SLIGHT TO
MODERATE SEAS PERSISTING THROUGH THE FORECAST. WIND SPEEDS ALONG
THE LAGUNA MADRE AND NEARSHORE GULF WATERS ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KNOTS BY THE END OF THE WEEK, POSSIBLY
REQUIRING SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES OR SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES BEGINNING FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 73 87 70 89 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 69 86 66 89 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 72 88 70 91 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 71 88 69 90 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 76 81 75 83 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 73 84 70 87 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...60-BE
LONG TERM....60-BE
AVIATION...60-BE
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