064
FXUS64 KBRO 020437 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1037 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1033 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY WEEK AHEAD.
- POSSIBLE WEEKEND RAIN.
- WIND AND CURED FUELS RAISES WILDFIRE POTENTIAL.
- ADVERSE MARINE CONDITIONS.
- CONTINUOUS RIP CURRENT THREAT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 920 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
DRY WEATHER WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT
LOWS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL BE
DUE TO 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE THAT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM WEST TO
EAST ACROSS MEXICO AND THE GULF OF AMERICA, BUT WILL BE IN CONTROL
THROUGHOUT THE SHIFT OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY.
HOWEVER, A GLIMMER OF HOPE IN A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
EXISTS FOR THE COMING WEEKEND. CLOSED 500 MB LOW PRESSURE DIVING
SOUTH INTO THE BAJA PENINSULA, AND EVENTUALLY EAST ACROSS THE LONE
STAR STATE, MAY BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION FROM
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE BRO CWFA.
PRIOR TO THE PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL, A BREEZY TO WINDY ONSHORE
FLOW WILL OCCUR. GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED STRENGTH OF THE WINDS, AND
ABUNDANT CURE FUELS FROM PROLONGED DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND A
COUPLE OF EPISODES OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES EARLIER THIS YEAR, THE
NEED FOR A RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT (OR SEVERAL) CANNOT BE
ENTIRELY RULED OUT.
FINALLY, BUILDING SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY
CREATE A MODERATE RISK TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE LOCAL
BEACHES DAILY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1033 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
MVFR TO VFR WILL CONTINUE TO BE ANTICIPATED AT THE AERODROMES
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 920 PM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
A STEADILY ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
AMERICA WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. BREEZY TO STRONG WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED, WITH
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS LIKELY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
AND/OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ARE LIKELY TO BE NEEDED DAILY,
ESPECIALLY FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE AND NEARSHORE GULF OF AMERICA
WATERS, BEGINNING ON TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 66 85 67 85 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 62 88 63 89 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 66 91 67 92 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 64 92 63 94 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 69 77 69 78 / 0 0 0 10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 64 83 65 84 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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