224
FXUS64 KBRO 190544 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1244 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1242 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- WARMING TREND TAKES PLACE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
SEASONABLE LEVELS.
- LOW GRADE (20-30%) RAIN CHANCES ALONG/NEAR THE IMMEDIATE
COASTLINE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. STRONGER AND MORE WIDESPREAD
CHANCES (20-60%) ON WEDNESDAY.
- ADVERSE COASTAL AND MARINE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH
A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AND SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE
CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
AFTER A PLEASANT, FALL-LIKE DAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE
70S, W WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TO TAKE PLACE ON MONDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN TODAY AND CLOSER
TO SEASONAL NORMS WITH VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S AREAWIDE. BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY
WARMER THAN SEASONABLE LEVELS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. THESE
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD OR THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL, THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE TRANQUIL WITH MAINLY RAIN-FREE
DAYS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE LOW GRADE (20-30%) CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY ALONG/NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
WEDNESDAY WILL PRESENT THE BEST AND MORE WIDESPREAD OPPORTUNITY
FOR SHOWERS. PROBABILITY OF RAINFALL INCREASES TO LOW-MEDIUM
(20-60%) WITH MEDIUM CHANCES (40-60%) BEING ESTABLISHED EAST OF
IH-69C, AND LOW CHANCES (20-30%) WEST OF IH-69C.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR IS EXPECTED AT THE AERODROMES THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. A TEMPO HAS BEEN
INSERTED INTO A MAJORITY OF THE AERODROMES, AND IS BASED ON THE
HRRR MODEL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1028 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
ADVERSE MARINE (SCEC) CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE GULF
WATERS THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, MAYBE WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT, WHERE WE COULD SEE MODERATE
SEAS DURING THAT TIME. OTHERWISE, EXPECT FOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS OVER THE GULF WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 84 73 87 74 / 20 10 30 20
HARLINGEN 85 70 88 70 / 20 20 30 10
MCALLEN 87 72 91 72 / 10 10 10 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 86 69 90 69 / 0 0 10 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 77 83 77 / 40 20 30 30
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 83 73 84 73 / 30 20 20 20
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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