038
FXUS64 KBRO 280549 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1249 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1247 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026
- HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK; THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY WILL BE THE HOTTEST PERIOD; SPSS TO HEAT
ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WILL RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 90S TO
MID 100S WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 105-115F DEGREES THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- WIDESPREAD MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) WITH POCKETS OF EXTREME (LEVEL 4
OF 4) HEAT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 15-25 MPH AND PEAK GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 MPH;
TUESDAY WILL BE THE BREEZIEST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE DUE TO
GUSTY WINDS ON TUESDAY FROM NOON-7 PM CDT; OTHERWISE, SMALL
CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND.
- BORDERLINE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT (RFD) CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DRIVING OUR WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE A STRONG 591-
594 DAM SUB-TROPICAL HEAT RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
ADDITIONALLY, AN ENHANCED PRESSURE AND THERMAL GRADIENT WILL RESULT
IN BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS EACH DAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 15-
25 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 MPH. TUESDAY MAY BE THE BREEZIEST DAY
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 20-30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO
40 MPH.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS (SPSS) TO HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED
EACH DAY GOING FORWARD (ESPECIALLY THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) AS
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 90S TO MID
100S WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES RANGING GENERALLY BETWEEN 105- 115F
DEGREES.
HEAT RISK WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD
MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) HEAT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
WITH POCKETS OF EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEAT RISK ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AND COASTAL AREAS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1247 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026
THE AERODROMES WILL EXPERIENCE GENERALLY VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS, WITH LIMITED CLOUD COVER AND RAIN-FREE SKIES. LIGHT TO
MODERATE WINDS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BECOME BREEZY WITH
STRONGER GUSTS DURING DAYLIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS. SMALL CRAFT
EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS MAY BE NEEDED EACH DAY OVER THE
LAGUNA MADRE DUE TO BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS FROM AND ENHANCED
PRESSURE GRADIENT. TUESDAY WILL BE THE BREEZIEST DAY AND WINDS WILL
BE HIGH END SCEC TO LOW END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE LAGUNA MADRE ON TUESDAY FROM NOON-
7 PM CDT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 96 82 97 81 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 99 79 100 78 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 101 81 103 80 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 103 79 104 79 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 88 81 89 81 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 95 80 96 79 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR GMZ130-132-135.
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