645
FXUS64 KBRO 051713
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1213 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
* HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. MODERATE (LEVEL 2
OF 4) HEAT RISK EACH DAY WITH HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100 AND 110
DEGREES EACH DAY.
* GENERALLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, THOUGH RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE LATE WEEK.
* THERE IS GENERALLY A LOW RISK OF LIFE-THREATNING RIP CURRENTS AT
AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN HOT AND MOSTLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
INTO WEST TEXAS IN CONTROL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOT WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S, AND SOME TRIPLE DIGITS IN THE MID TO
UPPER VALLEY/RIO GRANDE PLAINS. HEAT INDICES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
BETWEEN 100 AND 110 DEGREES WITH A MODERATE HEAT RISK FOR MOST
LOCATIONS, ESPECIALLY AS WE GET LATER INTO THE WEEK.
THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT SLIGHTLY WESTWARD
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AND ALONG WITH AN INCREASED MOISTURE
PUSH FROM AN AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE,
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE RAIN
CHANCES REMAIN ISOLATED AT BEST.
THERE IS A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES BECOMING
MODERATE TO LATE WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 2KT THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING
AGAIN THIS EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITONS WILL PREVAIL ON THE WATERS OFF THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. GENERALLY SEAS OF 2-3 FEET ARE
EXPECTED WITH 4 TO 6 SECOND PERIODS. LATE WEEK AN INCREASED
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WINDS WITH
CAUTION CONDITIONS POSSIBLE, MAINLY ON THE LAGUNA MADRE. ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY LATER THIS WEEK MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED AREAS OF INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 80 95 79 95 / 0 10 0 10
HARLINGEN 77 97 76 97 / 0 10 0 10
MCALLEN 79 101 79 101 / 0 0 0 10
RIO GRANDE CITY 78 101 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 88 81 88 / 0 10 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 79 92 78 93 / 0 10 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...68
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