138
FXUS64 KBRO 041134 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
634 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 633 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2026
* ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, WITH A DAILY MODERATE HEAT RISK.
* GENERALLY DRY WEATHER, BUT VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION A DAILY
POSSIBILITY.
* LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE LOCAL BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1012 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
SUMMER-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE RULE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL PREVAIL, WITH GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IN PLACE. HOWEVER,
OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE, WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES NEARING TWO INCHES, WILL SUPPORT HIGHLY-ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS, AND IN THE FORM OF STREAMER ACTIVITY OVER THE
LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS AT NIGHT.
ADDITIONALLY, A MODERATE HEAT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED DAILY, WITH A
GENERAL LOW RISK OF A HEAT ADVISORY ON ONE OR MORE DAYS.
FINALLY, SEA CONDITIONS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST WILL SUPPORT A
LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE LOCAL BEACHES EACH
DAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2026
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. LIGHT WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
BECOME GUSTY LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1012 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
PERIOD, WITH A MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
AMERICA PRODUCING LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE
SEAS ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST. ALTHOUGH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS NOT LIKELY TO BE NEEDED, OCCASIONAL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION DUE TO WINDS CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY FOR
THE LAGUNA MADRE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 95 80 95 80 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 97 77 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 101 79 101 79 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 101 78 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 88 81 88 81 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 92 79 93 78 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...66-TOMASELLI
LONG TERM....66-TOMASELLI
AVIATION...63-KC
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