203
FXUS64 KBRO 260524 AAA
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1224 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1221 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
* RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
* PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-110F DEGREES WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS EACH DAY.
* IT WILL ALSO BE BREEZY AT TIMES WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS 15-25 MPH,
GUSTING AS HIGH AS 40 MPH; WINDS COULD GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES,
PARTICULARLY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
* THERE REMAINS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP AND
LONGSHORE CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
RAIN-FREE AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL BE
THE THEME THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD OR THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A 591-
594 DAM SUB-TROPICAL HEAT RIDGE WILL BE THE DRIVER OF OUR DRY AND
TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
NEXT WEEK, DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WILL SIT ON THE WEST-SOUTHWEST FLANK
OF THE ANOMALOUSLY STRONG HEAT DOME AS IT LOOKS TO SHIFT TOWARDS
THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION, WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WIDESPREAD
HEAT WAVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.
AN ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT NEAR THE SFC WILL RESULT IN BREEZY
CONDITIONS AT TIMES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOUTHERLY WINDS
15-25 MPH COULD GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH NEARLY EACH DAY. WINDS COULD
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES, PARTICULARLY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
SINCE THE HEAT RIDGE/DOME WILL NOT BE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD, TEMPS
WILL BE OF SEASONABLE LEVELS. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
BETWEEN THE MID 90S CLOSE TO THE COAST TO NEAR 100F DEGREES FAR
WEST/INLAND EACH DAY. MEANWHILE, OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
BE IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTHERN RANCHLANDS TO THE UPPER
70S/LOWER 80S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY EACH NIGHT. DESPITE
THESE SEASONABLE LEVEL TEMPERATURES, THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES RANGING BETWEEN 100-110F
DEGREES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE AFTER
SUNRISE, WITH GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE SEAS TO AT TIMES
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, LOW TO MODERATE SEAS
ARE POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 94 81 94 81 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 95 78 95 79 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 97 80 97 80 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 100 77 99 78 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 87 82 88 82 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 92 80 91 80 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...60-BE
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