370
FXUS64 KBRO 251133 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
633 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 628 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEK.
- ONGOING DROUGHT AND ABUNDANT CURED FUELS CONTINUE TO DRIVE AN
ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK, WITH WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO CHANCE OF
RAIN. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY RUNS SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY,
BRIEFLY DROPPING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL AND BRINGING A LOW
(15-25 PERCENT) CHANCE OF RAIN, MAINLY ALONG THE RIO GRANDE
SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT AGAIN TONIGHT, WITH CONDITIONS
IMPROVING SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. EXPECT THE TYPICAL
AFTERNOON BREEZE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AND RH VALUES BELOW 30
PERCENT ALONG AND WEST OF US281/I69C. FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS MAY
BE ISSUED, BUT NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME,
WITH THE LOWEST MOISTURE BEING GENERALLY WEST OF THE STRONGER
WINDS UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS, WHEN HUMIDITY IS RECOVERING.
THE ENTIRE REGION REMAINS PRIMED FOR WILDFIRES AND BURN BANS ARE
IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, EXCEPT KENEDY COUNTY.
CPC PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS IN BOTH 6 TO 10 (33-40 PERCENT) AND 8
TO 14 DAYS (40-50 PERCENT) STILL LEAN TOWARD ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL
INTO EARLY APRIL, BUT ARE TRENDING LOWER THAN YESTERDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL ACROSS DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER, PATCHY FOG AND LOW STRATUS MAY DEVELOP
AROUND SUNRISE, ESPECIALLY AT HRL. LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME MODERATE
AND GUSTY LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON, WITH SOME GUSTS
AROUND 25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DECREASE LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A LOW TO
MEDIUM CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS LATE TONIGHT AS A LOW STRATUS
DECK RETURNS OVERNIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1031 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH GENERALLY
FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON BREEZES ACROSS THE BAY MAY
OCCASIONALLY KICK UP A MODERATE CHOP OR BRIEF SMALL CRAFT CAUTION
GUSTS. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARRIVE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING BACK TO
EASTERLY OR SOUTHEASTERLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 86 68 85 68 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 90 64 89 63 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 93 69 93 68 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 94 66 94 65 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 78 70 77 70 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 85 66 84 66 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...63-KC
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