593
FXUS64 KBRO 011116 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
616 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 613 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
* MAINLY RAIN-FREE AND AT TIMES BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH NEXT WEEK; LOW, NON-ZERO PROBABILITY OF A ROGUE SEA
BREEZE SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.
* PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-110F DEGREES WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS EACH DAY.
* FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE SEAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026
HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND UNDER BROAD
MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SEASONABLE FOR LATE JUNE/EARLY JULY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO
LOW 100S (80S ALONG THE COAST) AND LOWS IN THE 70S. HEAT INDICES
FROM 100-110 DEGF EACH AFTERNOON WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OF
HEAT RELATED ILLNESS. BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WINDS GUSTING AROUND 25 MPH.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE THANKS TO PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
MAY INTERACT WITH SHORTWAVES ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGE, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY, ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
ONGOING MVFR CEILINGS AT MFE ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE BY MID
MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH WIND GUSTS INCREASING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR
CEILINGS DEVELOPING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AT MFE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND SLIGHT SEAS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY.
GUSTY WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY
BRING BRIEF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 94 79 94 79 / 10 0 10 0
HARLINGEN 95 76 95 76 / 10 0 20 0
MCALLEN 98 79 98 79 / 10 0 20 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 99 77 98 77 / 0 0 10 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 87 80 86 80 / 10 10 10 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 91 78 91 78 / 10 0 10 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...69
LONG TERM....69
AVIATION...60-BE
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