697
FXUS64 KBRO 021145 AAB
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
645 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 628 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
- MAINLY RAIN-FREE AND AT TIMES BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH NEXT WEEK; LOW CHANCE (20% OR LESS) OF A ROGUE SEA
BREEZE SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGH SATURDAY.
- PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-110F DEGREES WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS EACH DAY.
- FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE SEAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND UNDER BROAD
MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER EASTERN CONUS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SEASONABLE FOR EARLY JULY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S
(80S ALONG THE COAST) AND LOWS IN THE 70S. HEAT INDICES FROM
100-110 DEGF EACH AFTERNOON WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE RISK OF HEAT
RELATED ILLNESS. BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH WINDS GUSTING AROUND 25 MPH.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE THANKS TO PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
MAY INTERACT WITH SHORTWAVES ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGE, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY, ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
PREDOMINATELY VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND
THE GULF ARE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING AS THEY MOVE NORTHWEST TOWARDS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. THE MAJORITY OF THESE SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
DISSIPATE BEFORE THEY MAKE IT TO TEXAS, HOWEVER AN ISOLATED SHOWER
MOVING OVER AN AIRFIELD CAN'T BE RULED OUT. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE, HOWEVER
CONVECTIVE MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING DRIER, AND CONFIDENCE ON ANY
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING THE AIRFIELDS IS DECREASING. IF
ANY STORMS DO MOVE OVER AN AIRFIELD, BRIEF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1035 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND SLIGHT SEAS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY.
GUSTY WINDS OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY
BRING BRIEF SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 93 79 94 79 / 20 0 20 0
HARLINGEN 94 76 95 76 / 20 0 20 0
MCALLEN 97 79 98 79 / 20 0 20 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 98 77 99 77 / 10 0 20 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 86 80 87 80 / 20 10 20 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 90 78 91 78 / 20 10 20 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...69
LONG TERM....69
AVIATION...60-BE
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page