505
FXUS64 KBRO 251716
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1216 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1214 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
* WARM AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH
A MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK EACH DAY.
* THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING RIP AND LONGSHORE
CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
THE 500MB RIDGE GRADUALLY WORKS EAST ACROSS TEXAS THIS WEEKEND
AND TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES BY MID NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
WARM, BUT SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, INTO THE START OF JULY AND SLOWLY
START TO RE-INTRODUCE A LOW CHANCE OF RAIN INTO LATE NEXT WEEK,
MAINLY ALONG THE COAST OR SEA BREEZE, AS EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES
MOISTURE UNDER THE RIDGE. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WHERE GUSTS MAY
APPROACH 30 MPH EACH DAY.
THERE IS A MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) HEAT RISK EVERY AFTERNOON,
OTHERWISE, THE MAIN HAZARD THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE LIFE-
THREATENING RIP AND LONGSHORE CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST,
POTENTIALLY STRENGTHENING BY MID-NEXT WEEK DUE TO PERSISTENT
EASTERLY LONG PERIOD SWELL. FOR MORE INFORMATION YOU CAN VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/BRO/SURFMATRICES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD WITH BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH ANYTHING STREAMING INLAND FROM THE
GULF.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
INCREASED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS DUE TO THE STRENGTHENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COAST WILL DRIVE SMALL CRAFT
CAUTION TO BORDERLINE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS, MAINLY
ALONG THE BAY, AND GRADUALLY BUILD GULF SEAS TOWARDS 4 TO 6 FEET.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF STREAMER SHOWERS OR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 81 94 81 93 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 78 95 78 95 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 80 97 80 97 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 77 99 77 99 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 82 88 82 88 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 80 92 80 91 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...56-HALLMAN
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