082
FXUS64 KBRO 310313
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1013 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1010 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
- HOT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK; FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY WILL BE THE HOTTEST PERIOD; SPSS TO HEAT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 90S TO
MID 100S WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 105-115F DEGREES THROUGH
NEXT WEEK.
- WIDESPREAD MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) TO MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) HEAT
RISK WITH POCKETS OF EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEAT RISK CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON
SUNDAY AHEAD OF A SLOWING/STALLING COOL FRONT.
- BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH
SPEEDS GENERALLY BETWEEN 15-25 MPH AND PEAK GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
- MOSTLY SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS OVER THE
LAGUNA MADRE WILL PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1010 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
HOT, MOSTLY DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. DRIVING OUR WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE A STRONG 591-
594 DAM SUB-TROPICAL HEAT RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
ADDITIONALLY, AN ENHANCED PRESSURE AND THERMAL GRADIENT WILL RESULT
IN BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS NEARLY EACH DAY WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY
RANGING BETWEEN 15-25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS THE REGION
AHEAD OF A STALLING/SLOWING COOL FRONT. CHANCES REMAIN LOW AT THIS
TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS (SPSS) TO HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED
EACH DAY GOING FORWARD (ESPECIALLY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) AS
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 90S TO MID
100S WITH PEAK HEAT INDICES RANGING GENERALLY BETWEEN 105-115F
DEGREES.
HEAT RISK CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD
MODERATE (LEVEL 2 OF 4) TO MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) HEAT RISK WITH
POCKETS OF EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEAT RISK CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 515 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY....VFR CONDITONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE 00Z TAF CYCLE.
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 00Z TAF
PERIOD WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 10-20 KTS AND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 KTS OR
SO, PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1010 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
GENERALLY FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH MAINLY MODERATE WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE SEAS.
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION (SCEC) CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
EACH DAY OVER THE LAGUNA MADRE DUE TO PERSISTENTLY BREEZY SOUTHEAST
WINDS FROM AN ENHANCED PRESSURE GRADIENT. THERE COULD BE BRIEF
PERIODS WHERE WINDS REACH LOW END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 80 96 81 97 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 77 99 78 101 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 81 103 81 104 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 78 103 78 104 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 88 81 89 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 79 95 79 97 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...23-EVBUOMA
LONG TERM....23-EVBUOMA
AVIATION...23-EVBUOMA
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page