088
FXUS64 KBRO 241136
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
636 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 630 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES:
* ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEK.
* ONGOING DROUGHT AND ABUNDANT CURED FUELS CONTINUE TO DRIVE AN
ELEVATED WILDFIRE THREAT ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK, WITH WELL-ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO CHANCE OF
RAIN. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY RUNS SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY,
BRIEFLY DROPPING TEMPERATURES TOWARDS NORMAL AND BRINGING A VERY
LOW (15 PERCENT) CHANCE OF RAIN JUST ALONG THE RIO GRANDE INTO
EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY. EXPECT THE TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZE
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AND RH VALUES BELOW 30 PERCENT ALONG AND
WEST OF US281/I69C. FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS MAY BE NEEDED, BUT NO
RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, WITH THE LOWEST
MOISTURE BEING GENERALLY WEST OF THE STRONGER WINDS UNTIL THE
EVENING HOURS, WHEN HUMIDITY IS RECOVERING.
THE ENTIRE REGION REMAINS PRIMED FOR WILDFIRES AND BURN BANS ARE
IN EFFECT ACROSS ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, EXCEPT KENEDY COUNTY.
CPC IS STILL HOLDING ONTO AN ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK IN
BOTH 6 TO 10 (40-50 PERCENT) AND 8 TO 14 DAYS (50-60 PERCENT),
TAKING US INTO THE FIRST FULL WEEK OF APRIL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2026
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG AND/OR SOME LOW STRATUS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION
TEMPO WORDING FOR ALL AERODROMES THROUGH 14Z DUE TO MVFR/IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY FOG AND LOW STRATUS MAY
RETURN LATE IN THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE
AND BECOME MODERATE AND GUSTY LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE
AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THIS EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH GENERALLY
FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON BREEZES ACROSS THE BAY MAY
OCCASIONALLY KICK UP A MODERATE CHOP OR BRIEF SMALL CRAFT CAUTION
GUSTS. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARRIVE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BEFORE DROPPING BACK TO
ONSHORE EASTERLY SUNDAY AND SOUTHEASTERLY MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 86 68 86 67 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 88 64 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 93 69 94 69 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 93 66 94 65 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 77 70 78 70 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 83 66 84 66 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...56-HALLMAN
LONG TERM....56-HALLMAN
AVIATION...63-KC
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