588
FXUS64 KBRO 071142
AFDBRO
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
542 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 528 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
- MAINLY DRY WEATHER, BUT SHOT OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE TUESDAY.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, BUT NO EXTREMES.
- FAVORABLE MARINE CONDITIONS, BUT SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION NOT IMPOSSIBLE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 923 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL GENERALLY REMAIN
ON THE PERIPHERY OF 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE THROUGHOUT A MAJORITY OF
THE PERIOD, WITH DRY WEATHER THE RESULT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO
THIS WILL BE ON TUESDAY, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION
OVER THE THREE IMMEDIATE COASTAL COUNTIES BUT ESPECIALLY OVER THE
LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS, DUE TO RAPID PASSAGE OF A 500 MB
TROUGH THROUGH THE LONE STAR STATE.
TEMPERATURE-WISE, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT PASSAGES LIKELY,
WELL ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS AND OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL OCCUR.
LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE, HOWEVER, DOES HINT AT THE PASSAGE OF A
COLD FRONT ON VALENTINE'S DAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
SHALLOW GROUND FOG BRINGING IFR TO VLIFR THIS MORNING OBSERVED AT
KBRO (AND LIKELY AT KHRL WITH 100% RH - SITE HAS INOP VIS SENSOR)
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNRISE BEFORE BURNING OFF. MFE MAY SEE
PATCHY FOG AROUND SUNRISE, BUT IT'S DRIER FURTHER INLAND. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON, PRIMARILY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 923 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND LOW TO MODERATE SEAS WILL PREVAIL FOR
THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
ALTHOUGH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOT LIKELY TO BE NEEDED, SMALL
CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT,
ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY AND FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BROWNSVILLE 80 57 79 60 / 0 0 0 0
HARLINGEN 82 53 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
MCALLEN 85 58 84 60 / 0 0 0 0
RIO GRANDE CITY 85 54 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 71 62 72 63 / 0 0 0 0
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 77 56 77 58 / 0 0 0 0
BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...69-HK
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