739
FXUS64 KCRP 260649
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1249 AM CST WED NOV 26 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1152 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
- COLD FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING ONLY CONTRIBUTING A LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS SOUTH OF HWY-44
- MORE EFFICIENT COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND SUNDAY'S COLD FRONT
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-60%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
COLD FRONT THIS MORNING WILL FOCUS A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF HWY-44, BEFORE RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH AND
CONDITIONS REMAIN RAIN-FREE WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S WITH LOWS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT FROM THE MID-
UPPER 40S INLAND TO THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE COAST. ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS FRIDAY AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT, LEADING TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES AND RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES ON SATURDAY. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ONSHORE FLOW POOLING
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE, WILL LEAD TO A LOW TO MEDIUM
(20-60%) CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. GREATEST CHANCES WILL REMAIN FOCUSED OVER THE VICTORIA
CROSSROADS.
SUNDAY'S COLD FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MORE EFFICIENT COLD AIR
ADVECTION (CAA) THAN TODAY'S FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND
TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S,
WITH LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 30S
INLAND TO MID 40S ALONG THE COAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS (20-40%) WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT, MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 44, BEFORE DECREASING TO A VERY LOW
TO NO CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS AN ONGOING
THUNDERSTORM THAT IS MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS WEBB COUNTY BUT IT LOOKS
LIKE THIS WILL DIMINISH AS IT MOVES NORTH/NORTHEAST INTO A MORE
STABLE AREA. HAVE MAINTAINED THE PROB30 GROUPS FOR ALI, CRP, AND LRD
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND
BECOME BREEZY BY MIDDAY WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KNOTS. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING, CAUSING
A FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY BREEZE (BF 5-6) IN ITS WAKE WITH
NEAR GALE GUSTS (BF-7) THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. EAST TO
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS DIMINISH TO MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-5) THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, BEFORE RESTRENGTHENING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
FRIDAY, CAUSING A FRESH TO STRONG BREEZE TO PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH SUNDAY,
LEADING TO FRESH NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE 30% INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. ALTHOUGH A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AND
ANOTHER ON SUNDAY, ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 72 52 72 60 / 10 0 0 0
VICTORIA 71 44 71 48 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 72 53 72 61 / 20 0 0 0
ALICE 73 48 73 55 / 10 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 74 56 73 61 / 10 0 0 0
COTULLA 72 49 71 56 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 72 51 73 58 / 20 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 73 61 72 66 / 20 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ231-232-
236-237.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ250-255-
270-275.
DISCUSSION...EMF/94
AVIATION...LS/77
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