599
FXUS64 KCRP 152324
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
624 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 621 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
- LOW (10-30%) SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TUESDAY AND LOW TO
MEDIUM (25-45%) CHANCES WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
CURRENTLY SOUTH TEXAS IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN A MID-LEVEL HIGH
CENTERED TO OUR WEST OVER NORTHERN MEXICO/WEST TEXAS, A LOW ALONG
THE SOUTH EAST COAST OF THE U.S., AND ANOTHER LOW CENTERED WINDWARD
OF THE ROCKIES. THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK AT LEAST FOR US IN SOUTH TEXAS AS PRESSURE RISES AND FALLS
DUE TO THE FLUCTUATING HIGH WILL SEE LITTLE CHANGE. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR TROUGHING TO NOSE INTO OUR AREA AND FOR PVA TO ENTER THE
REGION AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES RIDE THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND
A COASTAL TROUGH NEAR THE SURFACE TO HELP PROVIDE LIFT ALONG WITH
THE DAILY SEA-BREEZE. AS A RESULT, THERE'S A LOW (10-30%) CHANCE
FOR RAIN/STORMS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AND LOW TO MEDIUM
(25-45%) CHANCES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK ACROSS THE
REGION. THE BEST CHANCES REMAIN SOUTH AND ALONG THE COAST.
HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S ALONG
THE COAST TO THE UPPER 90S OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH
COUNTRY. LOWS OVER THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM AROUND 70
TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRETY OF THE
PERIOD. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RELAX ACROSS ALL SITES AROUND
MIDNIGHT (06-07Z). THERE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ONCE AGAIN AROUND
MID-MORNING AROUND 20 TO 25 KNOTS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME
MVFR CEILINGS TOMORROW MORNING AROUND DAYBREAK TO MID-MORNING AT
THE ALI TERMINAL. CONFIDENCE IS LOW THEREFORE IT WAS LEFT OUT OF
THE TAF FOR NOW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1256 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. THERE WILL BE A LOW TO
MEDIUM CHANCE (UP TO AROUND 55%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. SEAS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 3 TO 5
FEET THROUGH MIDWEEK THEN FROM 2 TO 3 FEET.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 75 91 75 91 / 0 20 10 30
VICTORIA 68 94 69 94 / 0 10 0 10
LAREDO 72 96 72 97 / 10 10 0 20
ALICE 70 94 70 94 / 0 20 10 30
ROCKPORT 77 91 77 90 / 10 20 20 20
COTULLA 72 95 71 96 / 0 0 0 10
KINGSVILLE 72 92 72 92 / 0 20 10 40
NAVY CORPUS 80 88 80 88 / 10 30 30 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...NP/92
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