563
FXUS64 KCRP 151725
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1125 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY WITH WARMING
TREND WEDNESDAY
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES (20-65%) FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
THE COLDER TEMPERATURES LEFT BY THE FRONT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. BEGINNING TOMORROW A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN
CONTINUING THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, BRINGING
TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW 80S. MIDWEEK ON WEDNESDAY AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA, THAT COUPLED WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT
AT THE 295-305K LEVELS, AND HIGH PWAT VALUES WILL BRING MEDIUM TO
HIGH (50-60%) RAIN CHANCES FOR PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY
STRETCHING INTO THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS. CAN'T RULE OUT THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH EXPECTED SHOWERS DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY.
LATER IN THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK, MODELS ARE HINTING AT A WEAK
COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL DIP SLIGHTLY BEFORE RETURNING AND LINGERING IN THE LOW 80S ON
SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THE REST OF THE DAY. MFVR
CONDITIONS WILL CREEP IN THIS EVENING TO OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUD
CEILINGS REACHING DOWN TO 1500FT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AND VISIBILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) BREEZE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES
(40-60%) RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE GULF
WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1106 AM CST MON DEC 15 2025
DESPITE DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT, RELATIVE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED REMAIN
ABOVE 30% WITH LIGHT WINDS. THEREFORE, NO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 58 48 70 62 / 0 0 10 30
VICTORIA 57 40 68 57 / 0 0 0 20
LAREDO 60 51 65 59 / 0 0 20 20
ALICE 59 45 70 58 / 0 0 10 30
ROCKPORT 58 49 69 62 / 0 0 0 20
COTULLA 58 48 63 56 / 0 0 10 20
KINGSVILLE 60 47 70 61 / 0 0 10 30
NAVY CORPUS 59 53 70 65 / 0 0 10 30
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...RP/NP/92
AVIATION...RP/NP/92
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