622
FXUS64 KCRP 242314
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
514 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 508 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- ROUNDS OF DENSE FOG NIGHTLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
- COLD FRONT FOR THE LAST WEEKEND OF THE YEAR RESULTING IN BELOW-
NORMAL TEMPS IN THE UPCOMING WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
SANTA IS IN FOR A TRICKY RIDE THIS YEAR, AS DENSE FOG ROLLS IN AGAIN
OVER SOUTH TEXAS THIS CHRISTMAS EVE. RUDOLPH'S NOSE WILL BE WORKING
OVERTIME CUTTING THROUGH THE THICK MIST. HERE AT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WE WILL AID SANTA BY KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON
CONDITIONS VIA SATELLITE AND RADAR, HELPING GUIDE THE SLEIGH
SAFELY THROUGH THE FOG. IT WON'T BE THE CLEAREST RIDE, BUT WITH
RUDOLPH LEADING THE WAY, CHRISTMAS MAGIC WILL ARRIVE RIGHT ON
TIME!
EARLY RISERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST ON CHRISTMAS DAY MAY SEE A
FEW STREAMER SHOWERS DRIFTING IN FROM THE GULF, WHILE INLAND IT
WILL BE WARM AND MUGGY. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO IMPROVE AROUND
MID TO LATE MORNING WITH THE FOG LIFTING, WHILE THE REST OF
CHRISTMAS DAY WILL BE VERY WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH NIGHTLY ROUNDS OF PATCHY TO AREAS
OF FOG WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF OUR
NEXT COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS NEXT BOUNDARY WILL BRING MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES, BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS, AND LOW TO MEDIUM
RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. LATEST GUIDANCE
INDICATES A BRIEF PERIOD OF WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST MONDAY MORNING, WHILE THE FIRE WEATHER
RISK COULD BECOME ELEVATED BY THE AFTERNOON AS HUMIDITY LEVELS
DROP BELOW 30% INLAND. BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING,
A FEW LOCATIONS OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS COULD FALL TO NEAR
FREEZE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST TRENDS AND ADJUST
THE FORECAST OVER THE COMING DAYS TO BETTER HIGHLIGHT THESE
HAZARDS AND ISSUE PRODUCTS ACCORDINGLY. STAY TUNED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 508 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE CONDITIONS
DETERIORATE ONCE AGAIN OVERNIGHT TO IFR/LIFR LEVELS DUE TO ANOTHER
ROUND OF PATCHY TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG. ALTHOUGH THE FOG IS
EXPECTED TO ERODE BY 15-16Z ON CHRISTMAS DAY, CEILINGS WILL BE
SLOWER TO LIFT. THEREFORE, HAVE MAINTAINED EASTERN SITES AT
MVFR/IFR LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF THE CYCLE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
A MARINE DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 3 PM TODAY
OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS AND NORTHERN BAYS. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG CAN BE EXPECTED NIGHTLY THROUGH SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE, A GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE FLOW
WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING
WILL RESULT IN WINDS BEING MORE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT A STRONG
TO GALE STRENGTH (BF 6-7) WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 5-8 FT BY MONDAY.
ASIDE FROM SOME STREAMER SHOWERS ON THURSDAY (10-15% CHANCE OF
RAIN), THE NEXT BEST CHANCE COMES WITH THE COLD FRONT, THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON EXACT CHANCES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
LIGHT WINDS, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 40%, AND
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENTS IN THE 25-49TH PERCENTILE WILL KEEP THE
FIRE RISK LIMITED INTO THE WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MIN RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 30% DAILY
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY COULD RESULT
IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. LOW END RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING WILL BE SCATTERED IN COVERAGE (20-40%
CHANCES).
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 66 80 67 82 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 63 81 63 82 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 66 84 66 86 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 63 82 64 85 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 65 77 66 78 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 64 83 64 85 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 64 82 66 85 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 68 76 69 76 / 0 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...CLM/93
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