636
FXUS64 KCRP 011121
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
621 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 618 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
- MODERATE RISK OF HEAT-RELATED IMPACTS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES OF 100-108
- VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES (5-20%) RETURN LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK,
MAINLY ALONG SEABREEZE OVER THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN STATIONED OVER THE EASTERN
US UNTIL LATE THIS WEEK. MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE
TO END THE WORK WEEK, ENHANCING MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS WITH
PWATS BETWEEN 1.7- 2.0". THIS MOISTURE AND SEABREEZE WILL BRING
DAILY VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES. UNCERTAINTY RETURNS TO THE FORECAST
THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH SOME MODELS SHOWING A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH DIGGING INTO SOUTH TEXAS OR CUT-OFF LOW ENTERING MEXICO WHILE
OTHERS DON'T. REGARDLESS WHICH WAY IT SHAKES OUT, RAIN CHANCES WILL
REMAIN VERY LOW.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
SOME PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS WILL BE EXPECTED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AT
A COUPLE SITES BUT VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE OUT THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10-15 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO TAPER DOWN FROM EAST TO
WEST THIS EVENING BOTTOMING OUT LESS THAN 10 KNOTS. MVFR CIGS WILL
RETURN TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN TERMINALS AND ALI.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE (BF 3-4) WILL
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE VERY LOW RAIN CHANCES
DAILY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS MOISTURE INCREASES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 219 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DIP BELOW 35% OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY
IN THE AFTERNOONS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH BREEZY WINDS. ERC
VALUES IN THE 25-49TH PERCENTILE AND FUELS WITH NORMAL TO ABOVE
NORMAL DRYNESS WILL LIMIT FIRE WEATHER DANGER FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK.
NO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 91 77 91 77 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 95 75 94 75 / 0 0 20 0
LAREDO 99 76 98 77 / 0 0 10 0
ALICE 94 75 94 75 / 10 0 10 0
ROCKPORT 91 81 91 80 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 97 75 96 75 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 91 75 92 75 / 0 0 10 0
NAVY CORPUS 89 81 89 81 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...NP/92
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