587  
FXUS64 KCRP 171759  
AFDCRP  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX  
1259 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND  
NORTHERN COASTAL BEND THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.  
 
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
MOST OF THE ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE REMAINDER ACROSS THE EASTERN  
HALF OF THE CWA AND GENERALLY HAVE SURVIVED MOSTLY THROUGHOUT THE  
COASTAL ZONES. A DROP HERE AND THERE IS THE BEST WE CAN DO FOR  
RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT.  
 
TURNING TO THE COLD FRONT... STILL NOT ESPECIALLY EXCITED ABOUT IT,  
THOUGH GUIDANCE IS A LITTLE MORE OPTIMISTIC ON GETTING A WIND SHIFT  
AND LOWER DEWPOINTS INTO MUCH OF THE REGION. OVERALL THINKING HAS  
NOT CHANGED THOUGH. EXPECT A DECREASE IN DEWPOINTS DURING THE DAY  
SUNDAY AND INTO SUNDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY FOR INLAND AREAS AS MUCH  
DRIER AIR ALOFT SETS IN AND IS ABLE TO MIX TO THE SURFACE.  
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES, HOWEVER, WILL NOT SEE AN IMPROVEMENT. LOWS  
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL DROP CLOSER TO NORMAL LEVELS THOUGH, AND CURRENTLY  
HAVE UPPER 50S IN THE VICTORIA AREA. SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING  
BACK THE MOISTURE QUICKLY ON SUNDAY TO BRING US BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPS AND HUMIDITY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
EXPECT MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH THE  
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. NO REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED.  
SATURDAY MORNING, PATCHY FOG WILL LEAD TO BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK BACK UP TO 10-15 KTS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
ONSHORE FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) THROUGH  
SATURDAY NIGHT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEARING THE COAST ON SUNDAY WILL  
ALLOW FOR A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY FOR WINDS TO BE MORE OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY AT MODERATE STRENGTH. SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY NORTH OF  
PORT ARANSAS. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY  
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
 
   
FIRE WEATHER  
 
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES REMAIN ABOVE 35% THROUGH SATURDAY WITH MAINLY  
LIGHT WINDS. A WEAK FRONT ON SUNDAY WILL BRING LOWER RH VALUES  
FOR INLAND AREAS (AS LOW AS 20-30%), BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN  
GENERALLY WEAK, PRECLUDING ANY INCREASED FIRE CONCERN. SHOWERS AND  
STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY IN THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND  
NORTHERN COASTAL BEND, BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY.  
BEYOND FRIDAY, RAIN CHANCES ARE BELOW 20% THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND  
INTO NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 72 91 72 91 / 0 0 0 10  
VICTORIA 70 92 67 89 / 0 10 10 10  
LAREDO 70 96 72 94 / 0 0 0 0  
ALICE 68 95 69 94 / 0 0 0 10  
ROCKPORT 75 89 73 89 / 10 0 10 10  
COTULLA 70 96 68 93 / 0 0 0 0  
KINGSVILLE 68 94 70 92 / 0 0 0 10  
NAVY CORPUS 77 86 76 87 / 10 0 10 10  
 
 
   
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...AE/82  
AVIATION...AE/82  
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