281
FXUS64 KCRP 030650
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1250 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1240 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
- LOW TO MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES (30-60%) TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
- POTENTIAL MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TODAY THROUGH LATE WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
AS ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES TODAY AN OVERRUNNING PATTERN WILL DEVELOP
LEADING TO INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. PWATS ARE PROGGED
TO RISE TO NEAR 1.8-1.9 INCHES BY THIS EVENING, WHICH IS WELL ABOVE
NORMAL (99TH PERCENTILE) FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE
RAIN WILL CONCENTRATE OVER THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS WITH POPS AT 30-
60% TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT, MEDIUM CHANCES WILL SPREAD WESTWARD (40-
60%) THURSDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE BOUNDARY
WILL SWING BY THE REGION AND EXIT INTO THE COASTAL WATERS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH RAIN CHANCES SHIFTING BACK EASTWARD. LOW TO
MEDIUM RAIN CHANCES WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT BEFORE
DRYING OUT OVER THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH AND
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES BEHIND IT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TODAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO MID
70S. THURSDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER, BUT HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE
TO GET OUT OF THE 50S FRIDAY OWING TO THE INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE
AND RAIN IN THE WAKE OF THURSDAY'S FRONT. WARMER TEMPERATURES
RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND, BUT WILL BE COOLER EARLY NEXT WEEK BEHIND
THE NEXT BOUNDARY. THURSDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE
COLDEST, WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 40S.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR BEACH CONDITIONS FOR POTENTIAL MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING TODAY THROUGH LATE WEEK, WITH TIDE LEVELS
FORECAST TO PEAK CLOSE TO 1.8 FT MSL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
TERMINALS ALONG THE COASTAL PLAINS AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS WILL
TRANSITION TO MVFR CONDITIONS BROUGHT BY LOWERING CIGS, ESPECIALLY
CLOSEST TO THE COAST. TERMINALS ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO
GRANDE PLAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS LOW-LEVEL
CLOUD DECK. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
FROM 22Z-03Z LEADING TO A PROB30 GROUP, BUT SHOULD BE JUST LIGHT
RAIN AND DRIZZLE REDUCING VIS AND CIGS. BY THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD, MOST LOCATIONS EAST OF KCRP DROP DOWN TO PREVAILING IFR
CONDITIONS FROM ANOTHER SURGE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS, BUT THIS WILL BE
REFLECTED IN THE NEXT TAF CYCLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
A GENTLE TO MODERATE ONSHORE BREEZE (BF 3-4) CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, BRINGING
ANOTHER WAVE OF FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IN ITS WAKE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LIKELY WARRANT A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY. WINDS WEAKEN TO GENTLE TO MODERATE HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND, WITH THE WIND DIRECTION VARYING. MODERATE RAIN CHANCES
TODAY WILL INCREASE TO MEDIUM TO HIGH, 60-90%, THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. LOW RAIN CHANCES LINGER THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 69 60 68 48 / 20 30 60 50
VICTORIA 67 55 62 43 / 40 60 60 40
LAREDO 75 60 67 50 / 10 20 50 40
ALICE 70 57 66 45 / 10 20 50 50
ROCKPORT 71 60 67 48 / 40 50 70 50
COTULLA 71 55 61 47 / 0 30 50 40
KINGSVILLE 71 60 68 47 / 20 20 50 50
NAVY CORPUS 72 64 70 51 / 40 40 70 50
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...AE/82
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