256
FXUS64 KCRP 031814
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
114 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
- MODERATE TO HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH LOW TO
MODERATE CHANCES CONTINUING ON SUNDAY.
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY, THEN WARM THOUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
AS A BOUNDARY/FRONT STALLS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE COAST. MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE AREA, CONTINUING MEDIUM TO HIGH
CHANCES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY. BY MONDAY, THE BOUNDARY WILL START A SLOW
MOVE TO THE EAST AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES, CONFINING MOST OF OUR
RAIN CHANCES OVER THE WATERS. ANOTHER BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, BUT THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN HOW THIS
WILL PLAY OUT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THIS, BUT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE RAIN CHANCES RETURN AS THE BOUNDARY APPROACHES.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A BIT COOLER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK,
BEFORE THEY BEGIN A SLOW WARM-UP BACK INTO THE LOW 90S.
DUE TO THE PERSISTENT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ENHANCING THE EKMAN
TRANSPORT MECHANISM AND INCREASING 7-8 SECOND SWELL PERIODS, MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING IS WORTH MONITORING THIS WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY DURING
HIGH TIDE AT NIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
A MIXTURE OF MVFR AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE THIS
AFTERNOON, LEADING TO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL BEND AND COASTAL PLAINS. HAVE CONTINUED PROB30 GROUPS FOR
ALI, VCT, AND CRP. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE AND SPREAD ACROSS THE
WEST, WITH MVFR/IFR CEILINGS EXPECTED BY MORNING FOR ALL
TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO
FRESH TO STRONG (BF 5-6) SUNDAY TO TUESDAY MORNING, LEADING TO
OCCASIONAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS. MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4-
5) NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL RETURN THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY, THEN LOW RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT
WORK WEEK. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LOWER CHANCES MAINLY CONFINED TO THE COAST
MONDAY CONTINUING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH MID-WEEK, ABOVE 40% EACH DAY WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING
TO REACH THE 90S. BY THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK TEMPS WARM A BIT
AND RH VALUES START DROPPING INTO THE 30S.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 73 84 73 87 / 70 50 40 30
VICTORIA 70 87 71 89 / 30 30 10 10
LAREDO 71 85 72 86 / 50 50 20 10
ALICE 71 84 71 87 / 60 40 20 20
ROCKPORT 75 87 75 88 / 70 50 40 30
COTULLA 71 86 72 87 / 20 30 0 0
KINGSVILLE 72 84 72 86 / 70 50 40 30
NAVY CORPUS 77 85 77 86 / 80 50 70 50
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77
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