506
FXUS64 KCRP 122301
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
501 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 451 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
- WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 30S AREAWIDE THURSDAY MORNING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MORE SHOWERS COMING IN OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE
TO AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL LOW AND MORE EFFICIENT ISENTROPIC LIFT
AT THE 300K LEVEL. THE RAIN IS FORECAST TO END DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY AS THE LOW DRIFTS EASTWARD, BUT WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO
THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASIDE FROM BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES, THE REST OF THE WEEK IS SHAPING TO REMAIN
RELATIVELY QUIET AND DRY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH
THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, BUT THE RAIN WILL REMAIN
OVER THE MARINE ZONES. THURSDAY MORNING WILL SEE THE LOWEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE WEEK, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S,
AND WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 30S AREAWIDE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 451 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. A FEW SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT, SO HAVE
INCLUDED THESE IN THE TAF FOR ALI, LRD, AND COT. SHOWERS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE FOR CRP AND VCT BUT WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE, HAVE NOT
INCLUDED THIS IN THE TAF FORECAST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) BREEZE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TO FRESH TO STRONG (BF
5-6) WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE WATERS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-
4) ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A LOW (15-25%) CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH ANOTHER LOW (LESS THAN
20%) CHANCE SATURDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY, THOUGH
MOISTURE WILL BE A LITTLE HIGHER, WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AROUND 20%, AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. CLOUDY SKIES AND
LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EVEN SO,
ERC VALUES WILL STILL BE IN THE 50TH-89TH PERCENTILE SO WE WILL
BE MONITORING CONDITIONS TODAY IN CASE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DO
DEVELOP.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 51 63 46 75 / 20 20 0 0
VICTORIA 46 63 44 73 / 20 20 0 0
LAREDO 48 63 44 76 / 50 20 0 0
ALICE 47 63 44 76 / 30 20 0 0
ROCKPORT 51 63 50 73 / 20 20 0 0
COTULLA 46 62 41 76 / 40 10 0 0
KINGSVILLE 49 64 44 76 / 30 20 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 56 63 52 73 / 20 20 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...LS/77
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