498
FXUS64 KCRP 251939
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
139 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1240 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
- A STRONGER COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH THROUGH BY TOMORROW BRINGING A
LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
SOUTHERN COASTAL BEND AND BRUSH COUNTRY.
- ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH LATE THIS WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING DECENTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND STRONGER WINDS OVER THE REGION. THIS COULD
POTENTIALLY LEAD TO SOME SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS OVER THE
WATERS. CONDITIONS SHOULD SUBSIDE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
THANKSGIVING TO BE COOL AND PLEASANT WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S ACROSS
THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND AS
MOISTURE SURGES INTO THE REGION COUPLING WITH OUR NEXT STRONG COLD
FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE DECENTLY COOLER AND MORE
"FALL" LIKE BEHIND THE FRONT. GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT HIGHS
POTENTIALLY HOVERING IN THE 50S AND POTENTIALLY SOME 40S. NOT
SUPER CONFIDENT IN THIS SOLUTION GIVEN THAT IT IS STILL DAYS OUT,
THOUGH GIVEN THE BIG SIGNAL IN MODELS TRENDING COOLER THE
TEMPERATURES WERE SLIGHTLY ADJUSTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF
NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE A AN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CHANCE FOR
SOME PRECIPITATION DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL. LOWS DO DROP DOWN
INTO THE 30S BEGINNING MONDAY NIGHT, THOUGH THE LOWS MIGHT NOT BE
CLOSE TO FREEZING AT THIS TIME IT WILL DEFINITELY BE SOMETHING TO
WATCH OVER THE COMING DAYS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF CYCLE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT BEFORE
INCREASING TOMORROW MORNING WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A STRONGER COLD
FRONT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTING AROUND 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
NORTH-NORTHEAST GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE (BF 3-4) THROUGH
TONIGHT WILL STRENGTHEN TO STRONG TO NEAR GALE FORCE (BF 5-6)
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. MODERATE TO STRONG
BREEZE (BF 4-6) CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND RETURNING THIS
WEEKEND. CHANCES WILL INCREASE TO A MEDIUM TO HIGH CHANCE THIS
WEEKEND AS OUR NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.
CHANCES LINGER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DO BRIEFLY DROP TO THE 25-35% RANGE
ACROSS THE BRUSH COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. THE
REGION OVERALL WILL RETURN TO RHS ABOVE 30-40% MIN RH BY TOMORROW
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THOUGH DRIER AIR WILL BE
PRESENT THIS AFTERNOON, ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENTS REMAIN LOW (BELOW
THE 35TH PERCENTILE) THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK KEEPING THE FIRE RISK
LOW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 60 72 52 73 / 20 10 0 0
VICTORIA 53 72 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 62 73 52 74 / 30 10 0 0
ALICE 58 74 47 75 / 20 10 0 0
ROCKPORT 60 74 54 74 / 10 0 0 0
COTULLA 56 72 46 73 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 60 72 50 75 / 30 10 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 65 72 60 73 / 20 10 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...NP/92
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