343
FXUS64 KCRP 302319
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
519 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 500 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
- WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A FEW LOCATIONS FALLING BELOW
FREEZING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING LEADING TO DRIER CONDITIONS, A CLEARING IN
THE CLOUD COVER, AND LIGHT WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW FOR
MORE EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING TO OCCUR WITH TEMPERATURES
PLUMMETING INTO THE LOW 30S TO MID 40S OVERNIGHT. A FEW LOCATIONS
COULD EXPERIENCE FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR A FEW HOURS WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BUT IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A WIDESPREAD ISSUE AND
MORE LOCALIZED TO LOW/DRAINAGE AREAS OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL PLAINS AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS. AT THE MOMENT A FREEZE
WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT, BUT WILL PASS IT ON TO THE EVENING SHIFT
FOR A SECOND LOOK. IN TERMS OF WIND CHILLS, THESE WILL BE CLOSER
TO THE ACTUAL TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE LIGHTER WINDS OVERNIGHT.
ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE HIGH
BEGINS TO SHIFT EASTWARD, WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
SOUTH TEXAS LATE WEEK. ANOTHER BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO SWING
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT, BUT WILL ONLY DROP TEMPERATURES BY
A FEW DEGREES OVER THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WITH THIS NEXT
BOUNDARY ARE LESS THAN 15% AT THE MOMENT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
S TX THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
ALTHOUGH SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS
EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS, WINDS AND SEAS ARE
FORECAST TO SUBSIDE TO BELOW CAUTION CRITERIA BY THIS EVENING.
EXPECT A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) NORTHERLY BREEZE WEDNESDAY
MORNING, BEFORE WINDS SHIFT ONSHORE AGAIN BY THE AFTERNOON. A WEAK
BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH WINDS
BRIEFLY SHIFTING OFFSHORE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY AGAIN WITH RH VALUES FALLING INTO THE TEENS
ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
ON WEDNESDAY, ERC VALUES IN THE 50-89TH PERCENTILE COULD PROVIDED
FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN. OTHERWISE, EXPECT WARMER
AND SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS TO RETURN LATE WEEK BEFORE A WEAK
FRONT MOVES THROUGH BY EARLY WEEKEND (SATURDAY). THIS WILL LOWER
MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 30% ONCE AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH
COUNTRY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 37 66 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 32 68 43 76 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 42 69 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 36 69 43 78 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 44 65 53 73 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 38 70 44 78 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 36 68 44 78 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 48 64 55 73 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...TE/81
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