903
FXUS64 KCRP 291058
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
558 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- PATCHY FOG EXPECTED THIS MORNING
SATURATED SOILS, SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, LIGHT WINDS, AND
DRY AIR ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FOG. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY 1/4 MILE OR
LESS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY BUT CONFIDENCE IN
OUR FICKLE FOG WILL KEEP ME FROM ISSUING ONE UNTIL WE SEE IF IT
DECIDES TO DEVELOP.
OTHERWISE, THE SHORT TERM FORECAST IS QUIET. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE WARM TODAY AND SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S ALONG THE
COAST TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE WEST UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.
FOR THOSE HEADING TO THE BEACH, THERE IS MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK
IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY. WITH SWELL PERIODS OF AROUND 8-9S, NOT
ONLY WITH THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INCREASE, THERE IS A LOW CHANCE
FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. WE'LL KEEP MONITORING TO SEE IF WE
START TO SEE ANY IMPACTS FROM THESE WAVE PERIODS.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST, THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL FEATURE A
QUASI-ZONAL FLOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE A MID-
LEVEL LOW SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THROUGHOUT THE REST OF
THE PERIOD.
THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW WILL SEND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH ACROSS
THE REGION EARLY IN THE WEEK ON MONDAY. AROUND MID-WEEK A DRYLINE
APPROACHES THE CWA FROM THE WEST BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT THAT IT WILL
MAKE IT ACROSS THE REGION. LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD, ANOTHER
FRONT APPROACHES SOUTH TEXAS BUT MORE ON THAT WITH A FUTURE
FORECAST PACKAGE.
THERE ARE NO HAZARDS CURRENTLY EXPECTED FROM THE FRONTAL BOUNDARIES
WHICH WILL MAINLY BE A WIND SHIFT. EXPECT WINDS TO SHIFT MONDAY,
WEDNESDAY, AND THURSDAY WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS OF GENERALLY <15
MPH. ALSO, WITH EACH FRONTAL PASSAGE, HAVE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
POPS BUT CHANCES ARE VERY LOW (<10%) THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
EXPECT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO RANGE IN THE 80S TO 90S.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST WITH HIGHS FLIRTING WITH
TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY. LOWS WILL RANGE
60S WITH MUCH OF THE REGION ONLY DROPPING TO THE LOW 70S TUESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
PATCHY FOG AND LOW CEILINGS WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH AROUND 16Z ACROSS THE AREA. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY WILL
IMPROVE TO MVFR, THEN VFR THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE WEAK TO MODERATE TODAY. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY WILL
DROP TO MVFR/IFR ONCE AGAIN AROUND 03Z TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 134 AM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
ELEVATED SEAS OF 6-7 FEET WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS, PROMPTING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THROUGH 9 AM. A SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF
3/4) BREEZE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE A WEAK
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA MONDAY, TURNING WINDS TO THE WEST, THEN
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. AN ONSHORE GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE
RETURNS TUESDAY, STRENGTHENING TO A MODERATE TO FRESH (BF 4/5)
BREEZE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE ARE NO CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION UNTIL NEXT SATURDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 84 69 85 66 / 0 10 0 0
VICTORIA 85 68 83 64 / 0 0 10 0
LAREDO 93 69 94 66 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 88 68 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 81 70 81 69 / 0 0 10 0
COTULLA 92 69 93 66 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 87 69 89 66 / 0 10 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 78 70 79 69 / 0 10 10 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ270-275.
SHORT TERM...LS/77
LONG TERM....BF/80
AVIATION...LS/77
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