816
FXUS64 KCRP 200518
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1218 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1215 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
- POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE BRUSH
COUNTRY AND INLAND COASTAL PLAINS DAILY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- DRY WEATHER AND WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH THIS UPCOMING
WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE WITH RIDGING
REMAINING IN CONTROL ALOFT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH DAILY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ACROSS THE INLAND COASTAL PLAINS AND BRUSH COUNTRY. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT TO MODERATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONDITIONS IN CASE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS
REQUIRED.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT A WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH
HIGHS APPROACHING THE TRIPLE DIGITS OUT WEST BY SATURDAY. THERE IS A
30-50% CHANCE OF PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS
AND INLAND COASTAL PLAINS. NO OTHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT WITH
MVFR VSBYS FOR ALI/VCT. SMOKE FROM A FIRE IN KENEDY COUNTY MAY
CAUSE HAZY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALI/CRP BUT IS NOT CURRENTLY
IMPACTING VSBYS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
A GENTLE TO MODERATE (BF 3-4) SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY STRENGTHEN TO
A FRESH BREEZE (BF 5) OVER THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS SOUTH OF
PORT ARANSAS THIS WEEKEND. NO RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME
WITH SEAS BETWEEN 2-4 FEET.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 159 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW CRITICAL CRITERIA TODAY,
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN COMBINATION WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15-30% AND CRITICALLY DRY FUELS OVER THE BRUSH COUNTRY
AND INLAND COASTAL PLAINS, WILL PROMOTE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST DAILY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 62 88 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 58 89 59 87 / 0 0 0 0
LAREDO 61 96 62 96 / 0 0 0 0
ALICE 58 95 59 94 / 0 0 0 0
ROCKPORT 64 80 65 81 / 0 0 0 0
COTULLA 58 99 59 97 / 0 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 59 92 60 91 / 0 0 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 65 79 66 79 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANM/88
AVIATION...BF/80
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