721
FXUS64 KCRP 271131
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
531 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 525 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND WILL
BRING SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER TEMPERATURES, STRONG WINDS, AND A
50 TO 60% CHANCE OF RAIN TO MUCH OF THE REGION
- WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SOME
LOCATIONS DROPPING BELOW FREEZING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S THIS WEEKEND. A DRASTIC
CHANGE IS IN STORE BEHIND A COLD FRONT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT MAY LEAD TO A PERIOD OF WIND
ADVISORY CONDITIONS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH INLAND AREAS
SEEING WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH.
TEMPERATURE BEHIND THE FRONT DROP SHARPLY WITH HIGHS MONDAY AROUND
25 TO 30 DEGREES COLDER THAN SUNDAY. WE WILL STILL SEE SOME ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MONDAY BEHIND THIS FRONT DUE TO A
COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS AND DRY AIR.
CLOUDS STICK AROUND MONDAY NIGHT, SO LOW TEMPERATURES WILL LARGELY
BE IN THE 40S WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHEAST AREAS DROPPING
INTO THE UPPER 30S. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE CLOUDS MOVE OUT AND WINDS BECOME
VERY LIGHT. WE WILL SEE WIDESPREAD TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S (LOW 40S
ON THE ISLAND) WITH A 50-70% CHANCE OF INLAND AREAS REACHING
FREEZING.
TEMPERATURES WARM BACK UP STARTING WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO
THE 70S BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND PERHAPS THE 80S AGAIN NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
A MIX OF VFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER
UNTIL THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. MAINLY FOR LOWER CIGS BUT
CAN'T RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG DEVELOPING AS LONG AS WINDS
TO CREEP UP ABOVE 10 KNOTS. THIS AFTERNOON SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL
GUST TO 20-25 KNOTS ACROSS MOST TERMINALS BUT UP TO AROUND 30
KNOTS AT CRP. EXPECT VERY SIMILAR OVERNIGHT CONDITIONS TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
DRIER AIR IS IN PLACE, SO THIS SHOULD LIMIT ANY FOG POTENTIAL
TONIGHT AND AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT. EXPECT A GENERALLY GENTLE TO
MODERATE (BF 3-4) ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN WINDS BEING MORE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT
A STRONG TO GALE STRENGTH (BF 6-7) WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10-12 FT
OFFSHORE BY MONDAY. A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY EVENING. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A 60-70%
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WITH IT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 27 2025
LIGHT WINDS, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 40%, AND
ENERGY RELEASE COMPONENTS IN THE 25-49TH PERCENTILE WILL KEEP THE
FIRE RISK LIMITED INTO THE WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH MIN RH VALUES
FALLING BELOW 30% DAILY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BRUSH COUNTRY
COULD SEE RH VALUES AS LOW AS THE MID-TEENS MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 81 67 82 49 / 0 0 0 60
VICTORIA 82 64 84 46 / 0 0 0 50
LAREDO 87 68 85 52 / 0 0 0 40
ALICE 85 64 87 48 / 0 0 0 60
ROCKPORT 79 68 80 49 / 0 0 0 60
COTULLA 86 66 83 49 / 0 0 0 30
KINGSVILLE 84 65 86 48 / 0 0 0 60
NAVY CORPUS 76 69 77 52 / 0 0 0 60
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...GALE WATCH FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...CLM/93
AVIATION...BF/80
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