363
FXUS64 KCRP 292347
AFDCRP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
547 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 544 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH 6
PM THIS EVENING, FOLLOWED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
- ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LOW
HUMIDITY, BREEZY WINDS, AND DRY FUELS.
- WIDESPREAD LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A LOW POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED
LOCATIONS TO DROP BELOW FREEZING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING, MUCH COOLER AND
WINDIER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. STRONG CAA
COMBINED WITH PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT DAYTIME WARMING,
WITH HIGHS TODAY AND TOMORROW GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE 50S. OUR
BREEZY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE EVER SO SLIGHTLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO 20-25 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 30-35 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS HAVE SLIPPED JUST BELOW OUR WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA, SO THE ADVISORY WAS CANCELLED. HOWEVER, A GALE
WARNING REMAINS OVER AREA WATERS THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING,
FOLLOWED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS.
SPEAKING OF THE COASTAL WATERS, SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT 8-14
FEET WITH SWELL PERIODS OF 6-9 SECONDS. WHILE WINDS AND WAVES WILL
LARGELY BE LONGSHORE, ELEVATED OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS AND PERSISTENT
NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW MAY STILL ALLOW FOR A LOW POTENTIAL OF
MINOR BEACH INUNDATION/COASTAL FLOODING, PARTICULARLY AROUND TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE. THE COMBINATION OF THE BREEZY WINDS, DRIER AIR, AND
FUELS WILL ALSO RESULT IN ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS, BUT MORE ON THIS IN THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW.
CLOUD COVER WILL LINGER TONIGHT, LIMITING RADIATIONAL COOLING AND
KEEPING LOWS IN THE 40S. ALTHOUGH, A FEW NORTHERN LOCATIONS MAY
BRIEFLY DIP INTO THE UPPER 30S. THE COLDEST PERIOD OF THE WEEK IS
STILL EXPECTED TOMORROW NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION, ALLOWING FOR CLEARER SKIES, LOWER
WINDS, AND MORE EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING. WIDESPREAD LOWS IN
THE 30S ARE ANTICIPATED. TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY DIP TO NEAR OR
SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION, PARTICULARLY IN SHELTERED AND LOW-LYING
DRAINAGE, THOUGH THE LIKELIHOOD OF WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES
IS LOW. ANY FREEZING CONDITIONS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AROUND DAYBREAK.
FROM MIDWEEK ONWARDS, THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST AND ONSHORE FLOW
GRADUALLY RETURNS, INITIATING A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE PERIOD. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO THE 60S AND 70S BY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH HIGHS RETURNING TO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW
80S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 544 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THOUGH
THEY WON'T FULLY SUBSIDE UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.
SKIES WILL REMAIN OVERCAST THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING'S FRONTAL PASSAGE, NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS AT STRONG TO GALE STRENGTH (BF 6-8) WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION TO WINDS, ELEVATED SEAS UP
TO 8-14 FEET CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A GALE WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH NOON ON TUESDAY. WINDS, AS WELL AS SEAS, WILL
GRADUALLY LESSEN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, RETURNING TO LIGHT TO
MODERATE (BF 2-4) ONSHORE FLOW BY MIDWEEK AND PERSISTING THROUGH
LATE WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 100 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
BEHIND THIS MORNING'S FRONTAL PASSAGE, MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP
BELOW 30% (INTO THE TEENS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY),
PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE
VERY LOW RH AND ERCS IN THE 25TH-69TH PERCENTILE WILL ALLOW FOR
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS TODAY. WE HAVE CONTINUED TO MAINTAIN A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
THROUGH 9PM TONIGHT TO COVER THE THREAT. NORTHERLY WINDS GRADUALLY
LESSEN HEADING INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, LOW MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY, SUPPORTING LINGERING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS THROUGH MIDWEEK. WARMER AND SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS
RETURN BY LATE WEEK BEFORE A WEAK FRONT PROPAGATING IN BY EARLY
WEEKEND LOWERS MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 30% ONCE AGAIN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE BRUSH COUNTRY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
CORPUS CHRISTI 45 56 39 65 / 0 0 0 0
VICTORIA 39 56 31 66 / 10 0 0 0
LAREDO 48 58 42 68 / 0 10 0 0
ALICE 45 57 37 68 / 0 10 0 0
ROCKPORT 46 57 44 65 / 10 10 0 0
COTULLA 46 59 39 68 / 10 0 0 0
KINGSVILLE 45 57 38 67 / 10 10 0 0
NAVY CORPUS 48 56 46 64 / 10 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ231-232-236-237-
250-255-270-275.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ231-232-236-
237-250-255-270-275.
DISCUSSION...KRS/98
AVIATION...NP/92
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page