432
FXUS64 KEPZ 042026 AAA
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
126 PM MST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 120 PM MST THU DEC 4 2025
- COOLER HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY, WITH COLD TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
- DRY CONDITIONS, TYPICAL BREEZES, AND A SLOW WARMING TREND ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1017 AM MST THU DEC 4 2025
SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS SWINGING ACROSS NEW MEXICO, EN ROUTE TO THE
GREAT PLAINS. COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL
FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE, ALONG WITH DECREASING CLOUDS AND LIGHTER
WINDS. THOSE CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO ENHANCED
RADIATIVE COOLING THURSDAY NIGHT (AND FRIDAY NIGHT), ESPECIALLY
FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND 2F TO 7F
FRIDAY, STAYING BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST LOCALES. ADDITIONAL WARMING
IS EXPECTED HEADING INTO SATURDAY, BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER
TO NORMAL, WITH THE RGV AND SURROUNDING AREAS CLIMBING A FEW TO
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES.
A REGIME OF NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP BEHIND THE TROUGH'S EJECTION
INTO THE GREAT PLAINS ON SUNDAY, LASTING THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL BRING A SLOW DRYING TREND AND WARM-UP, AS
WELL AS SOME LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR MOUNTAIN AREAS AND THEIR
ADJACENT HIGHLANDS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1017 AM MST THU DEC 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND DECREASING CLOUDS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 120 PM MST THU DEC 4 2025
A TROUGH EXITING INTO THE GREAT PLAINS TODAY WILL USHER IN A
REGIME OF NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND DRIER AIR. HIGH MINRH SEEN
TODAY WILL TREND DOWN SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD,
SETTLING INTO WIDESPREAD UPPER TEENS BY TUESDAY. LOCALLY BREEZY
WEST WINDS WILL FAVOR THE HIGH TERRAIN AND ITS ADJACENT HIGHLANDS
OF EASTERN ZONES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WINDS WILL TREND LIGHTER
INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK. VENTILATION WILL BE POOR TO FAIR MOST
DAYS, WITH FRIDAY SEEING BETTER COVERAGE OF GOOD RATES IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 39 63 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 35 58 32 59 / 10 10 0 0
LAS CRUCES 31 58 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 29 55 28 58 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 20 36 21 41 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 29 55 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 28 51 28 54 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 31 60 28 63 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 28 56 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 40 61 37 62 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 28 63 26 64 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 38 66 35 67 / 10 10 0 0
LOMA LINDA 35 54 33 55 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 37 63 33 64 / 10 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 35 60 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 37 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 24 57 22 61 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 27 61 27 65 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 37 63 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 30 56 27 59 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 24 50 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 21 46 23 51 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 22 45 23 49 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 16 52 20 59 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 29 56 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 24 55 24 59 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 20 51 21 55 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 27 54 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 21 57 20 61 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 22 53 22 56 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 30 54 30 58 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 32 59 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 31 58 27 61 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 35 60 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 38 54 34 55 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...99
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