140
FXUS64 KEPZ 071800
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1100 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1005 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
- NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS, TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES, AND A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE WEST COAST HAS SET UP
A BLOCKING PATTERN THAT WILL KEEP WINTER WEATHER SYSTEMS NORTH OF
THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL
ALSO MAINTAIN A DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER LOCAL AREA WITH
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND GENERALLY MILD TEMPERATURES FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.
WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY COLD DUE TO THE DRY
ATMOSPHERE AND RADIATIVE COOLING PROCESSES, TEMPERATURES DURING
THE DAY TIME WILL BE ON A STEADY WARMING TREND TOWARD WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY MID WEEK. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHEN NEAR RECORD VALUES IN THE
LOWLANDS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. A COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN A FEW DEGREES FOR NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESULT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
VALID PERIOD WITH UNLIMITED VISIBILITY AND CLEAR SKIES. LIGHTER
WESTERLY WIND SPEEDS WILL OCCUR, PEAKING IN THE AFTERNOON NEAR 10
KNOTS OR LESS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 02Z
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1005 AM MST SUN DEC 7 2025
QUIET FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH LOW FIRE CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEK. THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT US
BREEZY WINDS ON SATURDAY HAS MOVED OFF AND WE WILL SEE GENERALLY
LOWER WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON BUT MAY STILL BE LIGHTLY BREEZY
ALONG RIDGELINES AND WEST SLOPES. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT
WITH DRAINAGE FLOW OVERNIGHT. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. MIN RH'S TODAY THROUGH MID WEEK WILL
BE IN THE MID TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE 20'S IN AREA
MOUNTAINS. VENT RATES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 35 63 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 29 61 30 61 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 29 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 29 61 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 24 45 25 45 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 31 58 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 31 60 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 29 63 29 66 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 29 63 28 63 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 37 62 37 63 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 25 64 25 67 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 32 67 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 34 57 35 58 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 31 64 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 31 61 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 37 62 38 65 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 23 61 24 63 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 27 63 28 66 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 32 63 33 66 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 28 59 28 60 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 27 58 30 61 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 26 55 27 56 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 24 53 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 22 58 22 62 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 32 61 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 25 60 26 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 25 61 23 63 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 29 61 29 63 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 25 66 24 67 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 26 62 24 64 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 32 59 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 29 64 30 66 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 29 63 28 65 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 31 63 30 66 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 35 61 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...04-LUNDEEN
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