433
FXUS64 KEWX 021120
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
520 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH TEMPERATURES LIKELY TO NEAR OR EXCEED DAILY RECORDS TODAY
(FRIDAY).
- FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS PERSIST TODAY.
- THE DRY AND WARM PERIOD GOES ON THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
THE START OF 2026 PROJECTS DRY AND WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS FROM TODAY (FRIDAY) THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SOME OF THE
FEATURES THAT ARE FORECAST TO CONTRIBUTE TO THESE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE A SURFACE TROUGH/DRY-LINE MOVING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TODAY AND
SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SATURDAY
AS A WEAK FRONT PUSHES DOWN INTO THE LOCAL AREA AND THE WIND SHIFTS
TO THE NORTH.
TODAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO HIT OR EXCEED DAILY RECORDS
AS AIR SINKS THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA UNDER A NORTHWEST TO WEST
SURFACE WIND FLOW. CLIMATE NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME ARE IN THE
MID 60S AND THE FORECAST CALLS FOR MID TO UPPER 80S UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. THE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 10 MPH TO 15 MPH
FOR THE MOST PART WITH ISOLATED AREAS GETTING UP TO 18 MPH WITH
GUSTS OF 25 MPH TO 30 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FOR
TODAY ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 20S, WHICH BRING
ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MOST AREAS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED TODAY
FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. OTHERWISE, DRY AND UNSEASONABLE WARM.
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST
TO PUSH ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA BRINGING A NORTHERLY WIND SURGE.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOVE CLIMATE NORMALS BUT NOT AS
WARM AS THOSE FOR TODAY. SATURDAY'S HIGHS FORECAST IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1219 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS SUNDAY AS WELL AS INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND A
WARMING TREND BACK TO THE AREA FOR THE WORK WEEK. WITH THE SECOND
ROUND OF WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES, DAILY RECORDS COULD BE
REACHED OR EVEN EXCEEDED. AS FAR AS THE NEXT TIME FOR CHANCES FOR
RAIN, NEXT WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY LOOKS GOOD AS A COLD FRONT
PUSHES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 518 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. THE ONLY CHANGE MADE WAS
TO ADD IN THE NEXT FROPA WHICH WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 11-15Z TOMORROW
MORNING. THAT HAS BEEN NOTED AT SAT AND AUS.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 1145 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES
JANUARY 2ND
AUSTIN BERGSTROM 83 (2023)
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 83 (2023)
SAN ANTONIO 86 (2006)
DEL RIO 88 (2023)
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 85 56 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 86 57 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 86 54 76 45 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 82 51 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 85 55 80 48 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 84 56 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 85 53 81 46 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 87 56 77 44 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 85 54 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 85 58 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 86 56 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...MMM
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