297
FXUS64 KEWX 210714
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
114 AM CST THU NOV 21 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST THU NOV 21 2024
THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON IS UNDERWAY AND MANY LOCATIONS IN
THE HILL COUNTRY AND EVEN SOME SPOTS ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR HAVE
ALREADY DIPPED INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH A
SURFACE HIGH PRETTY MUCH RIGHT ON TOP OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS, EXPECT
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AND EVEN CALM CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNRISE
BEFORE WINDS START TO SHIFT BACK OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST FOR THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REBOUND NICELY GIVEN DEWPOINTS IN THE
20S AND 30S AND A LIGHT WSW BREEZE. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER
60S TO MIDDLE 70S WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT, BUT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS WINDS WILL BE MORE WEST-
SOUTHWESTERLY AND THE SURFACE HIGH WILL HAVE SHIFTED TO OUR EAST.
NEVERTHELESS, LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S AND LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S
CAN BE EXPECTED TO START YOUR FRIDAY. FRIDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS
FANTASTIC WITH SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 114 AM CST THU NOV 21 2024
A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW BRINGS A WARMING AND
MOISTENING TREND THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY ALLOWING ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN. THERE REMAINS SOME DISAGREEMENTS AMONG THE
MODELS/ENSEMBLES FOR COLD FRONTS NEXT WEEK. THE CURRENT EXPECTATION
IS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO OUR AREA LATE MONDAY, MOVES BACK NORTH ON
TUESDAY, THEN A STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS OUR AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT OR ON THANKSGIVING. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THEN NEAR AVERAGE ON THANKSGIVING. ALTHOUGH
THERE IS FORCING WITH THE FRONTS, MOISTURE LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A ONLY A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN, AT BEST. AS A
RESULT, HAVE KEPT RAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CST WED NOV 20 2024
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH SKY CLEAR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
TO NEAR CALM WINDS. DIRECTIONS WILL TREND VARIABLE AT TIMES GIVEN THE
LIGHT WINDS. WINDS COULD TURN SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE TO AROUND 6
KTS AT KDRT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE, WINDS GENERALLY
REMAIN BELOW 5 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 73 45 75 47 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 73 37 75 42 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 73 41 77 45 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 70 41 72 45 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 74 45 78 50 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 72 40 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 72 42 76 47 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 73 40 76 43 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 73 42 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 72 46 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 72 45 76 48 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM...MMM
LONG-TERM...04
AVIATION...MMM
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