968
FXUS64 KEWX 101750
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1250 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- LOW HUMIDITY, COOLER MORNINGS, AND WARM AFTERNOONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
- CONTINUED WARM AFTERNOONS AND DRY NEXT WEEK
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER WEST TX TODAY. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER THE ARKLATEX REGION MAKING WINDS ACROSS
OUR CWA LIGHT AND VARIABLE. THE AIRMASS IS DRIER TODAY WITH
DEWPOINTS 5-10 DEGREES LOWER THAN 24 HOURS AGO. THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE DURING THE SHORT TERM KEEPING OUR
WEATHER DRY. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT TOWARD EAST. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, BECOME EASTERLY DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY, AND SOUTHERLY SATURDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
COMBINED WITH THE LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP
A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH NIGHT. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE ABOUT THE
SAME AS FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE PUSHED TOWARD THE EAST OVER THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK, BUT WILL FORCE A TROUGH TO STAY TO THE NORTHWEST.
THIS WILL KEEP ALL FORCING TO OUR WEST AND NORTH, SO OUR WEATHER
WILL STAY DRY. AN UPPER HIGH WILL REFORM OVER TX TUESDAY AND AS
YOU MIGHT EXPECT CONTINUE THE DRY WEATHER. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
HAVE AN INTERESTING INVERTED TROUGH FORM OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND
MOVE TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. HOWEVER, ONCE
THIS FEATURE REACHES THE TX COAST IT GETS TUNED BACK TO THE EAST.
SO, STILL NO RAIN FOR US. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE LONG TERM
PERIOD WILL BE FAIRLY PERSISTENT VARYING ONLY A DEGREE OR TWO DAY
TO DAY. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AND LOWS NEAR NORMAL.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
WINDS WILL REMAIN ENE TO EASTERLY THROUGH THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS ALONG
I-35 AND REMAIN MOSTLY BELOW 10 KNOTS. AT DRT, A MORE TYPICAL
DIURNAL SWING FROM SE TO E FROM DAY TO NIGHT RESPECTIVELY WITH SOME
OCCASIONAL PM GUSTS OF 12-18 MPH. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH
JUST SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS EXPECTED BETWEEN 15Z AND 02Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH FOR MOST
LOCATIONS HAS LED TO FLASH DROUGHT CONDITIONS. DRY CONDITIONS OVER
THE NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITY, ESPECIALLY
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE THE DRYING OF FUELS
ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE RELATIVELY WEAK WINDS, ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE FUELS ARE MORE DROUGHT
STRESSED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 92 63 92 64 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 92 61 92 60 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 92 62 92 61 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 88 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 92 67 92 66 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 90 60 90 61 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 92 63 92 60 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 94 61 93 59 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 92 60 92 58 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 92 65 91 64 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 94 65 93 64 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...18
FIRE WEATHER...05
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