962
FXUS64 KEWX 212324
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
524 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2020
AVIATION
VFR CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE AT DRT WITH BASES AROUND 8KFT. THESE
SHOULD SCATTER WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH SCT-BKN 250 REMAINING
AT THE TAF SITES FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY TOMORROW WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10KTS
POSSIBLE.
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 246 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2020/
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
WITH A SURFACE HIGH IN PLACE, AND CONTINUED NORTHERLY WINDS, DRIER
AIR TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S FOR MOST
OF THE AREA. AS THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST, WINDS BECOME MORE
EASTERLY, THEN RETURNING TO SOUTHEASTERLY BY SATURDAY NIGHT. THE
HIGH FOR SATURDAY WILL STILL BE BELOW NORMAL AND IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOW 60S. THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BRING IN WARMER AND MORE MOIST
AIR TO THE REGION, AS KEEP OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES MILD AND IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THE SHORT
TERM.
LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
A SOUTHERLY, LOW-LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL SET UP
SUNDAY IN RESPONSE TO A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LEVEL MOVING OUT OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES. THIS
WILL LEAD TO LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. ALTHOUGH NOT
EXPLICITLY INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST, THE MOISTURE DEPTH
MAY BE JUST ENOUGH TO GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS BENEATH A CAPPING
INVERSION ALONG AND EAST OF I-35 AND I-37 ON SUNDAY. WARMER ON
SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE RIO GRANDE WHERE AFTERNOON CLEARING
WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S. ELSEWHERE
CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
THE MAIN FORCING WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PASS
WELL NORTH OF THE REGION. THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY MORNING. LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE AND
FORCING WILL LIMIT CHANCES FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS TO 20% FOR ONLY
SOUTHEASTERN AREAS. CLEARING, NORTHWEST FLOW, AND THE DRY, PACIFIC
NATURE OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN EVEN WARMER AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES FOR MOST LOCATIONS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH DEEPENING
THROUGH THE CENTRAL CONUS MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL
SEND A STRONGER FRONT THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY
AND COLDER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY, WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND HIGHS IN THE 50S TO AROUND
60. A HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. A LIGHT
FREEZE OR NEAR-FREEZING CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF
PORTIONS OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. A RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARMING
TREND IS FORECAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 37 60 48 65 56 / 0 0 0 10 10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 34 60 47 67 55 / 0 0 0 10 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 35 61 49 68 57 / 0 0 0 - 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 35 58 47 63 50 / 0 0 0 - -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 42 64 49 75 52 / 0 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 35 59 47 64 53 / 0 0 0 10 -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 37 63 49 71 52 / 0 0 0 0 -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 34 60 47 68 55 / 0 0 0 10 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 34 61 48 68 59 / 0 0 0 10 20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 38 62 50 68 57 / 0 0 0 - 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 38 63 51 70 57 / 0 0 0 - 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT-TERM/AVIATION...HAMPSHIRE
LONG-TERM...04
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