696
FXUS64 KEWX 102241
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
541 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY, MAINLY OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS INTO THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR.
- WARMING TREND THIS WEEK WITH AFTERNOON MAXIMUM HEAT INDICES IN
THE 100 TO NEAR 105 DEGREE RANGE.
- RAIN CHANCES, WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, CAN BE EXPECTED
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
SIMILAR TO THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS, WE EXPECT TO SEE A
CONTINUATION OF LOW RAIN CHANCES FROM THE COASTAL PLAINS NORTHWARD
INTO THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR AS SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOP
DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. COVERAGE OF CONVECTION
SHOULD BE A LITTLE GREATER OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS REGION GIVEN
HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2".
HIGHS FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE 90S FOR MOST LOCATIONS
ALONG WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO NEAR 105 DEGREES
ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 70S GIVEN
CONTINUED SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND OVERNIGHT CLOUD COVER.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
AND BASED ON PERSISTENCE, WE CAN EXPECT TO SEE SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY EASE
SOUTHWARD ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERLIES INCREASES OVER THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES. WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENING, RAIN
CHANCES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 90S AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 100 TO NEAR 105
DEGREE RANGE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE
REGION.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT AND INCREASING
CONFIDENCE THAT A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WITH THE FRONT
ENCOUNTERING THE VERY MOIST CONDITIONS (PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
NEAR OR ABOVE 2"), RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO LOOK FAVORABLE FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE AND LIFT ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CONCERNS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO EASE
TEMPERATURES DOWNWARD A BIT ON MONDAY, WITH A MORE NOTICEABLE DROP
WITH HIGHS FORECAST IN THE 80S ON TUESDAY. SOME LOW RAIN CHANCES
WILL LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE TAIL END OF A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE REGION.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 541 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WIND
EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. MVFR CEILINGS
REDEVELOP TONIGHT FIRST OVER I-35 TERMINALS NEAR 06-07Z THEN
EXPANDING WEST REACHING KDRT NEAR 10Z. THESE CEILINGS WILL
SCATTER/LIFT BACK TO VFR FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND WILL REMAIN AROUND 06-12 KNOTS OVERNIGHT, THEN
INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY AGAIN BY THE AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 77 94 78 94 / 20 20 0 10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 77 94 77 94 / 20 20 0 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 76 93 76 92 / 20 20 0 20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 76 92 76 92 / 10 10 0 10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 77 97 78 96 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 77 93 77 94 / 20 20 0 10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 76 92 76 91 / 0 0 0 20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 76 93 76 93 / 20 20 0 20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 77 94 77 93 / 20 20 10 20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 77 93 77 92 / 20 20 0 20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 77 94 77 93 / 20 20 0 20
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...PLATT
LONG TERM....PLATT
AVIATION...27
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