861
FXUS64 KEWX 291806
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
106 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- FAIR WITH WARM AND MOSTLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS DURING THE WEEKEND
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES RETURNING NEXT WEEK, PEAKING MID TO LATE
WEEK
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 102 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER CENTRAL TEXAS GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST THROUGH
THIS EVENING AS A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN US PIVOTS TOWARDS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. THIS PATTERN BRINGS BACK WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW OVER OUR AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE MID-LEVEL FLOW IN
ADDITION TO THE DRY LINE IN WEST TEXAS MAY TRIGGER SOME ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS
WOULD INITIATE WEST OF THE AREA, BUT COULD APPROACH OR MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU BEFORE DISSIPATING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING. THIS SAME PATTERN OF STORMS FIRING OFF IN WEST TEXAS OR
MEXICO AND POTENTIALLY MOVING INTO OUR FAR WESTERN AREAS CONTINUES
SATURDAY AND AGAIN SUNDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN.
FOR THE REST OF THE REGION, DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO
MID 90S. SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT THOUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TODAY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
TOMORROW DUE TO INCREASING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
THE SUNDAY FORECAST REMAINS SIMILAR TO EARLIER IN THE WEEKEND, THEN
ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE AREA MONDAY AND CONTINUES
THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK. FORCING WILL BE WEAK MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY DRIVEN BY DIURNAL HEATING OR
SOME SEABREEZE ACTIVITY ACCOMPANIED BY MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES.
GUIDANCE STILL DOES SEEM TO FAVOR THE MIDDLE TO LATE WEEK TIMEFRAME
FOR THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES WITH HIGHEST CHANCES EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
WITH INCREASED MOISTURE WE WILL GET BACK INTO A PATTERN OF CLOUDS
DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT BRINGING WARM LOWS IN THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND 90S. TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OR END
OF THE WEEK CLOUDS MAY STICK AROUND DURING THE DAY WITH THE FORECAST
TRENDING A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
ALL TERMINALS HAVE REBOUNDED TO VFR AND WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MVFR CEILINGS WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT AND
LAST UNTIL MID-MORNING SATURDAY. SOME MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SITES
STAYING VFR, BUT WE DON'T SEE ANY CHANGE TO THE OVERALL PATTERN
AND THIS LEADS US TO BRINGING THE LOW CLOUDS BACK IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 72 93 74 93 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 73 92 74 93 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 71 91 73 91 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 71 89 71 90 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 76 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 72 91 73 92 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 71 89 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 72 92 73 92 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 73 93 74 92 / 0 0 0 10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 72 91 74 91 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 73 91 74 92 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page