636
FXUS64 KEWX 010618
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1218 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
- PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE NEXT FEW DAYS.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCES FOR RAIN AND ISOLATED STORMS MID WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
A MOIST SOUTHERLY LOWER LEVEL FLOW MAINTAINS A PATTERN OF NIGHT INTO
MORNING LOW CLOUDS WITH PATCHY FOG. MIXING ALLOWS FOR AMPLE SUNSHINE
IN THE AFTERNOONS. A STRENGTHENED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTS
IN BREEZY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. THE LOWER LEVEL THERMAL
RIDGE AND MIXING WITH A WARM MID LEVEL AIRMASS KEEPS TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH. UPSLOPE FLOW ONTO
THE ESCARPMENT MAY PRODUCE PATCHY MIST EARLY EACH MORNING THERE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WHILE A COLD
FRONT STAYS NORTH OF OUR AREA MID WEEK. THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY ON
RAIN CHANCES WITH THESE FEATURES REMAINING TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER,
WEAK TO MODERATE FORCING OF AND INSTABILITY IN AN UNSEASONABLY MOIST
AIRMASS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MID TO LATE WEEK. A LOWER LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE
KEEPS TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH.
RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE NEXT WEEKEND DUE TO A POSSIBLE COLD FRONT AND
APPROACH OF A DEEP MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. HOWEVER, THERE REMAINS A
HIGHER LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY ON THESE FEATURES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
MVFR CEILINGS HAVE SPREAD OVER THE AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO AREAS
THIS MORNING. CEILINGS WILL INTERMITTENTLY DROP TO IFR LATER
TONIGHT. WINDS ARE STRONGER TONIGHT THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF NIGHTS
AND THIS SHOULD PREVENT DENSE FOG FROM FORMING. LOW CLOUDS WILL
SPREAD TO DRT LATER TONIGHT. ALL TERMINALS WILL REBOUND TO VFR BY
AROUND NOON. WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON
WHILE STAYING FROM THE SOUTHEAST. LOW CLOUDS WILL RETURN SUNDAY
NIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 84 61 82 63 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 84 60 83 62 / 0 0 0 10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 84 60 83 61 / 0 0 0 10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 81 60 81 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 82 61 86 62 / 10 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 83 60 82 62 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 84 58 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 85 61 83 61 / 0 0 0 10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 84 60 83 62 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 84 63 83 63 / 0 0 0 10
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 85 63 85 63 / 0 0 0 10
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....04
AVIATION...05
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