560
FXUS64 KEWX 291827
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1227 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WITH MILD HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY, TURNING COLDER
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
- COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING FOR WIND
CHILLS IN THE 10-20 DEGREE RANGE.
- WARMER, MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH THE RETURN OF LOW RAIN CHANCES MID-WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY WARMED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S AT
THE LUNCH HOUR, RISING TO THE MID TO UPPER 60S FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS
ALONG WITH FILTERED SUNSHINE. THIS SHOULD ACT TO MELT MOST IF NOT
ALL OF THE REMAINING ICE/SLEET AROUND THE AREA. OUR NEXT COLD FRONT
IS CURRENTLY SITUATED NORTHWEST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX
AND WILL CONTINUE PROGRESS SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE REACHING OUR
NORTHERN COUNTIES AROUND SUNSET AND MOVING THROUGH THE ENTIRE REGION
BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE BREEZY, BUT NOT NEARLY AS
STRONG AS THEY WERE WITH OUR LAST FRONTAL PASSAGE LAST WEEK.
FRIDAY WILL BE NOTABLY COOLER BUT NOT BITTERLY COLD LIKE THE LAST
WEEK AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO
THE LOW TO MID 50S FOR THE HILL COUNTRY, I-35 CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL
PLAINS, PRIMARILY DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S WEST. AFTER COLLABORATING WITH FWD AND HGX,
OPTED TO ISSUE A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY
MORNING AS WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE 10-
20 DEGREE RANGE FROM THE HILL COUNTRY THROUGH THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND
EAST INTO THE COASTAL PLAINS. THIS IS A WIND CHILL DRIVEN ADVISORY
AS AIR TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
THE REAL CHUNK OF THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES NOT GETTING OUT OF
THE 40S FOR HIGHS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE HIGH WILL RESULT
IN LIGHT WINDS AND PRIMARILY CLEAR SKIES WHICH IS SUPPORTIVE OF
STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AND COLD TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT.
IT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE WEEK WITH THE NBM
GIVING THE HILL COUNTRY, I-35 CORRIDOR, AND COASTAL PLAINS A
30-40% CHANCE OF LOWS LESS THAN 20 DEGREES. A FEW SPOTS MAY DROP
TO THAT NUMBER OR BELOW, BUT FOR THE MOST PART, LOWS IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 20S CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
SUNDAY WILL START THE SLOW AND STEADY WARM-UP FOR THE FIRST FEW
DAYS OF FEBRUARY. SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW SHOULD RESUME BY THE
AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SURFACE HIGH TO OUR EAST.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY LOOK RATHER NICE, WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 60S AND LOWER 70S. OUR NEXT WEATHER MAKER IS PROGGED TO ARRIVE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM
WORKS ITS WAY EAST OUT OF NORTHERN MEXICO TUESDAY EVENING. RAIN
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS TUESDAY EVENING AND MAY CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE THINGS DRY OUT THURSDAY. MEDIUM RANGE
GUIDANCE HAS STRUGGLED WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE NORTHERN STREAM
JET WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND, SO FOR NOW, WILL CONTINUE CARRYING LOW
END POPS UNTIL BETTER AGREEMENT COMES IN ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
A CLUSTER OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU THIS MORNING AND PUSHED OVER THE KSAT AREA AROUND 17Z. THOSE
LOW CLOUDS SINCE THEN DISSIPATED FOR VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA
TERMINALS FOR THE REST OF TODAY INTO FRIDAY. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
SHIFT FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST TO NORTH ACROSS MOST AREAS ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.
NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. BREEZY NORTH WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 35 54 28 41 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 35 54 28 42 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 35 56 28 45 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 33 53 26 39 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 44 63 35 54 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 32 52 26 39 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 39 60 30 49 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 35 56 28 44 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 35 52 28 41 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 39 58 31 46 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 40 59 33 47 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
TXZ171>173-186-188>194-206>209-223-225.
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM....MMM
AVIATION...17
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