749
FXUS64 KEWX 031106 AAA
AFDEWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
506 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND
- DRY AND WARMER FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK
- RAIN CHANCES OF 20 TO 30 PERCENT LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1217 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO THE LOWER 80S. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
PUSHING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS SATURDAY MORNING TO SHIFT THE
WINDS FROM THE NORTH. IN THE WAKE OF IT, NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE FORECAST ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. WITH THIS CONDITIONS AND FUEL MOISTURE PERCENTILE
DECREASING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA, FIRE CONCERNS CAN'T BE RULED OUT.
HAVE OPTED NOT TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER STATEMENT FOR SOME OF THE
LOCAL AREA AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE
REACHED WHEN WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 10 MPH OR LESS FOR THE RIO
GRANDE AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. THIS COULD CHANGE AS THE FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA AND WE WILL MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
FORECAST AND ISSUE ANY NEEDED PRODUCTS. OTHERWISE, THE WIND RELAXES
SATURDAY EVENING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH. OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP TO THE
MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY WHILE THE REST OF THE LOCAL
AREA IS FORECAST TO STAY IN THE 40S.
AS THE DAY PROGRESSES ON SUNDAY, A RETURN FLOW TAKES PLACE AND HELPS
TEMPERATURES TO GET INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS
WITH UPPER 70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. LOW CLOUDS ARE FORECAST TO
DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS INCREASED MOISTURE ARRIVES
AND SPREADS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1217 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
DRY AND WARM WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO RISE TO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON TUESDAY. DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS COULD
BE TIED OR BROKEN OR SHY BY A DEGREE OR TWO DUE TO CLOUD COVERAGE.
ANYWAY, IT IS GOING TO BE WARM FOR JANUARY CLIMATE NORMAL STANDARDS.
THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR RAIN ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS ARE IN SOMEWHAT AGREEMENT WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND PACIFIC FRONT. THEN
DRIES OUT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH RAIN ACTIVITY
RETURNING OVER THE WEEKEND WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 505 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED. WNW WINDS OF 10-15 KTS
WILL ACCOMPANY A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY A SHIFT
TO NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE MID
AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE WINDS WEAKEN TO LESS THAN 10 KTS AFTER
SUNSET. VFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 73 45 72 50 / 0 0 0 0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 74 43 72 49 / 0 0 0 0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 76 44 72 49 / 0 0 0 0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 71 41 69 48 / 0 0 0 0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 80 48 74 51 / 0 0 0 0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 70 42 71 49 / 0 0 0 0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 80 44 74 50 / 0 0 0 0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 75 44 72 49 / 0 0 0 0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 75 44 71 49 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 77 48 72 52 / 0 0 0 0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 78 48 73 53 / 0 0 0 0
EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...MMM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page