458  
FXUS64 KHGX 301708  
AFDHGX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX  
1208 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2025  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2025  
 
- HOT AND DRY FOR MOST TODAY. BUT WATCHING THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR  
EAST THAT COULD IMPACT OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES LATER TODAY /  
EVENING  
 
- HIGHER SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AND LESS HOT TEMPERATURES  
CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THERE IS A MARGINAL  
RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAIN (THREAT LEVEL 1 OF 4) BOTH ON FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.  
 
- OUTLOOK FOR NEXT WEEK FEATURES SEASONABLY HOT/HUMID CONDITIONS  
AND A DAILY RISK OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2025  
 
TODAY'S WEATHER HAS FEATURED ONE SURPRISE. IN FACT, THERE'S A  
CHANCE YOU HAVE ALREADY NOTICED THIS SURPRISE. DEW POINTS WERE  
FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHAT LOWER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY. BUT A LOT  
MORE DRY AIR HAS MIXED DOWN TO THE SURFACE TODAY THAN EXPECTED,  
ALLOWING DEW POINTS TO DROP SIGNIFICANTLY. A FEW SPOTS IN THE  
BRAZOS VALLEY ARE REPORTING DEW POINTS AS LOW AS THE 40S!  
MEANWHILE, DEW POINTS AS LOW AS THE 50S ARE BEING REPORTED AS FAR  
SOUTH AND EAST AS BUSH AIRPORT. FEELING MORE LIKE EL PASO THAN  
HOUSTON TODAY! WHILE THE LOWER HUMIDITY IS GREAT, THE DRIER AIR  
MAY ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB HIGHER THAN RECENT DAYS. AS LONG  
AS THE APPROACHING HIGHER CLOUDS FROM THE EAST DO NOT DAMPEN  
WARMING TOO MUCH, I SUSPECT MANY INLAND LOCATIONS WILL BE UP  
AROUND 100 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGHER  
CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE  
LOUISIANA AND THE GULF. IT'S NOT OUT OF THE QUESTIONS THAT SOME OF  
THIS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD MAKE IT INTO OUR  
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES THIS EVENING. WE'LL BE WATCHING IT CLOSELY.  
 
A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER SE CONUS WILL BRING INCREASING LIFT  
AND MOISTURE TO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. DAILY  
CHANCES OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH  
EACH DAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ACTUAL TEMPERATURES BECOME LESS HOT  
WHILE HUMIDITY RISES DURING THIS TIME FRAME. NOT EVERYONE WILL SEE  
A SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM EVERY DAY. BUT THOSE THAT DO COULD  
EXPERIENCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, A STRONG  
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO OUR WEST WHILE A MID/UPPER TROUGH  
DIGS SOUTHWARD OVER THE MIDWEST. THE TROUGH AXIS IS EXPECTED TO  
EXTEND SOUTHWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY, AND  
COULD BRING ENOUGH LIFT TO OUR REGION TO KEEP A DAILY RISK OF  
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PICTURE THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY. BUT A  
SUBTLE EASTWARD SHIFT IN THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH WOULD BRING DRIER  
AND HOTTER CONDITIONS. A SHIFT TO THE WEST COULD SIGNAL A WETTER  
PATTERN. FOR NOW, THE MONDAY-TUESDAY FORECAST FEATURES ISOLATED  
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS AND SEASONABLE HOT HUMID CONDITIONS.  
 
SELF  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)  
ISSUED AT 601 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY WITH FEW TO SCT MID-  
LEVEL CLOUDS. LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST  
THROUGH THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SWITCHING TO  
SOUTHERLY BY THE AFTERNOON, THEN RETURNING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
TONIGHT. CAN'T OUT RULE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AT  
SGR, LBX, OR CXO.  
 
FOWLER  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 1141 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2025  
 
LOW SEAS AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT  
WEEK. THE DAILY RISK OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
GRADUALLY CLIMB THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF TODAY. THOUGH WINDS AND SEAS  
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW, LOCALLY MUCH HIGHER WINDS AND ROUGHER SEAS  
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORM. IN SOME  
CASES, GUSTY WINDS CAN EXTEND FAR FROM THEIR ASSOCIATED  
THUNDERSTORM. THE HIGHEST RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE ON  
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 76 100 77 99 / 0 10 0 30  
HOUSTON (IAH) 80 97 80 98 / 10 30 0 40  
GALVESTON (GLS) 83 93 83 91 / 10 30 10 30  
 

 
   
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...SELF  
AVIATION...FOWLER  
MARINE...SELF  
 
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