999
FXUS64 KHGX 031130
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
530 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABNORMALLY LOW WATER LEVELS IN GALVESTON BAY WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CONTINUED LOW WATER IS LIKELY DUE TO THE
VERY LOW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES OCCURRING.
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING BRINGING
SLIGHTLY COOLER (BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL) TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND.
- WARMING TREND BEGINS ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE
80S BY MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1026 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH DAYBREAK WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
PATCHY COASTAL FOG. AFTER RECORD BREAKING HEAT ON FRIDAY, A COOL
DOWN IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD
FRONT SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, DON'T EXPECT WINTER-LIKE WEATHER
BEHIND THIS FRONT AS WE WILL STILL SEEING TEMPERATURES 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S IN THE PINEY WOODS ON SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE AREA WITH SOME UPPER
70S POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST. SUNDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES, BUT STILL SEE TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO NEAR 70.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY SEE LOWS IN MID 40S
TO LOW 50S.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS IN BY MONDAY WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
BEGINNING AGAIN AT THE SURFACE. THIS MEANS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL
YET AGAIN BEGIN WARMING UP WITH HIGHS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ON
MONDAY AND THEN UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SOME AREAS MAY EVEN PEAK IN THE MID 80S OR HIGHER ON THURSDAY AS
WAA INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL
PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND A RETURN TO COOLER WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
FOWLER
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 525 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING.
PATCHY FOG AND LOCALIZED MVFR CIGS ARE OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT, THOUGH MOST LOCATIONS ARE VFR. WINDS WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT
FROM THE NORTH TODAY. WE ARE MONITORING A SOUTHWARD PROGRESSING
MVFR CLOUD DECK APPROACHING OUR NORTHERN ZONES FROM THE NORTH.
COULD NOT RULE OUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW CIGS AT UTS LATER THIS
MORNING. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING,
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1026 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING WITH WINDS AROUND 10-15G20KT IN THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE
WATERS, AND THEN 15-20G25KT IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS - WHERE A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9AM. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY MORNING THAT
WILL FIRST LOWER THE WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT, AND THEN USHER IN A
NORTHERLY WIND AROUND 10-15KT AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
THE OTHER FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING IN THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE
WATERS. WEBCAMS ALONG THE BEACHES ALREADY SHOWING A HAZE OF
REDUCED VISIBILITY, AND THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF PATCHY, DENSE
FOG DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS THE WINDS
LOWER AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH, THE THREAT FOR FOG ENDS. FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS.
ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS BY MONDAY, AND WITH IT THE RETURN OF
MOISTURE. THE CHANCE OF PATCHY SEA FOG RETURNS MONDAY NIGHT AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NIGHTLY THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE CHANCE OF FOG
WILL BE CONDITIONAL AS WARMING SSTS SHOULD LIMIT THE FOG
POTENTIAL.
FOWLER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 70 44 70 47 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 74 50 70 50 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 71 55 62 56 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING
FOR GMZ330-335-350-355.
LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ335.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ370-375.
DISCUSSION...FOWLER
AVIATION...SELF
MARINE...FOWLER
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