236
FXUS64 KHGX 090615
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1215 AM CST MON FEB 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM, AND MORE HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- A CHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH.
- AREAS OF FOG AND SEA FOG DURING THE NIGHTTIME AND MORNING HOURS
ON A DAILY BASIS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK COULD CAUSE
NAVIGATION/COMMUTING HAZARDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
FOG IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP NIGHTLY AND INTO THE MID-MORNING
HOURS EACH DAY THROUGH MID-WEEK. FOG WILL BECOME DENSE AT TIMES,
INITIALLY BEGINNING ALONG THE COAST AND EXPANDING INLAND THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST MAY SEE FOG
STICK AROUND INTO THE AFTERNOON. WHILE FOG POTENTIAL IS HIGHEST
THROUGH MID-WEEK, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF FOG THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. DENSITY/COVERAGE OF FOG WILL HEAVILY DEPEND ON WHETHER
WINDS ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST AND IF SST
INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES. BOTH OF THESE
SCENARIOS COULD LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY'S DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO LOOK LACKLUSTER. PWAT VALUES
STILL SIT IN THE 90TH PERCENTILE, BUT WITH INSTABILITY ESSENTIALLY
NON-EXISTENT, MAY SEE MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY AND PRIMARILY
SHOWERS. TIMING LOOKS MORE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
NEXT SHOT OF SHOWERS MAY BE NEXT WEEKEND AS ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH. WITH IT BEING LATER IN THE FORECAST,
WON'T GET TOO HUNG UP ON DETAILS. WE WILL SEE IF MODELS MAINTAIN
THE STRENGTH OF THIS DISTURBANCE AS WE GET CLOSER IN TIME.
IN THE MEANTIME, WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
BAILEY
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THEN TREND TOWARDS BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LIKE LAST NIGHT,
THE MAIN STORY WILL BE FOG AND LOW CEILINGS. WIDESPREAD IFR TO
LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN ESPECIALLY BETWEEN
08Z-15Z. THERE WILL BE ELEVATED SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT
OVERNIGHT AS WELL, WHICH COULD BE A POTENTIAL INHIBITOR OF
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT. FOR NOW THOUGH, ROLLING WITH A
PERSISTENCE FORECAST WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING FOR MOST
OF THE NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. MVFR CEILINGS MAY LINGER INTO
THE LATE MORNING HOURS BEFORE IMPROVING TO VFR. WINDS WILL PICK UP
OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KT AND GRADUALLY
TRANSITIONING TO SOUTHERLY BY THE AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG
AND LOW CEILINGS IS ANTICIPATED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
BATISTE
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
SEA FOG WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE NIGHTLY THROUGH AT LEAST
MID-WEEK, AND POTENTIALLY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE ARE SOME
UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST THAT COULD LIMIT FOG DEVELOPMENT: A
MORE SOUTHWESTERLY WIND TONIGHT MAY LIMIT DEVELOPMENT, AND WARMING
SSTS THROUGH THE WEEK COULD ALSO LIMIT DEVELOPMENT - BUT THE MAIN
TAKEAWAY WILL BE TO BE PREPARED FOR SEVERAL DAYS OF SEA FOG
DEVELOPMENT. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IN THE FOG DEVELOP WITH BE DURING
THE LATE EVENING (8-10PM) THROUGH MID-MORNING (8-10AM) PERIODS,
BUT PATCHY FOG COULD LINGER IN THE SOUTHERN BAYS/NEAR SHORE WATERS
INTO THE AFTERNOONS.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS THROUGH THIS
WEEK. A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT MAY TRIGGER
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT OVERALL RAIN
CHANCES ARE LOW THIS WEEK. A POTENTIALLY STRONGER SYSTEM, WITH A
COLD FRONT, MAY PASS THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND ENDING THE SEA FOG
THREAT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 57 82 60 79 / 0 0 0 10
HOUSTON (IAH) 59 80 62 79 / 0 0 0 10
GALVESTON (GLS) 58 68 60 68 / 0 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BAILEY
AVIATION...BATISTE
MARINE...BAILEY
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