465
FXUS64 KHGX 251138
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
638 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
- NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WILL BE MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALIZED
STRONG STORMS AND/OR HEAVY RAIN.
- LESS ACTIVE WEATHER ANTICIPATED DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1234 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
BROAD MID-UPPER TROF SITUATED OVER TEXAS WITH A VORT/MCV ROTATING
AROUND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FEATURE
SHOULD SAG SOUTHWARD A BIT TODAY, AND ALLOW FOR SOME SCATTERED
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND TSTM DEVELOPMENT. (BETTER
CHANCES ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION).
TUESDAY, THIS TROF/WEAKNESS LIFTS NORTH. EYES THEN TURN TO THE WEST
AGAIN AS YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROF BEGINS APPROACHING THE REGION.
GUIDANCE IS IN STILL IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING ANOTHER
COMPLEX OF STORMS PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WED. INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE WILL DRIVE PW'S UP INTO
THE 1.8-2.1" RANGE. THIS DEEPER MOISTURE, ALONG WITH BROAD UPPER
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR SOME HEALTHY TSTM ACTIVITY
AND A POSSIBILITY FOR REGENERATING/TRAINING CELLS. INCOMING 00Z
MODEL DETERMINISTIC RAIN TOTALS ARE GENERALLY IN THE 1-2" RANGE,
THOUGH SOME (UKMET, ICON) ARE ALSO SHOWING SOME LOCALIZED 3-5"
AMOUNTS IN/NEAR SOME OF OUR COASTAL COUNTIES WHICH RECEIVED
ELEVATED TOTALS LAST WEEK. TOO EARLY TO PIN DOWN THE SPECIFICS,
BUT SOMETHING WE'LL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON.
DEPENDING ON THIS SYSTEMS MOVEMENT AND/OR MESOSCALE FACTORS, WE
SHOULD SEE PRECIP TAPERING OFF WED NIGHT OR THURS MORNING. THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKS LESS EVENTFUL AS SOME SUBTLE MID LEVEL
RIDGING BUILDS IN. A MIX OF GUIDANCE TRIES TO BRING A WEAK BACKDOOR
FRONT INTO PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATER THIS WEEKEND. 47
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 630 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
KCXO EXPERIENCING IFR CIGS THIS MORNING. ALL OTHER TERMINALS AT
VFR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACTLY WHERE THESE WILL OCCUR. LIGHT
PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1234 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT AND MONDAY,
EVENTUALLY INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AT TIMES. ONSHORE
WINDS RAMP UP TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT DISTURBANCE AND
ASSOCIATED STORMS (SOME POSSIBLY STRONG) THAT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE
WATERS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 88 70 88 72 / 30 30 20 80
HOUSTON (IAH) 89 71 88 75 / 20 20 30 60
GALVESTON (GLS) 84 77 85 79 / 20 20 30 60
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...BAILEY
MARINE...47
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