360  
FXUS64 KHGX 030901  
AFDHGX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX  
401 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2020  
   
SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY]
 
 
CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA  
EARLY THIS MORNING. ONLY A SHOWER OR TWO ARE SHOWING UP ON RADAR  
SO FAR OFF THE COAST. TEMPERATURES AT 3 AM RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S  
TO LOWER 70S INLAND TO AROUND 80 AT THE COAST. LOOKING FOR A CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS PRECIPITABLE  
WATER VALUES REMAIN ON THE HIGH SIDE. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS ARE  
NOT SHOWING A WHOLE LOT OF COVERAGE, SO A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA  
WILL LIKELY STAY DRY TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO  
LOWERS 90S CAN BE EXPECTED. ANY ACTIVITY THAT DOES DEVELOP SHOULD  
DISSIPATE BY AROUND SUNSET AND NOT MUCH DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED  
OVERNIGHT. WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES LOWER TOMORROW, ONLY  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED, AND HIGH  
TEMPERATURES SHOULD END UP A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN WHAT THE  
AREA WILL EXPERIENCE TODAY. 42  
 

 
   
LONG TERM [THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY]
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND RISING HEIGHTS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED WARMING  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID 90S (AND HEAT  
INDEX VALUES NEAR TRIPLE DIGITS) AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO  
MID 70S. THEN, THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND BEYOND WILL BE HEAVILY  
DEPENDENT ON WHAT HAPPENS WITH TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL.  
 
CRISTOBAL HAS CONTINUED TO MEANDER THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAY OF  
CAMPECHE AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO  
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN WHILE IT IS OVER  
MEXICO, BUT BY HOW MUCH WILL BE DEPENDENT ON HOW LONG IT STAYS OVER  
LAND. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE CENTRAL GULF  
ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE  
CRISTOBAL TOWARDS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY  
MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE ON THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY REMAINS  
LOW. FOR NOW, CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST THROUGH THE COMING  
DAYS AS DETAILS COME INTO BETTER FOCUS ON IF SE TEXAS WILL  
EXPERIENCE ANY IMPACTS FROM CRISTOBAL.  
 
FOWLER...  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS CAN BE  
EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL  
REMAINS IN/AROUND THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE  
LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS CRISTOBAL  
MOVING NORTHWARD BEGINNING ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY  
WITH AN EVENTUAL LANDFALL NEAR THE CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST. IF THIS  
FORECAST TRACK HOLDS, EXPECT TO SEE INCREASING NORTHEAST TO NORTH  
WINDS, BUILDING SEAS, INCREASING RIP CURRENTS AND EVENTUALLY SOME  
BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL  
WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK. CRISTOBAL'S  
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST COULD CHANGE, AND MARINERS SHOULD  
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 42  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 91 73 91 72 93 / 30 10 10 0 10  
HOUSTON (IAH) 90 73 91 75 93 / 30 20 20 0 20  
GALVESTON (GLS) 87 78 85 78 87 / 30 10 20 0 10  
 

 
   
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
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