282
FXUS64 KHGX 102336
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
636 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED, DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S INLAND
AND THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ALONG THE COAST.
- LOCALLY STRONGER COASTAL / OFFSHORE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
HOT, HUMID, AND UNSETTLED WILL BE WEATHER THEME THROUGH AT LEAST
THE WEEKEND. SATELLITE AND RADAR STRONG EVIDENCE OF A TROUGH THAT
EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF FROM THE TEXAS COAST TO THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST (SE LA / MS / AL / E FL PANHANDLE). MID-LEVEL WV IMAGERY AND
500 RAP IMAGERY SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF TWO, BROAD, WEAK LOWS
ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS, ONE NEAR THE TEXAS COAST AND OTHER NEAR SE
LOUISIANA, WITH THE STRONGEST SURFACE FEATURE BEING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOUISIANA DISTURBANCE. THIS BROAD, DISCOMBOBULATED SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY REMAIN WITH US OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, ENHANCING
OFFSHORE CONVECTION OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING, AND INLAND
CONVECTION DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME
COASTAL AND MARINE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN STRONG OVER THE LAST
FEW DAYS, WITH GUSTS OVER 30 KNOTS AND EVEN A FEW WATERSPOUTS
REPORTED. WE SUSPECT THAT WILL POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
THOUGH OUR FORECAST CONSISTS OF NEAR AREAWIDE POPS, THE HIGHEST
CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE IN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM UPPER 80S / LOW 90S IN
THE COASTAL COUNTIES TO MID 90S INLAND.
RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE REGION BEYOND THE WEEKEND,
SUGGESTING A DECREASING TREND IN THE POPS WITH HOTTER
TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, WE ARE SKEPTICAL THAT RIDGING WILL BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO COMPLETELY SUPPRESS DIURNAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
(OFFSHORE SHOWERS/STORMS AT NIGHT/MORNING , AFTERNOON
SHOWERS/STORMS INLAND). SO WE'VE KEPT A DAILY RISK OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK, ESPECIALLY IN OUR
SOUTHERN AND COASTAL COUNTIES THAT EXPERIENCE THE SEA BREEZE.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 90S WITH HIGH HUMIDITY. SO
SUMMER RAGES ON IN TYPICAL SE TEXAS SUMMER FASHION.
SELF
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
A FEW LINGERING DAYTIME SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO AS DAYTIME HEATING CEASES. WINDS RELAX AND BECOME LIGHT
THIS EVENING. CLOUD DECKS FORM AROUND 1500-2000FT OVERNIGHT.
ISOLATED MVFR CIGS AND PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP EARLY IN THE
MORNING ON FRIDAY, THOUGH OUTSIDE OF KCXO, FL IMPACTS SHOULD BE
MINIMAL/SHORT LIVED (IF ANY). SHOWERS WILL ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE
COAST FRIDAY MORNING, MOVING INLAND THAT AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD TAPPER OFF
INTO FRIDAY EVENING ONCE AGAIN FOLLOWING THE DIURNAL PATTERN.
03
MARINE
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD LINGER THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE TAPERING. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED LATE OVERNIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. ONCE AGAIN, A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
OVER 30 KNOTS AND A WATERSPOUT. EXPECT LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY
MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS, 2 TO 3 FOOT GULF SEAS, AND A DAILY RISK
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 75 96 76 98 / 20 40 20 20
HOUSTON (IAH) 77 93 78 94 / 20 30 20 50
GALVESTON (GLS) 82 90 83 91 / 40 40 50 50
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SELF
AVIATION...03
MARINE...SELF
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