948  
FXUS64 KLCH 022315  
AFDLCH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA  
615 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
 
- LOW TO NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY AS DRY AIR ALOFT LIMITS  
DEVELOPMENT.  
 
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS, BUT  
SLIGHTLY LOWER AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS WILL MAKE CONDITIONS  
SLIGHTLY MORE TOLERABLE.  
 
- LOW END PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS  
AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM ABOUT  
20 MILES OFFSHORE. NONE OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD  
THE COAST. A FEW, DIURNALLY DRIVEN, AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
POSSIBLE, BUT THE DRIER AIR ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP THESE BELOW  
NORMAL.  
 
THE BOUNDARY OFF THE COAST WILL FINALLY BE PUSHED FURTHER OUT INTO  
THE GULF OF WEDNESDAY BY ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL  
PUSH THROUGH THE REGION. WHILE THIS BOUNDARY MAY DROP DEWPOINTS A  
COUPLE OF DEGREES, THE AIRMASS WON'T BE SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT FROM  
THE ONE PRESENTLY IN PLACE. THE DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE  
SURFACE EACH AFTERNOON FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY DROPPING  
DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S WHICH WILL MAKE THOSE AFTERNOON  
TEMPERATURES FEEL A BIT LESS OPPRESSIVE. WITH THE DRIER AIR IN  
PLACE, MORE SUNSHINE AND NO APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED  
THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.  
 
JONES  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON MOISTURE SURGING BACK INTO THE  
REGION THIS WEEKEND AS ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WORKS SOUTH ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. IT'S TOO EARLY TO SAY WITH ANY CERTAINTY  
WHETHER THIS BOUNDARY WILL MAKE IT THROUGH THE AREA, BUT EVEN IF IT  
DOESN'T, IT WILL BRING ADDED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION SATURDAY  
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL HOLD AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S.  
 
JONES  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 612 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH UNTIL SUNRISE WHEN THE  
POSSIBILITY FOR FOG ENTER THE FORECAST. CLEAR SKIES, HIGH  
HUMIDITY, AND LOW WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS  
THE REGION.  
 
TOMORROW VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH LIGHT WINDS FROM THE  
NORTHEAST.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
THE COASTAL WATERS BEYOND APPROXIMATELY 20 MILES THIS AFTERNOON  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT RESPONSIBLE WILL PUSH  
FURTHER OFFSHORE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY BRINGING THE  
PRECIPITATION TO AN END. BRIEF PERIODS OF LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW MAY  
OCCUR WEDNESDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY, BUT  
WILL TURN BACK ONSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHERE THEY WILL REMAIN  
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 1 AND 2 FEET  
OVER THE NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
FIRE WEATHER  
 
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ADVECTING SOME SLIGHTLY  
DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE  
FROM 45 TO 55% EACH AFTERNOON. A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR  
THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON, BUT NO  
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AGAIN UNTIL SATURDAY.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
AEX 69 89 68 94 / 10 20 0 0  
LCH 74 90 73 92 / 10 20 10 0  
LFT 72 90 72 92 / 10 20 10 0  
BPT 73 91 72 92 / 0 20 10 0  
 
 
   
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
LA...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...66  
LONG TERM....66  
AVIATION...14  
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