240
FXUS64 KLCH 092335
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
635 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
- A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH A PACIFIC COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT TO END THE WEEK
BEFORE A WARMING TREND OVER NEXT WEEKEND..
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
THE STALLED BOUNDARY THAT HAS BEEN ACROSS THE REGION HAS LIFTED
BACK NORTH AND BECOME DIFFUSE. MOISTURE IS SURGING BACK NORTH AS
THE RETURN FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED WITH PWATS INCREASING FROM
AROUND 1.5" TO AROUND 1.7". DIURNAL HEATING AND A WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE HAS ALLOWED SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP WITH A
COUPLE SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAK ROTATION IN BEAUREGARD AND ALLEN
PARISHES. NOT MUCH MORE ORGANIZATION IS ANTICIPATED, BUT
ADDITIONAL SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH AN
ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE.
TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY THE DEEPER SLUG OF MOISTURE CURRENTLY OVER
THE AREA WILL LIFT NORTH. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL ALSO TRAVERSE
THE AREA AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LOW FROM OVER THE BAJA AND
NW MEXICO. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER
PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE CLOSE TO NIL. FOG MAY AGAIN COVER PORTIONS
OF THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING.
THE UPPER LOW OVER NW MEXICO WILL TRACK EAST INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. A LINE OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE LINE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 203 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH
TEMPS ACTUALLY GOING BELOW CLIMO NORMS BRIEFLY.
THE RETURN FLOW WILL BEGIN BY SATURDAY WITH A WARMING TREND
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH
EASING OF WINDS / GUSTS. MOIST LOW LEVELS WILL DEVELOP BKN TO OVC
MVFR CEILING THROUGH THE MIDNIGHT HOUR. POTENTIAL FOR ADVECTION
FOG DOES EXIST LATE EVENING HOURS THROUGH MORNING TWILIGHT WHILE
TRANSITIONING TO IFR CEILINGS. CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY
MID-MORNING, HOWEVER, MVFR CEILINGS MAY TEMPO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
30
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 83 66 83 / 10 10 0 80
LCH 68 80 69 80 / 0 0 0 80
LFT 68 83 70 82 / 0 0 0 60
BPT 68 81 69 80 / 0 0 0 80
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
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