571
FXUS64 KLCH 081751
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1251 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE ENDING THIS
EVENING.
- ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY DRYING OUT
THE REGION THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, SOME HEAVY, CONTINUES ACROSS
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM
WEST TO EAST INTERACTS WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AND A
QUASISTATIONARY COLD FRONT NEAR THE COAST. SOME MINOR STREET
FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA WHICH
HAS SEEN SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. HIGH
RAINFALL RATES WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE STREET
FLOODING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY WHERE TRAINING OCCURS.
PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY EARLY THIS EVENING AS
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EXITS STAGE RIGHT.
CLOUD COVER WILL STICK AROUND OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES VERY MILD TONIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST SATURDAY FOLLOWING A VERY SIMILAR TRAJECTORY TO TODAY'S
DISTURBANCE. THIS WILL SPAWN ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION. BEING IN A
SIMILAR AIRMASS, THESE STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HIGH RAINFALL RATES. STORMS WILL AGAIN WANE THROUGH THE
EVENING.
THE DEEP MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO SUNDAY, BUT WITH NO
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA, CONVECTION WILL BE MUCH
MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN WITH SCATTERED ACTIVITY DEVELOPING DURING THE
AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET SUNDAY EVENING.
A WEAK, DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA EARLY MONDAY
PUSHING THE DEEP MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN BEHIND THE FRONT LATE MONDAY ALLOWING SKIES TO CLEAR AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS TO FALL INTO THE 50S TUESDAY MORNING. A DRY PATTERN
WITH A GRADUAL WARMUP WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
JONES
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
A SWATH OF VISIBILITY REDUCING HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO WORK ACROSS THE LOUISIANA TERMINALS THROUGH 22Z. IFR
CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL IN THE VICINITY OF AND WITHIN THUNDERSTORMS.
THE MAJORITY OF STORMS HAVE ENDED FOR BPT ALTHOUGH A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS ROUND
OF PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END EARLY THIS EVENING, BUT IFR
TO LIFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TRANSITING THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING INITIALIZING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN
AROUND AND AFTER 10Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD. WINDS AWAY FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE
NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION MONDAY MORNING TURNING WINDS OFFSHORE BETWEEN 15 AND 20
KNOTS MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES REESTABLISHED
TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE COMING TO AN END EARLY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BEFORE SUNRISE
SATURDAY IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL COME TO AN END SATURDAY
EVENING. FEWER STORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY ALTHOUGH SOME WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY TURNING LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH AND
BRINGING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO AN END FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...66
AVIATION...66
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