404
FXUS64 KLCH 241853
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1253 PM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING AS
FIRE DANGER WILL AGAIN BE ELEVATED.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY
EVENING BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE HAS SLID EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE
RESULTING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO FEATURES WILL PRODUCE
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE GULF MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. HOWEVER, ONGOING MIXING WILL CONTINUE TO PULL DRY MID LEVEL
AIR TO THE SURFACE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS CREATING ELEVATED
FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA AWAY FROM THE COASTLINE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AS
THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW MEANDERS INTO EAST TEXAS. A WIND ADVISORY MAY
BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. TROPICAL MOISTURE ADVECTING INTO
THE REGION WILL LIFT DEWPOINTS INTO THE 60S WHICH WILL LIMIT THE
DIURNAL RANGE TO BETWEEN 62 AND 80 THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK.
JONES
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY MORNING PUSHING THE QUASISTATIONARY LOW
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINDY CONDITIONS OFF TO THE EAST ALONG WITH IT.
WHILE SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION ON BRIEF
NORTHERLY FLOW FRIDAY, THERE ISN'T EXPECTED TO BE MUCH DIFFERENCE IN
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN THE TWO AIRMASSES.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY TURNING LIGHT
WINDS BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH WHICH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES 10+ DEGREES
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
JONES
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS PERIOD, WITH
20-25 KT GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
DECREASE SLIGHTLY AFTER SUNSET BUT REMAIN ELEVATED AROUND 10 KT
THROUGH THE NIGHT. DAYTIME WINDS WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER
WITH GUSTS TO 25+ KT POSSIBLE AT ALL SITES.
EXPECT HIGH CLOUDS TO BEGIN SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA BY THIS
EVENING. MAY SEE CLOUDS LOWER A BIT OVER NORTHERN AREAS EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT CURRENTLY EXPECTING CEILINGS TO REMAIN VFR
EVEN AT AEX.
SILAS
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
ONSHORE WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH SEAS INCREASING TO BETWEEN 4-7
FEET. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY
TURNING WINDS BRIEFLY OFFSHORE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE FEB 24 2026
SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY, BRINGING AN
INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AS WELL AS AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH. GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE TODAY IN AREAS FARTHER
FROM THE COAST, WHERE WINDS INCREASE WHILE DRIER AIR IS STILL IN
PLACE. FOR THIS REASON, AFTER COORDINATING WITH FIRE WEATHER
PARTNERS, ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL COUNTIES/PARISHES
NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASING
MOISTURE SHOULD LIMIT SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AFTER
TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 50 76 62 79 / 0 0 0 30
LCH 56 73 64 76 / 0 0 0 10
LFT 52 75 65 79 / 0 0 10 20
BPT 56 76 63 79 / 0 0 0 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ027>033.
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ180-201-
259>262.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ430-432-450-452-470-472.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 PM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ435-436-455-475.
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...64
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page