080
FXUS64 KLCH 280355
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
955 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 939 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ARE BEGINNING TO RELAX ALONG WITH HIGH
DEWPOINTS AND LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER. OPTED TO PUT PATCHY FOG IN
THE WX GRIDS DUE TO SOME AREAS OF FOG CURRENTLY NOTED THIS EVENING
AND DUE TO THE SETUP FOR RADIATIONAL FOG IN GENERAL.
OTHER THAN THE ADDITION OF PATCHY FOG TO THE WX GRIDS, THE
REMAINING GRIDS WERE ON TRACK WITH CURRENT OBS AND TRENDS.
STIGGER/87
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
IN THE SHORT TERM TONIGHT WILL SEE TEMPS FALLING TO AROUND 40
DEGREES WELL INLAND TO AROUND 50 DEGREES DOWN ALONG THE COAST AND
AT THE BEACHES. A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL MOVE DOWN INTO SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA BEFORE FALLING APART LATE TONIGHT AND THIS WILL BE THE
REASON FOR THE COOLER OVERNIGHT TEMPS. MONDAY WILL BE A CARBON
COPY OF TODAY BUT THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN SWINGING AROUND
TO THE EAST AND FINALLY SOUTHEAST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS
WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP GULF MOISTURE TO SPILL BACK INTO THE NORTHWEST
GULF REGION WITH PWATS INCREASING FROM 0.50 INCHES TO AROUND 1.6
INCHES THRU WED MORNING. LOOK FOR RAINS MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND THEN SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AHEAD OF A STRONG
COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS. STORMS SOME STRONG ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY
MORNING. RECENT RAINS HAVE INCREASED THE RIVER STREAM HEIGHTS AS
ADDITIONAL RAINS ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL SEE RAINS
RUNNING STRAIGHT INTO THE RIVERS AND BAYOUS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 141 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
WEDNESDAY STARTS OFF WITH A BRISK NORTH WIND IN THE WAKE OF A
PASSING COLD FRONT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SWIFTLY DEVELOP OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES DURING THE DAY, ANTICYCLONIC FLOW FURTHER
REINFORCING THE COLD BLAST OF AIR SET TO ARRIVE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK LOOKS CHILLY BY DRY AS THE SURFACE
HIGH SLIDES OVER THE AREA. BY FRIDAY MORNING, HOWEVER, RETURN FLOW
DEVELOPS AS THE HIGH REACHES THE EASTERN SEABOARD. TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY RISE FROM THIS POINT, PUSHING WELL ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS BY
THE END OF THE LONGTERM PERIOD. PERIODIC HEIGHT FALLS AND RETURNING
SURFACE MOISTURE WILL KEEP LOW END RAIN CHANCES IN THE DAILY FORECAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS WELL.
11
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 545 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING MINIMAL MOISTURE THROUGH THE
COLUMN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD
BEHIND THE ONGOING WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE, THE FULL TAF PERIOD LOOKS
CLEAR WITH LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING FROM NWRLY TO SRLY BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.
25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 141 PM CST SUN NOV 27 2022.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 954 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2022
SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AS
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH. WINDS BEGIN TO SWING AROUND
TO THE EAST AND FINALLY THE SOUTHEAST LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. LOOK FOR AREAS OF FOG ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY
MORNING.
WINDS INCREASING LATER IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS ON
TUESDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING. NORTH WINDS BY SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY
AND INCREASING WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET IN THE COASTAL
WATERS. WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS TO 30 35 KNOTS
AND SEAS 2 TO 5 FEET NEARSHORE AND 4 TO 8 FEET FROM 20 TO 60 NM
OFFSHORE INTO THURSDAY. WINDS AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
RELAXING LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 70 45 71 53 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 70 47 70 55 / 0 0 0 20
LFT 74 51 72 58 / 0 0 0 10
BPT 71 47 71 57 / 0 0 0 20
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...K
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...25
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