468
FXUS64 KLCH 171131
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
531 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A STEADY WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
WEEK, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING DAILY RECORD HIGHS BY
THURSDAY.
- A FRONTAL PASSAGE ON SATURDAY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES TO END THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
SFC HIGH PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA, WITH A LIGHT RETURN
FLOW REGIME NOW IN PLACE. ABOVE THE SFC, RIDGING ALOFT PERSISTS,
THOUGH THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SHUNTED EASTWARD AND FLATTENED OUT
BY FAST QUASI-ZONAL WESTERLY FLOW. WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
INCREASING HUMIDITY WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH OVERNIGHT EARLY MORNING STRATUS AND A
MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN DURING THE DAYTIME. A SHORTWAVE TROF PASSING
TO OUR NORTH WILL DRAG A WEAK FRONT TO OUR DOORSTEP THU, WHICH COULD
MAKE IT INTO THE PINEY WOODS AND CENTRAL LA BEFORE STALLING OUT THU
NIGHT. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE ON THU AMID SUFFICIENT MSTR AND
LIFT RESULTING FROM THE PASSING SHORTWAVE AND STALLING BOUNDARY,
BUT OTHERWISE NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 ARE
EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FRI
AND SAT BEFORE BEING OVERTAKEN BY A MORE ROBUST FRONT PROGGED TO
SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, FOLLOWED BY AN
INTRUSION OF A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS TO START THE NEW WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 526 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
OVERCAST SKIES WILL LEAD TO MVFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF TODAY.
PERIODS OF VFR CONDITONS ARE LIKELY BUT WILL BE SHORT LIVED
WINDOWS. OVERNIGHT FOG WILL FORM LEADING TO CONDITIONS LOW
VISIBILITY AND CEILINGS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
LIGHT WINDS AND LOWS SEAS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE TRAVERSES THE SOUTHEASTERN US.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, WITH
MIN-RH VALUES IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S EACH AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 71 57 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 71 59 75 63 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 72 60 78 64 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 73 59 78 62 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...14
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page