388
FXUS64 KLUB 082318
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
518 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 518 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- BREEZY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TUESDAY
BEFORE A COLD FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY.
- A SECONDARY COLD FRONT FRIDAY WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
SUNNY AND QUIET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY.
IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL FOR THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD AS A SHORTWAVE TRANSLATES OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AND UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OFF THE COAST OF SOCAL. BREEZY
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON THE SURFACE AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION BY THIS AFTERNOON.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET AND REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
BELOW FREEZING LOWS ARE FORECAST TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION,
ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK WILL SEE "WARMER" HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S.
A WARMER AND BREEZY TUESDAY IS EXPECTED WITH TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT DUE TO A SURFACE LOW TRANSLATING OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION WILL INCREASE WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WERE SLIGHTLY BUMPED UP FROM NBM TO MATCH CLOSER TO
MOS GUIDANCE WITH WIND SPEEDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
FORECAST. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WILL WARM HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TO UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S ACROSS
THE REGION. OTHERWISE, CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE A COUPLE OF COLD
FRONTS PROGGED TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. TO START OFF THE EXTENDED FORECAST, IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS,
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS ANOTHER TROUGH
TRANSLATES OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND THE RIDGING PERSISTS OFF
THE COAST OF SOCAL. ON THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
FOLLOW THE FRONT, HOWEVER ARE EXPECTED NOT EXPECTED TO PERSIST LONG
AND SHOULD WEAKEN BY THE AFTERNOON. NBM POST-FRONTAL WINDS WERE
UNDERESTIMATED, THEREFORE INCREASED USING NBM75TH. CAA FROM THE
FRONT, ALTHOUGH WEAK, WILL COOL HIGHS BACK INTO THE UPPER 50S AND
LOWER 60S. WINDS WILL VEER BACK TO THE SOUTH BY THE END OF THE DAY
AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER COLORADO. HEIGHT RISES AND
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW WILL WARM TEMPERATURES THURSDAY TO WELL
ABOVE (~15-20 DEGREES) SEASONAL NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S ACROSS
THE REGION. THE WARM UP DOES NOT LAST LONG AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONT
IS PROGGED TO PUSH SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, AS THIS SET
UP IS STILL A FEW DAYS OUT AND TIMING OF THE FROPA MAY CHANGE.
THEREFORE, CAN EXPECT TO SEE CHANGES TO FRIDAY HIGHS FOR FUTURE
FORECASTS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 518 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING WESTERLY AT 15-20 KNOTS
AT LBB AND PVW TOWARD NOON.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...93
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