893  
FXUS64 KLUB 192317  
AFDLUB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX  
617 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
AVIATION
 
 
WEAK NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT HAS MADE IT THROUGH KLBB AND KPVW, STILL  
A FEW MORE HOURS TO GO FOR KCDS. OTHERWISE, VFR TO CONTINUE.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 207 PM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
BLUE SKIES HAVE MADE AN APPEARANCE THIS AFTERNOON. SATELLITE SHOWS  
DRIER AIR AT THE MID AND LOW LEVELS STARTING TO FILTER INTO THE  
AREA. UPPER LEVELS REMAIN MORE MOIST BUT THIS WON'T LAST FOR LONG.  
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENINGS A WEAK FRONT WILL FURTHER ENHANCE DRYING AT  
ALL LEVELS. THE BREAK IN THE CLOUDS WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER WARMING  
TODAY. THUS, HIGH TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO BE NEARLY 15 DEGREES WARMER  
THAN YESTERDAY RESULTING IN HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. ONE MORE  
DAY OF CLEARER SKIES AND WARMER TEMPS WILL OCCUR TOMORROW AS WEAK  
RIDING SETS UP OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO ONCE AGAIN  
REACH THE MID 60S.  
 
SUNDAY, THE WEATHER STARTS TO TURN MORE FALL LIKE. THE WEAK UPPER  
LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AND MOVE EAST AS A PACIFIC  
TROUGH ALOFT SETTLES OVER SOCAL. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GULF MOISTURE  
TO STREAM NORTH OVER THE AREA. THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL BE JUST EAST  
AND SOUTH OF THE AREA RULING OUT AREA WIDE PRECIP CHANCES. BUT, WEAK  
IMPULSES ROUNDING THE UPPER LEVEL PACIFIC TROUGH COULD HELP  
DESTABILIZED THE ATMOSPHERE JUST ENOUGH TO INTITATE SOME ISOLATED  
SHOWERS ACROSS THE W-SW ZONES SUNDAY EVENING. INCREASED MOISTURE  
WILL ALSO HELP INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING.  
 
MONDAY, MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE AREA AT ALL LEVELS AS  
THE PACIFIC LOW BEGINS TO PUSH EAST. THE LACK OF ANY REAL DYNAMICS  
WILL KEEP THE AREA RAIN FREE MONDAY BUT, CLOUDY SKIES WILL DEVELOP.  
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, PRECIP CHANCES INCREASE AREA WIDE AS THE  
LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES CLOSER TO THE FA. SHARP SHORTWAVES  
ROTATING THROUGH THE TROUGH AND STALLED SURFACE COLD FRONT NORTH OF  
THE AREA WILL PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND DYNAMICS TO  
INTITATE POPS AREA WIDE.  
 
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK THE UPPER TROUGH  
SLOWLY PASSES EAST OF THE REGION. THIS WILL CREATE DRYING BEHIND IT  
WITH THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES WE HAVE SEEN IN A WHILE.  
 

 
   
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
99/99/74  
 
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