597
FXUS64 KMAF 101725
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1225 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
- RAIN CHANCES AREAWIDE BECOME LOW TO MODERATE (10-50%) SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL SYSTEM.
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE UPCOMING
WORK WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 148 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVERHEAD FOR TODAY AND KEEP
BOTH HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL. HIGHS TODAY REACH
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR MOST WITH ONLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN
SEEING UPPER 70S. A MAINLY CLEAR DAY IS EXPECTED WITH RAIN CHANCES
SITTING AT LESS THAN 5% AREAWIDE. BY TONIGHT, TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN
INTO THE 60S, BUT THIS REMAINS ABOVE NORMAL FOR NEARLY MID OCTOBER.
THE NORMAL LOW IS AROUND 57F. MID TO UPPER 50S WILL BE SEEN IN THE
MOUNTAINS. SATURDAY WILL BE A MOSTLY RINSE AND REPEAT DAY WITH
TEMPERATURES LOOKING TO BE ABOUT THE SAME AS THEY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
TODAY (FRIDAY). RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY BY LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE NORTHWESTERN REACHES OF EDDY COUNTY AND
DOWN ALONG THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 148 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
A TROUGH SWINGING IN FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BECOMES PARKED OVER
THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. ANOTHER TROUGH
SHALL LIE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS, LEAVING OUR AREA LARGELY
INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. A
SHORTWAVE WITHIN THE WESTERN TROUGH BEGINS TO APPROACH OUR AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT, BRINGING LOW (10-20%) RAIN CHANCES TO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AND EXPAND EASTWARD
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, AS THE DISTURBANCE SWEEPS OVER NEW
MEXICO BEFORE HEADING NORTHEAST. AT THE MOMENT, RAIN CHANCES
DURING THIS TIME FRAME RANGE ANYWHERE BETWEEN 10-50% AREAWIDE.
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AFTERNOON WARM INTO THE 80S TO LOW 90S. A COLD
FRONT ATTEMPTS TO DROP DOWN FROM THE PANHANDLE MONDAY, BUT MODELS
HINT AT IT ONLY DIPPING INTO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. BEHIND THE
FRONT, HIGHS RISE INTO THE 70S (MOSTLY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO),
WHILE 80S ARE FORECAST ELSEWHERE. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RETURNS AS
THE DOMINANT WEATHER MAKER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK
WEEK. CONDITIONS GENERALLY REMAIN DRY, WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO
THE 80S TO LOW 90S AND MORNING LOWS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
-LOPEZ
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH
TOMORROW MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 88 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 84 62 87 64 / 0 0 0 10
DRYDEN 88 63 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 86 62 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 75 60 79 61 / 0 0 0 20
HOBBS 83 60 84 62 / 0 0 0 10
MARFA 78 53 80 56 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 87 62 88 66 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 85 63 87 66 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 86 61 89 65 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...13
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