961
FXUS64 KMAF 082323
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
523 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES AREA ON FRIDAY. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE FROM THE WEST COAST TONIGHT TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS ON SATURDAY MORNING. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL APPROACH WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE 60S AND 70S WITH LIGHT WINDS. A NORTHERLY WIND
SHIFT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN
TONIGHT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THESE AREAS. LOW
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TO THE 60S ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND RIO
GRANDE. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT DRIZZLE AND RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. CHANCES OF
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE 50S ACROSS
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO THE 80S IN THE BIG BEND. LOW
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE 30S TO NEAR 60
DEGREES. RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022
THE COMING WEEKEND SHOULD SEE FAIRLY QUIET CONDITIONS WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 60S AND 70S. A LARGE
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE PLAINS FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY. WITH THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE LOW SITTING
OVERHEAD, THE ASSOCIATED JET WILL MAKE FOR BREEZIER CONDITIONS AND
POSSIBLE HIGH WINDS IN THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY EVENING AND TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOLED BACK TOWARDS NORMAL. AFTERNOON HIGHS REACH THE 50S
FOR TUESDAY-THURSDAY WITH LOWS NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING. THE EXTENDED
FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH PRECIPITATION NOT EXPECTED EVEN WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 517 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022
CURRENTLY, ALL TERMINALS ARE VFR WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
OVERNIGHT, LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
FST AND MAF WILL SEE LOW CLOUDS FIRST WITH EXPANSION TOWARDS THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE VERY EARLY MORNING. THESE CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED BRING MVFR CEILINGS TO THE WESTERN TERMINALS AND IFR
CEILINGS TO THE EASTERN TERMINALS. PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR THE EASTERN TERMINALS WITH SOME VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 55 66 55 67 / 10 20 10 10
CARLSBAD 45 60 41 64 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 59 70 57 72 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 56 70 52 67 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 46 60 43 60 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 43 58 46 64 / 0 20 10 0
MARFA 43 69 41 67 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 55 67 54 67 / 0 10 10 0
ODESSA 56 67 54 67 / 0 10 10 0
WINK 51 66 49 68 / 0 10 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...80
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...91
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