344
FXUS64 KMAF 050717
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
217 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 137 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL, BUT VERY GRADUALLY DECREASE
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED (10-40% CHANCE) SHOWERS/STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY, MAINLY WEST OF THE PECOS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
TEMPERATURES DECREASE A COUPLE OF DEGREES TODAY FOLLOWING TWO
CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF RECORD SETTING HEAT AT MAF. UPPER RIDGING OVER
WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO WEAKENS AND BECOMES CENTERED
FARTHER NORTH, DECREASING SUBSIDENCE AND ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
DECREASE CLOSER TO NORMAL. HIGHS TODAY APPROACH OR SLIGHTLY EXCEED
100 DEGREES EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS, THEN
DECREASE CLOSER TO THE MID 90S ON SUNDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
GREATEST IN AND AROUND THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT PLAINS THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY REACH THE PERMIAN BASIN.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
TEMPERATURES REMAIN STAGNANT NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH ADVECTING IN COOLER AIR FROM THE GULF. TEMPS WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL BUT HIGHS IN THE MID 90S SHOULD FEEL A LITTLE BETTER
THAN HIGHS IN THE LOW 100S. RAIN CHANCES REMAIN LOW IN THE BASIN
BUT SHOULD BE HIGHER WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER WHERE THE MOUNTAINS
WILL ENHANCE LIFT. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS LATE NEXT WEEK DUE MODELS
HAVING DIFFICULTY RESOLVING TROPICAL SYSTEMS IN THE EASTERN
PACIFIC AND THE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THE NEXT 24
HOURS. TS WILL REDEVELOP AFTER 18Z BUT CHANCES OF AFFECTING TAF
SITES IS TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 100 74 99 74 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 100 73 97 72 / 20 20 0 0
DRYDEN 99 74 97 74 / 0 10 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 98 72 95 71 / 10 10 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 89 69 88 68 / 30 20 0 0
HOBBS 98 70 96 70 / 20 20 0 0
MARFA 90 61 88 60 / 60 20 10 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 99 73 96 74 / 10 10 0 0
ODESSA 99 74 96 74 / 10 10 0 0
WINK 101 74 97 74 / 20 20 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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