046
FXUS64 KMAF 202322
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
622 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 622 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
- VERY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR ZERO SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 132 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION, EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST TO WEST
TEXAS. SUBSEQUENT LARGE-SCALE SINKING MOTION UNDER THE RIDGE YIELDS
CONTINUED HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS. WIDESPREAD TRIPLE DIGIT
HIGHS CONTINUE TO BE EXPECTED, WHILE THE REST SEE READINGS IN THE
MID-TO-UPPER 90S. MANY SPOTS IN THE BIG BEND TOP OUT BETWEEN 105 AND
110 DEGREES TODAY AND FRIDAY. NEAR ZERO RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE
FORECAST DUE TO A LACK OF MOISTURE AND SOURCES OF LIFT. DON'T FORGET
TO STAY HYDRATED AND TAKE FREQUENT BRAKES UNDER SHADE IF YOU MUST BE
OUTDOORS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME.
GREENING
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 132 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH
HIGHS IN THE 90S TO AROUND 100F FOR MOST AND ISOLATED STORMS OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HEADING INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK, THE
RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN MEANDERING ACROSS THE US WILL FLATTEN OUT OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN US AND THE GULF. THIS WILL NOT CHANGE TEMPERATURES
MUCH AS HIGHS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S
FOR MOST. IT WILL DRY THE REGION OUT AND PUSH RAIN CHANCES TO BELOW
5% EACH DAY. CONTINUED SOUTHERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PERSISTS AND
THAT MAY LEAD TO A STORM OR TWO DEVELOPING IN THE VICINITY OF ANY OF
THE MOUNTAINOUS ZONES IN THE AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 60S TO 70S
CAN BE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE EXTENDED.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND MODEST SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THIS TAF
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 75 103 75 103 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 73 101 73 101 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 75 101 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 73 99 73 100 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 69 92 70 93 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 72 100 72 100 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 63 94 63 94 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 75 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 75 100 75 100 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 75 101 75 101 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10
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