295
FXUS64 KOUN 071732
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1232 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1232 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
- ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MONDAY.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE NEXT WEEK ON TUESDAY INTO MID-WEEK
WHEN OUR NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH
- NEXT WEEKS SYSTEM WILL ALSO END OUR HEATING TREND COOLING OUR
TEMPERATURES TO MORE SEASONABLY NORMAL.
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER TODAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS HITTING HIGHS
NEAR 90 / LOW 90S UNDER SUNNY SKIES. SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, WITH A BIT
MORE HUMIDITY AND LESS MIXING IN PLACE, WILL STAY SLIGHTLY COOLER
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE 60S TONIGHT WITH NEARLY CALM WINDS.
DAY
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
WITH THE UPPER HIGH BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, THE WARM AND
DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE. THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS,
SUNNY SKIES, AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S / LOWER 90S. LOWS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE 60S.
DAY
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
DRY & HOT THIS WEEKEND. A TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF CURRENTLY
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND MAKE
LANDFALL TRACKING UP THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA. THE ONLY IMPACT ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BE INCREASING PRESSURE HEIGHTS/RIDGING
BUILDING WEST OF THIS POST-TROPICAL SYSTEMS UPPER LOW WHICH COULD
MAKE SUNDAY & MONDAY SLIGHTLY HOTTER BEFORE A POTENTIAL COOLDOWN
STARTING ON TUESDAY. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A TROUGH
FORMING IN THE MAIN JET STREAM OVER THE U.S. PACIFIC NORTHWEST
THEN DIGGING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN OFF THE COAST OF
CALIFORNIA FURTHER INTERACTING WITH A WEAKENING TROPICAL SYSTEM
(CURRENTLY HURRICANE RACHEL). THIS LARGE AMPLITUDE TROUGH WILL
PRODUCE AN INITIAL SPLIT-FLOW IN THE MAIN JET STREAM AS IT COMES
ASHORE EARLY NEXT WEEK ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
U.S. TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS APPROACHING PACIFIC SYSTEM
PUSHING A COLD FRONT WILL BRING OUR NEXT RETURN OF RAIN/STORMS
CHANCES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL BE LOW
(20%) ON TUESDAY BUT INCREASING TUESDAY NIGHT INTO MID-WEEK WHEN
A STRONGER COOLDOWN MAY BE FELT. THIS FAR OUT IN TIME THE MODELS
ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT WITH THE ECMWF
& NBM SOLUTIONS PUSHING IT THROUGH TUESDAY VERSES THE GFS SOLUTION
48-HOURS LATER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME VARIABLE BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR SOME LOCATIONS BEFORE RETURNING TO
THE SOUTH BY MID-MORNING THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 65 90 65 89 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 63 91 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 64 92 64 91 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 61 90 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 63 89 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 62 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...01
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