233  
FXUS64 KOUN 141136  
AFDOUN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK  
536 AM CST SAT DEC 14 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS (CEILINGS AROUND 1,000 TO 1,500 FT) OVER  
EASTERN KANSAS MAY AFFECT KPNC AND VICNITY THIS MORNING.  
OTHERWISE, EXPECT GENERALLY FULL VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH LATE  
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT GRADUALLY FROM MAINLY NORTHERLY THIS  
MORNING, AROUND TO NORTHEAST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON, THEN REMAIN  
FAIRLY STEADY UNTIL LATE TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING COLD FRONT WILL  
SHIFT WINDS SLIGHTLY AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST, WITH SOMEWHAT  
INCREASED SPEEDS TOWARD SUNRISE SUNDAY, AND LOW CLOUDS WILL BEGIN  
TO FILL IN ACROSS THE REGION. THE CLOUDS SHOULD FORM FIRST IN  
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS, THEN FILL IN IN-BETWEEN DURING  
THE MORNING ON SUNDAY.  
 
CMS  

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 323 AM CST SAT DEC 14 2019/  
 
DISCUSSION...  
FOG WILL PERSIST EARLY THIS MORNING IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND  
SOUTHEASTERN OK WHERE WIND IS LIGHT. THIS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS A  
COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THIS AREA NOT LONG AFTER DAYBREAK  
WITH NORTHWEST WIND AND AN INITIAL RISE IN TEMPERATURES. THE  
AIRMASS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE INTO OK TODAY WITH  
RELATIVELY LIGHT NORTH WIND BACKING TO EAST WHILE A SURFACE LOW  
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER NORTHEASTERN NM. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO  
INCREASING ZONAL FLOW WITH VERY MINOR WAVES AHEAD OF THE SLIGHTLY  
STRONGER (BUT STILL RATHER MEAGER) SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL  
BRING MODEST LIFT RESULTING IN LOW POPS FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION  
OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATER SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY. COLDER AIR  
MOVES IN SUNDAY WITH A CHANCE THAT ANY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF FREEZING  
DRIZZLE OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THAT MAY OCCUR NEAR THE KS BORDER  
MAY TURN TO LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING MONDAY MORNING. TRENDS IN  
THIS SYSTEM CONTINUE TO SLIGHTLY DIMINISH ITS IMPACT FOR OKLAHOMA  
AS IT PASSES. MONDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST DAY OVER THE NEXT 7 AFTER  
WHICH A MODEST WARM-UP BEGINS WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION  
THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 50 34 50 28 / 10 0 20 20  
HOBART OK 53 32 51 27 / 10 0 10 10  
WICHITA FALLS TX 58 39 62 32 / 0 0 20 0  
GAGE OK 48 26 41 21 / 10 10 20 20  
PONCA CITY OK 44 29 40 25 / 0 10 30 30  
DURANT OK 57 40 65 38 / 0 0 20 20  
 

 
   
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OK...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
23/09/23  
 
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