868
FXUS64 KOUN 190342
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1042 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1037 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
- WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS HEAT RETURNS TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN
105-110 DEGREES
- FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INCREASE TO AN ELEVATED RISK ACROSS WESTERN
OKLAHOMA & WESTERN NORTH TEXAS FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL RESTRICT THE DANGEROUS HEAT TO SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA & WESTERN NORTH TEXAS ON THURSDAY, BUT IT WILL RETURN
AND BECOME WIDESPREAD FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS HEAT IS RETURNING TO THE AREA TODAY AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS ONCE AGAIN. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND MODEST SOUTHWEST WINDS, SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
INCREASE, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 105-110 F. DUE TO RECENT DRY
CONDITIONS, DEW POINTS WILL BE LOW ENOUGH THAT THE HUMIDITY WILL
ONLY MARGINALLY CONTRIBUTE TO THE APPARENT TEMPERATURE FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE EXTREME HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WITH A HEAT ADVISORY FOR WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A FEW CAMS INDICATE
THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM FOR CENTRAL
OR WESTERN OKLAHOMA (10% CHANCE), BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL NOT SEE
ANYTHING. THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL BE QUITE WARM AS A
SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE PERSISTS, WITH LOWS IN THE MID 70S TO LOW
80S.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY, LIKELY STALLING
MIDWAY ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS SOME QUESTION ABOUT HOW WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL GET BEHIND THE FRONT, BUT GIVEN THE MIDDLE OF
THE DAY TIMING ELECTED TO REISSUE THE EXTREME HEAT WARNING FOR
THE SAME AREAS THAT HAD IT TODAY, WITH A HEAT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE.
THIS WILL BE REEVALUATED DEPENDING ON THE FRONTAL TIMING. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY REMAIN 105-110 F, EXCEPT POSSIBLY
SLIGHTLY LOWER NEAR THE KS BORDER.
THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH BY THURSDAY
MORNING, STILL NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE RED RIVER. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO KNOCK HIGHS DOWN INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 F,
EXCEPT FOR NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER WHERE HIGHS WILL BE
CLOSER TO 105-107 F. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
MORNING, MAINLY NEAR THE KS BORDER. IMPACTS WILL BE LIMITED TO
NONEXISTENT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
UPPER RIDGING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. CONTINUES TO BUILD
EASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WITH OUR HEATWAVE RETURNING
ACROSS OUR ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH WIDESPREAD TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS
ACROSS OUR AREA BY SATURDAY. SUNDAY & MONDAY LOOKING EVEN HOTTER
BETWEEN 105-110 DEGREES ALL AIR TEMPERATURE VS HEAT INDEX VALUES.
COULD SEE ANOTHER "SUMMER" COLD FRONT AT LEAST PARTIALLY PUSH
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT TUE AUG 18 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL COME INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY MOVE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 106 80 107 76 / 10 0 0 0
HOBART OK 108 79 108 76 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 108 80 108 79 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 105 77 102 69 / 10 0 0 20
PONCA CITY OK 104 79 102 71 / 10 0 0 20
DURANT OK 107 81 107 81 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ004>006-
009>011-014>017-021>023-033>038-044.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR OKZ007-
008-012-013-018>020-024>032-039>043-045>048-050>052.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR TXZ083>090.
NEAR TERM...68
SHORT TERM...68
LONG TERM....68
AVIATION...13
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