142
FXUS64 KOUN 030629
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1229 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1224 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
- A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WILL BRING COLDER WEATHER INTO THURSDAY.
BREEZY POST-FRONTAL WINDS MAY GIVE WAY TO WIND CHILLS BETWEEN
SINGLE DIGIT TO 20S THURSDAY MORNING.
- FREEZING DRIZZLE WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING MAY
LEAD TO SLICK ROADWAYS, ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS
BRIDGES, DURING THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.
- WINTRY PRECIPITATION CHANCES CONTINUE THURSDAY WITH THE
GREATEST CHANCES ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH TODAY. MORNING
LOWS WILL BE IN THE 20S ALONG/BEHIND THE BOUNDARY, AND INTO THE
30S AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT
WON'T BE TOO MUCH DIFFERENT THAT YESTERDAY'S HIGHS, AS THE COLD
AIR ADVECTION WILL LAG BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE FRONT WITH INCREASING LOW CLOUDS
AND A POTENTIAL FOR DRIZZLE AS EARLY AS THE AFTERNOON HOURS FROM
NORTH TO SOUTH WITH THE PASSING FRONT.
BUNKER
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA, BUT WHERE
TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING, DRIZZLE MAY TURN TO FREEZING
DRIZZLE. EVEN THOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
FREEZING, ELEVATED SURFACES MAY GET A GLAZE OF ICE. FREEZING
DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, FOLLOWING THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION THAT WILL LAG BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT.
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY, SO WIND CHILLS IN THE LOW TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
THE MAIN MID-LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
ON THURSDAY. THERE ARE SIGNALS IN THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS THAT
THIS SHORTWAVE MAY GET SHEARED OFF, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LESS
ASCENT. THERE IS, HOWEVER, STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR ENOUGH LOW-
LEVEL MOISTURE WITHIN THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE TO GET A MIX SNOW,
SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A
MEDIUM (30-60%) CHANCE OF AT LEAST .1 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ON
THURSDAY, PRIMARILY ACROSS THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE AREA. "WORST
CASE SCENARIO" AMOUNTS OF GREATER THAT 1 INCH OF SNOWFALL WITHIN
THE SAME AREA RUN ABOUT A 10% CHANCE. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
TEENS TO 20S THURSDAY MORNING, ANY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL HAVE THE
CHANCE TO ACCRETE QUICKLY, ESPECIALLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES. ROADS,
AND ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES, MAY BE SLICK ON THE
THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE. WIND CHILLS THURSDAY MORNING ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS (NORTH) TO THE LOWS 20S
(SOUTH).
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REBOUND BACK INTO THE 50S,
AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN. WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED, SHOULD
BE A BEAUTIFUL DAY.
BUNKER
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1224 AM CST WED DEC 3 2025
OVERALL, THE WEEKEND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR AVERAGE AND
EVEN GETTING TO ABOVE AVERAGE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER CANADIAN
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, WITH NOT
MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL TEMPERATURES. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
BUNKER
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
QUIET OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AROUND
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
DAY TOMORROW INTO TOMORROW EVENING. LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO
FILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH MVFR CEILINGS BECOMING WIDESPREAD
TOMORROW EVENING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SOME DRIZZLE TOWARD THE
END OF THE FORECAST, BUT CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW AT THIS TIME TO
INCLUDE IN THE TAFS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 48 25 35 25 / 0 0 20 10
HOBART OK 50 24 37 24 / 0 10 20 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 57 31 41 28 / 0 10 20 10
GAGE OK 45 19 37 21 / 0 10 20 0
PONCA CITY OK 46 19 35 22 / 0 10 0 10
DURANT OK 58 34 43 31 / 0 10 20 10
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...30
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