459
FXUS64 KOUN 180652
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
152 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 136 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
- MOSTLY DRY WITH A WARMING TREND THIS COMING WEEK.
- LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, MAINLY WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN OK.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 136 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY START THIS MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOW
40S, WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE A WARMING TREND TODAY AS SURFACE RIDGING
MOVES TO OUR EAST AND SOUTH WINDS RETURN TO THE AREA. THIS SHOULD
LEAD TO QUITE A PLEASANT AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR
70 WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS COULD GET A LITTLE BREEZY BY
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHWEST OK AS A SURFACE LOW DEEPENS OVER
EASTERN CO, WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
WINDS WILL LESSEN OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS NOT QUITE AS COOL AS THE
PREVIOUS COUPLE NIGHTS, IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE AREA.
WARE
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 136 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS UPPER RIDGING
BUILDS OVER THE AREA. HIGHS WILL RETURN TO THE 70S, WITH READINGS
NEAR 80 POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA.
THERE'S STILL SOME SIGNAL FOR HIGH-BASED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS
WESTERN/NORTHERN OK BOTH AFTERNOONS AS WEAK SHORTWAVES PASS BY TO
OUR NORTHWEST, BUT A VERY DRY SUBCLOUD LAYER SHOULD MAKE IT
DIFFICULT FOR MUCH MORE THAN SPRINKLES TO REACH THE GROUND.
WARE
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 136 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK AS A LARGE CUTOFF LOW OVER THE WEST COAST MAKES ONLY SLOW
PROGRESS EASTWARD. THE MAJORITY OF MODEL GUIDANCE NOW TAKES THIS
LOW WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST, WEAKENING AS IT DOES SO, AND HAVE
BACKED OFF ON PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN OUR AREA ACCORDINGLY.
CHANCES ARE NOW LIMITED TO 20-30% NEXT WEEKEND, MAINLY ACROSS
WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN OK. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH CONTINUED HEIGHT RISES, WITH
HIGHS BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS BY THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.
WARE
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 827 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE SUNDAY MORNING, STRONGEST ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THERE
WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MID/HIGHS CLOUDS AS WELL DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 64 46 68 50 / 0 0 0 0
HOBART OK 65 46 71 51 / 0 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 67 46 73 49 / 0 0 0 0
GAGE OK 65 46 68 50 / 0 0 0 0
PONCA CITY OK 65 45 69 48 / 0 0 0 0
DURANT OK 71 46 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...08
SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...30
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