726
FXUS64 KOUN 271107
AFDOUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
607 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 516 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
- A FEW STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WEST TODAY.
- LESS HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN THIS WEEKEND AND CONTINUE NEXT
WEEK.
NEAR TERM
(THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
A COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST AND SOUTHEAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY HOLD TOGETHER LONG ENOUGH TO
ENTER WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT AND LINGER INTO THE
MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE THAT SOME LIGHT
SHOWERS MAY LINGER THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE DAY BEFORE DAYTIME
HEATING ALLOWS FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD LIKELY BE CONFINED TO SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE STRONGEST MAY BE CAPABLE OF SOME GUSTY
WINDS.
OTHERWISE, ANOTHER "COOLER" DAY TODAY AS AGAIN MOST OF THE AREA WILL
REMAIN IN THE 90S FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS. A FEW LOCATIONS NEAR THE RED
RIVER, SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH TEXAS MAY SEE TEMPERATURES AROUND 100
DEGREES, ALTHOUGH LINGERING CLOUD COVER MAY HAVE SOMETHING TO SAY
ABOUT THAT POTENTIAL.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THAT WILL MOVE SOUTH TOWARD NORTHERN OKLAHOMA DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. QUITE A RANGE OF SOLUTIONS DURING THIS TIME
FRAME, WITH SOME MODELS HAVING NOTHING TO OTHERS THAT BRING
LINGERING CONVECTION INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA BEFORE SUNRISE, WITH YET
OTHERS HOLDING OFF UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY.
WITH THE ANTICIPATED EXPANSION OF THE UPPER RIDGE BACK EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY, WILL HOLD OFF ON
ANY MENTION OF PRECIP AT THIS POINT, BUT WILL BE SOMETHING TO
MONITOR.
OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO RESPOND TO THE BUILDING UPPER
RIDGE OVERHEAD AND WARM BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S AND LOW 100S
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS EASTWARD EXPANSION WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
WEEKEND WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND OCCURRING. LITTLE TO NO
CHANCE OF PRECIP DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
BY SUNDAY, MOST LOCATIONS WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE
DIGITS AS THE CENTER OF THE UPPER RIDGE SETTLES OVERHEAD. SUNDAY MAY
ALSO SEE THE RETURN OF HEAT RELATED HEADLINES. LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURES DO NOT WARM AS MUCH AS THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS, SO
EVEN THOUGH THE AREA WILL SEE TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS, CURRENTLY DO NOT
ANTICIPATE THE EXTREME TEMPERATURES THAT WERE SEEN THIS LAST WEEK.
IN ADDITION, THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD, SO BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE MOVES TOWARD THE EASTERN
PART OF THE COUNTRY. UNFORTUNATELY, THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE
JUST ENOUGH INFLUENCE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO KEEP MOST OF THE
AREA HOT AND DRY. ONE EXCEPTION MAY BE NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA, WHERE
PROXIMITY TO THE SOUTHWEST FLOW MAY ALLOW A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS TO
OCCUR.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS WELL SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A TROUGH
SETS UP ACROSS THE WEST WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES EJECTING OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL CAUSE LEE
SURFACE TROUGH TO DEVELOP AIDING IN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT
THROUGH THE PLAINS. BY TUESDAY, THE UPPER RIDGE ONCE AGAIN EXPANDS
THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHICH WILL PUSH ANY
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS FARTHER NORTH AWAY FROM THE AREA, WHICH SHOULD
ALLOW WINDS TO RELAX TO SOME DEGREE. THIS WILL ALSO LIMIT ANY
POSSIBILITY OF PRECIP DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE.
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING MAY IMPACT WWR/CSM FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
DISSIPATING. OTHERWISE, WIDESPREAD MID AND UPPER CLOUDS EXPECTED
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED
STORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OK AND WESTERN NORTH TX THIS AFTERNOON,
BUT CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. SKIES ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.
LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
OKLAHOMA CITY OK 94 71 96 72 / 10 0 0 0
HOBART OK 96 70 98 72 / 20 0 0 0
WICHITA FALLS TX 100 71 101 73 / 20 0 0 0
GAGE OK 92 66 96 70 / 50 10 10 0
PONCA CITY OK 94 69 94 71 / 0 10 10 0
DURANT OK 99 72 99 71 / 10 0 10 0
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page