619  
FXUS64 KSJT 011122  
AFDSJT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX  
522 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2024  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 316 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2024  
 
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS  
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AFTER A CHILLY START THIS  
MORNING AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S. THE COOL  
TEMPERATURES, LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND SATURATED GROUNDS FROM  
YESTERDAY'S RAINFALL IN THE BIG COUNTRY, SOME PATCHY FOG IS  
DEVELOPING, AND WILL INSERT SOME FOG INTO THE FORECAST FOR THE  
EASTERN BIG COUNTRY THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY.  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT BROUGHT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS  
AND VERY COOL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA YESTERDAY HAS ALREADY MOVED  
OUT THE AREA TONIGHT. WITH THE LOW MOVING OUT, UPPER LEVEL  
HEIGHTS WILL RISE SIGNIFICANTLY TOMORROW, ALONG WITH 850MB  
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES CELSIUS WARMER. THIS,  
ALONG WITH SUNNY SKIES, AND WESTERLY DOWNSLOPING WINDS, WILL PUSH  
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES. LOWS SATURDAY  
MORNING WILL ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE 40S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 339 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2024  
 
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL SET UP FOR THE FIRST  
WEEKEND OF MARCH. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S EACH  
AFTERNOON WHICH IS A 15 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE NORMAL. WE SHOULD  
STAY BELOW OUR RECORD HIGHS THOUGH WHICH ARE IN THE 90S.  
 
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON  
MONDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN  
THE AFTERNOON PRIMARILY ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES.  
OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE MILD ONCE AGAIN WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S  
TO LOWER 80S. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL COME ON WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT  
MAY ALSO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SOMETIME ON TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY,  
BUT THERE IS MODEL DISCREPANCY ON BOTH TIMING AND STRENGTH.  
REGARDLESS, SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES (HIGHS IN THE 70S AND  
LOWS IN THE 40S) ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE MID WEEK TIME FRAME.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 522 AM CST FRI MAR 1 2024  
 
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS  
WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY LATE MORNING, THEN  
DIMINISH TO AROUND 5 KNOTS BY 00Z OR SHORTLY AFTER TONIGHT.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
ABILENE 79 49 83 56 / 0 0 0 0  
SAN ANGELO 79 47 83 55 / 0 0 0 0  
JUNCTION 80 44 85 54 / 0 0 0 0  
BROWNWOOD 77 44 83 53 / 0 0 0 0  
SWEETWATER 77 50 80 55 / 0 0 0 0  
OZONA 76 44 80 53 / 0 0 0 0  
BRADY 77 48 82 56 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...20  
LONG TERM....42  
AVIATION...20  
 
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