293
FXUS64 KSJT 071208
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
608 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TODAY ACROSS THE AREA.
- WARMER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK, THEN
TURNING MUCH COOLER FOLLOWING A THURSDAY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- DRY WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 608 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BIG COUNTRY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE VISIBILITIES ARE WELL ABOVE 1/4 OF A MILE.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS STILL POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 214 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE MOVE
INTO THE BIG COUNTRY EARLY THIS MORNING. GOING WITH A DENSE FOG
ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BIG COUNTRY AS
AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE LIKELY. THE FOG WILL PROBABLY BREAK UP AS
DRIER AIR MOVE INTO THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE ADVISORY.
OTHERWISE, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH
COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LOOK FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS FALLING TO
AROUND FREEZING TO FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING BY MONDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
A DRY FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR THIS WEEK, AND OUR AREA WILL BE UNDER
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY. A
WEAK COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IS PROGGED FOR WEDNESDAY, WITH A STRONGER
COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AFTER A COLD START TO THE DAY MONDAY, AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND A
RETURN OF SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS.
WARMER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. INCREASED/BREEZY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT TO OUR WEST. A WEAK COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS PROGGED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT WILL
ESSENTIALLY JUST RESULT IN A TEMPORARY WIND SHIFT. HIGHS WEDNESDAY
ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S NORTH TO MID 70S
SOUTH.
A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RECENT MODEL TRENDS ARE STRONGER
WITH THIS FRONT. TIMING OF THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE KEY TO HOW
WARM TEMPERATURES GET ON THURSDAY (PRIOR TO ITS PASSAGE). AT THIS
TIME, BLENDED MODEL SOLUTION HAS HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S IN
THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY, TO AROUND 80 ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR.
FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT, GUSTY NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY, AS A STRONG SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS SOUTH ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS FROM SOUTHERN
CANADA. BLENDED MODEL APPROACH HAS TEMPERATURES MUCH COOLER FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS FRIDAY ARE FROM NEAR 50 NORTH
TO THE UPPER 50S SOUTH, AND LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S TO NEAR
30. HIGHS ON SATURDAY ARE MOSTLY IN THE 50-55 DEGREE RANGE. HOWEVER,
STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION COULD RESULT IN TEMPERATURES BEING
COLDER THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECAST. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
MODEL TRENDS AND THE POSSIBLE NEED TO ADJUST TEMPERATURES LOWER.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
EXPECT IFR/MVFR CEILINGS AT THE KABI/KBBD TERMINALS THIS MORNING.
ALSO, AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS THE EASTERN BIG COUNTRY WHICH MAY
BRING KABI DOWN TO BELOW 1 MILE FOR A FEW HOURS. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE WIND WILL BE FROM
THE NORTH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 59 32 62 41 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 62 33 64 37 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 65 31 66 34 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 60 29 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 59 33 63 40 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 64 33 64 36 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 60 32 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...21
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