310
FXUS64 KSJT 091151
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
551 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER TODAY, COOLER WEDNESDAY, THEN WARMER THAN NORMAL THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.
- COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES SUNDAY.
- DRY FORECAST THIS WEEK AND DURING THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
EXPECT WARMER, DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS THE AREA.
STRONG LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS(PRESSURE
TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS) WILL RESULT IN
A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH
WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND BIG
COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, WITH UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. EXPECT MILD AND DRY WEATHER TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY FOR OUR AREA THROUGH THE END OF THIS
WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. INITIALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER OUR AREA
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY, AND GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL FOLLOW ITS PASSAGE BEFORE DROPPING OFF BY
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE LOWER 60S IN PARTS OF THE BIG COUNTRY, TO NEAR 70 IN OUR
FAR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. A SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST ACROSS
OUR AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
FACILITATING RADIATIONAL COOLING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S,
AND ANTICIPATE THAT SEVERAL LOCATIONS WILL HAVE LOWS AT OR JUST
BELOW FREEZING. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN THURSDAY WITH SUNNY
SKIES AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS. HIGHS THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
70-75 DEGREES.
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTH INTO THE BIG COUNTRY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD LIMIT HIGHS TO THE UPPER 60S IN THE
NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY. THE AREA FARTHER SOUTH WILL HAVE SOUTH WINDS,
SUNNY SKIES AND WELL-ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS AT LEAST IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOME UPPER 70S ARE POSSIBLE IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THESE
WELL-ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS LOOK TO CONTINUE ON SATURDAY FOR OUR CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN COUNTIES, WHILE A STRONGER COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO ADVANCE SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF OUR AREA SATURDAY EVENING AND
EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT, AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL FOLLOW ITS
PASSAGE. SUNDAY WILL BE COMPARATIVELY MUCH COOLER WITH INCREASING
CLOUDINESS. AT THIS TIME, BLENDED MODEL SOLUTION HAS HIGHS SUNDAY
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S IN THE BIG COUNTRY, TO NEAR 60
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR. WORTH MENTIONING THAT MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
HAVE VARIED WITH THE TIMING OF A STRONGER COLD FRONT AT THE END OF
THIS WEEK (FRIDAY VS SATURDAY) AND ITS STRENGTH. RETURN FLOW IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP MONDAY WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND HIGHS IN
THE LOWER TO MID 60S. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOW A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD APPROACH
OUR AREA.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 551 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THE WIND WILL BE FROM
THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 69 45 64 38 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 70 42 67 33 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 70 41 71 33 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 69 40 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 70 45 63 39 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 68 39 68 35 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 69 45 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...21
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