156
FXUS64 KSJT 071109
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
609 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY A DRY AND WARM FORECAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURNING TODAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
- LOW (<20%) CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AC ROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH TONIGHT, KEEPING WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S TO LOW 90S AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1113 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
MOVE INTO SOUTH TEXAS THEN TO THE GULF COAST FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDS AT
THE SURFACE WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S EACH AFTERNOON WHILE SOME
LOCATIONS IN THE BIG COUNTRY COULD REACH THE LOW 90S. A FEW
AFTERNOON SHOWERS COULD OCCUR OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, THESE WILL BE FAIRLY SPOTTY SO
POPS WERE KEPT UNDER 20 PERCENT DURING THIS TIME.
LOOKING AHEAD TO THE WEEKEND, GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT
OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE STRENGTHENING AND MOVING NORTHWARD OUT
OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND INTO THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA. ALTHOUGH THIS
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, IT
SHOULD HAVE LITTLE TO NO IMPACT ON THE WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS THIS WEEKEND. RATHER, THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
LOOKS TO BE QUICKLY ABSORBED BY THIS SYSTEM AS IT MAKES LANDFALL
ON SATURDAY MORNING. IN ITS WAKE, A BROAD RIDGE SHOULD BUILD IN
ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND THE WESTERN GULF FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, A LARGER SCALE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DIG
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST BY SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE GRADUALLY
EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS SHOULD ALLOW SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
TO BUILD IN ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLE. WEST-CENTRAL
TEXAS WILL BE IN BETWEEN THESE TWO PRIMARY UPPER-LEVEL FEATURES
FOR THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND
90. HOWEVER, THERE IS A LOW (<20%) CHANCE FOR RAIN FOR THE EARLY
TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK, DEPENDING ON HOW THIS NEXT SYSTEM
EVOLVES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO PREVAIL
THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 90 62 90 64 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 87 59 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 86 58 85 60 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 85 59 85 63 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 90 63 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 84 59 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 83 58 83 61 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...TP
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