466
FXUS64 KSJT 242341
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
541 PM CST MON NOV 24 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THANKSGIVING, WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CST MON NOV 24 2025
AFTER AN ACTIVE MORNING THAT INCLUDED HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS,
WE WILL SEE A MUCH LESS ACTIVE PATTERN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AS
OF NOON CST, WE ARE SEEING SKIES CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE MIDDLE TO LOWER 70S
THIS AFTERNOON AS WE SEE THE SUNSHINE RETURN ACROSS THE AREA.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CST MON NOV 24 2025
DRIER PATTERN RETURNS TO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THANKSGIVING
AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ALOFT. THIS WILL
AID IN A COLD FRONT SLIDING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THURSDAY, BRINGING AT LEAST SOME TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
SEASONAL NORMALS FOR THE END OF NOVEMBER. HIGHS IN THE 50S
EXPECTED ON THE BIG TRAVEL DAY OF WEDNESDAY, WITH DECENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP FOR THANKSGIVING MORNING ALLOWING
MORNING LOWS TO DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS RETURN
BY AFTERNOON SO HIGHS ON THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON WILL CLIMB INTO
THE 60S.
NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA FOR THE
WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH IT STILL LOOKS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER THAN THE
LAST FEW SYSTEMS. MODEL BLENDS ARE SHOWING SOME 20-30% POPS,
MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA, AND THIS SEEMS
PERFECTLY REASONABLE.
FORECAST IS STARTING TO REACH OUT TOWARDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT IT
ISN'T ANY CLEARER FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME VERY COLD AIR
DROPPING INTO THE AREA. SPECIFIC MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW IT, TAKE
IT AWAY, AND THEN BRING IT BACK A FEW RUNS LATER. TAKING A LOOK
AT SOME OF THE STATISTICAL CLUSTER ANALYSIS, SEEMS LIKE THE COLD
CLUSTERS AND THE WARMER CLUSTERS ARE SPLIT PRETTY EVENLY. CPC
STILL SHOWS COLDER THAN NORMAL AS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME FOR THE
PERIOD DECEMBER 1ST-7TH SO AT THIS POINT, WILL LEAN THAT
DIRECTION.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST MON NOV 24 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
REMAIN UNDER 10 KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 45 72 39 58 / 0 0 0 0
SAN ANGELO 44 73 39 58 / 0 0 0 0
JUNCTION 43 76 40 63 / 0 0 0 0
BROWNWOOD 43 73 39 58 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 47 71 40 58 / 0 0 0 0
OZONA 44 73 41 60 / 0 0 0 0
BRADY 46 72 41 57 / 0 0 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...42
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