003
FXUS64 KSJT 022321
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
521 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
KNOCKING HIGHS BACK DOWN INTO THE 40S FOR THURSDAY.
- LOW TO MEDIUM CHANCE (20-30%) FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ON
THURSDAY, ALONG WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON HAVE REBOUNDED NICELY AFTER A COLD
MORNING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON TO TOP
OUT IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. A LOW LEVEL JET OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WILL
DEVELOP, KEEPING WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE, WITH HIGHER GUSTS,
OVERNIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY, SENDING A COLD FRONT SOUTH INTO THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, MILD TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
HIGHS ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY WILL BE A BIT COOLER, IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S, WHERE AN EARLIER FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 152 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY EVENING. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AS LIFT INCREASES AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. STILL MAINTAINING LOW POPS (20 TO 30 PERCENT)
THURSDAY MORNING, AS MOISTURE IS LIFTED UP AND OVER THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. AREAS EAST OF A HASKELL, SAN ANGELO TO SONORA LINE MAY
SEE SOME LIGHT RAIN, WITH EVEN SOME SLEET POSSIBLY MIXED IN ACROSS
HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES THROUGH MID MORNING. HOWEVER,
NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTS AS ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE VERY
LIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN BIG COUNTRY, AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES AT
OR ABOVE FREEZING. FARTHER SOUTH, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY
BE 1/10 INCH OR LESS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE MUCH COLDER ON
THURSDAY, DUE TO LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION, WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
LOW TO MID 40S. BREEZY NORTH WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL COLDER, WITH
WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE 30S THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SOME LINGERING
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR
THURSDAY NIGHT, OTHERWISE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.
DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY, WITH SKIES CLEARING.
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS ALSO RETURN, RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER 60S. TEMPERATURES WARM A BIT MORE
ON SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S, THEN A WEAK
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY, BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WIND WILL BE
FROM THE SOUTH AND A LITTLE GUSTY AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 45 68 35 44 / 0 0 0 20
SAN ANGELO 41 71 35 46 / 0 0 0 20
JUNCTION 38 72 38 49 / 0 0 10 30
BROWNWOOD 35 69 35 45 / 0 0 10 30
SWEETWATER 44 65 34 44 / 0 0 0 10
OZONA 38 68 37 47 / 0 0 10 20
BRADY 40 70 38 44 / 0 0 10 30
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DANIELS
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...21
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