665
FXUS64 KSJT 221055
AFDSJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
555 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WITH A WARMING TREND TO START THE UPCOMING WEEK.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS CLIMBING TO NEAR OR ABOVE THE 100 DEGREE MARK
FOR THE BIG COUNTRY BY LATE IN THE WEEK AND WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
EXPECT MAINLY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
AS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WILL REMAIN ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO OUR EAST. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WEST OF A
SWEETWATER TO OZONA LINE. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 90S, WITH UPPER 90S
ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
ON WEDNESDAY, A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STRETCH FROM EAST TEXAS
INTO THE MIDWEST. MEANWHILE A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE LOCATED
OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA. WEST CENTRAL TEXAS WILL REMAIN ON THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. THE RRFS
CONTINUES TO SHOW AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING JUST TO OUR WEST AND THEN MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CONCHO VALLEY AND CROCKETT COUNTY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. MOST OF THE REST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY
DRY ON WEDNESDAY. FOR NOW, HAVE KEPT POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY, BUT WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN OUR WESTERN
COUNTIES. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S ACROSS
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA TO THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA.
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD WEST TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN HOT AND
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT THE HOTTEST
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WHERE HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE MID 90S TO NEAR 103. HIGHS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE
IN THE 70S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 554 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2025
EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE SOUTH WITH GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ABILENE 96 76 98 76 / 0 10 0 0
SAN ANGELO 93 74 96 74 / 0 10 0 0
JUNCTION 93 71 94 71 / 10 10 0 0
BROWNWOOD 93 73 95 73 / 0 0 0 0
SWEETWATER 97 76 98 76 / 10 10 10 0
OZONA 91 73 93 73 / 10 10 0 0
BRADY 91 72 93 72 / 10 10 0 0
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....DANIELS
AVIATION...21
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