623
FNUS75 KSLC 181240
FWSSLC
SPOT FORECAST FOR KEARL POND RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
540 AM MST THU DEC 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON DECEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER THE BURN AREA
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TODAY BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON, BRINGING A ROUND OF LIGHT SNOWFALL WHICH WILL
TRANSITION TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW BY THE END OF THE SHOT OF
MOISTURE (AROUND 2200). THE WAVE OF ENERGY MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN
UTAH WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THURSDAY, WITH PEAK GUSTS REACHING UPWARDS OF 35-40
MPH. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WILL BECOME MORE INTENSE DURING THE DAY ON
FRIDAY. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS, A MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE SURGE WILL ARRIVE OVER THE
BURN AREA BY MID-MORNING ON FRIDAY. THIS NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL
BRING ACCUMULATING SNOW FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH AS LATE AS
SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECT ANYWHERE FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING. SNOW
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF
SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
OF UP TO 1 INCH POSSIBLE (25% CHANCE).
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35-40 MPH
AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
CLIMATOLOGY......20-30TH PERCENTILE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 29
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......880.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. LITTLE TO
NO SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.1 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-33.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-23 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40-45 MPH
INCREASING TO 50-55 MPH LATE OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY
NEAR RIDGES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 29 TO 32 MPH.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) THEN
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT CLOUD
COVER). CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING,
THEN SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES EXPECTED.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45-50 MPH,
ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
CLIMATOLOGY......20-30TH PERCENTILE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
FORECASTER...WEBBER
REQUESTED BY...RYAN TAYLOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527851.0/SLC
.DELDT 12/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYAN.TAYLOR@USDA.GOV
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