896
FNUS75 KSLC 302230
FWSSLC
SPOT FORECAST FOR TOM CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
430 PM MDT SUN AUG 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A 20-40% CHANCE THROUGH 1900 SUNDAY FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO IMPACT THE FIRE. MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS
TODAY INCLUDE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH GUSTS 40-50 MPH, HAIL
GREATER THAN 1 INCH, AND HEAVY RAINFALL. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL
WANE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MORE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH A 50-60% CHANCE FOR STORMS TO
IMPACT THE AREA MAINLY BETWEEN 1400-2000. MORE ISOLATED STORMS MAY
LINGER INTO THE LATE EVENING. THREATS FROM STORMS TOMORROW
INCLUDE GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH, SMALL
HAIL, AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
MONSOONAL MOISTURE BEGINS TO SCOUR OUT OF THE AREA TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TIED TO HIGHER
TERRAIN AREAS. AS DRIER AIR WORKS INTO REGION, RH WILL TREND DOWN
THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH DAYTIME RH VALUES IN THE UPPER TEENS AND
POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES DEVELOPING BY WEDNESDAY.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) THEN
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT CLOUD
COVER). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 1400-
2000.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.36 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL (50-60TH PERCENTILE).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.35 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT
WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 23 MPH.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.3 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL (70-80TH PERCENTILE).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL (70-80TH PERCENTILE).
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 25 MPH.
FORECASTER...WARTHEN
REQUESTED BY...JARED CHONG
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620947.0/SLC
.DELDT 08/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JCHONG@BLM.GOV
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