629
FNUS51 KALY 061821
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
DISCUSSION
BREEZY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON WITH
NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS RANGING FROM ABOUT 15-25 MPH AND RH VALUES IN
THE 20S TO 30S. TEMPERATURES ARE RATHER COOL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 60S. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
WANE THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BECOMES SITUATED OVER THE REGION. THIS, COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES
AND COOL TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD FROST FORMATION.
WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, THOUGH SPEEDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. RH VALUES WILL RISE,
BEGINNING TOMORROW, INTO THE 40S% TO 60S% FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR APPRECIABLE RAIN COMING SUNDAY
NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.
NYZ206-070830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-3) 63 (+13) 44 61
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+10) 48 (+4) 100 60
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G21 SW 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G21 SW 6 G19 W 8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4220 5510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 75960 99180
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-070830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-7) 66 (+11) 45 67
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+15) 53 (+13) 100 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G23 SW 7 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 10 G23 S 9 G21 W 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4160 5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 70720 90720
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 7 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-070830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-7) 68 (+11) 46 71
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+15) 51 (+10) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G23 S 8 G21 W 8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4300 6660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 68800 106560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-070830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-2) 65 (+12) 44 68
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+10) 50 (+10) 100 47
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G23 W 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G23 SW 7 G19 W 8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3770 6440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60320 109480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 7 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-070830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-4) 65 (+13) 46 65
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+3) 48 (+5) 99 58
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G23 SW 7 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G23 S 9 G24 W 9 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2930 5150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49810 92700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 6 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-070830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-6) 63 (+12) 45 64
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+9) 51 (+4) 100 63
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 G21 SW 7 G20 W 6 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3400 5560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57800 105640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-070830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-9) 66 (+11) 44 68
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+20) 52 (+8) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G20 S 5 G17 W 6 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3570 5960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60690 107280
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-070830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-6) 64 (+12) 46 66
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+2) 48 (+2) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 5 G19 SW 10 G23 SW 10 G23 W 10 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3060 5460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55080 103740
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-070830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-6) 65 (+12) 46 68
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+3) 51 (+7) 100 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G21 S 8 G19 W 7 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3240 5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58320 104400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-070830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-6) 65 (+9) 46 71
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+7) 50 (+8) 100 51
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G20 S 7 G18 W 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3480 5860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 59160 99620
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 7 9
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-070830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
221 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-7) 65 (+8) 46 71
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+10) 53 (+8) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G20 S 6 G17 W 8 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3480 5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 52200 84000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
COLUMBUS DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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