312
FNUS51 KALY 082252
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY MUCH OF THE
HUDSON VALLEY...
...SPS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE CATSKILLS, MOHAWK VALLEY,
LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN CT, AND BENNINGTON COUNTY IN VT TOMORROW...
DISCUSSION
THIS AFTERNOON, RH VALUES OF 15-25% ARE EXPECTED, BUT WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN VERY LIGHT. RH RECOVERS TO 60-80% TONIGHT, BUT DROPS TO
20-35% TOMORROW WITH WIND GUSTS INCREASING TO 20-30 MPH, STRONGEST
IN THE HUDSON VALLEY. STATE PARTNERS CONFIRMED THAT TODAY'S SUN
AND DRY WEATHER SHOULD ALLOW FINE FUELS TO DRY OUT ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT AN ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD TOMORROW FOR MOST OF THE
REGION. THE EXCEPTION IS FOR THE ADKS WHERE THERE IS STILL SNOW ON
THE GROUND IN MANY AREAS. FUELS IN THE SOUTHERN GREENS AND
BERKSHIRES ARE ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO BE DRY ENOUGH FOR FIRE SPREAD
IN THOSE AREAS PER COORDINATION WITH PARTNERS IN THE RESPECTIVE
STATES.
WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HUDSON VALLEY,
RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON TO 6 PM TOMORROW.
WINDS IN THE MID HUDSON VALLEY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN JUST BELOW
RFW CRITERIA, BUT THERE IS ENOUGH AREAL COVERAGE IN THE NORTHERN
2/3 OF THAT FIRE WEATHER ZONE FOR US TO ISSUE THE RED FLAG.
SPSS WILL ALSO BE IN EFFECT FOR THE MOHAWK VALLEY, BENNINGTON
COUNTY IN VT, AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN CT. FOR VT, THE MAIN
THREAT FOR FIRE SPREAD IS GREATEST IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS, WITH
LESS SUPPORTIVE FUELS AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN GREENS.
RH VALUES RECOVER TO ABOVE 80% THURSDAY NIGHT WITH DIMINISHING
WINDS. FRIDAY, RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 40% FOR MOST OF THE
REGION, WHICH SHOULD LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY NORTH
AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. SATURDAY LOOKS SOMEWHAT BREEZY,
ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING, BUT WIND AND RH VALUES SHOULD FALL
SHORT OF CRITICAL LEVELS. CALMER WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH
INCREASING AFTERNOON RH AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS NEXT WEEK.
NYZ206-090815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 21 (+10) 58 (+14) 35 58
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-17) 23 (-7) 87 62
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 12 G29 S 9 G28 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 1 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 2 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4460 3460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 102580 44980
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 6 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-090815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 22 (+5) 59 (+12) 34 66
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+5) 22 (0) 85 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G33 S 5 G17
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 14 G33 S 11 G32 SW 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4200 3460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 24 SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88200 44980
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-090815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM EDT THURSDAY
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (+4) 60 (+10) 33 68
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+8) 22 (+1) 91 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 11 G29 S 8 G27 S 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4620 6340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83160 101440
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-090815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+7) 56 (+9) 33 68
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-11) 23 (+2) 85 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 11 G28 S 8 G28 SW 7 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4310 6750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 81890 148500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-090815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+7) 59 (+13) 35 66
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (-4) 19 (-3) 76 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 12 G29 S 9 G28 SW 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4540 4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 81720 60150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-090815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 21 (+7) 55 (+10) 32 65
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+5) 20 (-4) 83 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G26 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 10 G26 S 8 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4250 5110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80750 91980
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-090815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 21 (+1) 57 (+9) 32 67
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+26) 21 (+2) 87 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 10 G25 S 8 G24 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4280 4670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 81320 79390
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-090815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 21 (+3) 56 (+9) 31 66
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (+9) 20 (-2) 83 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 12 G29 S 9 G27 SW 8 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4110 4390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73980 74630
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-090815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 21 (+1) 56 (+7) 31 67
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+16) 22 (+2) 91 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G26 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 11 G26 S 8 G25 SW 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3830 3550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 65110 63900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-090815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+3) 56 (+6) 32 67
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+24) 23 (+3) 97 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G24 S 7 G21 SW 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3670 3690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58720 66420
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 4 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-090815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
652 PM EDT WED APR 8 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (+1) 55 (+5) 32 66
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+31) 26 (+8) 100 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G24 S 6 G20 S 7 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3510 3110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49140 49760
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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