125
FNUS51 KALY 301850
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
DISCUSSION
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH SATURDAY. LAST
NIGHT INTO THIS MORNING, MOST AREAS SAW A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH
OR MORE OF RAIN. TOMORROW, MIN RH VALUES COULD DROP AS LOW AS
30-40% FOR VALLEY AREAS, BUT WIND GUSTS ONLY LOOK TO TOP OUT
AROUND 15 MPH. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY
NIGHT. SATURDAY, WIND GUSTS WILL ONLY BE 10-15 MPH AGAIN WITH RH
VALUES SIMILAR TO OR EVEN A TAD HIGHER THAN FRIDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE BOTH EXPECTED TO BE BREEZY WITH WIND GUSTS
20-30 MPH, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY, CAPITAL
DISTRICT, AND BERKSHIRES SUNDAY AND IN THE CAPITAL DISTRICT,
CATSKILLS, AND UPPER HUDSON VALLEY MONDAY. MIN RH VALUES SUNDAY
LOOK TO DROP TO 30-35% FOR MANY AREAS, SO SUNDAY MAY FEATURE AN
ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD IF FUELS DRY OUT ENOUGH FROM THE
RECENT RAIN BY THEN. FOR MONDAY, FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOWER, BUT
WILL REITERATE FROM THE AFD THAT RAIN CHANCES ARE TRENDING LOWER
THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY IN OUR FORECAST. SHOULD THIS DRIER SOLUTION
THAT WE ARE LEANING TOWARDS COME TO FRUITION, THEN THE
COMBINATION OF BREEZY S/SW WINDS AND RH POTENTIALLY AS LOW AS
30-40% COULD LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MORE
WIDESPREAD RAIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK SHOULD LIMIT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS BEYOND MONDAY.
NYZ206-010830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-11) 51 (+2) 27 52
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-3) 39 (-31) 92 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 G20 W 7 G19 LGT/VAR W 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7950 8840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 97240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-010830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-11) 57 (+3) 32 58
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-6) 33 (-33) 91 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 5 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G20 W 8 G19 LGT/VAR W 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 8330 9390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 99960 103290
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-010830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-11) 60 (+4) 36 59
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-6) 33 (-31) 98 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G23 NW 7 G20 LGT/VAR W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7950 8720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 61040
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-010830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-12) 56 (+4) 32 55
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-6) 35 (-27) 99 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G23 W 7 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 4 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7280 8270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 80080 57890
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-010830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 50 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-12) 56 (+5) 34 57
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+3) 34 (-45) 91 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G19 W 8 G20 LGT/VAR W 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.06 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7450 8400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 104300 92400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-010830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 40 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-11) 54 (+4) 33 54
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 35 (-46) 93 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 5 G21 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.06 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7760 8630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 116400 86300
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-010830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 40 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-9) 58 (+5) 35 57
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (-1) 31 (-51) 95 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 11 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7820 8440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 109480 75960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-010830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 50 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-11) 55 (+3) 35 55
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-3) 33 (-34) 90 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 8 G23 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 9 G23 W 10 G23 LGT/VAR W 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.07 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 0 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 10 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7450 8440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 104300 67520
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-010830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (-9) 57 (+4) 37 57
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-5) 34 (-33) 96 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 7 G21 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 8 G21 NW 9 G21 LGT/VAR W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6930 8090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 90090 56630
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-010830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-8) 59 (+5) 39 57
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-4) 34 (-38) 97 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 6 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G20 NW 8 G19 LGT/VAR W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7190 7580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86280 45480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-010830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
250 PM EDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-8) 61 (+5) 41 58
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-8) 35 (-40) 98 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 G17 W 8 G18 LGT/VAR W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7190 6840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86280 34200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
TUESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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