045
FNUS51 KALY 211855
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL
PROVIDE APPRECIABLE RAIN FOR MOST OF THE REGION, WHICH WILL LIMIT
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS DESPITE A STRETCH
OF DRY WEATHER THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. A FEW AREAS OF RH
DROPPING TO 30-40% ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY, BUT WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT EACH DAY.
NYZ206-220815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (-2) 68 (-6) 45 72
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 60 (-9) 100 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 G24 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G21 W 8 G24 W 5 G21 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 8 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4710 8020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94200 96240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 10 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-220815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+1) 78 (+3) 48 77
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+14) 54 (-21) 97 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 G25 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 G26 W 11 G25 W 7 G23 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 5 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5620 8680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106780 78120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-220815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 10 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 70 10 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+2) 80 (+4) 50 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 53 (-26) 97 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 G23 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G27 W 8 G23 NW 5 G21 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.36 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM 4 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6080 7680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97280 76800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-220815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+3) 76 (+5) 47 74
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 55 (-30) 98 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G20 W 6 G20 NW 5 G18 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5710 7410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91360 66690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-220815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+5) 75 (0) 49 74
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 57 (-16) 99 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 G24 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 G26 W 9 G24 W 6 G23 W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.34 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5040 7130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 90720 64170
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-220815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+5) 75 (+3) 48 73
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 63 (-15) 99 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G21 W 6 G21 W 5 G20 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.36 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4760 7600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 90440 83600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-220815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+6) 80 (+5) 51 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 56 (-19) 95 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G21 W 5 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.31 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM 3 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5110 7790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91980 85690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-220815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 70 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+6) 76 (+3) 49 73
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 58 (-20) 99 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 G21 NW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G25 W 9 G21 NW 8 G21 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM 3 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4860 6270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 82620 68970
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-220815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 70 50 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+6) 79 (+5) 51 74
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 59 (-19) 99 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G21 W 6 G19 NW 6 G18 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.48 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 5 AM 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5180 6240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 82880 68640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-220815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 70 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+6) 80 (+5) 53 75
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 60 (-19) 94 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G19 NW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G20 W 6 G19 LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.48 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 5 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5270 6640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 N 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79050 73040
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-220815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
255 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 70 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+4) 81 (+6) 54 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 66 (-16) 93 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 G19 N 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G19 W 7 G19 LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.48 0.08 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5220 6520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 N 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73080 65200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
LIGHT WINDS.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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