114
FNUS51 KALY 270631
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER HAS BEEN IN PLACE OVER THE LAST WEEK. THE LAST
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL OCCURRED ON OCTOBER 16TH, ABOUT 11
DAYS AGO. THE US DROUGHT MONITOR HAS PARTS OF THE WESTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY, ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT IN THE D0 CATEGORY
(ABNORMALLY DRY). DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER, KBDI VALUES ARE
GENERALLY UNDER 150. WHILE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER HAS BEEN
ALLOWING FINE FUELS TO START TO DRY OUT, 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE STILL
GENERALLY ARE IN THE 12-15% RANGE, WITH 100 HR FUELS AROUND 15%.
UNLIKE THE SPRING WHERE DEEP MIXING, WINDY DAYS AND ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE ARE ABLE TO DRY FUELS QUICKLY, THE LONGER NIGHTS, COOLER
TEMPERATURES, LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS AND MORNING FROST/MIST/DEW ARE
HELPING KEEP THIS PROCESS FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND TOO QUICKLY.
STILL, THE LACK OF RAINFALL IS A CONCERN, AS IT APPEARS DRY
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF OCTOBER.
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SE CANADA WILL BE BUILDING TOWARDS OUR
AREA TODAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MIXING DEPTH WON'T BE TOO
DEEP, WITH MIXING TO ABOUT 900 HPA. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ABOUT
5-10 MPH, WITH SOME A.M. TO EARLY P.M. GUSTS IN THE 10-15 MPH
RANGE, BUT DECREASING LATER IN THE DAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL
DROP INTO THE 30%-40% RANGE.
RH RECOVERS TO 70-100% TONIGHT, WITH DRY WEATHER EXPECTED AGAIN
ON WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ONCE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY
WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 35%-40%. MILDER TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY, BUT WINDS STILL LOOK FAIRLY LIGHT FOR
THURSDAY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT WITH ANOTHER
COLD FRONT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY FOR
NORTHERN AREAS, ALTHOUGH ANY PRECIP LOOKS LIGHT. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY
TURN BREEZY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT.
NYZ206-272015-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-11) 23 (-3) 56
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-22) 96 (-1) 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3760 2410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22560 16870
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-272015-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-14) 25 (-6) 56
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-12) 96 (+10) 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3810 2510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22860 17570
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-272015-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-11) 28 (-8) 58
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (-7) 92 (+4) 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3680 2880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 S 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25760 20160
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-272015-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-9) 29 (-6) 59
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-9) 87 (-6) 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3510 2330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24570 16310
ADI EARLY VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-272015-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-13) 26 (-3) 56
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-8) 87 (-1) 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2860 2250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22880 13500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-272015-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-13) 26 (-5) 55
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (-6) 82 (-4) 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3670 2570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29360 17990
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-272015-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-14) 25 (-7) 56
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-6) 91 (+6) 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3730 2570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29840 17990
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-272015-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-11) 26 (-7) 57
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (-10) 85 (-1) 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3120 2240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24960 13440
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-272015-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-11) 28 (-6) 57
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-6) 86 (-1) 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3540 2650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28320 18550
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-272015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (-12) 29 (-8) 58
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (0) 83 (-5) 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3840 2880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26880 20160
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-272015-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
231 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-11) 32 (-8) 59
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (+2) 79 (-11) 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3730 2910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22380 20370
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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