709
FNUS51 KALY 161851
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT WITH MOST OF THE
AREA HAVING A WETTING RAINFALL TODAY. THE RAINFALL SHOULD PREVENT
ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, DESPITE GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS 25-35 MPH TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
OF 35 TO 45 PERCENT. AN EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY TO 80-100 PERCENT
OCCURS SUNDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS. AN EXTENDED STRETCH
OF DRY WEATHER WITH LIGHT WINDS IS EXPECTED TO CLOSE THE WEEKEND AND
CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
NYZ206-170830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 26 (-13) 41 (-20) 21 53
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 41 (-48) 97 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 11 G27 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 12 G29 NW 9 G27 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5460 3670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 20 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 92820 36700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 8 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-5) 47 (-16) 24 54
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 38 (-48) 90 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 11 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 12 G32 NW 12 G28 NW 5 G23 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 10 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6400 3810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 20 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 108800 26670
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 4 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 9 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-9) 49 (-19) 26 55
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 38 (-47) 87 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 12 G34 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 10 G35 NW 13 G34 NW 6 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6060 3850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 N 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 121200 26950
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 7 7
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-11) 46 (-19) 23 55
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 39 (-46) 85 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 13 G35 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 10 G36 NW 12 G35 NW 7 G27 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5470 3820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 24 N 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 114870 26740
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-7) 44 (-19) 22 53
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 41 (-40) 82 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 11 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 13 G31 NW 12 G29 NW 5 G24 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5410 3330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91970 19980
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-6) 42 (-19) 21 51
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 45 (-43) 82 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 11 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 12 G31 NW 10 G29 NW 5 G23 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5310 3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22 NW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100890 27230
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-4) 46 (-18) 23 54
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 40 (-48) 85 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 10 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 G29 NW 10 G28 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5620 3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 23 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112400 23340
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (-5) 44 (-19) 24 53
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 40 (-46) 83 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 14 G34 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 14 G37 NW 14 G34 NW 7 G27 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5020 3670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 22 N 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95380 25690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-6) 46 (-19) 25 53
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 42 (-45) 81 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 13 G32 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 11 G34 NW 13 G32 NW 7 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5020 3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 N 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100400 26600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-5) 47 (-20) 27 54
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+2) 41 (-47) 78 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 13 G31 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 9 G31 NW 13 G31 NW 8 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4780 3820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 N 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95600 30560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
251 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-5) 49 (-19) 28 54
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 42 (-47) 75 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 13 G29 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 9 G28 NW 13 G29 N 8 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4800 3770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 21 N 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86400 30160
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 6 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 5 5
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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