822
FNUS51 KALY 261836
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER HAS BEEN IN PLACE OVER THE LAST WEEK. THE LAST
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL OCCURRED ON OCTOBER 16TH, ABOUT 10
DAYS AGO. THE US DROUGHT MONITOR HAS PARTS OF THE WESTERN MOHAWK
VALLEY, ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT IN THE D0 CATEGORY
(ABNORMALLY DRY). DESPITE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER, KBDI VALUES ARE
GENERALLY UNDER 150. WHILE THE RECENT DRY WEATHER HAS BEEN
ALLOWING FINE FUELS TO START TO DRY OUT, 10 HR FUEL MOISTURE
STILL GENERALLY ARE IN THE 12-15% RANGE, WITH 100 HR FUELS AROUND
15%. UNLIKE THE SPRING WHERE DEEP MIXING, WINDY DAYS AND ABUNDANT
SUNSHINE ARE ABLE TO DRY FUELS QUICKLY, THE LONGER NIGHTS, COOLER
TEMPERATURES, LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS AND MORNING FROST/MIST/DEW ARE
HELPING KEEP THIS PROCESS FROM GETTING OUT OF HAND TOO QUICKLY.
STILL, THE LACK OF RAINFALL IS A CONCERN, AS IT APPEARS DRY
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF OCTOBER.
BEHIND A COLD FRONT, BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR
THIS EVENING. A FEW GUSTS COULD REACH THE 15-20 MPH RANGE FOR LATE
TODAY AND INTO THE START OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER, HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING TOWARDS THE AREA FOR TUESDAY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SHOW MIXING DEPTH WON'T BE TOO DEEP ON TUESDAY, WITH
MIXING TO ABOUT 900 HPA. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE ABOUT 5 MPH, WITH
SOME MORNING GUSTS IN THE 10-15 MPH RANGE, BUT DECREASING THROUGH
THE DAY. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30%-40% RANGE.
AFTER A FULL RECOVERY ON TUESDAY NIGHT, DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ONCE AGAIN
ON WEDNESDAY WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES AS LOW AS 35%-40%. MILDER
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY, BUT WINDS STILL LOOK FAIRLY
LIGHT FOR THURSDAY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT WITH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY, MAINLY
FOR NORTHERN AREAS, ALTHOUGH ANY PRECIP LOOKS LIGHT. WINDS MAY
BRIEFLY TURN BREEZY BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD
FRONT.
NYZ206-270830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 23 (-11) 50 (-9) 21 57
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 34 (-21) 94 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) N 5 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3780 2320
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22680 16240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 7 7
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-270830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-4) 52 (-12) 21 56
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+9) 34 (-11) 93 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) N 6 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3810 2580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22860 18060
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 3 7 9
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-270830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (0) 56 (-9) 26 60
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 34 (-8) 94 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 G24 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3730 3030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29840 18180
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 7 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-270830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-2) 55 (-8) 28 60
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+16) 31 (-10) 92 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G24 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3380 2480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23660 17360
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-270830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-5) 51 (-10) 22 57
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 33 (-9) 90 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G24 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2960 2560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23680 15360
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-270830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-5) 50 (-10) 22 56
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+33) 33 (-5) 89 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 G26 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3670 3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29360 21000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 4 5
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-270830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (0) 53 (-13) 22 57
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+10) 30 (-4) 92 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3690 3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29520 21000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-270830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-2) 52 (-9) 24 58
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+19) 30 (-10) 90 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 9 G31 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3200 2780
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25600 19460
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-270830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (0) 54 (-8) 27 58
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+10) 32 (-9) 87 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G26 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3510 2870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28080 20090
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 6 6
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-270830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 56 (-8) 28 59
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+14) 33 (-5) 82 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3800 3110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 SW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30400 21770
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-270830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
236 PM EDT MON OCT 26 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (+5) 57 (-8) 30 60
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+14) 36 (-4) 82 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3720 3050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26040 18300
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 6
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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