536
FNUS51 KALY 161855
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 35-45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON,
WITH WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10-15 MPH GUSTING TO 20-30 MPH AT
TIMES COULD CREATE SOME MARGINAL, LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-90. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
MOVING INTO THE ADKS AS OF 300 PM, BUT THESE ARE EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN AS THEY TRACK FURTHER SOUTH. RH VALUES WILL RECOVER TO
AROUND 70-80 PERCENT TONIGHT. WHILE RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LOWER ON FRIDAY TO AROUND 30-40 PERCENT, WINDS WILL BE MUCH
LIGHTER WITH PEAK GUSTS AROUND 10-15 MPH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN.
FOR MOST OF THE REGION, THE NEXT CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
SOME THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO BE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY. MOST
AREAS SHOULD SEE SOME MUCH-NEEDED RAINFALL THAT WILL QUELL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
NYZ206-170815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 90
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-11) 77 (+1) 52 79
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-11) 31 (-15) 85 61
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G26 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 8 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6450 4220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64500 67520
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-11) 82 (+1) 54 82
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-8) 28 (-10) 84 56
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G27 NW 5 LGT/VAR S 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7620 5010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 68580 85170
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-9) 83 (+2) 58 82
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-1) 32 (-10) 86 62
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G29 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 11 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37
PRECIP DURATION 5
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6470 4350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64700 73950
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-9) 81 (+5) 55 78
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+3) 32 (-14) 83 64
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G27 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.49
PRECIP DURATION 9
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6260 3750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62600 67500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 5
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-8) 79 (+1) 55 81
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-8) 34 (-10) 76 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G27
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G28 W 5 LGT/VAR S 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23
PRECIP DURATION 1 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 8 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5760 4480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57600 80640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-9) 76 (0) 54 80
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-9) 36 (-11) 80 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G26 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 9 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5790 5140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63690 97660
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-9) 80 (-1) 55 83
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-6) 32 (-7) 88 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6180 5430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 67980 103170
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 2 6 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-7) 78 (0) 54 80
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-5) 35 (-9) 79 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 9 G33 NW 6 LGT/VAR SW 12 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26
PRECIP DURATION 5
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5290 3720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58190 74400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-6) 79 (0) 57 80
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (0) 33 (-11) 84 59
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 8 G32 NW 5 LGT/VAR SW 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36
PRECIP DURATION 5
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5210 3510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57310 66690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-7) 80 (-1) 59 81
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+5) 34 (-10) 88 62
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G25 NW 5 LGT/VAR S 10 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44
PRECIP DURATION 5
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5470 3020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54700 51340
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
255 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-7) 81 (+1) 59 81
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+4) 37 (-15) 94 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G21 NW 5 LGT/VAR S 11 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45
PRECIP DURATION 9
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5280 2960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 47520 47360
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 6 5
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
BREEZY. SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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