687
FNUS51 KALY 161905
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
DISCUSSION
LIGHT, WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT, BECOMING MUCH MORE ISOLATED TOMORROW. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS COME WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK.
NYZ206-170815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+12) 75 (0) 54 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 79 (+19) 100 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.08 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2850 5930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25650 47440
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+10) 79 (+4) 58 81
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 74 (+13) 100 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G23 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.07 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2730 5650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16380 33900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 9 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 50 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+8) 81 (+4) 60 82
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 72 (+6) 100 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G23 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.08 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 8 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3750 6530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22500 52240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 60 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 50 50 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+5) 78 (+6) 56 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 74 (+2) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 G24 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.05 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2990 6050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20930 48400
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+12) 77 (+2) 59 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 74 (+15) 100 60
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G25 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.08 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2280 4630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 NW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 13680 27780
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 50 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+9) 75 (+2) 58 78
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 81 (+19) 100 64
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.06 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 4 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2390 4980
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 NW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 14340 24900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 30 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+11) 76 (-1) 61 80
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 79 (+22) 100 60
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 4 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 4 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2360 5230
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 N 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16520 26150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+10) 77 (+3) 60 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 74 (+14) 100 58
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 G24 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.05 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2490 5080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 NW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 14940 35560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+9) 78 (+3) 61 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 74 (+16) 100 59
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2700 5150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 13500 41200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 60 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+8) 78 (+2) 62 81
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 76 (+13) 100 59
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G19 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.05 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 8 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 9 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2840 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 NW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 14200 37800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
305 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 60 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+8) 78 (+1) 63 82
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 82 (+12) 100 63
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G17 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.08 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 8 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2660 5520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 10640 44160
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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