016
FNUS51 KALY 151910
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY MORNING WITH AMOUNTS TOTALING 0.25" TO 1" ACROSS THE
REGION. ANOTHER PERIOD OF DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOWS FOR MONDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN NORMAL TO JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW WITH LIGHT WINDS
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE THE THRESHOLD FOR CONCERN OF
FIRE SPREAD. THEREFORE, THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
NYZ206-160815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 80 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-3) 77 (+5) 59 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 55 (+10) 100 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 0 8 5
PRECIP BEGIN 3 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5180 2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62160 27000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-160815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-3) 79 (+5) 60 80
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 55 (+3) 100 70
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G17 S 7 G21 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.09
PRECIP DURATION 7 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4730 2740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 52030 19180
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-160815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 70 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-3) 78 (+1) 61 82
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (-1) 60 (+8) 100 69
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G18 S 7 G21 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.23 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 1 7 4
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4680 3950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51480 31600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-160815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 90 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-2) 75 (0) 58 78
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 66 (+16) 100 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G18 S 7 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.33 0.08
PRECIP DURATION 1 7 3
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4130 3440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49560 34400
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 5 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-160815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 80 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-2) 78 (+6) 58 77
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-4) 53 (0) 100 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 S 6 G23 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 5 7
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4990 2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54890 14700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 9 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-160815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-3) 75 (+3) 57 75
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 57 (+4) 100 81
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.18
PRECIP DURATION 4 7
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5200 2150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57200 17200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-160815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-4) 78 (+2) 60 77
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 54 (+9) 100 79
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.17
PRECIP DURATION 3 9
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5180 2180
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51800 15260
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-160815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-2) 77 (+5) 59 77
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-4) 54 (+1) 100 73
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G17 S 8 G24 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 4 7
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4630 2140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50930 17120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-160815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-3) 77 (+1) 59 78
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-4) 59 (+10) 100 73
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 S 7 G20 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.14
PRECIP DURATION 5 7
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4570 2430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50270 21870
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-160815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (-4) 77 (-2) 61 80
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-6) 60 (+15) 100 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17 S 6 G20 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.08
PRECIP DURATION 6 7
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4660 2740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46600 27400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 4 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-160815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
310 PM EDT SAT AUG 15 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 80 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-2) 78 (-1) 62 81
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-9) 64 (+15) 100 77
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G17 S 7 G18 W 5 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.08
PRECIP DURATION 7 7
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4600 2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46000 25200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 4 10 8
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG THROUGH THE NIGHT. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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