051
FNUS51 KALY 120616
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
DISCUSSION
AFTER A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL ON SUNDAY, DRIER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR MONDAY, ALTHOUGH IT WILL STAY FAIRLY CLOUDY THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DAY. RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 60 PERCENT
WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH. SOME SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY FOR NORTHERN AREAS, WITH RH VALUES
ABOVE 70 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE
AROUND 10 MPH ON TUESDAY. A FEW MORE LIGHT SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED
OUT ON WEDNESDAY, BUT DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY.
COLDER AND WINDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
NYZ206-122030-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+8) 50 (+2) 66
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (+3) 100 (0) 86
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 5 G17 LGT/VAR S 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.33
PRECIP DURATION 2 10
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3070 1950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 SW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33770 21450
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-122030-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+14) 49 (0) 65
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-10) 100 (0) 83
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 5 LGT/VAR S 8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.26
PRECIP DURATION 1 8
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3380 2340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30420 35100
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-122030-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+14) 50 (0) 71
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (-22) 100 (0) 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G17 LGT/VAR S 8 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3300 3360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 14 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39600 50400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-122030-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+15) 49 (0) 70
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (-20) 100 (0) 75
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR S 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2990 2810
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 15 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 38870 39340
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-122030-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+9) 48 (0) 64
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (+2) 100 (0) 79
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 7 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.22
PRECIP DURATION 1 5
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2410 2170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24100 23870
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-122030-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+12) 46 (0) 59
RH % (24H TREND) 73 (-6) 100 (0) 87
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 1 5
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2910 1990
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 14 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34920 23880
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-122030-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+15) 47 (-1) 60
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-19) 100 (0) 88
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3150 2060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 13 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34650 20600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-122030-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+11) 48 (+1) 65
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-11) 100 (0) 77
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR S 8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2360 2270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 15 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30680 29510
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-122030-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+11) 50 (+2) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-16) 100 (0) 79
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G18 LGT/VAR S 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2520 2340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35280 32760
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-122030-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+12) 51 (+2) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 69 (-19) 100 (0) 77
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G19 LGT/VAR S 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2990 2440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41860 31720
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-122030-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
216 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+13) 51 (+1) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-24) 100 (0) 81
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 7 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 7 G19 LGT/VAR S 7 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END 4 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3170 2510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44380 30120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
WINDY. RAIN SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH.
SUNDAY
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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