316
FNUS51 KALY 160628
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
DISCUSSION
A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH A HALF
INCH TO 1 INCH OR MORE EXPECTED REGION-WIDE. THIS RAIN SHOULD
PREVENT ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
DESPITE GUSTY 25-35 MPH WIND GUSTS AND RH OF 30-45% SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. A PROLONGED STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH WINDS
EACH DAY REMAIN LIGHT.
NYZ206-162015-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 40 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+10) 26 (-13) 41
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+44) 100 (0) 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G36 NW 11 G28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 G36 W 12 G29 NW 9 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.11 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 12 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2320 5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 20 NW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39440 91840
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 7
MAX LVORI LATE 7 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-162015-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+10) 33 (-5) 48
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+44) 100 (0) 30
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G31 NW 11 G28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G31 W 11 G32 NW 12 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2170 6570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30380 118260
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 8 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-162015-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+12) 36 (-9) 49
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (+36) 98 (-2) 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G40 NW 12 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G40 W 9 G35 NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2360 6480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35400 116640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 8 4
MAX LVORI LATE 7 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-162015-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+10) 31 (-12) 46
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+38) 100 (0) 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G33 NW 14 G36
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G33 W 10 G37 NW 12 G36
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2000 5820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32000 110580
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-162015-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+12) 32 (-7) 44
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+40) 100 (0) 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 13 G40 NW 11 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 G40 W 12 G32 NW 12 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.71 0.20 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1650 5840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24750 110960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 7 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-162015-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+10) 32 (-6) 43
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+42) 100 (0) 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G40 NW 11 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G40 W 11 G32 NW 10 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.73 0.16 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 7 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1810 5690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 27150 96730
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-162015-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+8) 35 (-5) 47
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+46) 100 (0) 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 10 G29
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G26 W 7 G31 NW 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.47 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1660 5850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23240 99450
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-162015-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+10) 35 (-5) 45
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+40) 99 (-1) 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 13 G37 NW 14 G34
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 G37 W 13 G37 NW 14 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.70 0.18 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1540 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23100 91800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-162015-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+8) 36 (-6) 46
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+40) 99 (-1) 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G29 NW 13 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G29 W 10 G35 NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.58 0.18 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1580 5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22120 96300
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 4
MAX LVORI LATE 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-162015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+7) 37 (-7) 48
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+40) 99 (-1) 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G27 NW 13 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G27 W 8 G32 NW 13 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1610 5430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24150 103170
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-162015-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
228 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+7) 40 (-6) 49
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+41) 100 (0) 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 13 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G26 W 8 G29 NW 13 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.36 0.14 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1580 5450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23700 98100
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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