788
FNUS51 KALY 151908
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
.DISCUSSION..
LIGHT, HIGHLY SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO
DRYING CONDITIONS TOMORROW WITH TEMPERATURES SURGING TO ABOVE-
NORMAL LEVELS. MINIMUM RH VALUES LARGELY IN THE LOW 40S% TO LOW
30S% TOMORROW WILL BE MET WITH LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WHICH, WITH
RECENTLY WETTED SOILS, SHOULD NOT BE ENOUGH IN AND OF THEMSELVES
TO DRIVE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD. TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, ADDITIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS TRACK THROUGH THE
REGION AS A WEAK BOUNDARY SHIFTS WINDS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST.
HERE, WINDS PICK UP A BIT WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS REACHING 10 MPH
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE MOHAWK AND UPPER HUDSON VALLEYS AS WELL AS
THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
WILL REACH 15-20 MPH WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES ONCE AGAIN IN THE LOW
40S% TO LOW 30S% ONCE SHOWERS DISSIPATE. SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY,
AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY, WILL BE THE DRIEST PERIOD OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS
IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION. IF ANY DAY HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR
FIRE SPREAD, IT WOULD BE MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S,
AND MINIMUM RH IN THE 40S% AND 30S%. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL BE ON THE
LIGHTER SIDE, SO THE RISK OF FIRE SPREAD MAY BE MINIMAL.
NYZ206-160830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-3) 74 (+16) 49 73
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-3) 37 (-33) 96 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G20 SW 7 G20 W 7 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5330 6170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106600 104890
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-160830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-4) 78 (+16) 52 81
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 32 (-31) 91 31
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G23 W 6 G24
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G23 SW 9 G23 W 11 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6120 7000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 110160 119000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-160830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-3) 80 (+18) 56 83
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 31 (-31) 90 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 G24
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G21 SW 7 G20 NW 9 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6170 7500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98720 135000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-160830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-1) 76 (+19) 53 81
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+4) 33 (-33) 95 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G21 SW 7 G21 NW 7 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5640 6860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101520 144060
ADI EARLY VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-160830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-2) 75 (+17) 54 80
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 36 (-34) 89 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 8 G26
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G24 SW 9 G24 W 11 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5070 6850
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91260 130150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-160830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-1) 73 (+18) 53 77
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 35 (-42) 91 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 G21 SW 7 G24 W 7 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5090 7090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86530 134710
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-160830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-4) 76 (+19) 55 80
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 31 (-43) 89 31
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 G19 SW 5 G20 W 6 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5410 7160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86560 128880
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-160830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-2) 75 (+18) 55 80
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 34 (-35) 85 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 G23 W 9 G27
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G23 SW 9 G23 W 13 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4890 5730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88020 120330
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-160830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-2) 77 (+17) 55 82
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 33 (-35) 85 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G21 SW 7 G21 NW 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4990 6110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89820 128310
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-160830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-1) 78 (+16) 56 83
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 32 (-32) 82 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G20 SW 6 G19 NW 8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5570 7270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100260 130860
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-160830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
308 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-1) 78 (+14) 57 85
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 32 (-28) 82 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G19 S 6 G19 W 8 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5810 7380
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98770 125460
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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