279
FNUS51 KALY 051800
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF
NEW YORK...
DISCUSSION
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO REACH
WELL INTO THE 70S TO LOW 80S. DEW POINTS HAVE BEEN SLIGHTLY MORE
ELEVATED THAN EXPECTED THIS MORNING, BUT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DROP A
FEW MORE DEGREES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.SO, THIS WILL LIKELY
LEAD TO RH VALUES GETTING DOWN TO AROUND OR JUST UNDER 30% IN THE
HUDSON VALLEY SOUTH OF ALBANY. WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 10-15 KT
WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH OVER THE LAST COUPLE HOURS, AND SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS WE CONTINUE TO
MIX DEEPER. EXPECTING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH SOME GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH POSSIBLE.
THE COMBINATION OF WARM, DRY, WINDY CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO AN
ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. VEGETATION IS
CONTINUING TO GREEN UP, BUT STATE PARTNERS AT THE NYS DEC HAVE
CONFIRMED THAT THERE IS STILL ENOUGH AVAILABILITY OF FINE FUELS FOR
CONCERNS OVER ANY FIRES THAT START TO BE ABLE TO SPREAD QUICKLY.
THEREFORE, RFW REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE HUDSON VALLEY FDRA DOWN TO
ULSTER AND DUTCHESS COUNTIES. WHERE RH IS EXPECTED TO FALL SHORT OF
CRITICAL LEVELS (30%), SPSS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE CATSKILLS AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW ENGLAND. LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER HUDSON VALLEY THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS,
UNTIL SHOWERS ARRIVE THERE.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL FEATURE RH OF 35-45%. WIND GUSTS
THURSDAY WILL BE ONLY 15-20 MPH, BUT MAY REACH 20-25 MPH FRIDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE MOHAWK VALLEY, CAPITAL DISTRICT, AND BERKSHIRES.
FORTUNATELY, TONIGHT/TOMORROW'S WETTING RAIN SHOULD HELP MITIGATE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SOMEWHAT FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE DAYS. WIND
GUSTS THIS WEEKEND SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH, WITH ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS POSSIBLE SATURDAY.
NYZ206-060815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS RAIN NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-11) 51 (-18) 32 54
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 75 (+25) 96 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 7 G27 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.73 0.06 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 10 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2980 8200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17880 155800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 8 6
MAX LVORI LATE 8 7 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-060815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-6) 59 (-18) 36 61
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+27) 79 (+43) 100 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 5 G18 W 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 G29 NE 7 G18 LGT/VAR W 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.82 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 10 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2880 8770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28800 149090
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 7 7 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-060815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 100 70 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (0) 65 (-15) 39 62
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+16) 71 (+40) 96 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 G23 NW 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G31 S 9 G23 NW 6 G18 NW 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.40 0.16 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 9 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3800 7690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 NW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79800 107660
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-060815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 100 70 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+2) 62 (-12) 36 60
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+14) 71 (+36) 98 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G25 NW 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G33 SW 8 G25 NW 5 G19 NW 5 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.57 0.12 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 9 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3780 7610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 26 NW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86940 106540
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 5 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-060815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 60 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-1) 63 (-12) 38 60
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+23) 75 (+37) 97 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 G21 W 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 G31 SW 8 G21 NW 5 G18 W 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.73 0.26 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3460 7950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72660 135150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 7 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-060815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN RAIN NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 100 70 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (0) 62 (-12) 38 58
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+17) 78 (+42) 99 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G23 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 G32 SW 6 G23 LGT/VAR W 5 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.55 0.23 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3820 7770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91680 132090
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 8 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-060815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 100 70 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+5) 63 (-16) 41 61
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+14) 78 (+48) 100 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G20 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 G29 S 5 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.43 0.23 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 6 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3530 7700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 25 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 77660 123200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 7 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 6 7 7
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-060815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 100 70 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+4) 63 (-12) 40 58
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+10) 71 (+38) 97 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G26 NW 8 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 G34 SW 11 G26 W 8 G20 NW 9 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.48 0.23 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 6 6 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 9 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3560 6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89000 120600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 9 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 6 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-060815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 100 80 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+4) 65 (-12) 41 60
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+13) 72 (+41) 99 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 G25 NW 6 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 12 G33 S 9 G25 W 7 G19 NW 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.38 0.21 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 7 0
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3460 6620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86500 105920
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 9 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 6 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-060815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 90 80 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+7) 65 (-14) 42 62
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+10) 73 (+39) 99 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 G24 NW 6 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 G29 S 9 G24 W 7 G19 NW 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.31 0.22 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3540 6970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88500 97580
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 7 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-060815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
200 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 90 80 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+9) 65 (-14) 45 64
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (0) 74 (+38) 98 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G25 NW 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 G29 S 11 G25 SW 7 G20 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.25 0.18 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 5 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3300 7040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 26 NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 75900 84480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 7 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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