352
FNUS51 KALY 270541
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
DISCUSSION
OUR REGION IS CURRENTLY IN BETWEEN A CLOSED LOW OFF THE COAST
OF NEW ENGLAND AND A NARROW RIDGE AXIS JUST TO THE WEST. CURRENT
IR SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW COMPLETELY
CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION, WITH THE NEAREST UPSTREAM CLOUDS
JUST SOME THIN CIRRUS OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN
CANADA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE (ABOUT 1024 HPA) IS CENTERED JUST
WEST OF THE AREA OVER THE FINGER LAKES AND THIS HIGH PRESSURE
AREA WILL BE SLOWLY SLIDING EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. WITH
THE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD, SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
ENTIRE DAY. EVEN WITH THE HIGH OVERHEAD, MODEL SOUNDING SUGGEST
FAIRLY DEEP MIXING TODAY WITH THE FULL SUNSHINE IN PLACE,
ALTHOUGH WINDS ALOFT ARE VERY LIGHT, SO THIS WILL KEEP THE
SURFACE WINDS LIGHT, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS. WITH
THE EXPECTED DEEP MIXING, HAVE LEANED SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE
NBM FOR HIGHS TODAY, WITH LOW TO MID 70S IN VALLEY AREAS AND 60S
FOR HIGH TERRAIN AREAS. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE
25%-30% RANGE, WHICH IS FAIRLY TYPICAL FOR A PRE-GREENUP FULLY
SUNNY DAY. LUCKILY, THE LIGHT WINDS SHOULD PREVENT MUCH CONCERN
FOR ELEVATED FIRE SPREAD TODAY, ALTHOUGH FINE FUELS WILL LIKELY
BE DRYING OUT VERY QUICKLY TODAY.
AFTER A CLEAR AND CALM NIGHT, ANOTHER MILD AND DRY DAY IS
EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY. WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING TO THE
EAST, THERE WILL BE MORE OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT FOR TUESDAY, AS
THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL BE HEADING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. HAVE
TRENDED WINDS CLOSER TO THE NBM 90TH PERCENTILE, WHICH COULD
ALLOW FOR SOME AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS TO REACH AROUND 20 MPH OR
SO. SOME MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING ON TUESDAY
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM, BUT LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY,
WITH RH VALUES STILL DROPPING TO AROUND 30% IN THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON HIGHS LOOK TO BE WELL INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 ONCE
AGAIN. WILL NEED TO CHECK WITH STATE FIRE WEATHER PARTNERS
REGARDING THE STATE OF THE FUELS, BUT IT'S LIKELY THAT FINE
FUELS WILL BE DRIED OUT, AS THEY TYPICALLY RECOVER VERY QUICKLY,
DESPITE ANY RECENT RAINFALL. WITH LOW RH, A SLIGHT BREEZE AND
DRYING FUELS, THERE COULD BE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD ON
TUESDAY AND WE WILL CHECK WITH STATE PARTNERS IF ANY FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS OR STATEMENTS WILL BE NEEDED FOR TUESDAY.
WESTERN PARTS OF THE REGION COULD SEE A BRIEF SHOWER LATE IN THE
DAY, BUT IT'S LIKELY THAT THE DRY LOW-LEVELS WILL ALLOW ANY
APPROACHING PRECIP TO DRY UP BEFORE REACHING THE SURFACE.
ONE MORE MILD DAY IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY, BUT RH VALUES LOOK
HIGHER AS A MORE MOIST SYSTEM HEADS TOWARDS THE AREA. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ARE LIKELY FOR LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
NYZ206-272015-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+7) 39 (+4) 64
RH % (24H TREND) 29 (0) 85 (+8) 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8140 5620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 7 S 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48840 134880
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-272015-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (+7) 40 (+3) 69
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (+5) 88 (+8) 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G26
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 12 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7900 6570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39500 111690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-272015-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+7) 39 (+2) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 34 (-3) 87 (-3) 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8100 5960
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40500 77480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-272015-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+6) 37 (0) 63
RH % (24H TREND) 35 (-3) 86 (-1) 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6580 5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 6 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32900 85600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-272015-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+6) 41 (+2) 69
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-1) 78 (+4) 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 9 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8320 6220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 49920 87080
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 2 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-272015-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+6) 38 (+2) 65
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (+1) 84 (+8) 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8260 6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 SE 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57820 78390
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-272015-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+5) 39 (+2) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (+1) 87 (+8) 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8160 5750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SE 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48960 69000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-272015-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (+6) 38 (+2) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (+1) 83 (+6) 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 9 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7870 6020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55090 72240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-272015-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (+6) 39 (+3) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (+1) 88 (+4) 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)7240 5780
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50680 57800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-272015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+6) 39 (+3) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-4) 89 (0) 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 LGT/VAR SE 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6850 5770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 S 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41100 40390
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-272015-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
141 AM EDT MON APR 27 2026
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (+8) 40 (+3) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-8) 89 (-2) 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 LGT/VAR SE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6660 5350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SE 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39960 37450
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 4 7
MAX LVORI LATE 2 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS, COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND
50. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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