750
FNUS71 KALY 011251
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONE BROOK WEST F...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
851 AM EDT THU JUN 1 2023
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ANOTHER WARM, DRY AND
SUNNY DAY TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING SOUTH OUT
OF CANADA WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS, ALONG WITH THE CHANCE FOR SOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH SOME
ADDITIONAL PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (58000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 7 10 13 13 14 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............75 78 80 82 83 83 83 83
DEWPOINT........54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54
RH..............48 43 41 38 37 36 36 37
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 5.2 6.1 6.6 6.8 7.4 7.6 7.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 8 8 9 9
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 42 46 48 48 54 58 56
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........13 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............81 79 76 73 70 68 67 66 66 64 63 63
DEWPOINT........55 56 56 55 54 53 53 53 53 53 53 53
RH..............41 45 50 53 57 59 61 63 63 67 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW N N N N N N NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 20 4 0 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
1400, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............57 INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 20 24 24 25 25 33 41 48 55 62 69
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT LKY SCT LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 30 60 50 60 60 70
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3
TEMP............65 68 71 74 77 79 80 80 79 79 78 77
DEWPOINT........55 56 58 58 58 58 58 59 59 59 60 60
RH..............70 65 63 57 52 49 47 49 50 50 54 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.0 5.4 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.4 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 8 22 40 55 62 64 62 58 51 41
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD FR FR FR
FORECASTER...EVBUOMA
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GOULDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2314295.1/ALY
.DELDT 06/01/23
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV
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