268
FNUS71 KALY 101121
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB PLANTER BEDS / BROGUE...ALBANY PINE BUSH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
721 AM EDT SAT APR 10 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
PROVIDE WARM CONDITIONS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES SUNDAY
MORNING, AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. IT WILL TURN COOLER SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS PERSISTING.
MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 30
TO 45 PERCENT, INCREASING TO MAXIMUM VALUES OF BETWEEN 90 AND
100 PERCENT TONIGHT. RH VALUES SUNDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO
BE ABOVE 60 PERCENT WITH RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION
WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE SOUTH AT LESS THAN 15 MPH. WINDS
WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AT LESS THAN 15 MPH AND CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............48.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3200-20500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........72 67 61 56 45 33 22 21 20 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 55 58 62 65 68 70 72 74 74
DEWPOINT........46 47 49 50 50 50 49 48 47 47
RH..............80 74 72 65 58 52 47 42 38 38
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/10003 5 7 10 12 14 16 19 21 20
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-14600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 22 23 32 41 50 53 56 59 63 67 71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............73 70 67 65 62 60 58 56 55 53 52 51
DEWPOINT........48 50 51 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 50 50
RH..............41 49 56 63 70 75 80 83 86 93 93 96
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/100015 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2200 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-23700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73 76 78 82 86 90 91 91 92 92 93 93
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 30 30 40 40 40 50 60 70
TEMP............51 52 54 56 59 61 62 63 63 63 63 62
DEWPOINT........50 50 51 52 52 53 54 54 54 54 53 52
RH..............96 93 90 86 78 75 75 72 72 72 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 8 10 10 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 4 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/10001 3 4 6 9 12 16 20 23 24 23 21
FORECASTER...WASULA
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2108530.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/10/21
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page