699
FNUS71 KALY 201223
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB 'DIVERSITY' RX...ALBANY PINE BUSH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
823 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY. CHILLY
TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS DURING THE DAY.
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLOUDS AND INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS DURING THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.
RH VALUES WILL RECOVER TO 90-100 PERCENT TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF
DEW FORMATION LIKELY. RH SHOULD FALL TO 40-55 PERCENT MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 5-15 MPH SHOULD BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TO
CALM SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, THEN BECOME SOUTHEAST
AT 5-15 MPH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47 INCREASING TO 56.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-35700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 3 2 4 5 0 4 9 15 15
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 54 60 65 68 71 72 73 73 72
DEWPOINT........49 51 52 53 54 54 55 55 56 56
RH..............96 90 75 65 61 55 55 53 55 57
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W S SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.2 5 6 6 7 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W SW S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 2 3 3 7 10 13 14 14
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/10000 0 0 1 6 14 21 29 35 36
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-26300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 19 17 22 24 25 27 29 31 32 32 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 67 65 63 62 61 60 58 57 56 56 56
DEWPOINT........56 56 56 55 55 54 54 54 54 54 53 53
RH..............61 68 73 75 78 78 81 86 90 93 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 7 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/100026 13 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............55 INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5900-53500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54100-61900 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 52 61 59 56 54 54 53 53 55 57 59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............56 56 57 60 63 66 68 70 71 71 71 70
DEWPOINT........53 53 54 55 57 58 59 59 59 59 59 59
RH..............90 90 90 84 81 75 73 68 66 66 66 68
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 8 10 11 13 13 13 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 16 16 16 16 17 18 20 21 21 20
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/10006 12 19 25 31 37 46 54 59 62 61 54
FORECASTER...EVBUOMA
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2118516.0/ALY
.DELDT 09/20/21
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG
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