446
FNUS71 KALY 161206
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUTCH HILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
706 AM EST FRI JAN 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 30MPH BEFORE
WINDS WEAKEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THEN, AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW
TOMORROW RESULTING IN LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
NY AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. HIGHEST AMOUNTS LIKELY IN THE
SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS AND IN WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND BEFORE MUCH COLDER AIR AND BREEZY WINDS
SURGE INTO THE NORTHEAST EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS, ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............0 DECREASING TO -1 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 1 LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 36
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (53500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 21 18 22 18 15 14 15 31 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............5 5 7 9 11 13 14 14 14 13
DEWPOINT........0 -2 -1 0 0 0 1 2 2 2
RH..............79 72 69 66 60 55 55 58 58 61
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..21 20 18 17 16 14 13 12 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.36 35 33 32 31 26 24 21 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 32 32 33 33 30 26 23 20 15
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 36 40 48 54 44 36 29 20 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT, THEN SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............2 INCREASING TO 13.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........53 55 66 45 68 80 74 79 83 84 85 87
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 30 40 40 50 60 60
TEMP............13 14 13 15 15 15 16 17 18 19 19 20
DEWPOINT........2 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 12 14 14
RH..............61 73 76 70 70 70 67 67 70 74 80 77
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 9 10 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 10 12 13 15 15 15 16 17 17 17
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 2 2 3 3 6 7 7 9 7 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............17 INCREASING TO 22 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (22200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85 89 84 84 83 83 84 84 84 84 84 84
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 60 60 60 70 70 70 60 60
TEMP............20 21 21 22 24 25 26 26 27 27 27 27
DEWPOINT........15 17 17 19 21 22 23 23 24 24 24 24
RH..............81 84 84 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 16 16 15 15 16 16 15 14 13 12
LVORI...........6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 12 13 12 15 20 22 20 15 11 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...37
REQUESTED BY...DAVE SZALLAI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600321.0/ALY
.DELDT 01/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NHNECC@FIRENET.GOV
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