434  
FNUS71 KALY 200930  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB HECHT / HEE-HAW RX...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
530 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES CLIMB THROUGH THE 60S AND 70S THIS MORNING WITH  
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.  
LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS OF  
AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH VALUES DROP TO 40-45% THIS AFTERNOON.  
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TODAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56 INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (19500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 18 16 22 27 33 30 26 23 24 26 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............59 60 62 65 68 72 75 79 81 83 84 83  
DEWPOINT........54 54 55 56 57 58 58 58 59 58 58 58  
RH..............83 81 78 73 68 61 55 49 47 43 41 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.4 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 5  
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 7 9 11 12 13 12 11 10 13 17 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........24 22 19 17 14 12 21 29 38 36 35 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............82 80 78 74 71 69 67 65 62 62 61 59  
DEWPOINT........58 59 60 60 60 60 59 59 58 57 57 57  
RH..............44 49 54 63 69 73 77 80 87 85 87 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 12 13 13 13 13 12 10 10 9 9  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 12 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............59 INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 42 46 42 39 35 38 40 43 43 43 43  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............61 62 64 69 74 79 82 84 86 87 88 87  
DEWPOINT........57 58 59 60 60 61 61 61 61 61 62 62  
RH..............88 87 84 72 63 54 49 45 43 42 42 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.8 3.9 4.7 5.1 5.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 13 15 16  
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 8 10 14 19 26 34 42 54 62 63  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...MAIN  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2414705.0/ALY  
.DELDT 05/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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