726  
FNUS71 KALY 021353  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT BROOK WMA RX FIRE...MASSWILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
853 AM EST SUN NOV 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EST ON NOVEMBER 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A DRY AND COOL END TO THE WEEKEND IS IN STORE AS HIGH PRESSURE  
PASSES JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION. MILD TEMPERATURES ARRIVE MONDAY  
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT, WHICH WILL BE ACCOMPANIED GUSTY WINDS AND  
RAIN SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED  
THROUGH THE WEEK AS WE SHIFT INTO AN ACTIVE PATTERN, WITH  
TEMPERATURES REMAINING CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR EARLY NOVEMBER.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............9.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 5AM  
SKY (%).........13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............35  
DEWPOINT........34  
RH..............96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  
LVORI...........9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35 INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 18 TO  
25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (94600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............7.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........12 6 19 44 56 56  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 30 30  
TEMP............35 42 53 57 58 56  
DEWPOINT........34 40 43 44 44 43  
RH..............96 93 69 62 60 62  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 6 S 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 12 15 21 24 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 900 2000 3900 3700 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 10 SW 20 SW 25 SW 24 SW 20  
LVORI...........9 8 4 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 9 35 84 78 29  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR GOOD GOOD POOR  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............42 DECREASING TO 36 OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO 10 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........73 76 65 65 33 33  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 0 0  
TEMP............51 47 44 42 40 39  
DEWPOINT........44 M 41 M M 35  
RH..............77 86 89 86 85 85  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 9 W 9 W 8 W 8 W 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 20 20 21 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 700 800 800 700 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 W 16 W 15 W 14 W 15 W 16  
LVORI...........4 6 7 6 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 10 10 9 9 11  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............35.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 21  
TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16 TO 17  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64600  
KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (24100  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
GOOD (38600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............7 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........29 26 25 28 29 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 40 47 51 52 51  
DEWPOINT........M M 36 M M 34  
RH..............89 82 65 54 50 52  
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 12 NW 15 W 15 W 14 W 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 26 29 28 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 2400 4900 5700 4800 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 20 NW 28 NW 28 NW 24 W 17  
LVORI...........7 M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 41 116 140 98 39  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD VYGD GOOD POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...27  
REQUESTED BY...ALEX ENTRUP  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524893.0/ALY  
.DELDT 11/03/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ALEX.ENTRUP@MASS.GOV  
 
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