440  
FNUS71 KALY 191440  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUTCH HILL PILE BURNS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
1040 AM EDT WED SEP 19 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU  
HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY,  
PROVIDING DRIER, COOLER AND LESS HUMID WEATHER. SEASONABLE  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. AN APPROACHING WARM  
FRONT WILL BRING THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE THURSDAY INTO  
FRIDAY.  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES OF BETWEEN 50 AND 60 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  
RH VALUES WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 90 TO 100 PERCENT AGAIN  
TONIGHT.  
 
WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY TODAY 10MPH OR LESS. WINDS TONIGHT  
WILL BE NORTHERLY AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...NONE  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE  
MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...JPV  
REQUESTED BY...DONALD TUCKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1815994.0/ALY  
.DELDT 09/19/18  
.EMAIL NECC.DISPATCH@GMAIL.COM  
 
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