268  
FNUS71 KALY 101121  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB PLANTER BEDS / BROGUE...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
721 AM EDT SAT APR 10 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD OFF THE NEW ENGLAND  
COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO  
PROVIDE WARM CONDITIONS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ARRIVES SUNDAY  
MORNING, AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM GRADUALLY APPROACHES FROM THE  
GREAT LAKES REGION. IT WILL TURN COOLER SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK, WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS PERSISTING.  
 
MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 30  
TO 45 PERCENT, INCREASING TO MAXIMUM VALUES OF BETWEEN 90 AND  
100 PERCENT TONIGHT. RH VALUES SUNDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO  
BE ABOVE 60 PERCENT WITH RAIN MOVING INTO THE REGION  
 
WINDS THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE SOUTH AT LESS THAN 15 MPH. WINDS  
WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AT LESS THAN 15 MPH AND CONTINUE  
THROUGH SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............48.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3200-20500 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 67 61 56 45 33 22 21 20 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 55 58 62 65 68 70 72 74 74  
DEWPOINT........46 47 49 50 50 50 49 48 47 47  
RH..............80 74 72 65 58 52 47 42 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/10003 5 7 10 12 14 16 19 21 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-14600 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........20 22 23 32 41 50 53 56 59 63 67 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 70 67 65 62 60 58 56 55 53 52 51  
DEWPOINT........48 50 51 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 50 50  
RH..............41 49 56 63 70 75 80 83 86 93 93 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/100015 8 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............52.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600-2200 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-23700 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 76 78 82 86 90 91 91 92 92 93 93  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 30 30 40 40 40 50 60 70  
TEMP............51 52 54 56 59 61 62 63 63 63 63 62  
DEWPOINT........50 50 51 52 52 53 54 54 54 54 53 52  
RH..............96 93 90 86 78 75 75 72 72 72 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 7 8 8 10 10 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 4 4 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10001 3 4 6 9 12 16 20 23 24 23 21  
 

 
FORECASTER...WASULA  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2108530.0/ALY  
.DELDT 04/10/21  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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