699  
FNUS71 KALY 201223  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB 'DIVERSITY' RX...ALBANY PINE BUSH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
823 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY. CHILLY  
TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL WARM TO NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS DURING THE DAY.  
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING CLOUDS AND INCREASING  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS DURING THE MID TO LATE WEEK PERIOD.  
 
RH VALUES WILL RECOVER TO 90-100 PERCENT TONIGHT WITH AREAS OF  
DEW FORMATION LIKELY. RH SHOULD FALL TO 40-55 PERCENT MONDAY  
AFTERNOON.  
 
NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 5-15 MPH SHOULD BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TO  
CALM SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, THEN BECOME SOUTHEAST  
AT 5-15 MPH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............47 INCREASING TO 56.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2  
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 14 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-35700 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 2 4 5 0 4 9 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 54 60 65 68 71 72 73 73 72  
DEWPOINT........49 51 52 53 54 54 55 55 56 56  
RH..............96 90 75 65 61 55 55 53 55 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W S SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 5 6 6 7 8 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 2 3 3 7 10 13 14 14  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/10000 0 0 1 6 14 21 29 35 36  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-26300 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........20 19 17 22 24 25 27 29 31 32 32 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 67 65 63 62 61 60 58 57 56 56 56  
DEWPOINT........56 56 56 55 55 54 54 54 54 54 53 53  
RH..............61 68 73 75 78 78 81 86 90 93 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 7 6 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/100026 13 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............55 INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3600 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5900-53500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54100-61900 KNOT-FT) EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 52 61 59 56 54 54 53 53 55 57 59  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 56 57 60 63 66 68 70 71 71 71 70  
DEWPOINT........53 53 54 55 57 58 59 59 59 59 59 59  
RH..............90 90 90 84 81 75 73 68 66 66 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 8 10 11 13 13 13 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 16 16 16 16 17 18 20 21 21 20  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/10006 12 19 25 31 37 46 54 59 62 61 54  
 

 
FORECASTER...EVBUOMA  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2118516.0/ALY  
.DELDT 09/20/21  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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