750  
FNUS71 KALY 011251  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONE BROOK WEST F...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
851 AM EDT THU JUN 1 2023  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JUNE 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FAIR AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH ANOTHER WARM, DRY AND  
SUNNY DAY TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING SOUTH OUT  
OF CANADA WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS, ALONG WITH THE CHANCE FOR SOME  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY  
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH SOME  
ADDITIONAL PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE AT TIMES.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (58000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 4 7 10 13 13 14 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............75 78 80 82 83 83 83 83  
DEWPOINT........54 54 54 54 54 54 54 54  
RH..............48 43 41 38 37 36 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 5.2 6.1 6.6 6.8 7.4 7.6 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 8 8 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 42 46 48 48 54 58 56  
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............54.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............81 79 76 73 70 68 67 66 66 64 63 63  
DEWPOINT........55 56 56 55 54 53 53 53 53 53 53 53  
RH..............41 45 50 53 57 59 61 63 63 67 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW NW N N N N N N NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 7 8 9 8 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..41 20 4 0 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL  
1400, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............57 INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (64100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 20 24 24 25 25 33 41 48 55 62 69  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT LKY SCT LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 30 60 50 60 60 70  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3  
TEMP............65 68 71 74 77 79 80 80 79 79 78 77  
DEWPOINT........55 56 58 58 58 58 58 59 59 59 60 60  
RH..............70 65 63 57 52 49 47 49 50 50 54 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.0 5.4 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.4 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 8 22 40 55 62 64 62 58 51 41  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD FR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...EVBUOMA  
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GOULDING  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2314295.1/ALY  
.DELDT 06/01/23  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV  
 
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