363  
FWUS41 KBTV 042023  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
322 PM EST SUN DEC 4 2022  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC BK BK FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 40 50 55 55 25 20 45 55 65 70 75 75 90 95 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 21 23 25 25 25 29 38 37 29 31 29 32 34 35 36 37 39  
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 39 29 39  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 10 13 14 14 16 18 17 16 16 16 17 18 20 19 18 17 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 10 30 60 90 90 60  
PRECIP TYPE S R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 95 90 85 80 75 55 55 55 65 60 60 65 65 65 60 65 75  
TEMPERATURE 40 39 41 39 38 34 32 28 25 23 27 24 24 22 27 25 24 23 29 27  
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 42 32 34 21 29 21 29 22 31  
WIND DIR S S SE S NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N NE E SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 20 20 13 12 14 14 13 14 13 12 11 14 16 13 13 13 13 12 12 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 70 80 80 40 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.47  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC FW SC SC OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 70 45 25 10 25 50 70 70 65 70 80 90 100 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 15 13 16 13 13 20 30 29 26 29 26 29 32 31 32 35 35  
MIN/MAX TEMP 11 32 26 36  
WIND DIR W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 27 31 31 34 37 39 39 39 34 32 36 42 50 56 56 47 35  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50 80 100 90 90  
PRECIP TYPE S S I Z R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 80 70 65 65 50 55 60 65 60 60 65 70 65 65 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 35 34 33 32 29 25 22 20 20 20 17 18 17 20 18 19 19 22 22  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 35 25 28 18 22 17 21 18 24  
WIND DIR S SW S SW W NW N N NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 28 29 14 14 18 18 17 18 17 18 17 18 20 18 16 17 17 17 19 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 70 60 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R S R R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.27  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC FW SC SC OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 60 70 50 30 10 25 50 70 70 65 70 80 90 100 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 16 12 16 12 12 19 32 32 29 29 27 30 31 33 35 37 36  
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 34 27 37  
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 24 27 27 32 35 35 35 34 29 27 32 36 46 51 50 42 33  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50 80 100 90 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S I R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.31  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 90 80 65 65 60 50 55 60 60 60 60 60 65 65 65 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 37 37 36 33 30 28 25 21 20 24 21 19 18 24 21 20 20 26 25  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 37 28 30 19 26 17 25 19 28  
WIND DIR S S S SW W NW N N NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 27 31 11 11 11 11 10 11 10 12 13 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 13 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 70 60 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.22 0.22  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC SC FW FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 50 55 45 25 10 25 45 70 80 75 75 80 90 95 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 18 18 18 24 33 34 29 33 38 37 37 34 35 36 38  
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 37 30 39  
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 25 28 27 29 34 36 35 33 31 28 31 36 42 44 41 34 27  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 40 70 90 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S I R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 90 80 65 65 60 50 50 55 60 60 55 60 65 60 60 80  
TEMPERATURE 40 39 39 38 36 32 29 26 23 22 24 21 21 20 24 22 22 22 27 25  
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 39 29 31 20 25 19 25 21 29  
WIND DIR S S S SW W NW NW N NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 16 28 11 11 12 12 11 13 12 13 12 16 13 13 13 12 12 11 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 70 70 30 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.22  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC FW SC BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 55 65 45 25 10 30 55 75 75 70 75 80 90 100 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 21 19 21 21 19 21 30 32 27 30 29 28 31 33 35 37 37  
MIN/MAX TEMP 16 34 27 37  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 21 26 25 28 32 33 29 29 28 28 32 35 40 44 44 39 29  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50 80 100 90 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S I R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 90 75 70 65 65 45 55 60 65 55 60 65 70 60 65 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 37 37 36 34 30 28 24 21 21 23 20 18 18 22 20 20 20 24 24  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 37 27 30 19 25 17 24 19 26  
WIND DIR S S S SW NW NW N N N NE NE N N N NE N N NE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 20 26 12 12 13 12 12 14 12 16 16 16 14 14 16 13 13 12 16 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 70 60 20 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.25  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC FW SC SC OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 65 70 50 25 10 25 50 70 70 65 70 80 90 100 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 17 17 17 17 12 19 31 30 25 26 26 27 30 31 34 36 35  
MIN/MAX TEMP 12 33 26 36  
WIND DIR W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 26 28 28 31 36 37 35 33 31 28 32 37 43 49 49 41 33  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50 80 100 90 90  
PRECIP TYPE S S I R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 85 70 70 65 50 60 60 65 60 60 65 70 65 70 85  
TEMPERATURE 37 36 35 34 32 29 26 22 20 20 21 18 18 18 22 19 18 19 24 22  
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 36 26 28 19 23 16 23 18 25  
WIND DIR S S S SW W NW N N NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 25 27 13 12 13 13 12 12 11 16 14 14 14 14 13 12 12 12 16 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 70 60 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.27  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 12/05/22 TUESDAY 12/06/22  
TIME (LT) 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18  
6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P 9P 12 3A 6A 9A 12 3P 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC SC FW SC BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 60 65 45 25 10 30 55 75 75 65 75 80 90 100 100 100  
TEMPERATURE 22 20 21 20 19 24 34 34 28 28 27 27 30 33 37 38 37  
MIN/MAX TEMP 18 36 26 39  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 14 17 17 18 20 23 21 21 20 18 20 23 26 28 28 24 19  
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 47  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50 80 100 90 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S I R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.30  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
 
DATE WED 12/07/22 THU 12/08/22 FRI 12/09/22 SAT 12/10/22 SUN 12/11/22  
TIME (LT) 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18  
12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P 12 6A 12 6P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 85 75 70 65 60 45 55 60 60 55 60 60 70 60 65 80  
TEMPERATURE 38 38 40 38 35 32 32 26 23 22 27 22 20 20 26 23 22 22 28 26  
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 40 30 32 20 28 18 28 20 30  
WIND DIR S S S SW NW NW N N N NE NE N N N NE N N NE SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 14 18 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 11 11 12 10 10 9 12 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 70 70 60 20 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.24  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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