842  
FWUS41 KBTV 210806  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
305 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 95 95 95 90 95 85 70 45 45 50 70 80 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 35 35 37 36 35 35 36 34 35 34 36 33 34 32 32 32 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 33 36 30  
WIND DIR SE SE E E E E E E E SE SE E E E NE N NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 6 9 12 16 18 20 21 21 16 12 10 8 6 5 8 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 30 50 70 60 60 80 70 40 30 40 30 30 60 60 60  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.05 0.18 0.18 0.11 0.01 0.06 0.18  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 85 85 75 65 65 70 75 80 85 80 80 75 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 30 31 33 30 28 28 29 27 30 28 30 31 31 30 29 25 23 22  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 28 30 27 33 28 33 23 25  
WIND DIR NW NW NW W W NW NW W W SE SE S SW W W W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 12 20 23 24 21 23 17 12 9 5 10 12 13 17 18 18 16 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 80 80 60 40 20 5 5 10 40 70 80 70 70 50 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.40 0.35  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.6 3.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 3.3 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 10 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 90 95 95 95 95 90 90 80 55 55 65 85 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 31 29 29 29 31 31 31 30 28 25 26 26 24 26 26 27 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 28 24  
WIND DIR SE SE E E E E E E E E SE E E E NE N N  
WIND (MPH) 13 11 18 20 23 21 23 25 23 20 20 18 18 17 17 23 28  
WIND GUST (MPH) 41  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 80 90 90 90 80 80 50 30 30 40 40 30 40 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE Z S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.70 0.71 0.49 0.12 0.02 0.04 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 4.4 4.3 4.2 1.6 0.3 0.5 0.5  
12 HOUR SNOW 4.6 8.5 1.9 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 3.7 5.8 1.9 1.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 13 13 14 14 12 12 12 12 12  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 85 75 75 75 60 75 85 85 80 80 90 85 75 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 25 28 30 24 22 24 25 23 26 26 29 29 26 25 25 19 17 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 28 22 24 23 30 25 29 17 19  
WIND DIR NW NW W W NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 21 35 41 41 34 39 31 24 12 8 18 25 31 34 35 32 21 24  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 80 60 40 30 10 5 0 10 60 70 70 70 60 30 10 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.10  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 12 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 90 95 95 95 90 85 75 55 45 45 60 85 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 34 33 33 32 33 33 33 31 31 29 32 31 28 28 28 28 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 32 27  
WIND DIR SE SE E E NE NE NE E E E SE E E E N N N  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 9 11 10 12 16 20 19 17 13 11 11 9 10 13 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 70 90 90 90 80 80 50 30 30 40 40 30 40 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.64 0.66 0.39 0.10 0.01 0.04 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 3.3 3.3 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.4 5.5 1.2 0.8  
LOW END SNOW 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.0 4.2 1.4 1.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 85 80 75 80 65 75 85 85 80 80 85 85 80 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 30 31 31 27 27 27 26 25 31 29 31 32 31 28 26 23 22 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 27 23 33 29 32 22 23  
WIND DIR NW NW W W W NW NW W W S S SW W W NW NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 19 23 23 21 23 17 13 8 4 9 12 19 19 19 16 11 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 80 70 40 30 10 5 0 10 60 70 70 70 60 30 10 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.11  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 1.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 1.7 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 90 55 45 50 65 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 33 32 31 31 33 34 35 31 31 29 31 29 28 29 30 31 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 30 31 28  
WIND DIR SE E E E E E E E E E SE E E E NE N N  
WIND (MPH) 6 6 14 16 19 20 23 23 23 20 18 16 14 12 11 17 23  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 40 70 90 90 90 90 80 60 40 30 40 40 30 40 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE I S S S R R R S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.68 0.96 0.56 0.18 0.01 0.03 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 3.1 0.0 3.1 1.7 0.1 0.3 0.5  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.2 3.1 1.8 0.8  
LOW END SNOW 0.5 2.0 0.2 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 5.2 1.1 1.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 6 5 5 5 6 7 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 90 80 75 75 65 65 85 80 85 80 85 85 80 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 28 30 33 28 25 27 27 27 30 29 32 32 30 27 27 22 20 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 26 28 25 32 29 32 20 22  
WIND DIR NW W W W W W W W W S S SW W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 18 27 33 32 26 31 23 18 10 6 12 18 23 27 27 24 16 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 70 40 30 10 5 0 20 50 70 70 80 60 30 10 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.15  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 1.6  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 1.7 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 90 75 55 60 70 85 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 32 32 32 31 33 33 33 31 30 28 30 29 28 29 29 29 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 30 28  
WIND DIR SE SE E NE E E NE NE NE E E E E E N N N  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 12 13 14 17 17 19 18 17 14 12 11 12 14 19 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 80 90 90 90 80 70 50 30 30 40 40 30 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S R S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.83 0.71 0.47 0.13 0.02 0.05 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 3.8 3.1 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.6 0.4  
12 HOUR SNOW 4.2 6.5 1.7 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 3.0 5.1 1.6 1.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 11 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 80 70 65 65 55 70 85 85 80 75 85 80 75 65 70  
TEMPERATURE 29 31 32 28 27 27 26 25 31 30 31 32 31 28 27 24 22 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 27 28 24 32 30 32 22 24  
WIND DIR NW NW W W W NW NW NW SW S S SW W W W W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 17 26 31 31 25 28 21 17 8 8 14 18 23 25 25 21 13 17  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 60 40 20 10 5 0 10 50 70 70 70 60 20 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.08  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.3 0.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 1.3 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 90 95 95 95 95 90 85 70 50 50 65 85 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 32 31 31 31 32 32 32 30 29 26 29 28 26 27 27 27 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 27 29 26  
WIND DIR SE SE E E E E E E E E SE E E E NE N N  
WIND (MPH) 8 8 14 17 16 20 23 24 21 18 18 17 16 13 14 20 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 80 90 90 90 80 80 50 30 30 40 40 30 40 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.69 0.69 0.48 0.12 0.02 0.04 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 4.2 3.9 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.5  
12 HOUR SNOW 4.7 7.8 1.8 1.0  
LOW END SNOW 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 4.1 5.7 2.0 1.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 12 13 14 13 12 12 12 12 12  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 95 85 80 75 75 65 75 85 85 85 80 90 85 80 70 80  
TEMPERATURE 28 29 30 25 24 25 25 24 28 28 30 30 29 27 25 21 20 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 25 25 24 30 28 30 20 21  
WIND DIR NW NW W W NW NW NW NW W S S SW W W NW NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 20 23 27 27 26 28 23 18 11 3 12 17 24 23 23 20 14 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 80 70 40 30 10 5 0 10 60 70 70 70 60 30 10 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.11  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 2.3 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 12 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE THURSDAY 11/21/24 FRIDAY 11/22/24  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 90 70 50 55 65 80 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 35 35 35 34 34 35 35 33 32 31 33 32 31 31 31 32 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 31 33 30  
WIND DIR SE E E NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E NE N N NW  
WIND (MPH) 3 4 6 9 9 11 14 18 13 13 10 8 6 6 8 9 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 60 80 90 90 90 80 70 50 30 30 40 40 30 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.81 0.72 0.47 0.12 0.02 0.05 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.2 0.5 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 6.2 1.5 0.8  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 1.6 2.4 1.1 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 5 5 4 4 6 6 10 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 10  
 
DATE SAT 11/23/24 SUN 11/24/24 MON 11/25/24 TUE 11/26/24 WED 11/27/24  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 80 70 70 65 50 65 85 80 80 75 85 75 70 60 70  
TEMPERATURE 33 32 33 30 30 28 27 25 33 30 32 32 34 30 28 25 25 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 30 30 25 35 30 35 25 26  
WIND DIR NW NW W W W NW W W W S S SW W W W W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 10 12 16 17 14 12 9 6 4 2 5 8 12 11 11 11 9 8  
WIND GUST (MPH) 26 29  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 80 60 40 20 10 5 0 10 50 70 70 70 60 20 10 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.08  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 0.9  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 MM  
HIGH END SNOW 1.1 MM  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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