094  
FWUS41 KBTV 181423  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1017 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW SC BK BK BK BK OV BK BK BK BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 40 10 15 30 55 65 60 70 75 65 50 50 60 75 75  
TEMPERATURE 56 66 70 68 65 63 62 64 69 72 73 70 68 66 63 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 59 76 58  
WIND DIR S S S SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 12 14 14 13 16 14 14 14 12 13 14 16 17 17 14 16  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 5 5 5 10 10 10 40 50 60 50 30 30 30 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.02 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.35 0.14  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 35 30 40 15 10 15 30 45 65 70 75 75 80 75 65 70 75  
TEMPERATURE 61 53 42 34 42 42 35 37 49 49 42 41 49 49 45 42 50 51  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 34 45 33 51 39 51 40 53  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW W E W E SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 20 19 19 13 14 6 5 4 6 10 9 9 13 13 11 8 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 30 20 40 40 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 5 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 35 20 15 30 65 65 55 50 55 50 45 55 75 85 70  
TEMPERATURE 61 68 68 66 62 60 60 63 66 67 67 64 64 62 59 56  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 60 68 55  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 26 28 26 28 39 39 36 35 33 32 33 36 40 47 40 33  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 30 30 20 20 50 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.23 0.11  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 45 40 10 15 20 35 50 65 75 75 75 80 80 70 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 56 47 36 32 40 39 31 37 45 44 38 40 44 45 41 43 46 48  
MAX/MIN TEMP 57 32 43 30 50 38 50 41 52  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NW N N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 28 32 28 24 16 8 5 4 5 5 5 6 8 8 6 6 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 40 40 50 40 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW BK SC BK BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 30 10 10 25 60 45 55 55 55 50 50 60 75 80 75  
TEMPERATURE 64 72 73 69 63 61 60 64 69 72 72 68 65 62 59 58  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 60 73 57  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW W W SW SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 14 17 16 16 20 19 18 17 18 18 18 25 25 26 23 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 10 20 10 30 30 30 30 20 20 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.06 0.00 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.18 0.12  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 40 40 10 15 20 30 45 60 70 75 75 75 75 70 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 60 50 37 35 46 43 34 39 51 48 41 43 50 50 44 45 52 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 34 48 33 55 40 54 42 56  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW N E S SE SE SE S S S SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 11 10 8 5 2 2 4 3 3 4 6 5 4 4 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 30 40 50 40 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC FW FW FW BK BK BK SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 30 5 10 25 65 55 60 50 40 35 25 60 75 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 64 73 74 70 66 63 63 66 71 72 72 69 68 65 62 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 61 72 58  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 21 24 23 26 37 36 35 32 28 27 28 35 36 41 34 25  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 30 20 20 20 10 10 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.08 0.17 0.10  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 45 35 40 10 15 20 35 50 65 70 75 75 80 75 75 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 60 51 40 35 44 43 34 40 51 48 41 44 50 50 45 46 53 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 34 47 33 54 39 54 41 56  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW W E E E SE SE SE SE S SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 21 25 20 18 12 11 6 4 5 8 6 6 9 10 8 8 8 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 30 30 50 30 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 3 5 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW SC BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 15 15 25 60 55 55 45 50 50 35 45 70 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 63 71 73 69 65 63 62 65 71 73 73 69 68 65 62 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 73 61 74 60  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 19 21 20 21 32 33 28 25 23 24 24 29 31 35 31 24  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 20 20 30 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.04 0.16 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 45 45 35 5 10 20 35 45 55 70 75 75 75 80 70 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 61 52 40 35 45 44 33 39 50 48 41 43 48 48 44 45 51 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 35 48 33 54 40 53 43 56  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NW NW NW E SE SE S SE S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 20 23 20 17 10 6 4 2 4 3 3 4 6 6 4 4 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 40 40 50 40 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW SC BK BK BK BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 35 15 15 30 55 70 60 55 55 50 45 55 75 85 70  
TEMPERATURE 62 70 70 67 63 61 60 63 68 69 69 66 65 62 59 58  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 60 70 57  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW W SW W  
WIND (MPH) 20 21 19 21 28 28 27 24 23 21 23 27 28 31 26 17  
WIND GUST (MPH) 34  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 20 10 20 30 30 30 20 20 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.08 0.00 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.10 0.24 0.12  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC FW FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 55 45 40 10 20 25 35 50 65 75 75 80 80 80 70 75 70  
TEMPERATURE 58 48 36 34 43 41 32 38 48 46 39 41 47 47 42 44 49 50  
MAX/MIN TEMP 59 33 45 31 50 38 49 40 52  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NW N N E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SW  
WIND (MPH) 17 17 14 13 10 9 5 5 6 6 6 8 9 9 8 8 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH) 35  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 40 40 50 40 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE MONDAY 05/18/26 TUESDAY 05/19/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC FW FW FW BK BK BK SC BK BK SC SC OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 35 20 15 25 65 55 60 45 50 50 35 45 70 80 70  
TEMPERATURE 64 74 75 70 66 63 61 66 72 75 75 71 68 64 62 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 75 61 77 60  
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW W  
WIND (MPH) 9 11 12 9 10 11 10 10 13 14 13 12 13 13 12 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 32 29 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 20 20 30 30 20 20 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.05 0.17 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE WED 05/20/26 THU 05/21/26 FRI 05/22/26 SAT 05/23/26 SUN 05/24/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 45 45 35 10 15 20 35 50 60 75 75 75 75 80 70 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 63 53 39 37 49 45 34 40 52 49 41 44 51 50 44 45 53 53  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 36 50 33 57 40 56 43 58  
WIND DIR W NW NW N NW NW NW E SE SE S SE S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 12 10 8 6 6 2 1 1 3 1 1 1 4 2 1 2 4 2  
WIND GUST (MPH) 27  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 50 40 40 50 40 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 2 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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