696  
FWUS41 KBTV 111406  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
1005 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC CL SC BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 70 45 45 25 15 10 10 20 25 30 5 35 55 70 65  
TEMPERATURE 44 47 46 42 36 33 32 35 43 46 46 41 37 35 33 36  
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 31 47 32  
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N SE S SE SE  
WIND (MPH) 10 10 10 8 8 8 5 6 10 11 10 4 3 4 6 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 6 5 5 6 6 8 8 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV SC BK BK BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 95 90 80 75 75 65 55 70 50 55 55 60 50 55 50  
TEMPERATURE 45 43 39 39 44 46 43 40 47 48 44 42 51 52 45 42 52 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 46 38 49 39 50 41 54 41 55  
WIND DIR S SE SE SE E NE N N N NW W W W W SW W W S  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 12 8 3 10 9 10 9 9 9 10 11 12 12 16 14 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 80 90 90 40 30 40 40 20 20 20 30 30 30 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R T  
12 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.06  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 3 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC FW FW FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 65 50 25 15 15 5 30 25 35 40 55 80 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 28 31 31 27 26 23 22 26 33 37 37 33 30 28 27 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 21 38 26  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW S  
WIND (MPH) 16 14 17 26 29 24 20 20 11 11 10 6 4 16 17 28  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 11 11 13 13 14 14 12 12 9 9 9 9 8 8 7  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 95 70 75 70 55 55 60 45 55 50 55 50 55 50  
TEMPERATURE 38 38 37 40 40 41 40 40 44 45 39 42 49 49 42 43 50 51  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 37 42 39 49 39 54 40 55  
WIND DIR S S S SE E N N N N N NW W W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 21 21 17 9 8 6 8 9 9 6 6 8 10 10 9 10 11 6  
WIND GUST (MPH) 28  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 90 90 50 20 40 30 10 10 20 20 30 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R T  
12 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.24  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 3 4 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK SC FW FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 65 55 35 15 15 5 25 25 35 40 55 75 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 36 38 38 33 30 27 25 30 38 42 42 38 34 32 31 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 24 43 30  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW W S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 14 14 16 21 26 23 19 16 12 12 10 6 4 14 16 26  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 8 8 10 10 12 12 10 10 7 7 7 7 6 6 5  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK BK SC BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 95 70 75 70 55 55 55 45 55 50 50 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 43 42 39 40 45 46 41 40 49 50 41 44 54 52 43 44 56 54  
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 38 48 39 53 40 58 41 59  
WIND DIR S S S SE E N N N N NW W W W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 13 12 9 4 5 4 4 5 6 4 4 5 8 6 5 6 9 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 90 90 50 20 40 30 10 10 20 30 30 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R T  
12 HOUR QPF 0.30 0.20  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK BK SC FW FW FW FW SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 65 50 25 15 15 10 35 25 35 30 55 75 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 32 35 34 31 30 27 25 29 37 41 41 37 33 31 30 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 24 42 29  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N NW NW W NW W SW SW SW S  
WIND (MPH) 14 16 16 25 23 17 13 16 11 10 9 6 4 11 11 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 30 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 8 8 8 8 7 7 6  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 90 95 95 80 75 75 55 55 55 45 60 55 55 50 50 50  
TEMPERATURE 44 42 39 41 45 46 42 42 50 50 43 45 55 53 44 45 56 54  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 38 48 39 52 40 58 41 59  
WIND DIR S S S E NE N N N N NW W W W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 14 10 5 6 9 8 11 10 10 10 11 13 16 13 16 14 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 80 90 90 40 20 40 30 10 20 20 30 30 20 20 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.10  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 2 3 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK SC FW FW FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 60 50 20 15 10 5 30 35 35 35 55 80 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 36 38 38 34 31 29 27 31 39 43 43 39 35 33 31 34  
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 26 45 30  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N N NW NW NW W SW SW SW S  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 13 21 29 24 20 12 10 8 9 3 2 9 13 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 8 8 10 10 11 11 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 6  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC BK SC BK SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 70 75 65 50 50 60 40 50 50 50 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 41 40 39 41 44 46 42 42 49 50 42 45 53 53 44 45 55 54  
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 38 47 41 54 41 58 42 60  
WIND DIR S S S S E N N N N NW W W W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 16 12 5 5 5 5 8 8 5 6 6 9 8 8 8 10 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 90 90 50 20 40 30 10 10 10 20 30 20 20 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.24  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 2 3 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK SC FW FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 70 70 55 35 15 20 5 30 30 35 40 55 80 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 32 34 35 30 28 25 23 28 35 39 39 35 31 29 28 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 22 40 27  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW W S SW S  
WIND (MPH) 14 14 16 23 26 23 20 14 11 12 10 6 4 13 16 28  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.08  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 9 9 12 12 14 14 12 12 8 8 8 8 7 7 6  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC BK BK BK BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 95 95 70 75 70 55 55 60 45 60 50 55 50 55 55  
TEMPERATURE 39 39 37 39 43 43 40 40 47 47 40 42 51 50 42 43 53 52  
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 37 45 38 49 39 53 40 55  
WIND DIR S S S SE E N N N N N NW W W W W W W SW  
WIND (MPH) 16 16 12 5 5 8 8 10 10 8 8 9 11 11 10 11 12 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 90 90 50 20 40 30 10 10 20 20 30 20 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R T  
12 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.24  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 2 3 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE MONDAY 05/11/26 TUESDAY 05/12/26  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK OV BK SC FW FW FW CL SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 70 60 45 15 10 10 5 30 25 35 35 55 80 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 44 47 47 41 34 31 29 34 43 47 47 42 37 34 32 35  
MAX/MIN TEMP 48 28 49 31  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW SW S S S  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 5 6 6 5 4 6 6 5 1 1 1 2 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE R R S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.01 0.01 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 6 6 8 8 10 10 9 9 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
 
DATE WED 05/13/26 THU 05/14/26 FRI 05/15/26 SAT 05/16/26 SUN 05/17/26  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK BK SC BK SC BK SC BK SC BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 70 75 65 50 50 60 40 55 50 50 50 50 45  
TEMPERATURE 44 43 40 41 47 47 43 42 51 51 43 45 55 54 44 45 57 55  
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 39 49 41 56 42 61 43 62  
WIND DIR S S S SE E N N N N NW W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 6 4 2 3 1 2 4 5 2 2 2 6 3 3 3 6 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 90 90 90 90 50 20 40 30 10 10 10 20 30 20 20 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.26  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 3 2 2 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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