828  
FWUS41 KBTV 051736  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
135 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK BK SC BK SC BK SC SC SC BK BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 60 65 65 55 45 60 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 55  
TEMPERATURE 70 72 68 66 65 64 68 75 76 76 71 69 66 65 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 63 79 63  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW W SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 10 12 12 10 11 12 14 14 12 9 9 8 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 30 30 20 20 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE T R T R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 90 80 80 45 35 40 45 50 55 80 75 80 80 65 55  
TEMPERATURE 71 65 63 60 65 62 60 60 70 63 60 60 65 60 60 58 65 61  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 60 69 57 72 58 68 57 68  
WIND DIR SW W W NW NW N NE N NW NW SE SE S SE SE SE S SE  
WIND (MPH) 8 6 5 5 6 6 4 4 6 5 4 3 4 6 9 6 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 60 50 50 50 20 10 10 20 20 30 40 60 50 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R T R T R T T R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.37 0.17  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC BK OV BK SC SC BK SC FW FW SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 45 45 65 75 65 45 25 55 35 25 20 35 35 50  
TEMPERATURE 62 64 62 61 61 60 63 67 68 69 66 65 62 62 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 60 70 61  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W SW W SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 9 11 13 16 17 17 23 23 24 25 25 16 13 13 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 80 90 85 80 80 35 60 45 50 55 80 80 85 80 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 66 62 60 59 59 58 55 59 63 59 55 58 59 57 56 56 58 58  
MAX/MIN TEMP 68 59 62 54 65 54 61 55 60  
WIND DIR SW SW SW NE NE NE N NE N E E E SE E SE S S E  
WIND (MPH) 13 10 9 9 8 10 9 8 6 9 8 8 8 10 10 10 9 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 50 50 50 10 5 5 20 20 20 30 50 40 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R T T R R R T R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.32 0.08  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK BK BK BK SC BK SC FW FW SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 45 45 65 70 65 55 25 60 35 25 25 35 35 55  
TEMPERATURE 68 71 67 64 63 62 66 73 75 75 71 67 65 63 67  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 61 77 63  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 6 12 14 14 19 17 5 5 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 10 20 20 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R T R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 90 85 80 75 45 55 45 50 55 80 75 80 80 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 72 66 62 62 66 63 57 62 70 63 57 61 66 62 58 60 65 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 61 68 55 71 56 68 56 67  
WIND DIR SW W W N N NE N N NW E SE SE SE E SE S S SE  
WIND (MPH) 8 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 3 4 3 3 4 5 4  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 50 50 50 10 5 5 20 20 20 30 50 40 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R R R R T T R R R T R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.07  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC BK BK OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 45 50 65 75 65 55 30 40 35 35 35 50 50 60  
TEMPERATURE 67 69 66 64 63 62 66 72 74 72 69 67 65 63 66  
MAX/MIN TEMP 69 62 76 61  
WIND DIR SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 8 10 13 16 14 21 23 23 24 26 12 10 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE R T T T R R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 80 90 80 80 65 55 50 40 45 55 75 75 80 75 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 69 62 61 59 62 59 56 60 67 60 57 60 64 59 58 58 63 60  
MAX/MIN TEMP 72 59 65 55 69 55 66 56 65  
WIND DIR SW W W N N NE W N N NE SE SE SE E SE S SW E  
WIND (MPH) 9 8 5 5 5 8 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 8 5 6 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 40 40 40 10 5 10 20 20 20 30 50 40 30 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R R T R R R R R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.30 0.07  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV SC SC BK BK SC SC SC BK SC FW FW SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 50 45 65 65 45 45 30 55 30 25 15 30 30 50  
TEMPERATURE 68 70 67 65 64 63 67 73 74 75 71 68 65 64 67  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 63 77 63  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 9 10 12 13 12 18 17 18 20 19 11 10 9 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV BK SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 90 85 75 70 35 60 40 45 55 80 80 80 80 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 71 66 62 61 64 63 58 61 68 63 58 61 64 61 58 59 63 62  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 61 67 56 71 56 67 57 66  
WIND DIR SW SW SW NE NE NE N NE NE NE SE E SE E SE S S SE  
WIND (MPH) 10 8 5 6 5 8 6 5 5 6 5 5 5 8 8 8 6 9  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 50 50 50 10 5 5 20 20 20 30 50 40 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R T T R R R T R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.27 0.06  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK OV BK BK SC BK SC SC FW SC SC BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 50 50 65 75 65 55 25 60 40 30 25 35 35 50  
TEMPERATURE 65 67 64 62 61 60 64 69 71 72 68 65 63 62 65  
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 60 73 62  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW SW SW S SW  
WIND (MPH) 6 8 8 9 10 10 17 18 19 20 20 9 8 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 80 90 85 80 75 40 60 45 50 55 85 80 85 80 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 69 64 61 60 62 60 56 60 66 60 56 59 62 59 57 58 62 59  
MAX/MIN TEMP 71 59 65 55 68 55 64 56 63  
WIND DIR SW SW SW NE NE NE NE NE N E E E SE E SE SE S E  
WIND (MPH) 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 50 50 50 10 5 5 20 20 20 30 50 40 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R T T R R R T R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.09  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE SATURDAY 07/05/25 SUNDAY 07/06/25  
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08  
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK SC BK BK BK SC FW BK SC FW FW SC SC SC  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 50 50 65 65 50 50 25 60 30 20 15 30 30 50  
TEMPERATURE 71 73 70 67 65 64 68 75 78 78 73 68 65 65 68  
MAX/MIN TEMP 74 63 79 64  
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW W SW SW SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 3 4 4 4 9 12 13 13 9 3 3 3 3  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 10 10 20 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE T T R R R  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
 
DATE MON 07/07/25 TUE 07/08/25 WED 07/09/25 THU 07/10/25 FRI 07/11/25  
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20  
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV SC BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 80 90 85 80 70 35 60 45 45 55 80 80 85 80 65 50  
TEMPERATURE 74 67 63 63 67 64 59 63 72 65 59 62 68 62 59 61 67 64  
MAX/MIN TEMP 76 61 70 57 73 57 69 58 68  
WIND DIR SW W W NE NE NE N NE N NE SE E SE E SE S S SE  
WIND (MPH) 6 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 4 3 2 2 4 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 50 50 50 10 5 5 20 10 20 30 50 40 40 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE R T R R T T R R T R R R T R  
12 HOUR QPF 0.24 0.06  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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